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Airsculpt Technologies, Inc. (AIRS)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 revenue and case volume declined double-digits year over year (Revenue $35.0M, -17.8% YoY; Cases 2,780, -15.2% YoY), with management attributing softness to timing and a still-hesitant consumer for considered purchases .
  • Results missed S&P Global consensus: Revenue $39.8M estimate vs $35.0M actual; Primary EPS -$0.02 estimate vs -$0.04 actual; management lowered full‑year revenue outlook to $153M while maintaining adjusted EBITDA at the low end ($16M)* .
  • Strategy pivot centers on GLP‑1 “transformation”: expanding skin tightening pilots and adding skin excision procedures; early signals show higher conversion among GLP‑1 patients; Q4 same‑store trends are improving with expected YoY EBITDA margin expansion .
  • Balance sheet progress continued (YTD debt repaid nearly $18M; Q3 liquidity $5.4M cash, $5.0M revolver availability) and London center closure announced with associated non‑cash charges (Salesforce impairment $4.6M; London assets $2.3M) .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • “We have repaid nearly $18 million of our debt year to date,” reinforcing capital allocation discipline; mgmt also flagged >$3M annualized cost savings, supporting margin focus .
  • GLP‑1 strategy gaining traction: pilots expanded; “we are already starting to see that GLP‑1 users are converting better than non‑GLP‑1 users,” and skin excision pilots underway to broaden addressable need after significant weight loss .
  • Q4 setup improving: “we are experiencing an improvement in our same store sales trends and expect our expense discipline to result in EBITDA margin expansion year over year” .

What Went Wrong

  • Top‑line underperformed: Revenue $35.0M (-17.8% YoY) and cases 2,780 (-15.2% YoY); same‑store revenue down ~22% YoY; mgmt cited consumers hesitating to convert interest into procedures .
  • Non‑cash charges pressured GAAP results: Salesforce impairment ($4.6M) and London facility impairment/closure ($2.3M) plus ~$1.0M accelerated amortization to SG&A; GAAP net loss widened to $9.5M .
  • Customer acquisition cost increased to ~$3,100 per case (from ~$2,900), reflecting a tougher demand backdrop and mix; Adjusted EBITDA margin fell to 8.7% (from 11.0% in 3Q24) on lower revenue .

Financial Results

Core P&L and Profitability (chronological: oldest → newest)

MetricQ3 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Revenue ($USD Millions)$42.55 $39.37 $44.01 $34.99
Net (Loss)/Income ($USD Millions)$(6.04) $(2.85) $(0.59) $(9.51)
Diluted EPS ($)$(0.10) $(0.05) $(0.01) $(0.15)
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$4.67 $3.76 $5.84 $3.04
Adjusted EBITDA Margin (%)11.0% 9.5% 13.3% 8.7%

Operating KPIs

KPIQ3 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Cases (#)3,277 3,076 3,392 2,780
Revenue per Case ($)$12,984 $12,799 $12,975 $12,587
Same‑Center Case Growth YoY (%)N/A(24.3)% (22.0)% (20.5)%
Same‑Center Revenue/Case Growth YoY (%)N/A0.5% ~0.0% (2.6)%
Facilities (period end)31 32 32 32
Procedure Rooms (period end)65 67 67 67

Consensus vs Actuals (S&P Global)

MetricPeriodConsensus*Actual
Revenue ($USD)Q3 2025$39,797,330*$34,993,000
Primary EPS ($)Q3 2025$(0.015)*$(0.04)*

Values with asterisk (*) retrieved from S&P Global.

Notes: Company also reported Adjusted Net Loss per share of $(0.04) for Q3 2025 . S&P “Primary EPS” is a normalized measure and aligns with adjusted EPS in this period.

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
RevenuesFY 2025$160M–$170M ~$153M Lowered
Adjusted EBITDAFY 2025$16M–$18M ~$16M Maintained at low end

