AI
AMBARELLA INC (AMBA)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 FY2026 (quarter ended Oct 31, 2025) results and the earnings call have not yet been released; Ambarella scheduled its Q3 FY2026 earnings call for Nov 25, 2025, with the press release to be issued after market close that day .
- Management guided Q3 FY2026 revenue to $100.0–$108.0M, non-GAAP gross margin to 60.0%–61.5%, and non-GAAP OpEx to $54.0–$57.0M; FY2026 revenue growth outlook was raised to 31%–35% (~$379M midpoint), signaling potential record quarterly and annual revenue .
- Q2 FY2026 delivered strong execution: revenue $95.5M (+11% q/q, +49.9% y/y), non-GAAP EPS $0.15, non-GAAP GM 60.5%; cash and marketable securities reached $261.2M, with clean working capital metrics (DSO 40 days, inventory days 85) .
- Strategic drivers: expanding breadth of edge AI applications (portable video, robotic aerial drones, emerging edge infrastructure) and higher-ASP 5nm AI SoCs; management highlighted cumulative shipments of >36M edge AI processors and expects first drone production shipments by FY2026-end and first edge infrastructure production in FY2027 .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Record trajectory and guidance raise: Q2 FY2026 revenue $95.5M beat the prior range and Q3/FY2026 guidance implies all-time record revenue at midpoints; FY2026 growth outlook raised to 31%–35% (~$379M midpoint) .
- Edge AI breadth and ASP uplift: Multiple portable video and robotics wins, plus first edge infrastructure win; strong demand for higher-priced 5nm AI SoCs driving firm-wide ASP higher .
- Non-GAAP profitability improvement: Q2 FY2026 non-GAAP net profit $6.4M ($0.15 EPS) vs. prior-year loss; non-GAAP gross margin at 60.5% despite mix, and operating cash flow positive with cash/marketable securities at $261.2M .
What Went Wrong
- GAAP losses persist: Q2 FY2026 GAAP net loss of $20.0M (-$0.47 per diluted share) despite topline strength, reflecting ongoing stock-based comp and development investments .
- Margin pressure from product mix: Q2 non-GAAP gross margin of 60.5% landed at the low end of guidance due to mix; Q3 non-GAAP GM guidance remains 60.0%–61.5% .
- Automotive timing still extended: Management noted slower OEM decisions, software readiness, and longer revenue ramps; near-term growth skewed to IoT while auto outperformance is more likely post-2027 with CV3 domain controllers .
Financial Results
Note: Q3 FY2026 results are pending; guidance is shown for Q3 where applicable .
KPIs and Balance Sheet
Non-GAAP Adjustments Impact
- Q1 FY2026: GAAP-to-non-GAAP GM difference was 2.0% ($1.7M), due to stock-based comp and acquisition amortization .
- Q2 FY2026: GAAP-to-non-GAAP GM difference was 1.6% ($1.5M) for the quarter, driven by stock-based comp and acquisition-related amortization .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We are increasing our fiscal 2026 revenue growth estimate to a range of 31% to 35%, or approximately $379 million at the midpoint. The midpoint of our new third quarter and full year fiscal 2026 revenue guidance would represent all-time record quarterly and fiscal year total revenue for Ambarella.” — Fermi Wang, CEO .
- “Our strong order book… and our expectation for both our total unit ship and our average selling price to increase in fiscal twenty twenty six.” — Fermi Wang (prepared remarks) .
- “Today, we are also announcing our first win in the edge AI infrastructure with our N1C55 SoC… This win is yet another example of the expanding breadth of our edge AI business.” — Fermi Wang .
- “We reported a non-GAAP net profit of $6,400,000 or $0.15 per diluted share in Q2.” — John Young, CFO .
Q&A Highlights
- IoT vs. Auto mix and resource allocation: Management sees strong near-term IoT momentum with shared architecture leverage; auto outperformance more likely post-2027 as CV3 programs ramp .
- Drones and robotics pipeline: Consumer and commercial aerial drones viewed as a new autonomy frontier; multiple engagements underway with energy efficiency as a differentiator .
- Seasonality and guidance shape: Q3 up sequentially, Q4 likely down; portable video leading non-security IoT growth .
- Tariff/inventory concerns: Ongoing customer and distributor checks show no excess builds; internal checkpoints confirm healthy patterns .
- Opex cadence: Non-GAAP OpEx expected a bit above ~10% growth, tracking ~12% year-to-date .
- ADAS adoption dynamics: OEMs prioritizing safety and cost, focusing on L2+ features; lower frequency of decisions and longer time-to-revenue in auto .
- Growth drivers split: Roughly 50/50 contribution from unit growth and ASP increases in FY2026 outlook .
Estimates Context
- Wall Street consensus from S&P Global for Q3 FY2026 EPS and revenue was unavailable at time of writing due to SPGI daily request limit; comparisons vs. consensus cannot be provided and will be updated after the Nov 25 release and call .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Pre-release setup is constructive: Q3 revenue guide of $100–$108M (midpoint $104M) with stable non-GAAP GM (60.0%–61.5%) suggests continued sequential growth ahead of the Nov 25 print .
- Near-term upside skewed to IoT: Portable video and emerging robotics are driving growth and ASP uplift; watch for additional product/category disclosures that could sustain momentum .
- Auto is a medium-term call option: Domain controller wins could materially expand revenue, but decisions and ramps are slower; look to 2027+ for inflection .
- Edge infrastructure is a nascent catalyst: First win secured with N1; SAM growing with performance-per-watt advantages; initial production targeted for FY2027 .
- Cash and working capital healthy: $261.2M cash/marketable securities, improving inventory turns, and positive operating cash flow support sustained investment and resilience .
- Risk watch: Geopolitical uncertainty and product mix could pressure margins; management monitoring supply chain monthly and guiding conservatively .
- Event catalyst: Earnings release and call on Nov 25—focus on Q4 seasonality, edge infrastructure pipeline, portable video/drone ramps, and any update on FY2026 trajectory .
Appendices
- Q3 FY2026 event scheduling and pre-release status: Ambarella will issue Q3 results after market close on Nov 25 and host the call at 1:30 p.m. PT; results are not yet available as of Nov 20 .
- Prior quarter performance references: Q1 FY2026 press release and 8-K ; Q2 FY2026 press release, 8-K, and call transcript .