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Akili, Inc. (AKLI)·Q1 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 2024 revenue fell 49% QoQ to $0.383M as Akili sharply reduced EndeavorOTC advertising; gross margin compressed to ~55% from 66% in Q4 on fixed-cost deleverage .
  • GAAP net loss improved to $9.763M (vs. $11.147M in Q4) and non-GAAP net loss to $9.349M (vs. $10.772M in Q4), reflecting lower operating expenses; GAAP OpEx was $11.075M vs. $12.120M in Q4 .
  • Company fully prepaid ~$8.3M SVB debt on May 8, 2024 and Shionogi canceled a $5.0M bond; Akili now has no outstanding debt obligations, adding balance sheet flexibility and lowering future interest expense .
  • Board initiated a strategic alternatives process and suspended financial guidance; the Company will not host earnings calls (including for Q1 2024), shifting focus to Shionogi support and existing customers—key catalysts are debt elimination, Shionogi cash inflows, and strategic review outcomes .
  • Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) was unavailable for AKLI Q1 2024; estimate comparisons cannot be made at this time [GetEstimates error].

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Eliminated debt obligations: Voluntary full prepayment of SVB facility (~$8.3M) and cancellation/forgiveness of Shionogi corporate bond; reduces interest expense and improves optionality .
  • Operating discipline: GAAP OpEx down QoQ to $11.1M (from $12.1M) and non-GAAP OpEx to $9.8M (from $11.6M) as advertising and headcount were cut .
  • Strategic cash from partner: Amended Shionogi agreement delivers $10.5M upfront plus up to $4.5M services fees (≥$1.5M upfront) and up to $3.0M regulatory milestones; supports near-term liquidity and focus on partner execution .
    • “We are working expeditiously with our board of directors and our external advisors and look forward to providing an update on this process in the future when appropriate,” — Matt Franklin, CEO .

What Went Wrong

  • Revenue decline and margin compression: Revenue down to $0.383M from $0.749M in Q4; gross margin ~55% vs. 66% prior, primarily due to lower product revenue against fixed delivery costs .
  • Commercial pullback: Company will no longer report EndeavorOTC commercial metrics and substantially reduced promotion, likely pressuring future growth; suspended guidance creates uncertainty .
  • No earnings call and strategic review risks: No Q1 call; Board warns strategic transaction may not be consummated and liquidation is a possible outcome if none is completed .

Financial Results

MetricQ3 2023Q4 2023Q1 2024
Revenue ($USD Millions)$0.702 $0.749 $0.383
GAAP Net Loss ($USD Millions)$(15.876) $(11.147) $(9.763)
Non-GAAP Net Loss ($USD Millions)$(13.888) $(10.772) $(9.349)
Gross Margin %~60% 66% ~55%
GAAP Total Operating Expenses ($USD Millions)$18.848 $12.120 $11.075
Non-GAAP Total Operating Expenses ($USD Millions)$14.732 $11.564 $9.773
EPS (Basic & Diluted, $)n/an/a$(0.12)
Consensus Revenue (S&P Global)n/an/an/a
Consensus EPS (S&P Global)n/an/an/a

Notes: Wall Street consensus from S&P Global was unavailable for AKLI Q1 2024; estimate comparisons are not provided [GetEstimates error].

Product Breakdown (where disclosed)

Product Revenue ($USD Thousands)Q3 2023Q4 2023Q1 2024
EndeavorOTC$553 $596 $254
EndeavorRxn/an/a$129
Total$702 $749 $383

KPIs (historical disclosure; Q1 2024 no longer reported)

KPIQ3 2023Q4 2023Q1 2024
First-time app downloads (OTC)176,559 139,499 Not reported
Active subscribers (OTC)7,535 11,571 Not reported
ARPU (OTC, $)$93 $88 Not reported

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Non-GAAP Total Operating ExpensesFY 2024$38–$43M (updated Feb 29, 2024) No guidance (suspended) Suspended
Gross Margins (non-prescription model)Late 202560–70% No guidance (suspended) Suspended
Cash RunwayPrior viewSufficient into 2H 2025 Management believes cash is sufficient for at least one year after May 14, 2024 10-Q/press release date Updated framing
Earnings CallsOngoingHistorically hosted (e.g., Q3 2023) Will not host earnings calls for Q1 2024 Suspended
Debt/Capital StructureN/ASVB loan outstanding at Q1-end Debt fully repaid May 8, 2024; Shionogi bond canceled Improved balance sheet

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

Note: No Q1 2024 earnings call was held . Themes tracked across disclosures.

