AP
Altus Power, Inc. (AMPS)·Q2 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 2024 operating revenues were $52.5M (+13% y/y) with adjusted EBITDA of $31.2M and margin of 59%; GAAP net income was $33.1M, driven largely by a non-cash gain from remeasurement of alignment shares and a one-time tax benefit .
- Guidance was lowered: FY24 revenue to $196–$201M (from $200–$222M) and adjusted EBITDA to $111–$115M (from $115–$135M); the 3-year CAGR targets (MW: 20–30%, revenue/Adj. EBITDA: 20–25%) were reaffirmed .
- Management cited slower-than-expected new build interconnections at utilities and deferred recognition of community solar credits (~$4M) into 2H as drivers of cadence and revenue timing; H2 recognition expected as subscriptions ramp and seasonality normalizes .
- Portfolio scaled to ~990 MW across 25 states, generation reached 364,000 MWh, and variable-rate PPAs comprise 54% of contracts—providing tailwinds as retail utility rates rise .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Continued scale: portfolio reached ~990 MW and Q2 generation increased to 364,000 MWh (vs. 262,000 MWh y/y), supporting revenue growth and long-term asset base expansion .
- Pricing tailwinds: 54% of PPAs are variable-rate, positioning Altus to benefit as prevailing utility rates increase; management emphasized this as a structural tailwind .
- Strategic focus and asset optimization: CEO highlighted reprioritization of resources (technology/analytics) and “redevelopment” opportunities on acquired assets (e.g., 8.5 MW Hamilton, NJ), enhancing long-term returns .
What Went Wrong
- Slower ramp in new builds: utility interconnection delays pushed projects to the right, contributing to reduced FY24 guidance ranges (revenue and adjusted EBITDA) .
- Deferred revenue timing: community solar credits exceeded current subscription levels, deferring ~$4M of recognized revenue from Q2 into 2H 2024 .
- Margin compression vs. prior-year quarter: adjusted EBITDA margin fell to 59% from 66% in Q2 2023 on higher operating and G&A expenses required to support growth .
Financial Results
Key Financials vs Prior Periods and Estimates
Note: Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) for Q2 2024 was unavailable, so beat/miss vs estimates cannot be assessed.
KPIs and Operating Metrics
Guidance Changes
Drivers of changes: utility interconnection delays and slightly slower cadence of incremental MW additions; deferral of community solar revenue recognition into 2H .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We continued to prudently scale our portfolio and capitalize on long-term growth opportunities…increase our revenues and adjusted EBITDA four-fold, while building the largest nationwide portfolio in the commercial solar market.” — CEO Gregg Felton .
- “We are revising our previously stated 2024 guidance…to $196–$201M of revenue and $111–$115M of adjusted EBITDA…while…reaffirm[ing]…three-year guidance of 20–30% CAGR on megawatts and 20–25% CAGR on revenue and adjusted EBITDA.” — CFO Dustin Weber .
- “Our current portfolio has 54% of our PPAs at a floating rate. So, as the prevailing utility increases those rates, we stand to benefit.” — CFO Dustin Weber .
- “Given the localized nature of our projects, the…top-down strategy…was not the most efficient…Going forward…we will refine our focus to target the intersection of CBRE’s clients with Altus’ strength in several U.S. markets.” — CEO Gregg Felton .
- “We purchased [Hamilton, NJ]…with the specific intention of repositioning the site…as we believe there’s additional value…Imagine similar opportunities across our portfolio of nearly 500 operating assets.” — CEO Gregg Felton .
Q&A Highlights
- Guidance and cadence: Projects are pushed “to the right” mainly due to utility interconnection delays; management expects slightly slower H2 ramp than prior assumptions and lowered FY24 guidance accordingly .
- Community solar accounting: ~$4M in credits generated in Q2 expected to be monetized/recognized in Q3–Q4 as subscriptions catch up and production seasonality normalizes .
- Mix of growth: Historically ~75% acquisitions of operating assets and ~25% new builds; acquisition pipeline robust amid market consolidation and financing challenges for smaller developers .
- One-time tax item: ~$21M tax benefit in Q2 tied to non-cash alignment share remeasurement; not related to NOLs .
- Redevelopment “self-help”: Acquiring and optimizing existing assets mitigates interconnection risks versus new builds; seen as a captive opportunity within the portfolio .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global consensus estimates for Q2 2024 (EPS, revenue, EBITDA) were unavailable for AMPS at the time of this analysis; as a result, we cannot assess beats/misses vs Street for the quarter (S&P Global data unavailable).
- Given the guidance revision and timing headwinds (interconnection delays, community solar credit deferral), Street models may need to lower FY24 top-line and adjusted EBITDA assumptions while shifting revenue recognition to H2 and modestly trimming margins due to higher operating/G&A expenses .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Guidance reset reflects timing headwinds, not demand or asset quality; management reaffirmed multi-year CAGRs and highlighted robust acquisition pipeline, supporting the medium-term growth thesis .
- Variable-rate exposure (54% of PPAs) is a structural asset that can drive revenue upside as retail utility rates rise, creating embedded operating leverage without incremental capex .
- Near-term catalysts: monetization of deferred community solar credits (~$4M) in Q3–Q4 and onboarding of targeted market-specific projects as the new go-to-market approach takes hold .
- Asset redevelopment strategy (e.g., Hamilton, NJ) and incumbency at interconnected sites offer self-help levers to enhance returns while bypassing some interconnection bottlenecks .
- Financing runway remains adequate: $92.3M cash & restricted at Q2-end, plus construction facility and revolver capacity; no equity financing indicated in prior materials, supporting disciplined growth funding .
- Watch execution velocity and utility timelines: Interconnection delays are the key operational swing factor; expect quarterly lumpiness despite confident 3-year growth trajectory .
- Non-GAAP vs GAAP: Q2 GAAP net income benefitted from alignment shares remeasurement and a one-time tax benefit; adjusted EBITDA is the better metric for underlying performance and margin trends .