Sign in

You're signed outSign in or to get full access.

AI

AMBARELLA INC (AMBA)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 FY2026 (quarter ended Oct 31, 2025) results and the earnings call have not yet been released; Ambarella scheduled its Q3 FY2026 earnings call for Nov 25, 2025, with the press release to be issued after market close that day .
  • Management guided Q3 FY2026 revenue to $100.0–$108.0M, non-GAAP gross margin to 60.0%–61.5%, and non-GAAP OpEx to $54.0–$57.0M; FY2026 revenue growth outlook was raised to 31%–35% (~$379M midpoint), signaling potential record quarterly and annual revenue .
  • Q2 FY2026 delivered strong execution: revenue $95.5M (+11% q/q, +49.9% y/y), non-GAAP EPS $0.15, non-GAAP GM 60.5%; cash and marketable securities reached $261.2M, with clean working capital metrics (DSO 40 days, inventory days 85) .
  • Strategic drivers: expanding breadth of edge AI applications (portable video, robotic aerial drones, emerging edge infrastructure) and higher-ASP 5nm AI SoCs; management highlighted cumulative shipments of >36M edge AI processors and expects first drone production shipments by FY2026-end and first edge infrastructure production in FY2027 .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Record trajectory and guidance raise: Q2 FY2026 revenue $95.5M beat the prior range and Q3/FY2026 guidance implies all-time record revenue at midpoints; FY2026 growth outlook raised to 31%–35% (~$379M midpoint) .
  • Edge AI breadth and ASP uplift: Multiple portable video and robotics wins, plus first edge infrastructure win; strong demand for higher-priced 5nm AI SoCs driving firm-wide ASP higher .
  • Non-GAAP profitability improvement: Q2 FY2026 non-GAAP net profit $6.4M ($0.15 EPS) vs. prior-year loss; non-GAAP gross margin at 60.5% despite mix, and operating cash flow positive with cash/marketable securities at $261.2M .

What Went Wrong

  • GAAP losses persist: Q2 FY2026 GAAP net loss of $20.0M (-$0.47 per diluted share) despite topline strength, reflecting ongoing stock-based comp and development investments .
  • Margin pressure from product mix: Q2 non-GAAP gross margin of 60.5% landed at the low end of guidance due to mix; Q3 non-GAAP GM guidance remains 60.0%–61.5% .
  • Automotive timing still extended: Management noted slower OEM decisions, software readiness, and longer revenue ramps; near-term growth skewed to IoT while auto outperformance is more likely post-2027 with CV3 domain controllers .

Financial Results

Note: Q3 FY2026 results are pending; guidance is shown for Q3 where applicable .

MetricQ1 FY2026 (Apr 30, 2025)Q2 FY2026 (Jul 31, 2025)Q3 FY2026 Guidance (Low)Q3 FY2026 Guidance (Mid)Q3 FY2026 Guidance (High)
Revenue ($USD Millions)$85.9 $95.5 $100.0 $104.0 $108.0
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)-$0.58 -$0.47 N/A (pre-release) N/A (pre-release) N/A (pre-release)
Non-GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$0.07 $0.15 N/A (pre-release) N/A (pre-release) N/A (pre-release)
Non-GAAP Gross Margin (%)62.0% 60.5% 60.0% 60.8% (midpoint) 61.5%
Non-GAAP Operating Expenses ($USD Millions)$51.8 $53.4 $54.0 $55.5 (midpoint) $57.0

KPIs and Balance Sheet

KPIQ1 FY2026Q2 FY2026
Cash + Marketable Debt Securities ($USD Millions)$259.4 $261.2
Operating Cash Flow ($USD Millions)$14.8 $5.5
Free Cash Flow ($USD Millions)$10.2 $1.4
Days Sales Outstanding (DSO)31 days 40 days
Inventory Days98 days 85 days

Non-GAAP Adjustments Impact

  • Q1 FY2026: GAAP-to-non-GAAP GM difference was 2.0% ($1.7M), due to stock-based comp and acquisition amortization .
  • Q2 FY2026: GAAP-to-non-GAAP GM difference was 1.6% ($1.5M) for the quarter, driven by stock-based comp and acquisition-related amortization .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Revenue ($USD Millions)Q3 FY2026N/A$100.0–$108.0 (midpoint $104.0) New
Non-GAAP Gross Margin (%)Q3 FY2026N/A60.0%–61.5% New
Non-GAAP Operating Expenses ($USD Millions)Q3 FY2026N/A$54.0–$57.0 New
Net Interest & Other Income ($USD Millions)Q3 FY2026N/A~$2.0 New
Non-GAAP Tax Expense ($USD Millions)Q3 FY2026N/A~$0.8 New
Diluted Share Count (Shares)Q3 FY2026N/A~43.7M New
FY Revenue Growth (%)FY202619%–25% (~$348M midpoint) 31%–35% (~$379M midpoint) Raised

