Accuray - Q1 2024

Transcript

Operator (participant)

Good afternoon, and welcome to Accuray's first quarter 2024 conference call. All participants will be in listen-only mode. Should you need assistance, please signal a conference specialist by pressing star, then zero on your telephone keypad. After today's presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. To ask a question, you may press star, then one on your telephone keypad. To withdraw your question, please press star, then two. Please note that this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Jesse Chew, Senior Vice President and Chief Legal Officer. Please go ahead.

Jesse Chew (SVP and Chief Legal Officer)

Thank you, operator, and good afternoon, everyone. Welcome to Accuray's conference call to review financial results for the first quarter of fiscal year 2024, which ended September 30th, 2023. During our call this afternoon, management will review recent corporate developments. Joining us on today's call are Suzanne Winter, Accuray's President and Chief Executive Officer, and Ali Pervaiz, Accuray's Chief Financial Officer. Before we begin, I would like to remind you that our call today includes forward-looking statements. Actual results may differ materially from those contemplated or implied by these forward-looking statements. Factors that could cause these results to differ materially are outlined in the press release we issued just after the market closed this afternoon, as well as in our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. We base the forward-looking statements on this call on the information available to us as of today's date.

We assume no obligation to update any forward-looking statements as a result of new information or future events, except to the extent required by applicable securities laws. Accordingly, you should not put undue reliance on any forward-looking statements. A few housekeeping items for today's call. First, during the Q&A session, we request that participants limit themselves to two questions and then re-queue with any follow-ups. Second, all references to a specific quarter in the prepared remarks are to our fiscal year quarters. For example, statements regarding our first quarter refer to our fiscal first quarter ending September 30th, 2023. Additionally, there will be a supplemental slide deck to accompany this call, which you can access by going directly to Accuray's Investor Relations page at investors.accuray.com. With that, let me turn the call over to Accuray's Chief Executive Officer, Suzanne Winter. Suzanne?

Suzanne Winter (President and CEO)

Thank you, Jesse. Good afternoon, and thank you for joining the call. The Accuray team had a strong start to the fiscal year, delivering on both revenue and EBITDA in the quarter. We are making great progress toward our fiscal year 2024 priorities, which include achieving above-market revenue growth through new product innovation and commercial execution, expanding margins and profitability through enhanced pricing and operating efficiencies, and competing more effectively by leveraging strategic partnerships in new product development and market access. In the quarter, we saw continued customer adoption of Accuray's CyberKnife, Radixact, and TomoTherapy platforms to enable advanced radiotherapy treatments like stereotactic radiosurgery and SBRT for patients around the world. This was driven by growth and demand for these treatment regimens, which require an extremely high degree of Precision. Accuray systems are capable of delivering stereotactic radiotherapy treatments to targets anywhere in the body.

During the quarter, we grew global revenue by 8% year-over-year, with product revenue growing 17% year-over-year, demonstrating better-than-expected customer demand in our first quarter versus the same period last year. As a reminder, revenue in radiation oncology, particularly in capital equipment, can vary from quarter to quarter, but we are encouraged by the strong start in Q1. Order backlog at $489 million is robust, representing greater than two times fiscal year 2023 product revenue. This gives us confidence in our ability to deliver on our strategic goals of faster growth in the market and gaining share this fiscal year and beyond. We also expanded our installed base of customers within the quarter to 1,040 systems, representing 5% year-over-year growth.

As we've discussed in the past, installed base growth is a critical key performance indicator for this long-cycle business because it's directly linked to service contract revenue, which is initiated at the 13 months following an average warranty period. This service contract revenue continues annually for the subsequent 10-12 years and provides a long tail of recurring revenue. Additionally, installed customers also represent market opportunity for new feature upgrades, as well as incremental services and support, like advanced training, which will further expand our service business. Finally, new order growth was also solid, outpacing product revenue shipments. While we don't guide on orders, we are very pleased to deliver to our 1.2 book-to-bill target. We see this as a strong metric to gauge future growth and grow our backlog.

