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AP

ALNYLAM PHARMACEUTICALS, INC. (ALNY)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q2 2025 delivered a decisive beat: Total revenues of $0.774B and total net product revenues of $0.672B, +17% and +64% YoY, respectively; revenue beat S&P Global consensus by ~$0.111B, and Primary EPS (S&P definition) was $0.32 vs -$0.70 consensus, a major upside surprise . S&P Global values marked with *; Values retrieved from S&P Global.
  • TTR franchise inflected with AMVUTTRA’s ATTR-CM launch: TTR product revenue $0.544B (+77% YoY), ~1,400 ATTR-CM patients on therapy by quarter-end; U.S. access was broad and mostly first-line with minimal step-edit incidence, underpinning raised FY guidance .
  • FY 2025 guidance increased materially: Total net product revenues raised to $2.650–$2.800B (midpoint +27%); TTR franchise raised to $2.175–$2.275B (midpoint +34% vs prior guide) .
  • Margin headwinds reflect higher AMVUTTRA royalties; CFO expects product gross margin to trend lower in 2H25 as royalty rates step up, partly offset by strong volume and durable demand signals .
  • Pipeline/strategic catalysts: Fast Track for nucresiran in ATTR-CM, international approvals for AMVUTTRA in ATTR-CM, and decision to initiate a global Phase III CV outcomes trial for zilebesiran with Roche by year-end .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • TTR launch momentum: $0.544B TTR net product revenue (+77% YoY), including AMVUTTRA $0.492B; ~1,400 ATTR-CM patients on therapy by June 30 with faster-than-anticipated payer and provider access . “Access ramped faster than expected… coverage is now confirmed… majority of patients have first-line access” — Tolga Tanguler .
  • Guidance raised on strength of CM: Total net product revenue guidance lifted to $2.650–$2.800B; TTR to $2.175–$2.275B; management emphasized confidence in sustainable growth trajectory and international contributions in 2H25 .
  • Regulatory/clinical progress: AMVUTTRA approved for ATTR-CM in EU, UK, Brazil, Japan; nucresiran TRITON‑CM Phase 3 initiated; FDA Fast Track for nucresiran; HELIOS‑B 42‑month data reinforced ACM and CV mortality reductions, supporting first‑line positioning .

What Went Wrong

  • Collaboration revenues fell sharply (-73% YoY) due to a $185M Regeneron one-time recognition in Q2’24; non-GAAP operating income declined to $95M vs $138M prior year .
  • Margins compressed: Product gross margin 79% vs 84% prior year; CFO guided to further GM pressure in 2H25 given higher AMVUTTRA royalties .
  • GAAP loss widened: Net loss of -$66.3M (EPS -$0.51) vs -$16.9M (EPS -$0.13) in Q2’24; higher SG&A from AMVUTTRA launch and increased R&D from Phase 3 startups contributed to higher operating costs .

Financial Results

MetricQ2 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Total Revenues ($USD Billions)$0.660 $0.594 $0.774
Net Product Revenues ($USD Billions)$0.410 $0.469 $0.672
Net Revenues from Collaborations ($USD Billions)$0.227 $0.099 $0.061
Royalty Revenue ($USD Billions)$0.022 $0.026 $0.040
GAAP Net Income ($USD Billions)-$0.017 -$0.057 -$0.066
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)-$0.13 -$0.44 -$0.51
Non-GAAP Operating Income ($USD Millions)$137.9 $74.8 $95.5
Total Operating Expenses ($USD Billions)$0.611 $0.576 $0.790
Gross Profit Margin %89.59%*88.04%*81.52%*
EBITDA ($USD Millions)$63.6*$32.5*-$2.3*
EBITDA Margin %9.64%*5.47%*-0.29%*
Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.

Segment/Product Revenue Breakdown

MetricQ2 2024Q2 2025
AMVUTTRA Net Product Revenues ($USD Millions)$230.1 $492.0
ONPATTRO Net Product Revenues ($USD Millions)$77.2 $52.5
Total TTR Net Product Revenues ($USD Millions)$307.4 $544.5
GIVLAARI Net Product Revenues ($USD Millions)$62.1 $80.8
OXLUMO Net Product Revenues ($USD Millions)$40.6 $46.9
Total Rare Net Product Revenues ($USD Millions)$102.7 $127.7
Total Net Product Revenues ($USD Millions)$410.1 $672.2

KPIs

KPIQ2 2025Context
ATTR-CM Patients on AMVUTTRA (approx.)~1,400 First full quarter post-approval
U.S. TTR Franchise QoQ Growth~$170M increase Driven primarily by CM demand
Estimated U.S. CM Revenue Contribution~$150M Based on demand in Q2
Distributor Days on Hand~20 days (steady QoQ) ~$25M inventory benefit QoQ
Prescriber Base Growth~3x QoQ Broad adoption across cardio & multidisciplinary
First-line Access Across PayersMajority first-line, minimal step edits (single digits) Medicare FFS/MA and commercial

