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AMBARELLA INC (AMBA)·Q1 2026 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 FY26 revenue of $85.9M, up 57.6% YoY and above S&P Global consensus; non-GAAP EPS of $0.07 beat Street, while GAAP EPS was a loss of $0.58 . Actuals vs estimates: revenue $85.9M vs $84.0M consensus; EPS $0.07 vs $0.038 consensus (12 estimates)*. The beat was driven by continued strength in edge AI and favorable product mix .
  • Non-GAAP gross margin was 62.0% (slightly down YoY) and Q2 FY26 guidance: revenue $86–$94M, non-GAAP GM 60.5–62.0%, OpEx $52.5–$55.5M .
  • Management increased FY26 revenue growth guidance to 19–25% in Q1 (approx. $348M midpoint) and subsequently to 31–35% in Q2 (approx. $379M midpoint), citing strong edge AI breadth across IoT, drones, and emerging edge infrastructure .
  • Edge AI revenue represented >75% of Q1 revenue (record fourth consecutive quarter), with IoT up mid-single digits sequentially and automotive down low-single digits; ASPs are rising as higher-value 5nm products ramp .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Record edge AI momentum: “fourth consecutive quarter of record AI revenue” and results in the upper half of guidance; FY26 growth guide raised to 19–25% in Q1 and later to 31–35% in Q2 .
  • Mix/ASPs: Non-GAAP GM 62% slightly above midpoint on favorable product mix; ASP increases from CV5/CV7 families contributed to growth .
  • Cash and liquidity: Cash and marketable securities rose to $259.4M in Q1; operating cash inflow was $14.8M; free cash flow $10.2M .

What Went Wrong

  • GAAP profitability: GAAP net loss of $24.3M (–$0.58 diluted EPS); non-GAAP GM and margins still mixed as higher OpEx for new product development continues .
  • GM pressure: Non-GAAP gross margin declined YoY (62.0% vs 63.4% prior-year), reflecting product/customer mix normalization as advanced products scale .
  • Macro/tariff uncertainty and auto softness: Auto declined low-single digits sequentially; management maintained conservatism for H2 amid geopolitical/tariff uncertainties and potential indirect impacts on customer supply chains .

Financial Results

MetricQ3 2025Q4 2025Q1 2026
Revenue ($USD Millions)$82.7 $84.0 $85.9
GAAP Gross Margin (%)60.6% 60.0% 60.0%
Non-GAAP Gross Margin (%)62.6% 62.0% 62.0%
GAAP Operating Income ($USD Millions)$(25.5) $(25.4) $(25.9)
GAAP Net Income ($USD Millions)$(24.1) $(20.2) $(24.3)
GAAP Diluted EPS ($USD)$(0.58) $(0.48) $(0.58)
Non-GAAP Diluted EPS ($USD)$0.11 $0.11 $0.07

Estimates comparison (S&P Global):

MetricQ4 2025 ActualQ4 2025 Consensus*Q1 2026 ActualQ1 2026 Consensus*
Revenue ($USD Millions)$84.0 $78.0 (11 ests)*$85.9 $84.0 (11 ests)*
Primary EPS ($USD)$0.11 $(0.0199) (10 ests)*$0.07 $0.038 (12 ests)*

Segment/End-market mix (qualitative):

SegmentQ3 2025Q4 2025Q1 2026
IoTLed growth; edge AI record ~70% of rev IoT mid-single-digit sequential increase IoT mid-single-digit sequential increase; ~75% of rev
AutomotiveSequential decline Sequential decline low-single-digit Down low-single digits sequentially; up >20% YoY

KPIs:

KPIQ3 2025Q4 2025Q1 2026
Cash & Marketable Securities ($USD Millions)$226.5 $250.3 $259.4
Operating Cash Flow ($USD Millions)N/A$25.4 $14.8
Free Cash Flow ($USD Millions)N/A$21.2 $10.2
DSO (Days)N/A33 31
Inventory DaysN/A97 98
Customer concentration (WT Microelectronics)N/A60.9% 63.1%
Share RepurchasesN/AN/A24,152 shares; ~$1.0M; program extended to June 30, 2026; $48M remaining

Note: Items marked with an asterisk (*) are values retrieved from S&P Global.

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Revenue Growth (FY26)FY26Mid–high teens; ~$327–$339M (Feb call) 19–25%; ~$348M midpoint (May Q1 PR) Raised
Revenue Growth (FY26)FY2619–25% (May) 31–35%; ~$379M midpoint (Aug Q2 PR) Raised
RevenueQ2 FY26N/A$86–$94M Initiated
Non-GAAP Gross MarginQ2 FY26N/A60.5–62.0% Initiated
Non-GAAP OpExQ2 FY26N/A$52.5–$55.5M Initiated
RevenueQ3 FY26N/A$100–$108M Initiated
Non-GAAP Gross MarginQ3 FY26N/A60.0–61.5% Initiated
Non-GAAP OpExQ3 FY26N/A$54.0–$57.0M Initiated

