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Armata Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (ARMP)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 2025 reflected clinical and operational progress but mixed financials: grant revenue fell year over year to $1.16M, operating loss narrowed to $(7.78)M, and net loss widened to $(26.68)M, driven primarily by a large non‑cash loss from the convertible loan’s fair value and higher interest expense .
- Management highlighted compelling Phase 1b/2a diSArm data for AP‑SA02 in complicated S. aureus bacteremia (higher and earlier cure; 0% relapse/non‑response vs ~25% for placebo) and formally commissioned its Los Angeles cGMP facility, positioning the company for a planned Phase 3 pivotal trial start in 2026 (pending FDA feedback) .
- No formal financial guidance provided; the company reiterated its plan/timing for regulatory interactions and potential pivotal development in 2026; S&P Global consensus estimates for revenue and EPS were unavailable for Q1–Q3 2025 as of this report (S&P Global) .
- Near‑term stock catalysts center on regulatory engagement (End‑of‑Phase‑2 alignment), publication/visibility of AP‑SA02 data, and manufacturing readiness updates that de‑risk late‑stage execution .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Clinically positive diSArm results: AP‑SA02 + BAT showed higher day‑12 cure (PI 88% vs 58%; AC 83% vs 58%) and 0% relapse/non‑response vs ~25% for placebo at both later timepoints; AP‑SA02 was well‑tolerated across MRSA/MSSA .
- Manufacturing readiness achieved: the 56,000 sq. ft. cGMP facility was formally commissioned; full production runs completed with no issues, supporting late‑stage and potential commercial supply .
- Strategic posture and tone: “Compelling efficacy data… provide strong rationale for advancement of AP‑SA02 into late‑stage clinical development,” and intention to “develop a superiority pivotal trial” to establish a new SoC in complicated S. aureus bacteremia (CEO Dr. Deborah Birx) .
What Went Wrong
- Top line softness and mix: grant and award revenue declined to $1.16M from $2.97M YoY as MTEC cost‑share recognition fluctuated with program cadence .
- Bottom line pressure from non‑cash and financing items: net loss widened to $(26.68)M (vs $(5.48)M YoY) driven by $(14.64)M negative change in convertible loan fair value and $(4.35)M interest expense in the quarter .
- Balance sheet strain optics: stockholders’ deficit deepened to $(95.59)M; current liabilities increased markedly (reflecting reclassifications/term debt) relative to total assets of $89.52M as of 9/30/25 .
Financial Results
Income Statement and EPS (Quarterly)
Notes: Operating Income approximates “Operating loss” presented; all figures from company’s condensed statements or press release tables.
Balance Sheet and Liquidity Snapshots
Drivers of Net Loss (Quarterly Detail)
Clinical and Operating KPIs (Recent)
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Note: No earnings call transcript was available in the document set as of this analysis; themes reflect quarterly disclosures in press releases and 8‑K.
Management Commentary
- “Compelling efficacy data… provide strong rationale for advancement of AP‑SA02 into late‑stage clinical development… we are committed to developing a superiority pivotal trial with the goal of introducing AP‑SA02 as a new standard of care for complicated Staphylococcus aureus bacteremia…” — Dr. Deborah Birx, CEO .
- “With the full commissioning of our state‑of‑the‑art cGMP manufacturing facility… we are now operationally ready to scale production for late‑stage clinical development… with line‑of‑site to the potential initiation of a Phase 3 study in 2026…” — Dr. Deborah Birx, CEO .
- “The results of the diSArm study confirm, for the first time in a randomized clinical trial, the efficacy of intravenous phage therapy for S. aureus bacteremia…” — Dr. Loren G. Miller (IDWeek oral presenter) .
Q&A Highlights
- No earnings call transcript was available; no Q&A themes or clarifications were published in the company documents reviewed for Q3 2025.
Estimates Context
- Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) for revenue and EPS for Q1–Q3 2025 was unavailable as of this report; consequently, we cannot quantify beats/misses versus consensus (Values retrieved from S&P Global).
- Given the development‑stage profile and grant‑driven revenue, estimate frameworks likely focus on cash runway, OpEx cadence, and milestone timing rather than top‑line/EPS sensitivity (S&P Global).
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Clinical validation emerging: randomized diSArm data (higher cure; zero relapse) support a planned pivotal superiority trial and strengthen the probability of technical success for AP‑SA02 in SAB –.
- Execution de‑risking: commissioning of the LA cGMP facility reduces manufacturing risk heading into late‑stage development and potential partnering/CMO optionality .
- Pivotal timing: management is targeting a Phase 3 initiation in 2026 pending FDA feedback; near‑term catalysts include EoP2 alignment and potential additional data disclosures .
- Financial profile: operating loss narrowed YoY on lower R&D, but net loss widened due to non‑cash convertible loan fair‑value losses and rising interest expense; cash improved QoQ to $14.8M with support from Innoviva credit facilities –.
- Balance sheet optics: liabilities/current reclassifications and deficit are notable; investors should monitor debt terms, fair‑value swings, and financing plans as Phase 3 approaches .
- Estimate setup: lack of S&P Global consensus limits near‑term “beat/miss” trading, shifting focus to regulatory/milestone catalysts and operating cash burn trajectory (S&P Global).
Appendix: Additional Quantitative Detail (Q3 2025 vs Prior Year and Quarter)
Sources: Q3 2025 8‑K (Item 2.02 and Exhibit 99.1), associated press releases, and prior quarter press releases as cited above.