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Allakos Inc. (ALLK)·Q3 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 2024 narrowed losses as operating expenses fell materially following the January restructuring; net loss was $18.4M and diluted EPS was -$0.21, with cash, cash equivalents and investments at $92.7M .
  • R&D progress: SC AK006 showed ~77% bioavailability, 12–22 day half-life, and 98% Siglec-6 receptor occupancy at day 113; CSU Phase 1 patient enrollment completed with topline data expected in early Q1 2025 .
  • Guidance maintained: year-end 2024 cash guided to $81–$86M and runway into mid-2026; ~$18M was paid in Q3 to exit the lirentelimab program, consistent with prior restructuring plan .
  • Earnings-call transcript was not located; however, external sources report the quarter’s EPS beat consensus estimates (S&P Global data unavailable through our tool) .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • SC AK006 PK/PD strength: “Bioavailability of subcutaneous AK006 was approximately 77%” and “estimated half-life of 12–22 days,” with 98% receptor occupancy at day 113 implying infrequent dosing potential .
  • Operational execution: completed enrollment of >30 CSU patients in the randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled IV AK006 Phase 1 cohort; data expected early Q1 2025 .
  • Cost discipline: R&D fell to $10.9M from $36.7M YoY; G&A decreased to $8.9M from $11.5M YoY, driven by lower compensation and contract R&D as lirentelimab was exited .

What Went Wrong

  • Cash burn remained elevated: cash decreased $30.4M in Q3, with ~$18M tied to lirentelimab closeout payments during the quarter .
  • Continued losses: net loss was $18.4M, reflecting no revenue and ongoing development spending; interest income fell with lower investment balances .
  • Asset impairment earlier in the year: Q1 recognized a non‑cash $27.3M impairment related to leasehold and right‑of‑use assets post program halt, highlighting balance-sheet pressure from restructuring .

Financial Results

Metric ($USD Thousands)Q1 2024Q2 2024Q3 2024
Research & Development$34,824 $19,422 $10,874
General & Administrative$10,898 $9,211 $8,876
Impairment of Long‑Lived Assets$27,347
Total Operating Expenses$73,069 $28,633 $19,750
Interest Income$1,995 $1,959 $1,392
Net Loss$(71,146) $(26,676) $(18,372)
Diluted EPS$(0.81) $(0.30) $(0.21)
Weighted Avg Shares88,042 88,644 89,024
Q3 YoY Comparison ($USD Thousands)Q3 2023Q3 2024
Research & Development$36,749 $10,874
General & Administrative$11,461 $8,876
Interest Income$2,590 $1,392
Net Loss$(45,626) $(18,372)
Diluted EPS$(0.52) $(0.21)
KPIsQ1 2024Q2 2024Q3 2024
Cash, Cash Equivalents & Investments$139.3M $123.1M $92.7M
Net Decrease in Cash & Investments (Quarter)$(31.5)M $(16.2)M $(30.4)M
Cash & Equivalents (Balance Sheet)$43,060 $26,496 $10,449

Notes: Company operates in a single reportable segment . No revenue generation expected over the near term .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Year‑end Cash, Cash Equivalents & InvestmentsFY 2024$81–$86M (reiterated in Q1/Q2) $81–$86M (reiterated in Q3) Maintained
Cash RunwayMulti‑yearInto mid‑2026 (reiterated Q1/Q2) Into mid‑2026 (reiterated Q3) Maintained
Lirentelimab Exit PaymentsFY 2024~$30M total; ~$12M paid in Q1; majority of remaining ~$18M expected in Q2–Q3 ~$18M paid in Q3 for exit activities Executed as planned

No revenue/margin/OpEx quarterly guidance was issued beyond restructuring cost commentary and cash runway reaffirmation .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

Earnings-call transcript for Q3 2024 was not available via our tools; themes below derive from press releases and the Q3 10‑Q.

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 & Q2)Current Period (Q3)Trend
AK006 IV PK/PD (healthy volunteers)Reported high receptor occupancy and favorable safety (Q1) Reaffirmed PK/PD fundamentals; extended to SC formulation Stable/increasing confidence
AK006 SC formulationPlanned readout in Q3 (Q1/Q2) Reported ~77% bioavailability; 12–22 day half‑life; strong receptor occupancy Positive milestone achieved
CSU Phase 1 (IV)Initiated; topline by year‑end 2024 (Q1/Q2) Enrollment >30 patients completed; topline in early Q1 2025 Slight timing shift; execution progressing
Restructuring & Program ExitHalted lirentelimab; impairment recognized; payments planned (Q1) ~$18M exit payments made in Q3; exit substantially complete Plan executed
Cash RunwayInto mid‑2026 (Q1/Q2) Runway reaffirmed; YE cash guide maintained Maintained
Nasdaq Listing RiskNot mentioned in Q1/Q2Compliance regained in Nov. 2024 after minimum bid deficiency notice Risk addressed

Management Commentary

  • Strategic focus on AK006: “Report randomized double-blind, placebo-controlled data on over 30 patients from the Phase 1 trial of AK006 in patients with CSU in early Q1 of 2025.”
  • SC formulation potential: “Bioavailability of subcutaneous AK006 was approximately 77%… estimated half-life of 12–22 days… The 720 mg dose of AK006 showed 98% receptor occupancy at day 113 suggesting the potential for infrequent dosing.”
  • Capital discipline: “The Company reiterates that it expects the restructuring activities will extend the cash runway into mid-2026 and to end 2024 with total cash… in its previously stated $81 to $86 million guidance range.”

Q&A Highlights

  • The Q3 2024 earnings call transcript was not available via our document tools; no Q&A highlights could be verified from primary sources. We relied on the 8‑K press release and 10‑Q for narrative and data -.

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global consensus data was unavailable through our tool for ALLK (CIQ mapping missing).
  • External sources indicate Q3 EPS beat: Public.com shows estimated EPS of -$0.25 vs actual -$0.21 (beat), and MarketBeat shows consensus -$0.22 vs actual -$0.21 (beat) .
  • Given S&P Global data unavailability, we do not anchor tables to non‑S&P estimates; however, directional takeaway is that the quarter’s EPS was better than external consensus sources .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • AK006 execution de‑risks the program near‑term: SC formulation PK/PD and receptor occupancy support potential infrequent dosing; CSU topline data early Q1 2025 is the next catalyst .
  • Cash runway and YE cash guidance reaffirmed despite elevated Q3 cash outflows tied to program exit, lowering financing risk into mid‑2026 if timelines hold .
  • Operating expense reductions are flowing through the P&L; YoY net loss improved as R&D and G&A normalized post‑restructuring .
  • Balance sheet pressures earlier in the year (Q1 impairment) now largely behind; continued monitoring of cash burn versus milestones remains critical .
  • Listing-compliance risk improved after regaining minimum bid compliance in November 2024; equity optionality remains, but market conditions will influence capital access .
  • Trading implications: near-term stock moves likely hinge on CSU Phase 1 data quality and any clarity on Phase 2 design/timing for SC AK006; reaffirmed cash guide reduces downside from financing overhang -.
  • Medium-term thesis: if CSU data validates dual IgE/IgE‑independent mast cell inhibition, AK006 could broaden beyond antihistamine‑refractory populations, supporting pipeline value creation -.