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Airsculpt Technologies, Inc. (AIRS)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 revenue and case volume declined double-digits year over year (Revenue $35.0M, -17.8% YoY; Cases 2,780, -15.2% YoY), with management attributing softness to timing and a still-hesitant consumer for considered purchases .
- Results missed S&P Global consensus: Revenue $39.8M estimate vs $35.0M actual; Primary EPS -$0.02 estimate vs -$0.04 actual; management lowered full‑year revenue outlook to
$153M while maintaining adjusted EBITDA at the low end ($16M)* . - Strategy pivot centers on GLP‑1 “transformation”: expanding skin tightening pilots and adding skin excision procedures; early signals show higher conversion among GLP‑1 patients; Q4 same‑store trends are improving with expected YoY EBITDA margin expansion .
- Balance sheet progress continued (YTD debt repaid nearly $18M; Q3 liquidity $5.4M cash, $5.0M revolver availability) and London center closure announced with associated non‑cash charges (Salesforce impairment $4.6M; London assets $2.3M) .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- “We have repaid nearly $18 million of our debt year to date,” reinforcing capital allocation discipline; mgmt also flagged >$3M annualized cost savings, supporting margin focus .
- GLP‑1 strategy gaining traction: pilots expanded; “we are already starting to see that GLP‑1 users are converting better than non‑GLP‑1 users,” and skin excision pilots underway to broaden addressable need after significant weight loss .
- Q4 setup improving: “we are experiencing an improvement in our same store sales trends and expect our expense discipline to result in EBITDA margin expansion year over year” .
What Went Wrong
- Top‑line underperformed: Revenue $35.0M (-17.8% YoY) and cases 2,780 (-15.2% YoY); same‑store revenue down ~22% YoY; mgmt cited consumers hesitating to convert interest into procedures .
- Non‑cash charges pressured GAAP results: Salesforce impairment ($4.6M) and London facility impairment/closure ($2.3M) plus ~$1.0M accelerated amortization to SG&A; GAAP net loss widened to $9.5M .
- Customer acquisition cost increased to ~$3,100 per case (from ~$2,900), reflecting a tougher demand backdrop and mix; Adjusted EBITDA margin fell to 8.7% (from 11.0% in 3Q24) on lower revenue .
Financial Results
Core P&L and Profitability (chronological: oldest → newest)
Operating KPIs
Consensus vs Actuals (S&P Global)
Values with asterisk (*) retrieved from S&P Global.
Notes: Company also reported Adjusted Net Loss per share of $(0.04) for Q3 2025 . S&P “Primary EPS” is a normalized measure and aligns with adjusted EPS in this period.
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Importantly, AirSculpt is scaled and trusted — strongly positioned at the intersection of aesthetics and the GLP‑1” .
- “We are experiencing an improvement in our same store sales trends and expect our expense discipline to result in EBITDA margin expansion year over year” .
- “We have repaid nearly $18 million of our debt year to date… Debt repayment continues to be the primary focus of our capital allocation strategy in the near term” .
- On GLP‑1 patients: “We are already starting to see that GLP‑1 users are converting better than non‑GLP‑1 users” .
- CFO transition: Michael Arthur appointed CFO effective Jan 5, 2026; CEO highlighted his public markets and growth experience .
Q&A Highlights
- Cost controls: Majority of savings within SG&A (regional support/vendor spend); mgmt continues to identify opportunities to bridge revenue softness .
- GLP‑1 procedures: Standalone tightening demand exists but candidacy pool narrower than anticipated; hence pilots of skin excision (often under local) to address loose skin beyond tightening; early demand noted even without marketing .
- Demand/timing: Leads and consults remained strong, but consumers hesitant to convert; Q4 same‑store trends better than YTD .
- Unit economics/marketing: CAC ~$3,100 vs ~$2,900 prior‑year quarter; 52% of patients used financing; ARPC $12,587 within historic $12–13K range .
- Non‑cash charges/closures: $4.6M impairment on Salesforce components not used; $2.3M related to London closure; ~+$1.0M accelerated ROU amortization in SG&A (no cash impact) .
Estimates Context
- Q3 2025: Missed S&P Global consensus on revenue and Primary EPS (Revenue $39.8M est vs $35.0M actual; Primary EPS -$0.02 est vs -$0.04 actual)* .
- Forward: S&P Global Q4 2025 consensus implies Revenue ~$34.93M and Primary EPS ~-0.03*, while management expects improving same‑store trends and stronger margins sequentially and YoY in Q4 .
Values with asterisk (*) retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Top‑line softness and conversion hesitancy drove a miss vs consensus and YoY declines (Revenue $35.0M, -17.8% YoY; Cases 2,780, -15.2% YoY), while adjusted margin compressed to 8.7% .
- The GLP‑1 playbook is broadening (tightening + excision), with early signs of higher conversion among GLP‑1 users; this narrative could be a medium‑term growth driver as pilots scale .
- Cost discipline and deleveraging are tangible: >$3M annualized savings YTD and nearly $18M debt repaid YTD; mgmt is prioritizing balance sheet strength .
- Q4 setup: improving same‑store trends and guided YoY EBITDA margin expansion—watch execution on marketing mix, conversion, and procedure ramp .
- One‑time items (Salesforce impairment; London closure) increased GAAP loss but are excluded from Adjusted EBITDA; monitor tech re‑platforming benefits into 2026 .
- Guidance reset: FY25 revenue to ~$153M (from $160–$170M), but adjusted EBITDA maintained at ~$16M low end—implies back‑half margin focus amid lower volume .
- Unit economics: ARPC held within historical range ($12.6K) and financing utilization stable at ~52%; CAC drifted higher, underscoring need for mix/creative optimization .
Appendix: Additional Financial and Liquidity Detail
- Liquidity (9/30/25): Cash $5.4M; $5.0M revolver availability; compliant with covenants .
- Balance sheet (9/30/25): Total liabilities $103.8M; equity $82.1M; long‑term debt (net) $51.9M .
- London center: Q3 revenue $0.4M; adjusted EBITDA -$0.15M; nine‑month revenue $1.4M; adjusted EBITDA -$0.6M .