In October, we participated in the American Society of Radiation Oncology conference, or ASTRO, where attendance was at historic highs with over 9,000 attendees from the radiation oncology community. We were able to drive tremendous interest in our new product innovations designed to advance care in the premium segment of the market. We showcased our new VitalHold product, which strengthens our product portfolio for the treatment of breast cancer, adding surface-guided breast treatment capabilities to our current Radixact platform. This product comes from a successful development partnership with C-RAD. Additionally, we introduced Alliance Plus value-added service and support solutions to help ensure customers maximize the clinical and operational potential of their equipment. Further, we announced Accuray Financial Services, which provides a full range of flexible financing options to customers for capital equipment acquisition.

Finally, and most exciting, we unveiled our latest introduction for the Radixact, the Cenos online adaptive capability. Cenos leverages artificial intelligence, or AI, to provide automatic contouring algorithms and remote clinical collaboration capabilities for the specific patient cases where there is an immediate need for a change in a treatment plan. Accuray's Cenos is designed to provide a faster and more practical approach to refining treatment plans compared with other industry offerings. Cenos was developed with our partnership with Limbus AI, a leading healthcare technology company that specializes in the creation of AI-based algorithms to advance cancer care. With the addition of Cenos, we believe that the Radixact system can help ensure that treatments change as patients change, to minimize dose to healthy tissue and personalize treatments. First, with Synchrony, which is designed to track, detect, and correct treatment delivery due to motion that occurs during treatment.

Second, with PreciseART offline tools to manage changes to treatment plans needed between treatment sessions. Now, with the addition of Cenos online adaptive, clinicians have the ability to modify a treatment plan on the day of treatment based on patient changes detected on the daily imaging scan. We believe that our comprehensive adaptive tool set, including Cenos, will be a key differentiator for Accuray Radixact versus competitive products, and expect it to further increase our win rates and momentum for upgrading the aged TomoTherapy install base. Cenos is 510(k) pending, and we expect to have this product available for customer order in the spring of 2024. Overall, in speaking and surveying the U.S. radiation oncology community, it was clear there was a positive outlook, backed by technology developments and emerging clinical data that demonstrate the curative impact of high-precision, personalized radiation therapy.

This gives us confidence that the long-term future for radiation oncology is very strong, despite some short-term headwinds due to the higher installation costs and longer cycles that have delayed some projects in the U.S. During the quarter, we also made significant progress on our second growth pillar of improving patient access in global segments where radiation therapy is under-penetrated and where workflow and patient throughput is a critical priority to manage the large patient backlog. In early October, we gained regulatory clearance for our domestic manufactured Tomo C platform, focused on the Type B segment in China. This represents a key milestone for Accuray. This approval unlocks the ability for our China team to drive orders and build backlog in the Type B market segment, which represents approximately $600 million in annual market opportunity.

Shipments to customers are expected to occur in fiscal Q4, pending availability of the precision treatment planning system. We believe Tomo C will become a major contributor to our China business as we now have access to the Type B market. The Type B market is the largest and fastest-growing segment compared to the Type A segment, where we have dominant market share today. Tomo C is differentiated as the only CT product with helical delivery available in China, and we expect strong commercial execution from our China team. You may have also heard that we announced at our Investor Day at ASTRO the preliminary introduction of Helix, our global value segment product, at the Indian Cancer Congress meeting that was held last week in Mumbai, India.

The introduction of Helix, which is designed and manufactured in Madison, Wisconsin, is another strong addition to our product portfolio to target this high-potential, underserved market. With Tomo C and Helix, we can now compete in the growing global value market segment and double the addressable market potential with tailored product solutions that are designed for the unique needs of high-potential emerging markets. Within the quarter, we were also proud to announce a strategic win at The Royal Marsden in the U.K., which we believe will further strengthen our brand. In our business, brand reputation is extremely important as customers make investments in technology and long-term partnerships that last for many years. The Royal Marsden is a global thought leader in radiation medicine and also the principal investigator site for the PACE trials for prostate cancer.

