AI
Angi Inc. (ANGI)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 2025 revenue of $265.6M declined 10% year over year; GAAP diluted EPS was $0.23. Operating income rose 179% to $21.8M; Adjusted EBITDA increased 12% to $39.7M, reflecting lower depreciation, SBC, and expense discipline .
- Results versus S&P consensus: revenue slightly missed ($265.6M vs $269.0M*), Primary EPS missed (0.296 vs 0.368*), and EBITDA modestly below ($33.7M* vs $36.1M*)—driven by network channel volume declines offset by strong proprietary channels growth .
- Proprietary channels strengthened: Proprietary Service Requests +11% YoY and Proprietary Leads +16% YoY; revenue per lead +11% YoY. Network channel leads fell sharply (now <10% of leads), weighing on total leads (-21% YoY) and revenue (-10% YoY) .
- 2026 outlook reiterated: mid‑single‑digit revenue growth with “a little” EBITDA leverage via fixed‑cost discipline; TV spend to roughly double in 2026; CapEx around $60M in 2025 and similar in 2026 (front‑loaded) .
- Capital allocation: 1.3M shares repurchased for $20.1M between Aug 4–Oct 31; new 3.2M share authorization approved Sept 17. Year‑to‑date repurchases total ~$111M (~15% of shares), with limits tied to the tax‑free spinoff noted by management .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Proprietary channel momentum: Proprietary Service Requests +11% YoY, Proprietary Leads +16% YoY; revenue per lead +11% YoY—supported by customer experience improvements and SEM performance .
- Operating leverage from expense actions: Operating income +179% YoY to $21.8M on lower depreciation and SBC; Adjusted EBITDA +12% to $39.7M as pro acquisition and fixed costs declined year over year .
- Management execution and strategic clarity: CEO highlighted improving hire/win rates, higher NPS, and improving pro retention; reiterated mid‑single‑digit 2026 growth as proprietary gains offset network drag; AI‑first platform consolidation targeted by 2027 .
- “Our estimated hire rate is up double digits. Our estimated win rate is up nearly 30%... NPS is up nearly 10 points YoY… Pro churn better by 7% in the last 12 months” .
What Went Wrong
- Network channel headwinds: Leads in network channels fell 81% YoY; three larger affiliates had volume “bumps down,” pressuring total leads (-21% YoY) and revenue (-10% YoY) despite proprietary strength .
- Mixed estimate comparison: S&P consensus was modestly higher on revenue and Primary EPS than actual; EBITDA modestly below consensus, reflecting network pressures and timing/capitalization dynamics [GetEstimates].
- Elevated tax rate: Effective tax rate 49% (tax provision $10.2M), driven by enacted tax law changes, cross‑border effects and state taxes; prior‑year had a $26.6M benefit from valuation allowance release—driving YoY decline in GAAP net earnings (-70%) despite operating improvement .
Financial Results
Headline P&L (GAAP and Adjusted)
Q3 2025 Actuals vs S&P Global Consensus
Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
Notes: GAAP diluted EPS was $0.23 . S&P “Primary EPS” reflects a normalized definition and differs from GAAP diluted EPS.
Margins (S&P Global)
Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
Segment Revenue
KPIs – Service Requests and Leads (’000s)
Additional operating notes: Revenue per lead +11% YoY in Q3; Acquired Pros 22k and Average Monthly Active Pros 118k in Q3 (both down YoY as acquisition is intentionally lower but retention improving) .
Balance Sheet & Cash
- Cash & equivalents: $340.7M; Senior Notes: $500M 3.875% due Aug 2028 .
- Cash from operations YTD nine months: $75.0M; Free cash flow YTD: $34.1M .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO on customer experience momentum: “Our estimated hire rate is up double digits… win rate is up nearly 30%… NPS up nearly 10 points YoY… Pro retention continues to improve” .
- Strategic focus and 2026 outlook: “We are looking forward very optimistically to 2026 and beyond… strong paid proprietary channel execution… mid‑single‑digit [growth] target… reinvest in branded advertising next year” .
- Platform strategy: “Target of getting to a single modern global and AI‑first platform by 2027” .
- CFO on CapEx/timing: “Around $60 million of CapEx this year, around a similar amount next year, but… front‑loaded next year” .
- Network channel stance: “Today, the [network] channel is less than 10% of our leads… not a strategic channel” .
Q&A Highlights
- 2026 growth reaffirmed: Management maintained mid‑single‑digit revenue growth view for 2026, with “a little” EBITDA leverage via fixed‑cost discipline; brand spend to increase materially (TV ~2x) .
- CapEx and capitalization: CapEx ~$60M in 2025 and similar in 2026 (front‑loaded), with higher capitalization related to unified platform work through 1H26 .
- Network dynamics: Three larger affiliates had volume reductions; network now <10% of leads; proprietary channels remain the growth driver .
- Ads migration: More than half complete; ~three‑quarters done by mid‑Nov; no material disruptions; sunsetting legacy Ads platform to lower costs .
- AI deployment: AI Helper and broader AI‑native software approach intended to lift conversion and speed product iteration; working with major LLMs and Google’s AI ad surfaces .
Estimates Context
- Q3 2025 vs S&P consensus: Revenue $265.6M vs $269.0M* (miss); Primary EPS 0.296 vs 0.368* (miss); EBITDA $33.7M* vs $36.1M* (miss). GAAP diluted EPS reported at $0.23 . Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
- Implications: Street models may trim near‑term revenue/EBITDA given network channel underperformance and higher capitalization/CapEx cadence, while factoring in sustained proprietary channel growth, revenue per lead gains, and 2026 brand reinvestment .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Proprietary engine is working: Double‑digit proprietary SR/lead growth and revenue per lead +11% YoY support the transition away from low‑quality network volume; this underpins the 2026 return‑to‑growth plan .
- Mixed quarter vs consensus: Slight top‑line and EPS misses with EBITDA a touch below S&P forecasts*, mainly from network headwinds and timing/cap costs—offset by expense control and mix improvements [GetEstimates] .
- 2026 setup: Reaffirmed mid‑single‑digit revenue growth and modest EBITDA leverage via fixed‑cost discipline; significant brand/TV reinvestment planned, which could pressure near‑term margin but support demand and brand traffic .
- AI‑first transformation: Consolidation to a single modern platform by 2027 and deployment of AI‑enabled experiences are expected to improve conversion and speed of iteration—potential upside not yet explicitly in guidance .
- Capital allocation remains active: ~$111M (~15%) repurchased YTD with new 3.2M authorization, constrained near term by spinoff limitations; $340.7M cash and $500M notes provide flexibility .
- Watch items: Pace of network stabilization, sustainability of proprietary growth, execution on platform migration and AI rollout, and marketing ROI as TV spend ramps.
Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
Citations:
- Q3 2025 8‑K press release and financials: .
- Q2 2025 8‑K press release and financials: .
- Q1 2025 8‑K press release and financials: .
- Q3 2025 earnings call transcript: .