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AIR INDUSTRIES (AIRI)·Q4 2025 Earnings Summary

Air Industries Narrows Losses, Stock Jumps 7% Despite Revenue Decline

February 17, 2026 · by Fintool AI Agent

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Air Industries Group (NYSE: AIRI), a precision components manufacturer for aerospace and defense contractors, reported preliminary FY 2025 results showing a 13% revenue decline but meaningful margin improvement. Despite missing management's prior guidance for growth, the stock rallied 7% aftermarket on better profitability metrics.

Did Air Industries Beat Earnings?

No — revenue missed, but profitability improved. Air Industries reported preliminary FY 2025 consolidated sales of approximately $47.9 million, down 13% from $55.1 million in FY 2024.

This is a notable miss versus management's Q1 2025 guidance, when CEO Luciano Melluzzo stated: "we reaffirm our belief that the full year of 2025 will exceed the results of 2024."

However, profitability metrics improved:

MetricFY 2025FY 2024Change
Revenue$47.9M $55.1M*-13.0%
Gross Profit$8.1M ~$8.9M*-9.0%
Gross Margin17.1% 16.2%*+90 bps
Operating Income (Loss)($334K) ($459K)*Improved
Net Loss($1.3M) ($1.4M)*Improved
Adjusted EBITDA$4.3M $2.7M*+59%

*Values retrieved from S&P Global

The standout is Adjusted EBITDA, which improved 59% year-over-year to $4.3 million despite lower revenue — a clear sign of operational discipline.

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How Did the Stock React?

AIRI shares rose 7.2% in aftermarket trading to $3.42, up from the $3.19 close.

The positive reaction despite the revenue miss likely reflects:

  1. Margin improvement — Gross margin rose 90 basis points to 17.1%
  2. EBITDA momentum — Adjusted EBITDA of $4.3M was strong
  3. Loss narrowing — Operating and net losses both improved
  4. Low expectations — Stock had already declined ~40% from 2024 highs

What Changed From Last Quarter?

Implied Q4 2025 revenue stabilized. Based on preliminary FY 2025 results and prior quarterly data:

PeriodRevenueYoY Change
Q1 2025$12.1M -13.7%
Q2 2025$12.7M -6.7%
Q3 2025$10.3M -17.9%
Q4 2025 (implied)~$12.8M-14.2%

Q4 showed sequential improvement from the Q3 trough, suggesting some stabilization in order flow.

Gross margin trajectory improved:

PeriodGross Margin
Q1 202413.6%
Q2 202419.5%
Q3 202415.5%
Q4 202416.4%*
Q1 202516.8%
Q2 202516.0%
Q3 202522.3%
FY 202517.1%

*Values retrieved from S&P Global

Key Business Context

Air Industries manufactures precision components for major defense platforms including:

  • F-18 Hornet
  • E-2 Hawkeye (airborne warning aircraft)
  • UH-60 Black Hawk helicopters
  • F-35 Lightning II
  • F-15 Eagle
  • CH-53 Helicopter

Major customers include RTX (29% of FY 2024 sales), Lockheed Martin (25%), and Northrop Grumman (18%).

Backlog provides runway. As of December 31, 2024, the company had $117.9 million in funded backlog and $271.3 million in total unfilled contract values.

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Adjusted EBITDA Reconciliation

The company provided the following reconciliation:

ItemFY 2025
Net Loss($1,305,000)
+ Interest Expense$1,841,000
+ Stock Compensation$1,047,000
+ Depreciation$2,696,000
+ Amortization$68,000
Adjusted EBITDA$4,347,000

Risks and Concerns

  1. Revenue decline — FY 2025 revenue of $47.9M was 13% below FY 2024, contradicting management's growth guidance

  2. Customer concentration — Top 3 customers (RTX, Lockheed, Northrop) represent ~73% of sales

  3. Timing variability — Management notes "period-to-period net sales and operating results are significantly impacted by timing"

  4. Small scale — $12M market cap and ~$48M revenue limit financial flexibility

What's Next?

Air Industries intends to file its Annual Report on Form 10-K promptly following completion of its year-end audit. Key items to watch:

  • Final audited numbers — Preliminary figures may be adjusted
  • 2026 guidance — Will management provide a revenue outlook?
  • Backlog update — New contract wins and funded backlog trends
  • Margin sustainability — Can 17%+ gross margins persist?
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This analysis is based on Air Industries Group's 8-K filing dated February 17, 2026 reporting preliminary unaudited FY 2025 results.

View AIRI Company Profile | Read Full 8-K Filing