A&
ABERCROMBIE & FITCH CO /DE/ (ANF)·Q2 2026 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Record Q2 2026 net sales of $1.21B, up 7% YoY; adjusted operating margin of 13.9% and adjusted EPS of $2.32; GAAP operating margin of 17.1% and GAAP EPS of $2.91, both boosted by a $39M litigation settlement benefit .
- Hollister delivered best-ever Q2 with net sales up 19% and comps +19%; Abercrombie brands declined 5% with comps -11% due to lower AUR from clearing carryover inventory; Americas +8%, APAC +12%, EMEA -1% .
- Against S&P Global consensus, Q2 revenue modestly beat and adjusted EPS was in-line; EBITDA beat consensus; prior two quarters showed beats/in-line, evidencing estimate discipline and execution consistency [GetEstimates]* .
- Guidance raised: FY2025 net sales growth now 5–7%, operating margin 13.0–13.5%, EPS $10.00–$10.50; Q3 outlook: net sales +5–7%, operating margin 11–12% with ~100bps higher marketing and ~$25M tariff impact; capex increased to ~$225M .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Hollister momentum: “Hollister Brands delivered record first half sales growing net sales 19% in the second quarter… with good balance across categories” .
- Sales and margin outperformance vs company outlook: adjusted operating margin of 13.9% exceeded the 12–13% range; adjusted EPS of $2.32 exceeded $2.10–$2.30 guidance .
- Strategic brand activations and partnerships driving traffic (Lollapalooza, Collegiate Collection, NFL partnership): “We were excited to announce Abercrombie & Fitch as an official NFL fashion partner” .
What Went Wrong
- Abercrombie brand softness: net sales -5% YoY, comps -11% driven by lower AUR while clearing carryover inventory; A&F fell short of internal plan on AUR .
- EMEA headwinds: regional net sales -1% YoY with softness in Germany and broader Europe offsetting UK strength .
- Tariff impacts: ~$5M adverse Q2 gross margin impact; FY tariff net cost raised to ~$90M (170bps of net sales), pressuring margins into H2 .
Financial Results
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We delivered record second quarter net sales, exceeding our expectations… We entered the second half of 2025 on offense.” — Fran Horowitz, CEO .
- “On tariffs… net of planned actions, the assumed tariffs carry a cost impact of around $90 million for 2025… impacting our full year operating margin outlook by 170 basis points.” — Robert Ball, CFO .
- “Hollister Brands delivered record… net sales 19%… The Collegiate Collection is off to a good start… exciting time.” — Fran Horowitz .
- “For Abercrombie… the miss in Q2… was really the AUR… carryover inventory drove the AUR down.” — Fran Horowitz .
- “We expect net sales up 5%–7% in Q3… operating margin 11%–12%… increasing marketing investments by over 100 basis points.” — Robert Ball .
Q&A Highlights
- A&F brand trajectory: Management emphasized AUR pressure from inventory clearance as key driver of Q2 softness; confident in return to growth by year-end with Boho/Western and denim trends .
- Tariff timing and mitigation: Detailed phasing ($5M in Q2, $25M in Q3, $60M in Q4) with diversified sourcing (16 countries), vendor negotiations, OpEx efficiencies, and targeted pricing actions; broad ticket increases not planned in H2 .
- Marketing spend: Over 100bps YoY increase in Q3 to support NFL partnership and fall campaigns with balanced mix across social and events (e.g., Lollapalooza) .
- Inventory quality: “Clean and current” with units aligned to outlook; freight normalized, helping gross margin vs prior dislocations .
- Stores strategy: ~60 openings in FY, ~20 closures; more A&F stores to enhance omnichannel acquisition and experience; net store openers .
Estimates Context
- Q2 2026: Revenue beat (
$1,208.6M actual vs $1,199.2M consensus), adjusted EPS in-line ($2.32 vs $2.315), EBITDA beat ($205.5M vs $197.9M). Mix-driven: Hollister growth and operating expense leverage offset tariff and EMEA headwinds; GAAP EPS benefited from settlement [GetEstimates]* . - Q1 2026: Beat on revenue ($1,097.3M vs $1,059.7M) and EPS ($1.59 vs $1.359), aided by Hollister strength and broad regional growth [GetEstimates]* .
- Q4 2025: In-line with revenue ($1,584.9M vs $1,568.1M) and EPS ($3.57 vs $3.555), consistent execution against high base [GetEstimates]* .
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Hollister continues to be the growth engine with durable demand and brand activations; expect continued outperformance vs A&F into Q3 even as A&F normalizes and positions for year-end growth .
- Near-term margin pressure from tariffs and stepped-up marketing (Q3 OM 11–12%) is well-telegraphed; the company’s mitigation playbook historically delivers over multi-quarters—watch FY2026 margin recovery narrative .
- Balance sheet strength (cash $573M, ~$1.0B liquidity) and ~$400M buyback target provide downside support; share count reduction enhances EPS trajectory .
- Raised FY outlook (sales +5–7%, EPS $10.00–$10.50) despite tariff headwinds indicates confidence in demand, store expansion, and direct channel traffic; monitor Q3 marketing ROI and holiday chase capability .
- Regional divergence: EMEA softness (Germany) vs UK strength; Americas and APAC resilient—track EMEA strategy export of UK playbook for signs of stabilization .
- Trading implications: Expect near-term volatility around margin headwinds and marketing spend; any upside to Q3 comps or EMEA stabilization could catalyze multiple support; downbeat tariff headlines already embedded .
- Medium-term thesis: Omnichannel expansion, licensing (Kids globally), partnerships (NFL), and disciplined inventory/AUR management underpin durable growth and cash generation into FY2026 .