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q-2: Q3 FY25)Previous Mentions (Q-1: Q4 FY25)Current Period (Q1 FY26)Trend
Edge AI penetration/ASPEdge AI ~70% of rev; momentum; positive FCF CV5/CV7 ramp; ASP rising; 16th year FCF Record AI revenue; >75% of rev; ASP increases Improving
Supply chain/tariff/macroConservatism due to tariffs; geography sensitivity Conservatism for H2; customers evaluating supply chains Customers not building inventory; uncertainty persists Cautious
Product performance (CV5/CV7/N1)CV5/7 momentum; edge demos DeepSeek/VLM on CV7/N1; 2nm roadmap GenAI demos across 0.5–34B params; edge infrastructure roadmap Expanding
Automotive ADASPositive but cost-sensitive (L2+) Auto down sequentially; ADAS price sensitivity Auto down seq; >20% YoY growth; bidding continues Mixed
Edge infrastructureN1 family initial; SAM discussion Emphasis on near-edge; efficiency vs GPUs/FPGAs New SoC development; first design win emerging Emerging
R&D execution/OpExControlled OpEx; timing across quarters New chip development costs to rise Q1 OpEx slightly above midpoint; new AI SoC spend Investment up

Management Commentary

  • “As the established edge AI market leader, we achieved our fourth consecutive quarter of record AI revenue... We are increasing our fiscal 2026 revenue growth guidance to 19% to 25%... approximately $348 million at the mid-point” .
  • “Our SAM is comprised of more than 20 different automotive and IoT HAI applications… reaching almost $13 billion in fiscal 2031… we are developing a new AI SoC… extending our reach into the edge AI infrastructure market” .
  • “Non-GAAP gross margin for fiscal Q1 was 62%, slightly above the midpoint… due to a favorable product mix… We reported a non-GAAP net profit of $3 million or $0.07” .

Q&A Highlights

  • H2 growth profile and seasonality: Management sees normal seasonality at upper half of guidance but retains conservatism due to geopolitics; October likely up seasonally; Q4 typically down sequentially .
  • Edge infrastructure clarification: Near-edge use cases aggregating endpoints; advantages vs GPUs/FPGAs in performance per watt and TCO; first design win on N1 family .
  • IoT vs Auto focus: IoT outpacing Auto near term due to shorter cycles; Auto expected to outperform post major OEM domain controller wins (CV3) around 2027–2028 .
  • 2nm roadmap: Test chips evaluated; tape-out late 2025, silicon early 2026, with customer production targeted end of 2026 .
  • Inventory/tariff checks: Regular reviews with customers and distributor show no abnormal builds; ongoing monitoring mechanisms in place .

Estimates Context

  • Q1 FY26: Revenue beat (actual $85.9M vs $84.0M consensus; 11 estimates); EPS beat (actual $0.07 vs $0.038 consensus; 12 estimates). Drivers: favorable mix, strong edge AI demand, rising ASP from 5nm CV5/CV7 .
  • Q4 FY25: Revenue beat ($84.0M vs $78.0M consensus; 11 estimates); EPS beat ($0.11 vs $(0.0199) consensus; 10 estimates).
  • Implications: Street likely to revise FY26 revenue higher given Q2 raise to 31–35% growth and Q3 guide to $100–$108M; margins remain a watch-point as product/customer mix drives variability .
    Note: Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Edge AI leadership and breadth are driving both unit growth and ASP expansion; the narrative has shifted beyond security cameras to portable video, drones, and edge infrastructure—supportive of multi-quarter revenue momentum .
  • Guidance progression is a tangible catalyst: FY26 revenue growth raised twice (19–25% in May; 31–35% in August). Monitor Q3 results vs $100–$108M target and continued breadth in IoT and auto ramp .
  • Profitability inflection remains non-GAAP-led; GAAP losses persist due to investment pace. Watch non-GAAP gross margin ranges (60.5–62.0% Q2; 60.0–61.5% Q3) for signs of mix stabilization .
  • Macro/tariff risks are the primary overhang; management sees no abnormal inventory builds, but H2 conservatism remains prudent. Portfolio exposure is diversified geographically and across verticals .
  • Customer concentration risk: WT Microelectronics at 63.1% revenue in Q1; beneficial for fulfillment but introduces concentration sensitivity—consider in risk budgeting .
  • R&D/product roadmap (CV5/CV7/N1; 2nm) is a strategic asset supporting new verticals and edge infrastructure; near-edge wins could boost ASPs and margin leverage over time .
  • Tactical: Near-term trades can lean into Q3 guide execution and breadth of IoT demand; medium-term thesis hinges on automotive domain controller wins driving step-up in Auto growth around 2027–2028 .

Sources:

  • Q1 FY26 8-K and press release: revenue, margins, EPS, guidance, cash balance, repurchases .
  • Q1 FY26 call: mix, ASPs, segment performance, cash flow metrics, customer concentration; macro/tariffs commentary .
  • Q4 FY25 8-K/call/press release: prior trends, guides, margin and cash metrics .
  • Q3 FY25 8-K press release: revenue, margins, non-GAAP EPS .
  • ISC West GenAI press release: edge GenAI demos, model support breadth .
  • Q2 FY26 8-K/call: FY26 growth raised to 31–35%, Q3 guide $100–$108M; margin/OpEx guidance .

Note: S&P Global consensus values marked with an asterisk (*) and the statement “Values retrieved from S&P Global.”