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicQ1 2025 (Prev‑2)Q2 2025 (Prev‑1)Q3 2025 (Current)Trend
GLP‑1/ProceduresBegan piloting skin tightening as standalone; positioning to capitalize on skin laxity .Piloted skin tightening; flagged GLP‑1 opportunity; financing options expanded .“GLP‑1 transformation”: expanded tightening pilots; added skin excision pilots; higher conversion among GLP‑1 users .Expanding scope, improving conversion among GLP‑1 cohort
Sales & MarketingRe‑focused marketing; lifted leads; aim to improve conversion .Record lead growth; meaningful increase in consultations .Diversified media (influencers/TV); training to improve conversion; CAC rose to ~$3,100 .Pushing conversion quality; cost to acquire elevated
Consumer/MacroUncertain environment; focus on sequential improvement .Dynamic environment; narrowing YoY revenue decline vs Q1 .Hesitant consumer to convert; mgmt calls Q3 softness timing‑related .Demand consideration lag persists
Cost/Margins/DebtCost reductions improved profitability vs Q4; target FCF .Debt reduced $16M in Q2; on track for guidance .>$3M annualized cost savings YTD; nearly $18M debt repaid YTD; Q4 YoY EBITDA margin expansion expected .Ongoing cost discipline; deleveraging continues
Footprint/Operations32 centers, 67 rooms (end Q1) .32 centers; continued optimization .London closure (only unprofitable center); focus on North America .Pruning underperformers
Tech/SystemsSalesforce scope narrowed; $4.6M impairment; finish sales functionality by Q1’26 .Re‑scoping tech to ROI

Management Commentary

  • “Importantly, AirSculpt is scaled and trusted — strongly positioned at the intersection of aesthetics and the GLP‑1” .
  • “We are experiencing an improvement in our same store sales trends and expect our expense discipline to result in EBITDA margin expansion year over year” .
  • “We have repaid nearly $18 million of our debt year to date… Debt repayment continues to be the primary focus of our capital allocation strategy in the near term” .
  • On GLP‑1 patients: “We are already starting to see that GLP‑1 users are converting better than non‑GLP‑1 users” .
  • CFO transition: Michael Arthur appointed CFO effective Jan 5, 2026; CEO highlighted his public markets and growth experience .

Q&A Highlights

  • Cost controls: Majority of savings within SG&A (regional support/vendor spend); mgmt continues to identify opportunities to bridge revenue softness .
  • GLP‑1 procedures: Standalone tightening demand exists but candidacy pool narrower than anticipated; hence pilots of skin excision (often under local) to address loose skin beyond tightening; early demand noted even without marketing .
  • Demand/timing: Leads and consults remained strong, but consumers hesitant to convert; Q4 same‑store trends better than YTD .
  • Unit economics/marketing: CAC ~$3,100 vs ~$2,900 prior‑year quarter; 52% of patients used financing; ARPC $12,587 within historic $12–13K range .
  • Non‑cash charges/closures: $4.6M impairment on Salesforce components not used; $2.3M related to London closure; ~+$1.0M accelerated ROU amortization in SG&A (no cash impact) .

Estimates Context

  • Q3 2025: Missed S&P Global consensus on revenue and Primary EPS (Revenue $39.8M est vs $35.0M actual; Primary EPS -$0.02 est vs -$0.04 actual)* .
  • Forward: S&P Global Q4 2025 consensus implies Revenue ~$34.93M and Primary EPS ~-0.03*, while management expects improving same‑store trends and stronger margins sequentially and YoY in Q4 .

Values with asterisk (*) retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Top‑line softness and conversion hesitancy drove a miss vs consensus and YoY declines (Revenue $35.0M, -17.8% YoY; Cases 2,780, -15.2% YoY), while adjusted margin compressed to 8.7% .
  • The GLP‑1 playbook is broadening (tightening + excision), with early signs of higher conversion among GLP‑1 users; this narrative could be a medium‑term growth driver as pilots scale .
  • Cost discipline and deleveraging are tangible: >$3M annualized savings YTD and nearly $18M debt repaid YTD; mgmt is prioritizing balance sheet strength .
  • Q4 setup: improving same‑store trends and guided YoY EBITDA margin expansion—watch execution on marketing mix, conversion, and procedure ramp .
  • One‑time items (Salesforce impairment; London closure) increased GAAP loss but are excluded from Adjusted EBITDA; monitor tech re‑platforming benefits into 2026 .
  • Guidance reset: FY25 revenue to ~$153M (from $160–$170M), but adjusted EBITDA maintained at ~$16M low end—implies back‑half margin focus amid lower volume .
  • Unit economics: ARPC held within historical range ($12.6K) and financing utilization stable at ~52%; CAC drifted higher, underscoring need for mix/creative optimization .

Appendix: Additional Financial and Liquidity Detail

  • Liquidity (9/30/25): Cash $5.4M; $5.0M revolver availability; compliant with covenants .
  • Balance sheet (9/30/25): Total liabilities $103.8M; equity $82.1M; long‑term debt (net) $51.9M .
  • London center: Q3 revenue $0.4M; adjusted EBITDA -$0.15M; nine‑month revenue $1.4M; adjusted EBITDA -$0.6M .