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Airsculpt Technologies, Inc. (AIRS)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q2 revenue declined 13.7% year over year to $44.0M and cases fell 14.1% to 3,392; Adjusted EBITDA margin was 13.3%, up sequentially, as cost actions took hold .
  • Versus S&P Global consensus, revenue missed by ~$1.6M (−3.5%), while EPS beat by $0.005; EBITDA versus S&P standardized estimate is mixed due to methodology differences; company reiterated FY25 revenue ($160–$170M) and Adjusted EBITDA ($16–$18M) guidance .
  • Management highlighted record lead generation, higher consultations, financing penetration rising to 50% (from 44% in Q1), and launched a skin-tightening pilot; CFO announced planned retirement while balance sheet improved via $16M debt reduction .
  • Near-term stock reaction catalysts: guidance maintenance despite macro choppiness; cost/marketing efficiency (CAC down y/y); CFO transition; and pilot initiatives tied to GLP-1-related skin laxity .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Record leads and increased consultations supported by reallocated marketing spend to SEM, social, and video; CAC fell to $2,905 from $3,325 y/y, reflecting improved efficiency .
  • Balance sheet strengthened: $16M debt reduction in Q2, revolver fully repaid, leverage ratio improved to 2.87x from 3.76x; compliant with covenants .
  • New growth initiatives: skin-tightening pilot at three centers and expanded financing options across all centers to support conversion; “best years lie ahead” tone .

Management quotes:

  • “We narrowed our year‑over‑year revenue decline by four percentage points versus the first quarter; grew leads by a record level; and delivered a meaningful increase in consultations.” — CEO Yogi Jashnani .
  • “Our customer acquisition cost... $2,905 per case vs. $3,325... marking the first quarter‑over‑quarter decline... since we went public.” — CFO Dennis Dean .
  • “We launched a pilot of our skin tightening procedure in the second quarter… strong interest… expand the pilot in Q3.” — CEO Yogi Jashnani .

What Went Wrong

  • Revenue and cases declined double digits y/y; same‑store revenue down ~22% y/y, reflecting consumer hesitation and macro headwinds .
  • Cost of service as % of revenue increased to 39.1% (vs. 36.9% prior year) due to fixed cost components not scaling with lower revenue; Adjusted EBITDA down y/y .
  • London center remains cash‑flow negative despite outperforming chain on comp sales in Q2; de novo openings paused for 2025 .

Financial Results

MetricQ4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Revenue ($USD Millions)$39.2 $39.4 $44.0
GAAP Diluted EPS ($USD)$(0.09) $(0.05) $(0.01)
Adjusted Diluted EPS ($USD)$(0.08) $(0.02) $0.02
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$1.9 $3.8 $5.8
Adjusted EBITDA Margin %4.7% 9.5% 13.3%

Operational KPIs

KPIQ4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Cases (#)3,064 3,076 3,392
Revenue per Case ($USD)$12,787 $12,799 $12,975
Same‑center Case Growth (%)(21.8)% (24.3)% (22.0)%
Number of Facilities (#)32 32 32

Cost/Mix and Cash Flow

MetricQ4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Cost of Service ($USD Millions)$16.7 $16.0 $17.2
SG&A ($USD Millions)$23.4 $21.8 $22.7
Cost of Service as % Revenue39.1%
Operating Cash Flow ($USD Millions)$2.7 $0.9 $5.0

Versus Wall Street Consensus (S&P Global)

MetricConsensus (Q2 2025)Actual (Q2 2025)Beat/Miss
Revenue ($USD Millions)$45.6*$44.0 Miss
Primary EPS ($USD)$0.015*$0.02 Beat
EBITDA ($USD Millions)$5.65*$4.14*Miss / methodology note

Values retrieved from S&P Global. The company reports Adjusted EBITDA of $5.8M; S&P standardized EBITDA may differ from company‑reported Adjusted EBITDA .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Revenue ($USD)FY 2025$160–$170M $160–$170M Maintained
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD)FY 2025$16–$18M $16–$18M Maintained
De novo openingsFY 2025Paused (none planned) None planned (reiterated) Maintained
Covenant complianceFY 2025Relief received; compliant at YE24 Compliant; expect compliance through FY25 Maintained

