AT
Airsculpt Technologies, Inc. (AIRS)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 revenue declined 13.7% year over year to $44.0M and cases fell 14.1% to 3,392; Adjusted EBITDA margin was 13.3%, up sequentially, as cost actions took hold .
- Versus S&P Global consensus, revenue missed by ~$1.6M (−3.5%), while EPS beat by $0.005; EBITDA versus S&P standardized estimate is mixed due to methodology differences; company reiterated FY25 revenue ($160–$170M) and Adjusted EBITDA ($16–$18M) guidance .
- Management highlighted record lead generation, higher consultations, financing penetration rising to 50% (from 44% in Q1), and launched a skin-tightening pilot; CFO announced planned retirement while balance sheet improved via $16M debt reduction .
- Near-term stock reaction catalysts: guidance maintenance despite macro choppiness; cost/marketing efficiency (CAC down y/y); CFO transition; and pilot initiatives tied to GLP-1-related skin laxity .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Record leads and increased consultations supported by reallocated marketing spend to SEM, social, and video; CAC fell to $2,905 from $3,325 y/y, reflecting improved efficiency .
- Balance sheet strengthened: $16M debt reduction in Q2, revolver fully repaid, leverage ratio improved to 2.87x from 3.76x; compliant with covenants .
- New growth initiatives: skin-tightening pilot at three centers and expanded financing options across all centers to support conversion; “best years lie ahead” tone .
Management quotes:
- “We narrowed our year‑over‑year revenue decline by four percentage points versus the first quarter; grew leads by a record level; and delivered a meaningful increase in consultations.” — CEO Yogi Jashnani .
- “Our customer acquisition cost... $2,905 per case vs. $3,325... marking the first quarter‑over‑quarter decline... since we went public.” — CFO Dennis Dean .
- “We launched a pilot of our skin tightening procedure in the second quarter… strong interest… expand the pilot in Q3.” — CEO Yogi Jashnani .
What Went Wrong
- Revenue and cases declined double digits y/y; same‑store revenue down ~22% y/y, reflecting consumer hesitation and macro headwinds .
- Cost of service as % of revenue increased to 39.1% (vs. 36.9% prior year) due to fixed cost components not scaling with lower revenue; Adjusted EBITDA down y/y .
- London center remains cash‑flow negative despite outperforming chain on comp sales in Q2; de novo openings paused for 2025 .
Financial Results
Operational KPIs
Cost/Mix and Cash Flow
Versus Wall Street Consensus (S&P Global)
Values retrieved from S&P Global. The company reports Adjusted EBITDA of $5.8M; S&P standardized EBITDA may differ from company‑reported Adjusted EBITDA .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- Strategic priorities: “We are laser focused on using data to optimize our marketing investment… expanded financing options… upgraded IT routing… expanded Salesforce use” — CEO Yogi Jashnani .
- Transformation/Outlook: “Our intense focus on our business priorities and cost management… positions us well to return our business to growth” — CEO Yogi Jashnani .
- Capital structure: “We repaid $16M of debt… improved capital structure and enhanced financial flexibility” — CFO Dennis Dean .
- Tone: Confident yet conservative, acknowledging consumer uncertainty; guidance reiterated with conservatism for spending uncertainty .
Q&A Highlights
- H2 setup: Management expects “flattish” revenue in H2 with EBITDA improvement from cost actions and lower marketing spend; stabilization more apparent in Q4 on easier comps .
- Skin‑tightening: Strong interest, pilot expanding; still excluded from guidance; interaction with GLP‑1 patients being studied .
- Same‑store trajectory: Declines to continue in Q3 but moderate; “significant improvement” exiting Q4 as new centers enter same‑store pool and comps ease .
- Seasonality/cash flow: Typical Q3 softness, pickup in Q4; back‑half reflects full impact of cost initiatives .
- London update: Outperformed on comps but cash‑flow negative; focus on improvement continues .
Estimates Context
- Q2 2025: Revenue missed S&P Global consensus ($45.6M*) with actual $44.0M; EPS beat ($0.015* vs $0.02). S&P standardized EBITDA compares unfavorably ($5.65M* vs $4.14M*), while company‑reported Adjusted EBITDA was $5.8M; methodology differences matter here .
- FY 2025: Company reiterated revenue $160–$170M and Adjusted EBITDA $16–$18M; S&P Global FY revenue consensus at ~$153.3M* may require upward revisions if H2 trends stabilize as guided .
Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Sequential improvement: Adjusted EBITDA margin rose to 13.3% on higher revenue and cost controls; watch for continued margin lift in H2 .
- Demand funnel strong but conversion lagging: Record leads and higher consultations vs cautious consumer; expanded financing should aid conversion (50% financing usage vs 44% in Q1) .
- Cost/marketing discipline: CAC down and SG&A lower y/y; further cost benefits expected in H2, supporting guidance .
- Balance sheet de‑risking: $16M debt reduction, revolver cleared, leverage down to 2.87x; covenant compliance maintained .
- Growth optionality: Skin‑tightening pilot targeting GLP‑1‑related skin laxity offers adjacent revenue potential; not in guidance yet .
- Operational focus: No 2025 de novos; management prioritizes same‑store stabilization and profitability .
- Monitor CFO transition: Planned retirement announced; stability through transition and continuity of financial strategy will be a watch point .