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AKAMAI TECHNOLOGIES INC (AKAM)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 delivered a clean top- and bottom-line beat: revenue $1.043B (+7% y/y) and non-GAAP EPS $1.73 (+9% y/y), with non-GAAP operating margin at 30%; management raised FY25 revenue and EPS guidance on the back of stronger Security and accelerating Cloud Infrastructure Services (CIS) growth .
- Revenue outperformed S&P Global consensus by ~$22M* and non-GAAP EPS beat by ~$0.20*, aided by higher revenue, lower-than-expected bandwidth costs, a one-time ~$5M gross margin credit, and lower share count from buybacks .
- Segment mix remained favorable: Security $552M (+11% y/y), Cloud computing $171M (+13% y/y), Delivery $320M (-3% y/y) with CIS at $71M (+30% y/y) and projected to accelerate on large, committed deals ramping in 2H25/2026 .
- FY25 guidance raised: revenue to $4.135–$4.205B (from $4.050–$4.200B), non-GAAP EPS to $6.60–$6.80 (from $6.10–$6.40), non-GAAP op margin ~29%; Q3 guide embeds higher colo costs and mix pressure from partner resales (≈+100 bps to cost of revenue combined), partly offset by ongoing demand across Security/CIS .
- Stock reaction catalysts: raised FY guide; clear CIS acceleration narrative; improving Delivery pricing/traffic; near-term gross margin headwinds (colo/QCP mix) acknowledged, but framed as investment to support CIS growth .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Beat-and-raise quarter: Revenue $1.043B (+7% y/y), non-GAAP EPS $1.73 (+9% y/y), non-GAAP op margin 30%; CEO: “outperformance in both revenue and profitability… increasing our guidance for revenue and earnings for the remainder of the year” .
- CIS momentum: CIS revenue $71M (+30% y/y); management expects faster growth through the year as large signed deals begin to recognize revenue; CIS ARR targeted +40–45% y/y by year-end .
- Delivery stabilization: Delivery revenue fell only 3% y/y (better than feared) amid improved traffic growth and a rationalized pricing backdrop; CFO cites healthier video/software download traffic and moderating pricing declines; CEO notes four major pre-pandemic CDN competitors have exited .
What Went Wrong
- GAAP earnings down: GAAP net income $104M (-21% y/y) and GAAP EPS $0.71 (-17% y/y) given higher tax expense and non-cash items; GAAP operating margin stayed at 15% .
- Gross margin headwinds ahead: Q3 cost of revenue expected to increase ~1 pt from higher colocation as new compute capacity comes online; QCP partner resale mix expected to compress gross margin by ~70 bps for the year .
- Compute OCA noise: Other Cloud Applications (OCA) expected flat q/q in 2H and faces a one-time y/y dip in Q3 due to a prior-year $7M deferred revenue release; full-year compute growth could be “a little less” than ~15% CC given deal timing .
Financial Results
Headline Metrics vs Prior Periods and Consensus
*Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Segment Revenue Breakdown
Geography Breakdown
Cash Flow, Capex, and Capital Returns
Guidance Changes
Color on guidance and cadence:
- Q3 cost of revenue expected +~1 pt from new compute capacity; Qualified Compute Partner (QCP) resales to reduce FY gross margin by ~70 bps; Q3 includes U.S. TikTok revenue (~half of the $40–50M annual run-rate) now assumed in H2 .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO (Tom Leighton): “Akamai reported excellent results… we are increasing our guidance for revenue and earnings… investments are paying off — our Cloud Infrastructure Services grew 30% year-over-year — and we expect that rate to accelerate… AI is driving decisions… providing a strong tailwind for Akamai as we help businesses maximize their AI investments by ensuring every AI interaction is intuitive, instant and secure.”
- CIS strategy: “CIS revenue in Q2 was $71M… We’re projecting even faster growth… as we start recognizing revenue from some large deals signed earlier this year.”
- AI security: “AI gateway acts as a smart traffic controller… our new firewall for AI fights prompt abuse and model compromise… bringing our expertise at the edge to the cloud to make AI faster, more secure, and significantly more affordable.”
- Security leadership: “Akamai is the only vendor to be named customer favorite in the new Forrester Wave Zero Trust Platforms… perfect scores in segmentation and control, pricing flexibility, and supporting services.”
- CFO (Ed McGowan): “Non‑GAAP EPS outperformed our guidance range by $0.15… driven by higher than expected revenue, lower bandwidth costs, higher interest income… and lower share count… [and] a one‑time positive benefit of approximately $5M to gross margin.”
Q&A Highlights
- CIS ramp and visibility: Large CIS deals signed include minimum commitments and have staged ramps; ARR growth target of 40–45% is based on Q4 run-rate proxy; revenue timing depends on customer application migrations and capacity build-outs .
- Delivery dynamics: Healthier traffic growth (video/software download) and a less irrational pricing environment; legacy competitor exits aided pricing discipline; aim for mid-single-digit declines near term, with longer-term stability .
- TikTok inclusion: H2 U.S. TikTok revenue now included in guidance (~$40–50M annualized; roughly half in H2 guide); FY raise reflects broad-based strength beyond TikTok .
- Margin outlook: Q3 cost of revenue up ~1 pt from incremental colo for compute capacity; QCP partner resale mix reduces FY gross margin by ~70 bps but helps drive higher-margin CIS revenue; 2H operating margin lower due to increased GTM investments .
- Security momentum: API Security and Zero Trust demand remains strong; combined ARR expected +30–35% in 2025; API Security is a natural upsell into WAF installed base .
Estimates Context
*Consensus values retrieved from S&P Global.
Implications: The magnitude of beats (especially Q2 revenue and EPS) should prompt upward estimate revisions for CIS-related growth and Security momentum; near-term gross margin expectations likely temper modestly given Q3 colo/QCP commentary .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Beat-and-raise confirms pivot toward higher-growth Security and CIS; sustained 30%+ CIS growth with multi-year commitments underpins medium-term mix and margin resilience even as near-term gross margins face colo/QCP headwinds .
- Delivery is improving faster than expected on better traffic and more rational pricing; stabilizing declines reduce a key bear thesis on the legacy CDN segment .
- AI strategy is tangible: AI gateway and Firewall for AI bolster security cross-sell and edge compute use cases, creating a differentiated “secure edge AI” narrative .
- Capital allocation remains supportive: $800M YTD buybacks and lower guided diluted shares (147M for FY EPS) enhance per-share metrics while the $1.725B 2033 converts add low-cost liquidity for growth .
- Near-term trading setup: Strong Q2 beat and raised FY guide are positives; watch Q3 gross margin cadence (colo/QCP) and timing of CIS revenue ramps—execution on large deals is the swing factor for H2 .
- Medium-term thesis: Security/API/Zero Trust ARR growth of 30–35% and CIS ARR 40–45% suggest durable double-digit growth engines as Delivery stabilizes, supporting sustained ~29–30% non-GAAP operating margins over cycle .
Supporting Citations
- Q2’25 results and financials:
- Q1’25 and Q4’24 context:
- Guidance and qualitative drivers:
- Product/AI announcements: