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ATN International, Inc. (ATNI)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q2 2025 revenue was $181.3M, down 1% year over year; Adjusted EBITDA was $45.8M, down 6% YoY; diluted EPS was $(0.56) as restructuring charges and the absence of prior-year asset sale gains weighed on profitability .
  • Versus S&P Global consensus, revenue missed ($184.7M* est. vs $181.3M actual) and Primary EPS marginally missed (-$0.07* est. vs -$0.098* actual); GAAP diluted EPS was much lower at $(0.56), reflecting non-GAAP adjustments and one-time items [functions.GetEstimates]* .
  • Management reaffirmed FY 2025 guidance: revenue (ex-construction) “in line” with 2024’s $725M, Adjusted EBITDA “flat” vs $184M, net CapEx $90–$100M, and Net Debt Ratio flat/slightly improved from 2.54x; dividend was increased 15% to $0.275/share .
  • CEO emphasized stronger cash generation, simplification and cost discipline; US segment remains in transition amid subsidy wind-down, with sequential traction in carrier services and fiber deployments; international performance is stabilizing with postpaid growth and lower churn .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • International segment showed improving subscriber quality: postpaid +4% YoY; blended churn improved for a second consecutive quarter, pointing to better network performance and retention .
  • Operational cash generation strengthened: net cash from operations for H1 rose to $59.8M (+2% YoY) with working capital improvements; cash increased to $113.3M and Net Debt Ratio was 2.58x .
  • Dividend increased 15% to $0.275/share, signaling confidence in cash flow and capital allocation discipline .
  • Quote: “Our focus on simplification, operational stability, and disciplined capital allocation is driving stronger cash generation” — Brad Martin, CEO .

What Went Wrong

  • Revenue miss vs consensus and YoY decline (-1% to $181.3M) driven by US subsidy wind-down and legacy consumer exits; Adjusted EBITDA fell 6% YoY to $45.8M .
  • Operating income plunged to $0.2M vs $24.3M last year, as the prior-year quarter contained a $15.9M asset sale gain and Q2 2025 incurred $4.9M restructuring/reorganization charges; US Telecom Adjusted EBITDA declined to $18.3M (-16.7% YoY) .
  • Consumer broadband customers decreased 5% YoY (200.3k vs 211.4k) amid transition away from legacy technologies; total international mobile subs were down 1% YoY .

Financial Results

Consolidated Performance vs Prior Periods

MetricQ4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Revenue ($USD Millions)$180.5 $179.3 $181.3
Operating Income ($USD Millions)$8.7 $2.7 $0.2
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$46.2 $44.3 $45.8
Net Income Attributable to ATN ($USD Millions)$3.6 $(8.9) $(7.0)
Diluted EPS ($USD)$0.14 $(0.69) $(0.56)

Segment Breakdown (Q2 2025)

Metric ($USD Millions)International TelecomUS TelecomTotal ATN
Total Revenue$94.9 $86.4 $181.3
Mobility$26.3 $0.1 $26.3
Fixed$61.7 $51.4 $113.1
Carrier Services$3.4 $29.8 $33.2
Construction$0.0 $2.2 $2.2
Adjusted EBITDA$33.3 $18.3 $45.8

KPIs

KPIQ2 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
HSD Broadband Homes Passed396,100 427,300 427,500
HSD Broadband Customers140,600 141,300 141,900
Broadband Customers (Total)211,400 199,800 200,300
Fiber Route Miles11,880 11,944 11,957
International Mobile Subscribers (Prepaid)339,000 332,300 332,300
International Mobile Subscribers (Postpaid)57,900 59,600 60,200
Blended Churn3.44% 3.32% 3.09%

Results vs Wall Street Consensus (S&P Global)

MetricQ1 2025Q2 2025
Revenue Consensus Mean ($USD Millions)*178.7*184.7*
Revenue Actual ($USD Millions)179.3 181.3
Primary EPS Consensus Mean ($USD)*-0.10*-0.07*
Primary EPS Actual ($USD)*-0.329*-0.098*
GAAP Diluted EPS ($USD)-0.69 -0.56

Values retrieved from S&P Global.*

Highlights: Q2 revenue missed consensus by ~$3.4M; S&P Primary EPS slightly missed; GAAP EPS reflects larger loss due to restructuring and prior-year gains absent [functions.GetEstimates]*.

