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AP

Altus Power, Inc. (AMPS)·Q2 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q2 2024 operating revenues were $52.5M (+13% y/y) with adjusted EBITDA of $31.2M and margin of 59%; GAAP net income was $33.1M, driven largely by a non-cash gain from remeasurement of alignment shares and a one-time tax benefit .
  • Guidance was lowered: FY24 revenue to $196–$201M (from $200–$222M) and adjusted EBITDA to $111–$115M (from $115–$135M); the 3-year CAGR targets (MW: 20–30%, revenue/Adj. EBITDA: 20–25%) were reaffirmed .
  • Management cited slower-than-expected new build interconnections at utilities and deferred recognition of community solar credits (~$4M) into 2H as drivers of cadence and revenue timing; H2 recognition expected as subscriptions ramp and seasonality normalizes .
  • Portfolio scaled to ~990 MW across 25 states, generation reached 364,000 MWh, and variable-rate PPAs comprise 54% of contracts—providing tailwinds as retail utility rates rise .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Continued scale: portfolio reached ~990 MW and Q2 generation increased to 364,000 MWh (vs. 262,000 MWh y/y), supporting revenue growth and long-term asset base expansion .
  • Pricing tailwinds: 54% of PPAs are variable-rate, positioning Altus to benefit as prevailing utility rates increase; management emphasized this as a structural tailwind .
  • Strategic focus and asset optimization: CEO highlighted reprioritization of resources (technology/analytics) and “redevelopment” opportunities on acquired assets (e.g., 8.5 MW Hamilton, NJ), enhancing long-term returns .

What Went Wrong

  • Slower ramp in new builds: utility interconnection delays pushed projects to the right, contributing to reduced FY24 guidance ranges (revenue and adjusted EBITDA) .
  • Deferred revenue timing: community solar credits exceeded current subscription levels, deferring ~$4M of recognized revenue from Q2 into 2H 2024 .
  • Margin compression vs. prior-year quarter: adjusted EBITDA margin fell to 59% from 66% in Q2 2023 on higher operating and G&A expenses required to support growth .

Financial Results

Key Financials vs Prior Periods and Estimates

MetricQ2 2023Q1 2024Q2 2024
Revenue ($USD Millions)$46.513 $40.659 $52.460
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$30.641 $19.717 $31.151
Adjusted EBITDA Margin (%)66% 48% 59%
Net Income ($USD Millions)$3.370 $4.055 $33.149
Diluted EPS ($USD)$0.04 $0.05 $0.23
Generation (MWh)262,000 210,000 364,000

Note: Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) for Q2 2024 was unavailable, so beat/miss vs estimates cannot be assessed.

KPIs and Operating Metrics

KPIQ4 2023 (FY end)Q1 2024Q2 2024
Portfolio MW (end of period)896 981 990
Community Solar Subscribers~—>24,000 >25,000
Contract Mix (% of MWs)Variable 53% / Fixed 30% / Fixed+Esc. 17% Variable 54% / Fixed 28% / Fixed+Esc. 18%
Cash and Equivalents ($M)$160.817 $173.266 $78.379
Cash, Equivalents & Restricted ($M)$218.927 $203.513 $92.278

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Revenue ($USD Millions)FY 2024$200–$222 $196–$201 Lowered
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)FY 2024$115–$135 $111–$115 Lowered
MW CAGR3-Year (2024–2026)20–30% 20–30% Maintained
Revenue & Adjusted EBITDA CAGR3-Year (2024–2026)20–25% 20–25% Maintained

Drivers of changes: utility interconnection delays and slightly slower cadence of incremental MW additions; deferral of community solar revenue recognition into 2H .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4 2023 and Q1 2024)Current Period (Q2 2024)Trend
AI/Tech-driven power demandManagement framed AI/EV/crypto/hydrogen as secular demand drivers and highlighted positive exposure via variable-rate PPAs .Reiterated long-term demand tailwinds strengthening the case for commercial-scale solar .Consistent positive tailwind.
Utility interconnection delaysNot emphasized in Q4 materials; cadence discussed broadly in Q1 with pipeline review .Explicitly cited as key reason projects moved right, impacting FY24 cadence and guidance .Worsened near term (timing headwind).
Community solar executionQ1: rapid growth (+4,000 customers to >24k) and pipeline in MD/IL .Credits exceeded subscriptions; ~$4M revenue deferred to Q3–Q4 as onboarding scales .Growing, with timing mismatch resolving in 2H.
Enterprise engagement (CBRE)Q1: Programmatic deals; slower negotiation with large enterprises; pipeline under review .Shift from top-down to targeted market-specific approach; CBRE partnership repositioned; Brett Phillips to lead early-stage client engagement .Strategic pivot to increase velocity.
Asset redevelopment opportunityQ4/Q1: Focus on portfolio scale and ARR .Highlighted example (8.5 MW Hamilton, NJ) and broader plan to optimize incumbent interconnections .Increasing focus on “self-help” value.
Financing capacityQ4: $200M construction facility; robust term funding and cash .Q2: $92.3M cash & restricted at period end; capacity on facilities; revolver repaid for efficiency .Adequate to fund growth.