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicQ4 2024 (Prior Two Quarters)Q1 2025Q2 2025 (Current)Trend
Marketing & CACReset marketing, cost reduction program ~$3M annualized; pause de novos Early benefits from new go‑to‑market; lead volumes up Record leads; CAC $2,905 vs $3,325 y/y; improved monetization Improving efficiency
Financing optionsPlanned expansion to aid conversion Rolled out across all centers; financing use 50% vs 44% in Q1 Positive for conversion
Skin tightening pilotPilot planned Pilot live in 3 centers; strong interest; no contribution in guidance Early stage; expanding
Same‑store salesDouble‑digit declines; stabilize priority Double‑digit declines; sequential mitigation ~22% y/y decline; expect moderation in Q3, better in Q4 Gradual improvement expected
De novos & footprintPause openings to focus on same‑store 32 centers operating No 2025 de novos; evaluate after stabilization Focus on core
Macro/tariffs/inflationMacro pressure; covenant relief Uncertain environment Not directly impacted by tariffs; consumer sentiment choppy Headwinds persist
International (London)London comps > chain, still cash‑flow negative Mixed progress

Management Commentary

  • Strategic priorities: “We are laser focused on using data to optimize our marketing investment… expanded financing options… upgraded IT routing… expanded Salesforce use” — CEO Yogi Jashnani .
  • Transformation/Outlook: “Our intense focus on our business priorities and cost management… positions us well to return our business to growth” — CEO Yogi Jashnani .
  • Capital structure: “We repaid $16M of debt… improved capital structure and enhanced financial flexibility” — CFO Dennis Dean .
  • Tone: Confident yet conservative, acknowledging consumer uncertainty; guidance reiterated with conservatism for spending uncertainty .

Q&A Highlights

  • H2 setup: Management expects “flattish” revenue in H2 with EBITDA improvement from cost actions and lower marketing spend; stabilization more apparent in Q4 on easier comps .
  • Skin‑tightening: Strong interest, pilot expanding; still excluded from guidance; interaction with GLP‑1 patients being studied .
  • Same‑store trajectory: Declines to continue in Q3 but moderate; “significant improvement” exiting Q4 as new centers enter same‑store pool and comps ease .
  • Seasonality/cash flow: Typical Q3 softness, pickup in Q4; back‑half reflects full impact of cost initiatives .
  • London update: Outperformed on comps but cash‑flow negative; focus on improvement continues .

Estimates Context

  • Q2 2025: Revenue missed S&P Global consensus ($45.6M*) with actual $44.0M; EPS beat ($0.015* vs $0.02). S&P standardized EBITDA compares unfavorably ($5.65M* vs $4.14M*), while company‑reported Adjusted EBITDA was $5.8M; methodology differences matter here .
  • FY 2025: Company reiterated revenue $160–$170M and Adjusted EBITDA $16–$18M; S&P Global FY revenue consensus at ~$153.3M* may require upward revisions if H2 trends stabilize as guided .

Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Sequential improvement: Adjusted EBITDA margin rose to 13.3% on higher revenue and cost controls; watch for continued margin lift in H2 .
  • Demand funnel strong but conversion lagging: Record leads and higher consultations vs cautious consumer; expanded financing should aid conversion (50% financing usage vs 44% in Q1) .
  • Cost/marketing discipline: CAC down and SG&A lower y/y; further cost benefits expected in H2, supporting guidance .
  • Balance sheet de‑risking: $16M debt reduction, revolver cleared, leverage down to 2.87x; covenant compliance maintained .
  • Growth optionality: Skin‑tightening pilot targeting GLP‑1‑related skin laxity offers adjacent revenue potential; not in guidance yet .
  • Operational focus: No 2025 de novos; management prioritizes same‑store stabilization and profitability .
  • Monitor CFO transition: Planned retirement announced; stability through transition and continuity of financial strategy will be a watch point .