At ASTRO, The Royal Marsden team presented groundbreaking five-year follow-up data from the PACE B trial that compared prostate cancer outcomes for five-session SBRT treatment with conventional radiation therapy delivered in 20 sessions. These results are expected to have a significant clinical impact and drive adoption of SBRT as the new standard of care for low and intermediate-risk prostate cancer based on its benefit to patients. This study essentially eliminates the burden of time and cost for 15 additional treatment sessions. The Royal Marsden just completed the purchase of their second Radixact system this year, adding to the two CyberKnife systems currently in their equipment fleet.

This represents just one of the wins, which we believe are significant for Accuray, because they demonstrate that clinical innovation, powered by high-precision technology, is becoming essential to providing advanced care. Accuray Technology is uniquely positioned to deliver stereotactic radiosurgery and SBRT and is driving preference at top cancer centers around the world. During the quarter, I was also very pleased with our operational performance. We continued to drive margin improvement through commercial execution by gaining price for our innovations and by reducing costs through operational rigor and greater efficiencies across every area of our business. Last quarter, and at our Investor Day in October, we discussed cost optimization as a pillar in our profitability expansion plan. Last week, we announced a restructuring which included a 6% reduction of our workforce across the organization.

While these decisions are always difficult, we are confident that these actions to simplify our organization, in combination with improved processes from our investment in a new ERP system, which went live during the quarter, will strengthen our position for the future and is in line with the plan we laid out last year when Ali and I took over. Additionally, we will focus investments in areas that are critical to our growth strategy, like commercial and customer support resources, to maximize our latest product innovations and to further drive our market position and customer adoption. These actions will put Accuray in the strongest position to navigate the macro environment, invest in strategic areas of revenue and margin growth, and create long-term shareholder value. Finally, in Q1, we further enhanced our executive team with the hiring of new leadership in R&D, global service and support, and IT and cybersecurity.

These executives come with significant operating experience from such leading companies in our sector as Varian, GE Healthcare, and ABB. We will be leveraging their leadership experience to further position the company to win and gain share through innovation and unparalleled service and support. I will now turn it over to Ali, who will speak more about our financial performance.

Ali Pervaiz (CFO)

Thank you, Suzanne, and good afternoon, everyone. I would like to begin by thanking our global employees and cross-functional teams who executed with dedication to deliver a solid first quarter, while also undergoing a full-scale ERP implementation, which presented quite a few operational and reporting challenges as part of the go-live and data migration process. Despite these expected challenges and learning how to navigate a brand-new ERP environment, the teams worked around the clock to ensure a successful implementation, which we are all very proud of. Our new ERP system will be able to provide us with the right data-driven visibility to run the business in a more efficient and cost-effective manner. Turning to the financials, net revenue for the first quarter was $104 million, which was up 8% versus the prior year.

Net revenue on a constant currency basis for the first quarter was $103 million, which represents a 6.5% increase versus the prior year. Product revenue for the first quarter was $53 million, up 17% from the prior year and up 15% on a constant currency basis, representing system shipments of 24 units, which is a 14% increase versus the prior year. Service revenue for the quarter was $51 million, down 1% from the prior year and down 1% on a constant currency basis, with an increase in contract revenue being offset by lower installation, training, and spare parts revenue, which we expect to bounce back in Q2. Product growth orders for the first quarter were approximately $64 million and represented a book-to-bill ratio of 1.2.

