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Aquestive Therapeutics, Inc. (AQST)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q4 2024 revenue was $11.9M, down 10% year over year, and sequentially below Q3 2024 ($13.5M); GAAP net loss per share was ($0.19) vs ($0.12) a year ago, and non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA loss widened to $11.0M from $6.6M in Q3 2024 .
- The company initiated the NDA filing for Anaphylm (epinephrine) sublingual film; management expects FDA NDA acceptance in Q2 2025 and is targeting a Q1 2026 launch if approved, with potential Ad Comm in H2 2025 .
- 2025 outlook guides total revenue of $47–$56M and non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA loss of $46–$53M, reflecting pre-commercial Anaphylm spending and Suboxone demand erosion; pro forma cash was ~$93M after February ATM activity, supporting execution .
- Libervant (diazepam) for ages 2–5 faces legal risk after a Feb 2025 court ruling; the company is appealing and aims to maintain market access for young patients; national retail distribution occurred in Q4 2024 .
- Near-term catalysts: FDA NDA acceptance for Anaphylm, potential Ad Comm scheduling, pediatric data inclusion, payer access progress, and clarity on Libervant’s legal status; medium-term: possible U.S. commercialization path (go-it-alone or partner) and ex-U.S. partnerships .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Initiated Anaphylm NDA filing; management: “We will complete this application process over the next several weeks and expect... acceptance... sometime in June” and remains “thrilled” with milestone progress toward Q1 2026 launch .
- Clinical and medical affairs momentum: pediatric study “in line with expectations”; OASIS study showed rapid symptom resolution (median 12 minutes; edema ~5 minutes), supporting PK/PD comparability and product profile .
- Strengthened liquidity: cash and cash equivalents were $71.5M at 12/31/24; pro forma cash ~$93.0M including $21.4M ATM proceeds on Feb 14, 2025 .
What Went Wrong
- Revenue fell 10% YoY to $11.9M due to lower license/royalty (absence of prior-year $1.0M Azstarys milestone) and reduced Suboxone manufacturing volumes; non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA loss widened to $11.0M .
- SG&A increased sharply to $16.0M (+67% YoY), driven by Libervant commercialization, Anaphylm pre-commercial, $1.8M severance, and $1.5M legal expenses; R&D rose to $4.9M on Anaphylm development .
- Libervant faces legal uncertainty after a Feb 2025 court decision challenging its approval for ages 2–5; management is appealing, with potential marketing risk pending court outcomes .
Financial Results
Quarterly Comparison (Sequential)
Year-over-Year (Q4)
Revenue Components (Q4)
KPIs and Balance Sheet
Guidance Changes
Notes: 2025 guidance embeds Libervant 2–5 revenue and Suboxone erosion, plus significant Anaphylm pre-commercial spend, NDA costs, pediatric completion, and potential Ad Comm prep .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We have begun the filing process with the FDA for approval of our Anaphylm epinephrine sublingual film... expect... acceptance of the NDA sometime in June... on track to launch... in the first quarter of 2026, if approved” — Daniel Barber, CEO .
- “Our pediatric study... has progressed as expected... will include the necessary pediatric data to support a product label... mirroring the 0.3 mg EpiPen auto‑injector” .
- “We believe there are multiple pathways to commercializing Anaphylm... preparing for launching... on our own... open to augmenting with a larger organization if conditions are right” .
- “We will open our IND for AQST‑108... expect to start our Phase IIa trial... next quarter... have some level of clinical data... before the end of this year” .
- On Libervant: “We remain committed to doing everything we can to keep Libervant on the market for these young patients... we have appealed [the] ruling” .
Q&A Highlights
- Ad Comm readiness: external expertise hired; weekly prep; no additional FDA insight yet; management preparing regardless .
- Commercial path: baseline plan to launch solo; partner only if expands reach and matches therapeutic commitment; ex‑U.S. will be partnership-only .
- Seasonality: optimal launch early February aligns with allergy season ramp (peak Aug–Sep); hiring sales reps immediately post‑approval .
- Pediatric data: timing and profiles on track for NDA; initial label for ≥30 kg (one dose at launch), junior dose later .
- Salesforce sizing: ~100 reps target for allergists/high-decile pediatrics/PCPs; offers only after approval, preparatory work in Q4 2025 .
- Guidance drivers: 2025 revenue includes Libervant 2–5; Suboxone erosion; guidance range will be revisited as year progresses .
Estimates Context
Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) for Q4 2024 EPS and revenue was unavailable at the time of this analysis due to data access limits; therefore, beat/miss versus estimates cannot be determined and will be updated when accessible. Values to be retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Regulatory momentum is strong: NDA filed for Anaphylm with acceptance expected by Q2 2025; Ad Comm likely in H2 2025; launch targeted Q1 2026 — watch for NDA acceptance and Ad Comm timing as stock-moving events .
- Commercial execution plan is credible but investment-heavy: 2025 guidance embeds significant pre-commercial spend and payer access work; expect SG&A to be weighted to H2 2025 and adjusted EBITDA losses to widen per outlook .
- Libervant introduces binary legal risk near term; company is appealing the court decision and aims to maintain access — monitor court updates and any FDA interactions for potential revenue impact (guidance includes Libervant 2–5) .
- Base business is gradually eroding (Suboxone), pressuring manufacturing revenue; doses manufactured declined and management guides some demand erosion — treat negative revisions here as estimate risk .
- Liquidity position supports execution: cash $71.5M at year-end; ~$93M pro forma after February ATM, enabling NDA filing, Ad Comm prep, and launch planning; reduces financing overhang in the near term .
- Partnership optionality could unlock scale: management is open to U.S. partnership if it accelerates market access and reach; ex‑U.S. commercialization will rely on partners — announcements here would be material .
- Expect narrative to pivot from R&D to pre-commercial and market access throughout 2025; payer coverage, physician education, and seasonality alignment are critical for Anaphylm’s ramp if approved .