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APPIAN CORP (APPN)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q4 2024 delivered double-digit top-line growth and strong profitability: total revenue $166.7M (+15% YoY), adjusted EBITDA $21.2M (vs. $1.0M a year ago), and non-GAAP gross margin of 80% (best since IPO), driven by mix and operating efficiency .
- Results exceeded Q4 guidance across revenue and profitability, aided by a higher-than-expected on-prem contribution (public sector), lower professional services mix, Q4 spend timing shifts, and more efficient marketing; GAAP EPS was pressured by $14.3M FX losses (non-forecast) .
- Cloud subscription revenue grew 19% YoY to $98.9M; cloud NRR ended at 116% (down modestly vs. Q3’s 117%) as management continues to target 110–120% quarterly .
- 2025 outlook embeds mid-teens cloud growth and profitability: FY25 total revenue $680–$684M, cloud subs $419–$421M (+14% YoY), adjusted EBITDA $38–$42M, and non-GAAP EPS $0.17–$0.22; Q1 2025 guides to $162–$164M revenue and $8–$10M adjusted EBITDA, with Q2 expected to be an adjusted EBITDA loss due to seasonality and Appian World .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Outperformed guidance: revenue ($166.7M vs. $163.5–$165.5M guided), adjusted EBITDA ($21.2M vs. $6–$8M guided) on better on-prem mix, leaner services, Q4 investment timing shifts, and marketing efficiency .
- Platform efficiency: non-GAAP gross margin reached 80% (best since IPO); subscription non-GAAP GM 90% and professional services non-GAAP GM 31%, reflecting mix and execution .
- Strategic positioning: Management reiterated “we bring AI to work” with process-centric AI/Agents and highlighted marquee public sector and enterprise use cases, supporting the thesis for durable, high-value deployments .
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What Went Wrong
- GAAP EPS headwind from FX: $14.3M FX loss in Q4 vs. $11.1M FX gain in Q4’23; management does not forecast FX, and will remove FX from non-GAAP EPS in 2025 .
- Cloud NRR moderated to 116% (from 117% in Q3 and 119% a year ago), though within the target range of 110–120% .
- Mix optics: Cloud net-new ACV was ~65% (vs. 88% in Q3 and ~80% prior year), reflecting an anomalous on-prem mix skew in public sector; management expects the cloud/on‑prem ratio to revert to ~80/20 ahead .
Financial Results
Note: The press release shows Q4 2024 non-GAAP net loss of $(0.2)M (breakeven per share), while the call remarks referenced ~$2.2M; we treat the press release tables as definitive .
Segment mix
KPIs and operating metrics
Non-GAAP adjustments
- Non-GAAP excludes stock-based comp, litigation expense (Pegasystems), JPI amortization, severance, and lease impairments. Q4 adjustments included $9.0M SBC, $1.16M litigation, $3.15M JPI amortization, and lease-related charges; reconciliations provided in the release .
- FX losses of $14.3M affected GAAP and non-GAAP net loss in Q4; management does not forecast FX and will remove FX from non-GAAP EPS starting in 2025 .
Guidance Changes
New 2025 outlook
Management noted Q2 2025 adjusted EBITDA expected to be a loss due to on‑prem seasonality and Appian World .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “In 2024, Appian demonstrated its ability to grow with increasing efficiency. We specialize in creating value with AI, by deploying it in a process. While others bring work to AI, we bring AI to work.” — Matt Calkins, CEO .
- “Our non-GAAP gross margin was 80% in Q4, our best performance since the IPO.” — Matt Calkins .
- “Reasons for outperformance relative to our guide included greater‑than‑expected high‑margin on‑prem revenue… lower‑than‑expected low‑margin professional services revenue… some Q4 investments shifted into Q1… marketing spend was more efficient.” — Mark Lynch, Interim CFO .
- “You price [AI] agents by usage… we’re going to subsidize use of agents for the time being.” — Matt Calkins .
- “The 65% cloud, 35% on‑prem was an anomaly. We expect [to] go back to ~80% cloud and 20% on‑prem next year.” — Mark Lynch .
Q&A Highlights
- Public sector/on‑prem mix: Management flagged an anomalous on‑prem skew in Q4 (public sector) and expects mix to normalize to ~80/20 cloud/on‑prem in 2025; cautious stance given federal budget uncertainty .
- AI/Agents pricing: Agents priced by usage; near-term subsidization to drive adoption and demonstrate value; broader pricing/upsell path via Advanced tier .
- Retention and renewals: Cloud NRR at 116% (target 110–120%) with a 99% gross renewal rate cited as “best-in-class” .
- Data Fabric differentiation: Emphasized broad, performant connectivity across enterprise systems as key to private AI/RAG and regulated industry adoption .
- 2025 seasonality: Expect Q2 adjusted EBITDA loss due to on‑prem seasonality and Appian World timing; FY guide embeds this .
Estimates Context
- We attempted to pull Wall Street consensus from S&P Global for APPN; data was unavailable due to provider request limits at this time. As a result, we cannot present vs-consensus comparisons for Q4 2024 or the 2025 outlook. We instead benchmarked results vs. company guidance, which APPN exceeded on revenue and adjusted EBITDA in Q4 2024 .
- If desired, we can refresh consensus once S&P Global data access resets.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Execution beat: Q4 revenue and profitability exceeded guidance, with non-GAAP GM reaching 80% and adjusted EBITDA scaling to $21.2M; operating discipline is translating into margin traction .
- Mix watch: On‑prem skew boosted profitability in Q4 but pressured cloud net-new mix (65% vs. 88% in Q3); management expects normalization to ~80/20 in 2025 — a potential modest headwind to gross margin tailwinds if mix reverts .
- AI/process differentiation: The “AI in process” narrative, Data Fabric-led RAG, and usage-priced agents (subsidized now) underpin a credible path to monetization via Advanced tier upsell; track AI usage, Advanced-tier adoption, and agent pricing ramps .
- Public sector catalyst vs. budget risk: Federal momentum (GAM) remains strong but budget/process uncertainty tempers near-term visibility; mix outcomes can swing quarterly KPIs (cloud ACV, services, on‑prem) .
- 2025 setup: Guides mid-teens cloud growth and higher profitability, but flags Q2 adjusted EBITDA loss due to seasonality; Appian World (late April) is a visibility and pipeline catalyst .
- FX volatility: Large FX swings have materially impacted GAAP/non-GAAP results; removing FX from non-GAAP EPS beginning in 2025 should improve the clarity of underlying trends .
- Monitor KPIs: Cloud NRR trajectory (target 110–120%), services mix/margins, international mix, deferred revenue growth, and cash from operations (positive in Q4) for sustainability into 2025 .
Supporting Press Releases (Q4 Context)
- Appian Named a Leader in Everest Group’s Process Orchestration PEAK Matrix 2024 (recognition supports competitive positioning) .
- Platform Release with Autoscale and AI enhancements (scale to 6M processes/hour; FedRAMP AI features) .
- Q3 2024 earnings (for trend analysis) .
- Q2 2024 earnings (for trend analysis) .