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicQ1 FY2026 (Prior-2)Q2 FY2026 (Prior-1)Current Period (Q3 FY2026)Trend
AI/Technology InitiativesDemonstrated GenAI at edge; 3rd-gen accelerator supports 500M–34B parameter models; advancing CV75/CV72/N1 platforms Expanded wins across CV5/CV72 and announced first edge infrastructure win; higher ASP on 5nm AI SoCs Call scheduled; continued focus on edge infrastructure and 5nm deployments expected Positive momentum toward broader edge AI use
Supply Chain & InventoryBuilding inventory to support demand; DSO 31, inventory days 98 Clean checks; monthly reviews with customers/distributors show no excess build; DSO 40, inventory days 85 Monitoring; no Q3 update until call Improving execution, vigilance maintained
Tariffs/MacroConservatism in H2 outlook due to geopolitical uncertainty Continued caution; no evidence of tariff-driven pull-ins Pending commentary Ongoing macro watch
Product Performance (Portable Video/Robotics)Insta360 X5 on CV5; multiple IoT edge examples (Huawei industrial readers, Lenovo collaboration) Portable video fastest-growing non-security segment; first drone win announced (Anti Gravity A1 on CV5) Production shipments of first drone expected by FY2026-end Broadening adoption, new categories ramping
Automotive/ADASCV3 lineup complete; pursuing domain controller wins; auto down q/q but up y/y Auto mid-single-digit q/q growth; OEM decisions slow; focus on L2+ lower-cost functions Q3 guide implies auto mid-to-high single-digit growth Gradual, longer-cycle trajectory
Edge InfrastructureRoadmap extension; developing new SoC beyond N1655 First customer win; SAM $125M FY26 growing to $500M in five years; performance-per-watt advantage First production expected in FY2027 Early-stage, building pipeline

Management Commentary

  • “We are increasing our fiscal 2026 revenue growth estimate to a range of 31% to 35%, or approximately $379 million at the midpoint. The midpoint of our new third quarter and full year fiscal 2026 revenue guidance would represent all-time record quarterly and fiscal year total revenue for Ambarella.” — Fermi Wang, CEO .
  • “Our strong order book… and our expectation for both our total unit ship and our average selling price to increase in fiscal twenty twenty six.” — Fermi Wang (prepared remarks) .
  • “Today, we are also announcing our first win in the edge AI infrastructure with our N1C55 SoC… This win is yet another example of the expanding breadth of our edge AI business.” — Fermi Wang .
  • “We reported a non-GAAP net profit of $6,400,000 or $0.15 per diluted share in Q2.” — John Young, CFO .

Q&A Highlights

  • IoT vs. Auto mix and resource allocation: Management sees strong near-term IoT momentum with shared architecture leverage; auto outperformance more likely post-2027 as CV3 programs ramp .
  • Drones and robotics pipeline: Consumer and commercial aerial drones viewed as a new autonomy frontier; multiple engagements underway with energy efficiency as a differentiator .
  • Seasonality and guidance shape: Q3 up sequentially, Q4 likely down; portable video leading non-security IoT growth .
  • Tariff/inventory concerns: Ongoing customer and distributor checks show no excess builds; internal checkpoints confirm healthy patterns .
  • Opex cadence: Non-GAAP OpEx expected a bit above ~10% growth, tracking ~12% year-to-date .
  • ADAS adoption dynamics: OEMs prioritizing safety and cost, focusing on L2+ features; lower frequency of decisions and longer time-to-revenue in auto .
  • Growth drivers split: Roughly 50/50 contribution from unit growth and ASP increases in FY2026 outlook .

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus from S&P Global for Q3 FY2026 EPS and revenue was unavailable at time of writing due to SPGI daily request limit; comparisons vs. consensus cannot be provided and will be updated after the Nov 25 release and call .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Pre-release setup is constructive: Q3 revenue guide of $100–$108M (midpoint $104M) with stable non-GAAP GM (60.0%–61.5%) suggests continued sequential growth ahead of the Nov 25 print .
  • Near-term upside skewed to IoT: Portable video and emerging robotics are driving growth and ASP uplift; watch for additional product/category disclosures that could sustain momentum .
  • Auto is a medium-term call option: Domain controller wins could materially expand revenue, but decisions and ramps are slower; look to 2027+ for inflection .
  • Edge infrastructure is a nascent catalyst: First win secured with N1; SAM growing with performance-per-watt advantages; initial production targeted for FY2027 .
  • Cash and working capital healthy: $261.2M cash/marketable securities, improving inventory turns, and positive operating cash flow support sustained investment and resilience .
  • Risk watch: Geopolitical uncertainty and product mix could pressure margins; management monitoring supply chain monthly and guiding conservatively .
  • Event catalyst: Earnings release and call on Nov 25—focus on Q4 seasonality, edge infrastructure pipeline, portable video/drone ramps, and any update on FY2026 trajectory .

Appendices

  • Q3 FY2026 event scheduling and pre-release status: Ambarella will issue Q3 results after market close on Nov 25 and host the call at 1:30 p.m. PT; results are not yet available as of Nov 20 .
  • Prior quarter performance references: Q1 FY2026 press release and 8-K ; Q2 FY2026 press release, 8-K, and call transcript .