As a reminder, our book-to-bill ratio is defined as gross orders for the period divided by product revenue for the period. As Suzanne mentioned, we believe the book-to-bill ratio is the right metric to ensure healthy growth for our backlog and is also a good indicator of future business vitality. Moving to the backlog, we ended the first quarter with an order backlog of approximately $489 million, which represents greater than two years of FY 2023 product revenue. This reported backlog is 9% lower than prior year due to 14 orders representing $31 million that aged beyond 30 months, which we do not include in our reported backlog. It is important to note that these orders aged out primarily related to customer timing, and we fully expect these to convert to revenue in the coming quarters.

In Q1, we had four previously aged out orders for approximately $9 million contribute to product revenue. Finally, we had four order cancellations of $9 million in the quarter, all coming from the Japan region due to a termination of a distributor, which we expect to win back through our existing distributors in the coming quarters. Our overall gross margin for the quarter was 38%, compared to 35.9% in the prior year, primarily due to lower parts consumption and associated freight expenses versus last year. Q1 gross margin was up 6.1 points versus the prior quarter, primarily due to lower service parts consumption and freight.

It's important to note that service parts consumption was lower in Q1, partially due to the timing of the ERP implementation within the quarter, providing a one-time cost benefit in Q1, which we expect to be offset in Q2. Operating expenses in the first quarter were $37.3 million, compared to $36.8 million in the first quarter of the prior fiscal year. Operating income for the quarter was $2.2 million, compared to an operating loss of $2.2 million from the prior year. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $6.5 million, compared to $1.9 million from the prior year. We describe the reconciliation between GAAP net income and Adjusted EBITDA in our earnings release issued today.

Turning to the balance sheet, total cash, cash equivalents, and short-term restricted cash amounted to $77 million, compared to $90 million at the end of last quarter, with the decrease primarily driven by lower unit shipments compared to prior quarter. Net accounts receivable were approximately $77 million, up $3 million from the prior quarter. Our net inventory balance was $150 million, up $5 million from the prior quarter due to lower shipments in Q1. Our teams are continuing to focus on optimizing working capital to improve our cash position. In summary, we are pleased with our Q1 results and are reiterating our full year FY 2024 guidance range of $460 million-$470 million on revenue and $27 million-$30 million on Adjusted EBITDA.

We expect first half revenue performance to be approximately 45% of the range of our guidance, with a stronger second half as some of our new product introductions start to contribute to revenue. Given the timing of our new product introductions, along with the restructuring actions we took in October that will contribute to lower OpEx in the second half, we expect our EBITDA performance in the first half of fiscal 2024 to equate to approximately 30% of the range of our guidance. Those are our key financial highlights, and with that, I'd like to hand the call back to Suzanne.

Suzanne Winter (President and CEO)

Thank you, Ali. I'm very pleased with our Q1 results and our strong start to the year. We are now offering the broadest and most innovative product portfolio in our company's history, and are poised to capitalize on promising clinical trends and opportunities in the competitive landscape. We have a defined revenue and margin expansion plan, and we are executing. Finally, we have an incredible leadership team in place that I believe is second to none in the industry. In closing, I would like to thank the entire Accuray team for the strong Q1 performance, the meaningful progress we have made against our strategic priorities, and their ongoing dedication and passion to advancing our mission and creating value for all stakeholders. I will now turn it back over to the operator for Q&A.

Operator (participant)

We will now begin the question and answer session. To ask a question, you may press Star, then one on your telephone keypad. If you are using a speakerphone, please pick up your handset before pressing the keys. If at any time your question has been addressed and you would like to withdraw your question, please press star, then two. At this time, we will pause momentarily to assemble our roster. Our first question comes from Young Li with Jefferies. Please go ahead.

Young Li (Equity Research Analyst)

All right, great. Thanks so much for taking our questions. I guess to start, maybe just with guidance, I mean, very strong results this quarter, but you're holding guidance, you know, it's one quarter into the fiscal year. So just wanted to understand the, I guess, the level of conservatism embedded in that guidance reiteration. Maybe if you can talk a little bit about, you know, what you're seeing for the order funnel into the rest of the year.

