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Ascent Solar Technologies, Inc. (ASTI)·Q2 2022 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q2 2022 revenue grew 68% year over year to $0.64M, driven by completion of a larger order; sequentially, revenue rose vs. Q1’s $0.57M. Net loss widened YoY to $(2.31)M, but improved sequentially from Q1’s $(4.30)M .
  • Gross margin improved to 9.5% from negative 11.4% YoY and from 5.9% in Q1; operating margin remained deeply negative given under-utilization of the factory and higher operating expenses .
  • Liquidity tightened: cash fell to $0.43M and working capital moved to a $(1.09)M deficit; management raised bridge financing and signed a $5M private placement tied to Nasdaq listing, expected to close by Aug 31, 2022, with listing shortly thereafter .
  • No formal guidance or earnings call was provided; sell-side consensus from S&P Global was unavailable for EPS and revenue, limiting “beat/miss” assessment .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Revenue increased 68% YoY on a larger order; sequential gross margin improved to 9.5% from 5.9% in Q1 as volume rose off a low base .
    • Interest expense fell sharply sequentially to $32K from $2.09M in Q1 after debt-conversion-related discount amortization subsided, supporting a smaller sequential net loss .
    • Strategic focus reiterated on premium, high-value markets (aerospace/defense/UAVs), with updated investor presentation and conference participation to support capital markets and customer engagement .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Factory remains significantly under-utilized; operating loss margin stayed >300%, reflecting scale inefficiency and elevated R&D/manufacturing and SG&A spend .
    • Liquidity risk persists (going concern); cash dropped to $0.43M and working capital turned negative, requiring external financing to fund operations .
    • Extreme customer concentration: one customer represented 91% of product revenue in Q2, heightening revenue volatility and execution risk .

Financial Results

MetricQ2 2021Q1 2022Q2 2022
Revenue ($USD)$380,488 $566,210 $637,571
Net Income ($USD)$(1,692,939) $(4,297,249) $(2,312,785)
Diluted EPS ($USD)$(0.46) $(0.20) $(0.08)
Gross Profit Margin %−11.4% (calc from )5.9% (calc from )9.5% (calc from )
EBIT (Operating Income) ($USD)$(1,757,703) $(2,210,933) $(2,282,415)
EBIT Margin %−461.7% (calc from )−390.5% (calc from )−357.9% (calc from )
Net Income Margin %−444.9% (calc from )−758.6% (calc from )−362.7% (calc from )
Interest Expense ($USD)$169,472 $2,086,314 $32,370
Consensus Revenue Estimaten/a (SPGI unavailable)n/a (SPGI unavailable)n/a (SPGI unavailable)
Consensus EPS Estimaten/a (SPGI unavailable)n/a (SPGI unavailable)n/a (SPGI unavailable)

Revenue mix and operating metrics:

Revenue Mix ($USD)Q2 2021Q1 2022Q2 2022
Product Revenue$380,488 $54,210 $627,571
Milestone & Engineering Revenue$0 $512,000 $10,000

Liquidity snapshot and share metrics:

KPIQ1 2022Q2 2022
Cash & Equivalents ($USD)$3,028,362 $429,272
Working Capital ($USD)$1,439,461 $(1,085,161)
Weighted Avg Shares (Basic)21,671,248 30,587,415

Customer and AR concentration:

KPIQ2 2021Q2 2022
Top Customer % of Product Revenue96% 91%
AR Concentration (Top 2 Customers)n/a49% (customer 1), 48% (customer 2)

Notes: Gross, EBIT and net margins are computed from cited revenue and cost/income figures.

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
RevenueFY/Q2 2022None providedNone providedMaintained (no guidance)
Margins/OpEx/TaxFY/Q2 2022None providedNone providedMaintained (no guidance)
Capital MarketsAug–Sep 2022n/a$1M bridge (Aug 3), $5M private placement expected to close by Aug 31; Nasdaq listing targeted shortly after closingNew financing and listing plan

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

No earnings call transcript was available for Q2 2022. Themes are drawn from 10-Q MD&A and 8-K materials.

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q2 2021/Q1 2022)Current Period (Q2 2022)Trend
Premium market focus (Aerospace/Defense/UAVs)Emphasis on high-value verticals; commercialization strategy detailed Reiterated focus; continued product and customer development Consistent execution
Factory utilization and margin pathUnder-utilization highlighted; margin improvement targeted via volume Under-utilization persists; focus remains on utilization to improve gross margin Gradual improvement as volume rises
Liquidity/going concernNeed for financing; cash usage noted Working capital deficit; bridge note and private placement pursued; Nasdaq listing plan Financing actions accelerated
Customer/program concentrationTubeSolar NRE and major customer reliance One customer 91% of product revenue; AR concentrated Concentration remains high
Capital markets/investor outreachn/aH.C. Wainwright conference participation and updated corporate presentation Increased outreach

Management Commentary

  • “We target high-value specialty solar markets. These include aerospace, defense, emergency management and consumer/OEM applications.”
  • “Management believes our factory is significantly under-utilized, and a substantial increase in revenue would result in marginal increases to Direct Labor and Overhead… focus… to improve gross margin through increased sales and improved utilization.”
  • “We continue to design and manufacture PV integrated portable power applications for commercial and military users…”
  • “As a result of the Company’s recurring losses… there is uncertainty regarding… ability to maintain liquidity… which raises doubt as to… ability to continue as a going concern.”

Q&A Highlights

No Q2 2022 earnings call or Q&A transcript was found; no formal guidance clarifications were issued [Search yielded none].

Estimates Context

  • Attempts to retrieve S&P Global (SPGI) Wall Street consensus estimates for Q2 2022 EPS and revenue returned no usable data; coverage appears unavailable for ASTI at this time .
  • As a result, “beat/miss” vs. estimates cannot be assessed; investors should monitor for future coverage initiation and company-provided targets.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Revenue trajectory improved YoY and sequentially, with gross margin turning positive; however, absolute scale remains small and operating losses are high due to under-utilization—near-term trading could be sensitive to order timing and volume ramp .
  • Liquidity is the central risk: cash of $0.43M and negative working capital drove bridging and private placement tied to Nasdaq listing; closing/listing are near-term catalysts and gating factors for execution runway .
  • Sequential drop in interest expense post Q1 debt discount amortization materially improved bottom-line trends; watch capital structure evolution and dilution from conversions/financings .
  • Customer concentration remains extreme (91% of product revenue); diversifying the base and converting pipeline in premium markets (aerospace/defense/UAVs) is key to smoothing revenue and strengthening margins .
  • Without formal guidance or sell-side coverage, investors should anchor on operational KPIs: order flow, production utilization, gross margin progression, and cash runway events (financing/listing milestones) .
  • Medium-term thesis depends on successfully scaling in high-value applications where ASTI’s lightweight, flexible PV confers pricing power; execution could drive operating leverage once utilization improves .

Appendix notes:

  • Press release and investor outreach: participation in H.C. Wainwright conference; updated corporate presentation (strategy, markets, technology) .
  • Financing and listing plan: $1M bridge note, $5M private placement, conditional Nasdaq approval prerequisite, expected close by Aug 31 with listing shortly after .