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious Guidance (Q4 2024)Current Guidance (Q2 2025)Change
Revenue (ex-construction)FY 2025In line with 2024 ($725M) In line with 2024 ($725M) Maintained
Adjusted EBITDAFY 2025Essentially flat vs $184M (FY24) Essentially flat vs $184M (FY24) Maintained
Net CapEx (net of reimbursements)FY 2025$90–$100M $90–$100M Maintained
Net Debt RatioFY 2025Flat/slight improvement vs 2.54x YE 2024 Flat/slight improvement vs 2.54x YE 2024 Maintained
DividendQ2 2025$0.24 prior (Q1 paid) $0.275 (+15%) Raised

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 2025)Current Period (Q2 2025)Trend
Subsidy wind-down impact (US)Revenue pressure from ECF/ACP exit; transition to carrier/business and fiber Continued YoY revenue headwind; sequential traction in carrier services and construction Stabilizing with mix shift
International mobile/postpaid & churnPostpaid growth; ARPU uplift; efficient operations Postpaid +4% YoY; churn improved for second straight quarter; better retention Improving
Grant-funded builds (US)~$370M pipeline; 50% targeted for completion in 2025; monetization mostly 2026–2027 “$300M+” broadband initiatives proceeding; over half slated for 2025 completion; near-term revenue modest Execution progressing; monetization later
Tariffs/macroMonitoring tariffs; supply chain largely insulated; FX exposure limited Not expecting short-term impact; labor/materials access adequate; permitting may improve Manageable
Restructuring/cost actionsExpected further reorg costs in Q2 Q2 restructuring charges ($4.9M); residual lower in Q3 Front-loaded; declining ahead
Capital allocationLower CapEx, focus on cash flow and deleveraging Dividend raised; cash up to $113.3M; Net Debt Ratio 2.58x Strengthening liquidity

Management Commentary

  • “Our second quarter results were in line with our expectations… In the U.S., the wind-down of subsidy programs and our transition away from legacy consumer service technologies continues to impact year-over-year revenue performance. However, we are beginning to see sequential improvements…” — Brad Martin, CEO .
  • “We are executing against a clear set of priorities—managing costs, strengthening cash flow, and positioning our network and services for sustainable growth.” — Carlos Doglioli, CFO .
  • “We are moving forward with more than $300,000,000 in broadband infrastructure initiatives backed by government funding, with more than half of these projects slated for completion in 2025.” — Management prepared remarks .
  • Q2 cost actions: “Cost containment efforts resulted in a reduction in SG&A… partially offset by restructuring and reorganization expenses totaling $4.9M” .

Q&A Highlights

  • Fiber build environment: management not seeing labor/materials constraints yet; expects permitting policy changes to help pace; confident capacity meets needs .
  • Structural options: queried about fiber assets REIT-like structure; management has not pursued, but monitors asset-backed securitization opportunities .
  • US inflection timing: pipeline building in carrier managed services and rural healthcare; expecting improvements in H2 as federal/state cycles and Q4 consumer strength play through .
  • Policy/tax bill effects: current read is minimal short-term impact to cash taxes; some elements (bonus depreciation) favorable if enacted .
  • Restructuring cadence: Q2 charges higher than expected as actions pulled forward; residual to occur in Q3 at lower levels .

Estimates Context

  • Coverage is thin (Q2: 2 revenue estimates, 1 EPS estimate), increasing the volatility of consensus comparisons [functions.GetEstimates]*.
  • Q2 revenue missed: $181.3M actual vs $184.7M consensus mean — driven by US subsidy wind-down and legacy exit, partly offset by construction revenue [functions.GetEstimates]*.
  • S&P Primary EPS slightly missed (-$0.098* actual vs -$0.07* consensus), while GAAP diluted EPS was $(0.56) reflecting restructuring, non-cash stock comp, and absence of prior-year asset gains [functions.GetEstimates]*.
  • Expect estimate revisions to reflect maintained FY guidance, lower Q3 restructuring, and H2 skew from carrier services traction and international stability .

Values retrieved from S&P Global.*

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • The print was mixed: top-line and S&P Primary EPS modest misses vs consensus; guidance reaffirmed and dividend raised signal confidence in cash generation — likely supportive for medium-term sentiment [functions.GetEstimates]*.
  • International stabilization (postpaid growth, churn improvement) reduces risk to EBITDA while US transitions continue; watch H2 carrier services and construction revenue contributions for sequential uplift .
  • Restructuring front-loaded in Q2; expect lower charges in Q3, aiding near-term margin optics; monitor incremental cost actions and SG&A discipline .
  • Liquidity improved (cash $113.3M, Net Debt Ratio 2.58x); moderated net CapEx ($90–$100M) and reimbursed builds support FCF resilience through 2025 .
  • Near-term trading setup: any relief rally likely tied to maintained guide and dividend hike; risk remains on US legacy revenue declines and timing of grant monetization; watch carrier services pipeline conversion and Q3/Q4 seasonality .
  • Medium-term thesis: fiber-led and carrier-managed services growth, international broadband scale, and disciplined capital allocation underpin return to growth in 2026+ as grant projects monetize and cost actions flow through .
  • Monitoring items: BEAD timing slippage, tariff/regulatory changes, competitive intensity in prepaid, and execution in converting legacy consumer services to fiber/fixed wireless .