Suzanne Winter (President and CEO)

Thanks for the question, Young. And, yeah, no, I think we've had a very strong start here in Q1, and I would say that we're cautiously optimistic. You know, at the same time, we don't want to get too much ahead of ourselves. You know, a couple of things that I think we're taking a look at is, both U.S. and China. U.S., I think, you know, as we talked about here, there was some slowing and some extended sales cycles, and so we expect that that will improve in the back half of the year. And of course, some of the, discussion in China from the anti-corruption, campaign, we also expect to resolve itself in the back half of the year. But of course, we're taking a look at that.

We will know more as we get into the first half of the year and take a look at our guidance. But, I mean, overall, we feel very good about our performance and the new products that we have introduced at ASTRO, the customer response and the momentum, as well as what we are seeing operationally in terms of our margin improvement. So I would say that we, yeah, we are taking a more conservative approach to how we take a look at guidance, and we will know more in the next quarter.

Young Li (Equity Research Analyst)

All right, great, very helpful. And, I guess, for my follow-up, maybe just on the China Tomo C opportunity. You know, the approval came a few months earlier than expected. You know, there's some numbers in the, in the guidance. I guess I'm just kind of wondering if you can maybe talk a little bit more about the contribution this year, the plan for launch, and, you know, how's the tone been so far since approval?

Suzanne Winter (President and CEO)

Yep, yep. No, sounds good. No, the Tomo C is a very large growth catalyst for our business. We are very excited about the approval of the Tomo C. It did come in a little bit earlier than expected, which is fantastic. What that means is that now our China team can begin to take customer orders and build the backlog. And so they are doing that now. We've already had an internal launch ceremony in China, where we had local Tianjin government officials. It was a very big event, and so I think there's a lot of anticipation and excitement around the product. Partially because it's the only product in the type B space that is domestic made, that is a full CT helical delivery product, and so we believe the demand for the product is going to be strong.

So what we expect, you know, into Q2 in the back half of the year is, again, beginning to take orders for the Tomo C. And then, of course, from order to customer shipment, there are several months, and we expect that revenue will start to hit for Tomo C in Q4, and that's the shipments to customers. In the meantime, though, we will be shipping Tomo C to our partners so that they can start to begin building the product. We ship parts to our partner in Tianjin, and then they begin the manufacturing process and build up of finished goods. So again, a lot of excitement around the approval of Tomo C. We think we'll have the opportunity to get, you know, great market traction as well as gain market share in the Type B space.

Young Li (Equity Research Analyst)

Thank you very much.

Operator (participant)

Our next question comes from Brooks O'Neil with Lake Street Capital Markets. Please go ahead.

Brooks O'Neil (Senior Research Analyst)

Good afternoon. Congratulations on a terrific start to the year. I'll try to keep it to two questions. The first one is: inflation is a huge topic globally. Can you just talk a little bit about the pricing environment? And then maybe comment briefly about whether inflation, in general, is a positive or a negative for you and your business.

Ali Pervaiz (CFO)

Hey, Brooks, thanks for the question. You know, I would tell you, in general, in terms of inflation, we're certainly seeing that the supplier price increases have slowed down. I think that being said, we did see about a $2.5 million headwind related to inflation that hit our P&L this particular quarter, so it's certainly not eased up for us. We do have quite a few specialty, you know, supply parts that go into our products that certainly have more exposure to inflation. So it is definitely a topic that still remains for us, and we continue to monitor it really closely.

Brooks O'Neil (Senior Research Analyst)

Great. So my second question is, a couple of years ago, there was tremendous excitement about reimbursement changes that seemed to recognize both the patient and the provider benefits of your high-dose radiation therapy. Could you guys just give us a quick update on the state of any discussions about moving reimbursement in that patient and provider-friendly direction or not at this point? Thanks a lot.