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Total TTR Net Product Revenues (AMVUTTRA, ONPATTRO)FY 2025$1,600M–$1,725M $2,175M–$2,275M Raised
Total Rare Net Product Revenues (GIVLAARI, OXLUMO)FY 2025$450M–$525M $475M–$525M Raised (low end)
Total Net Product RevenuesFY 2025$2,050M–$2,250M $2,650M–$2,800M Raised
Net Product Rev Growth vs 2024 (current FX)FY 202525%–37% 61%–70% Raised
Net Product Rev Growth vs 2024 (CER)FY 202526%–39% 59%–68% Raised
Net Revenues from Collaborations & RoyaltiesFY 2025$650M–$750M Reiterated Maintained
GAAP R&D and SG&AFY 2025$2,370M–$2,530M $2,445M–$2,575M Raised (reflects higher SBC)
Non-GAAP R&D and SG&AFY 2025$2,100M–$2,200M Reiterated Maintained
Non-GAAP Operating IncomeFY 2025Achieve profitability Reiterated Maintained

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4 2024 and Q1 2025)Current Period (Q2 2025)Trend
U.S. AMVUTTRA ATTR-CM launch/accesssNDA accepted (Q4); launch underway with strong early indicators (Q1) Majority first-line coverage across payers; minimal step edits; broad provider setup Accelerating access/coverage
Pricing/Gross-to-NetNot detailed (Q4); launch expectations (Q1) Net price expected down mid-single-digits YoY; Part D rebate headwind; modestly higher 340B Manageable GTN headwinds
Inventory/channelNot highlighted (Q4/Q1)~$25M inventory benefit QoQ; ~20 days on hand steady Demand-driven stocking
First-line vs progressorsEarly CM growth anticipated (Q1) Balanced utilization across first-line and stabilizer-progressors; prescriber base tripled Broadening mix
International launchesApprovals anticipated (Q1) Approved/launching in EU, UK, Japan, Brazil 2H25 contribution expected
TTR pipelinePlan for nucresiran Phase 3 (Q4/Q1) TRITON‑CM initiated; Fast Track for nucresiran Advancing
Hypertension pipeline (zilebesiran)KARDIA-3 data pending; CVOT planning (Q1) Phase III CVOT decision announced; ZENITH planned near year-end Moving to outcomes

Management Commentary

  • “We are raising our total net product revenue guidance range by 27% at the midpoint, driven by an upward revision to our TTR franchise revenue guidance.” — Yvonne Greenstreet, CEO .
  • “Coverage is now confirmed… the large majority of patients have access to AMVUTTRA as a first-line treatment… Most patients are paying zero out-of-pocket.” — Tolga Tanguler, CCO .
  • “Gross margin on product sales was 79%… decrease driven by increased royalties on AMVUTTRA… expected to decrease as royalty rates increase.” — Jeff Poulton, CFO .
  • “FDA has granted Fast Track Designation to nucresiran for ATTR-CM; TRITON-CM Phase 3 is underway.” — Management .

Q&A Highlights

  • Pricing and GTN: Net price reduction for AMVUTTRA expected mid-single‑digits YoY; Part D rebate headwind; modestly higher 340B utilization .
  • Demand and inventory: ~$150M CM revenue contribution in Q2; ~20 days on hand steady; ~$25M inventory benefit QoQ, offset by GTN headwinds .
  • First-line vs progressors: Early stabilizer‑progressor uptake shifted to balanced mix with robust first-line new starts; prescriber base tripled QoQ .
  • Payer dynamics: First-line coverage across most plans; step edits present in single digits, manageable with patient support systems .
  • Combination use: Small portion of patients on combination therapy; may rise as tafamidis goes generic; currently limited .

Estimates Context

MetricConsensus (S&P Global)ActualBeat/Miss
Revenue (Q2 2025)$662.5M*$773.7M Bold beat: +$111.2M
Primary EPS (Q2 2025)-$0.70*$0.32*Bold beat: +$1.02
FY 2025 Revenue$3,729.2M*Company guidance $2,650–$2,800B (net product); collab+royalty reiterated Guidance implies higher product sales trajectory; consensus includes total revenue mix
Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.

Implications: Expect upward revisions to revenue and EPS models driven by faster U.S. CM uptake, international launches, and higher FY product guidance; margin assumptions should reflect rising AMVUTTRA royalties and GTN dynamics .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • AMVUTTRA’s ATTR‑CM launch is the core driver: U.S. demand is strong, access broadly first‑line, and the franchise added ~$150M CM revenue in Q2; guidance magnitude suggests >$600M CM contribution in 2H if momentum persists .
  • FY guidance reset is material and credible: TTR midpoints +$550M and total product +$575M, with international CM launches beginning in 3Q; monitors should track payer policy stability and first‑line prescriber adoption .
  • Margin modeling needs updating: Product GM guided lower on higher royalties; incorporate net price moderation and Medicare Part D rebates into GTN and margin scenarios .
  • Collaboration revenue volatility continues: YoY decline reflects non‑recurring 2024 items; focus on recurring product revenue and royalty streams (e.g., fitusiran/Leqvio) .
  • Pipeline value accretion: Fast Track for nucresiran and ZENITH CVOT initiation for zilebesiran are medium‑term catalysts that can broaden Alnylam’s cardiometabolic footprint .
  • Risk checks: Watch potential changes in payer step edits (currently minimal), GTN headwinds, and inventory normalization; validate sustainability of first‑line patient starts trajectory .
  • Trading setup: The combination of a large revenue/EPS beat, a significant FY guidance raise, and tangible pipeline milestones supports positive estimate revisions and a constructive near‑term narrative.