Management Commentary

  • “We continued to prudently scale our portfolio and capitalize on long-term growth opportunities…increase our revenues and adjusted EBITDA four-fold, while building the largest nationwide portfolio in the commercial solar market.” — CEO Gregg Felton .
  • “We are revising our previously stated 2024 guidance…to $196–$201M of revenue and $111–$115M of adjusted EBITDA…while…reaffirm[ing]…three-year guidance of 20–30% CAGR on megawatts and 20–25% CAGR on revenue and adjusted EBITDA.” — CFO Dustin Weber .
  • “Our current portfolio has 54% of our PPAs at a floating rate. So, as the prevailing utility increases those rates, we stand to benefit.” — CFO Dustin Weber .
  • “Given the localized nature of our projects, the…top-down strategy…was not the most efficient…Going forward…we will refine our focus to target the intersection of CBRE’s clients with Altus’ strength in several U.S. markets.” — CEO Gregg Felton .
  • “We purchased [Hamilton, NJ]…with the specific intention of repositioning the site…as we believe there’s additional value…Imagine similar opportunities across our portfolio of nearly 500 operating assets.” — CEO Gregg Felton .

Q&A Highlights

  • Guidance and cadence: Projects are pushed “to the right” mainly due to utility interconnection delays; management expects slightly slower H2 ramp than prior assumptions and lowered FY24 guidance accordingly .
  • Community solar accounting: ~$4M in credits generated in Q2 expected to be monetized/recognized in Q3–Q4 as subscriptions catch up and production seasonality normalizes .
  • Mix of growth: Historically ~75% acquisitions of operating assets and ~25% new builds; acquisition pipeline robust amid market consolidation and financing challenges for smaller developers .
  • One-time tax item: ~$21M tax benefit in Q2 tied to non-cash alignment share remeasurement; not related to NOLs .
  • Redevelopment “self-help”: Acquiring and optimizing existing assets mitigates interconnection risks versus new builds; seen as a captive opportunity within the portfolio .

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global consensus estimates for Q2 2024 (EPS, revenue, EBITDA) were unavailable for AMPS at the time of this analysis; as a result, we cannot assess beats/misses vs Street for the quarter (S&P Global data unavailable).
  • Given the guidance revision and timing headwinds (interconnection delays, community solar credit deferral), Street models may need to lower FY24 top-line and adjusted EBITDA assumptions while shifting revenue recognition to H2 and modestly trimming margins due to higher operating/G&A expenses .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Guidance reset reflects timing headwinds, not demand or asset quality; management reaffirmed multi-year CAGRs and highlighted robust acquisition pipeline, supporting the medium-term growth thesis .
  • Variable-rate exposure (54% of PPAs) is a structural asset that can drive revenue upside as retail utility rates rise, creating embedded operating leverage without incremental capex .
  • Near-term catalysts: monetization of deferred community solar credits (~$4M) in Q3–Q4 and onboarding of targeted market-specific projects as the new go-to-market approach takes hold .
  • Asset redevelopment strategy (e.g., Hamilton, NJ) and incumbency at interconnected sites offer self-help levers to enhance returns while bypassing some interconnection bottlenecks .
  • Financing runway remains adequate: $92.3M cash & restricted at Q2-end, plus construction facility and revolver capacity; no equity financing indicated in prior materials, supporting disciplined growth funding .
  • Watch execution velocity and utility timelines: Interconnection delays are the key operational swing factor; expect quarterly lumpiness despite confident 3-year growth trajectory .
  • Non-GAAP vs GAAP: Q2 GAAP net income benefitted from alignment shares remeasurement and a one-time tax benefit; adjusted EBITDA is the better metric for underlying performance and margin trends .