Suzanne Winter (President and CEO)

Yes, Brooks. So at our Investor Day in ASTRO, we had a couple of speakers that kinda gave the state of the state in the U.S. on, you know, where RO-APM was and what some of the changes are in reimbursement. The RO-APM, as you know, was sort of put on hold. We were waiting to see if there would be any movement.

You know, the positive movement is that ASTRO has come up with their own reimbursement model, which they are proposing, that actually does take into account exactly making equity between, you know, shorter duration treatments like SBRT compared to conventional, treatments, so that the U.S. hospitals are not losing money by going to a more advanced care, which is the, again, the shorter duration treatments, which is better for the patient, better for the healthcare system overall. So, you know, that is a legislative process, so it probably will still take, you know, one year plus to be able to go through, but at least there's alignment from the industry, conference, you know, the ASTRO Industry Conference. And, you know, it's basically their design.

So we are very hopeful, and not only in getting this through the legislative process, but also the signal that it sends to U.S. customers, that this is the movement, and it is toward the shorter duration treatments. And you know, we see that as a positive thing for our technology.

Brooks O'Neil (Senior Research Analyst)

Absolutely. Makes sense. Thanks a lot, and looking forward to the rest of the year.

Suzanne Winter (President and CEO)

Thanks, Brooks.

Operator (participant)

Again, if you have a question, please press star, then one. Our next question comes from Neil Chatterjee with B. Riley. Please go ahead.

Brandon Carney (Senior Research Associate)

Hi, this is Brandon Carney for Neil. Congratulations on the strong quarter, and thanks for taking our questions. I guess just first, maybe, can you provide any update on the pending application for the Cenos's online adaptive solution? And, can you talk about any key feedback that you've received, since the introduction at ASTRO?

Suzanne Winter (President and CEO)

Yeah, thanks for the question. We had a lot of momentum and interest for Cenos, and we showed it for the first time in some private demos at the ASTRO conference. And I will tell you that the feedback was excellent. And, you know, we had a number of demonstrations, sign-ups, and we were standing room only, and they were all booked up really by the end of the first day. So we take that as a very positive sign. Now, we went into the show with Cenos 510(k) pending. You know, our expectations, just based on timelines, is that that will be available to order sometime in Q3, with shipments in the summertime. But the feedback was very positive.

First of all, again, another tool to be able to make radiation therapy treatments more precise by adjusting to patient changes, and this one being an online adaptive tool. Now, there are adaptive tools that are out there in the marketplace, but they require a lot of resources. They require additional treatment time. And so really, we learned a lot from the feedback from the existing offerings on what to do differently in Cenos and what to improve upon. So that was the kind of feedback that we got from customers. So we're really excited about its ability to make a difference in patient care, but also differentiate the Radixact platform.

Brandon Carney (Senior Research Associate)

Well, thanks for that comment. That's helpful. I guess, and then maybe, I can just ask for you to comment on the market potential for Helix in India and what kind of uptake you expect there.

Suzanne Winter (President and CEO)

I just want to make sure I heard you. The market potential for India?

Brandon Carney (Senior Research Associate)

Yes. Yes.

Suzanne Winter (President and CEO)

Yes. Yes, yes, yes. So, in India, you know, we see that as another, target site for value segment product, and that is with the introduction of the Helix. We think this is a product that is uniquely tailored for that value segment, within India, and we think the opportunity is approximately $100 million-$150 million, annually. And, so we are going to be taking a look at the high potential, high growth, emerging markets where Helix, can do very well compared to, competitive offerings. So we are excited about this being sort of our next focus after China.

Brandon Carney (Senior Research Associate)

Great. Thanks. Thanks for taking my questions.

Operator (participant)

This concludes our question and answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Suzanne Winter for any closing remarks.

Suzanne Winter (President and CEO)

Very good. Thank you very much. Well, this concludes our earnings call. We look forward to speaking with all of you again in February for our fiscal year 2024 second quarter earnings release. Thanks very much.

Operator (participant)

The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.