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q3 2023 and Q4 2023)Current Period (Q1 2024)Trend
Strategic AlternativesNot highlighted; focus on OTC transition Board initiated strategic review; potential transactions, no assurance; guidance suspended New risk focus; heightened uncertainty
Shionogi PartnershipPhase 3 positive; Japan submission planned; OTC label expansion efforts Amended agreement: $10.5M upfront, fees/milestones; Akili to support regulatory/commercialization Strengthened near-term cash; execution focus
Commercial Model/PromotionDTC momentum; KPIs reported; in-house Rx distribution Substantial reduction in promotional activity; cease reporting OTC KPIs Pullback; lower growth visibility
Gross Margin~60% (Q3), 66% (Q4); long-term 60–70% target ~55% (Q1) on revenue decline vs fixed costs Down near term
Debt/Capital StructureSVB loan outstanding Full prepayment May 8; Shionogi bond canceled; no debt obligations Balance sheet de-risking
Regulatory (EndeavorOTC)510(k) submission Oct 30, 2023; continued enforcement discretion Continue pursuing FDA authorization; OTC distribution continues under enforcement discretion Status quo; de-emphasis on promotion

Management Commentary

  • “We are working expeditiously with our board of directors and our external advisors and look forward to providing an update on this process in the future when appropriate.” — Matt Franklin, President & CEO (Q1 press release) .
  • “Our mid-year shift to a leaner, customer-centric model has yielded strong initial results, with revenue growth and gross margin improvement in 2023, that we believe will strengthen our ability to achieve profitability over time.” — Matt Franklin (Q4/FY press release) .
  • “We anticipate that these business model changes combined with our new direct-to-consumer marketing efforts will accelerate the path to profitability.” — Matt Franklin (Q3 press release; prior strategy) .

Q&A Highlights

  • No Q1 2024 earnings call was hosted; thus, no Q&A highlights or guidance clarifications were provided .

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global Wall Street consensus for AKLI Q1 2024 EPS and revenue was unavailable; result vs estimate comparisons cannot be provided at this time [GetEstimates error].
  • Directionally, revenue and gross margin came in below Q4 due to reduced EndeavorOTC advertising and fixed-cost deleverage; analysts may reassess topline trajectory and near-term margin assumptions given the suspension of promotion and guidance .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Balance sheet de-risked: SVB debt fully repaid and Shionogi bond canceled; expect lower interest expense and improved flexibility for strategic actions .
  • Near-term revenue/margin pressure: Revenue fell to $0.383M and gross margin to ~55% on lower advertising and fixed costs; likely continued softness while promotion remains subdued .
  • Operating cost reductions: GAAP and non-GAAP OpEx improved QoQ; continued expense control supports cash runway claims for at least one year from the filing date .
  • Shionogi cash inflows and execution: $10.5M upfront plus additional fees/milestones provide liquidity; focus shifts to partner support and regulatory milestones in Japan .
  • Heightened strategic optionality and risk: Guidance suspended; strategic alternatives under review, with explicit disclosure that outcomes could include a transaction or potential dissolution if none occurs .
  • Data visibility reduction: Company will no longer report EndeavorOTC commercial metrics and did not host the Q1 call, lowering real-time transparency for KPIs and growth pacing .
  • Trading implications: Stock likely reacts to balance sheet clean-up, cash inflows from Shionogi, and any strategic review updates; absent guidance/KPIs, narrative will be driven by regulatory progress and transaction headlines .