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AC

ATRION CORP (ATRI)·Q3 2023 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 2023 was soft but showed a decelerating decline: revenue $41.91M (-6% YoY), operating income $4.07M (-58% YoY), net income $2.94M and diluted EPS $1.67; management highlighted sequential improvement in YoY revenue declines (Q1: -15%, Q2: -10%, Q3: -6%) as customers work through excess inventories .
  • Misses were driven by OEM order deferrals (customer inventory digestion), component shortages limiting MPS 3 console sales, and temporary production halts which hurt overhead absorption; one-time manufacturing write-offs also weighed on the quarter .
  • Management expects the burdens on operating income (overhead absorption effects and one-time write-offs) to abate and anticipates positive revenue and operating income comps in 2024 as inventory pressures ease .
  • Consensus estimates from S&P Global for Q3 2023 EPS and revenue were unavailable; therefore, “vs. estimates” analysis is N/A. This limits near-term beat/miss framing and could temper stock reaction to fundamentals and commentary rather than expectations variance [Internet: https://www.marketbeat.com/earnings/reports/2023-11-7-atrion-co-stock/] (S&P Global consensus unavailable via tool).

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Decelerating YoY revenue declines as customer inventory normalization progresses (Q1: -15%; Q2: -10%; Q3: -6%), suggesting improving demand trajectory into 2024 .
    • Management expects overhead absorption headwinds and one-time write-offs not to continue into 2024, supporting margin recovery potential .
    • Liquidity remains adequate with total cash and investments ~$14.0M as of September 30, 2023, providing flexibility during normalization .
  • What Went Wrong

    • OEM customers deferred orders due to excess inventories accumulated during 2022 supply chain shortages, depressing Q3 volumes .
    • Component shortages constrained direct sales of MPS 3 consoles, creating unmet demand in higher-value items .
    • Temporary production stoppages on high-volume products to avoid building excess inventory materially reduced overhead absorption, driving a 58% YoY decline in operating income; one-time manufacturing write-offs further pressured profitability .

Financial Results

Headline P&L and margins (YoY and QoQ)

MetricQ3 2022Q2 2023Q3 2023
Revenue ($M)$44.63 $43.84 $41.91
Gross Profit ($M)$17.65 $17.25 $13.74
Gross Margin (%)39.6% 39.4% 32.8%
Operating Income ($M)$9.60 $7.38 $4.07
Operating Margin (%)21.5% 16.8% 9.7%
Net Income ($M)$8.84 $6.56 $2.94
Diluted EPS ($)$4.94 $3.73 $1.67

Notes:

  • Margins computed from reported figures; underlying revenue, gross profit, and operating income are cited above .

Balance sheet and operating KPIs (point-in-time)

KPIQ3 2022Q2 2023Q3 2023
Cash & Short-Term Investments ($M)$25.88 $5.44 $4.50
Long-Term Investments ($M)$8.67 $10.19 $9.47
Total Cash + Investments ($M)$34.55 $15.62 ~$14.0 (text); $13.97 from components
Accounts Receivable ($M)$23.95 $23.69 $23.29
Inventories ($M)$65.79 $80.25 $82.95
Line of Credit (Drawn, $M)$0.00 $3.84 $4.50

Context vs prior quarters

  • Q3 revenue fell 6% YoY and 4% QoQ; gross margin compressed to 32.8% on under-absorption from production pauses and one-time write-offs; operating margin declined QoQ and YoY .
  • Inventories rose YoY as OEMs deferred orders; liquidity remained adequate with ~$14M total investments and cash, while the company drew $4.5M on its credit line by quarter-end .

Segment breakdown / KPIs

  • The press release did not provide a formal segment revenue breakout. Management cited OEM deferrals and MPS 3 console component shortages as key product-line dynamics .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Revenue2024 (qualitative)None providedExpect positive YoY comparison vs 2023 as inventory digestion easesDirectional positive (qualitative)
Operating Income2024 (qualitative)None providedExpect positive YoY comparison vs 2023; overhead absorption and one-time write-off burdens not expected to continueDirectional positive (qualitative)
MPS 3 consolesNear-termNone providedDemand constrained by components in Q3; new suppliers added to resolve shortages (Q2 update)Supply constraints being addressed
Formal quantitative guidanceN/AN/ANot issuedN/A

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

No earnings call transcript was available in our document set; themes below reflect management’s press releases.

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 2023)Previous Mentions (Q2 2023)Current Period (Q3 2023)Trend
Customer inventory digestionUnexpected delivery pushouts; inventories normalizing slower amid macro caution Customers continued to reduce inventories OEM sales negatively impacted by order deferrals; YoY declines decelerating (-15%, -10%, -6%) Improving trajectory as digestion progresses
Supply chain/componentsNoted execution investments completing by June 2023 Supply shortages impacted critical fluid delivery and cardiovascular products incl. MPS 3; onboarding new suppliers MPS 3 sales limited by inability to obtain sufficient components Constraints persist but being addressed
Capacity/operationsMulti-year investments near completion (efficiency/quality) Florida expansion; installing/validating equipment to fill backorders, reduce lead times Temporarily stopped certain high-volume production to prevent excess inventory; hurt absorption; one-time write-offs Short-term margin headwinds, set to ease in 2024
Outlook/ToneExpect further delivery deferrals near term No formal guide; actions underway to improve performance Expect positive revenue and operating income comps in 2024 Cautiously constructive

Management Commentary

  • “As was the case in the first two quarters of 2023, OEM sales in the third quarter of 2023 were negatively impacted by customers deferring orders as they dealt with excess inventories… Looking at the 2023 quarters sequentially… in the first quarter… revenues were down 15%; in the second quarter… down 10%; and in the just-ended third quarter… down 6%.” — David Battat, President & CEO .
  • “Operating income in the just-ended quarter was down 58%… primarily due to our decision to temporarily stop production of certain high-volume products… [which] greatly impacted overhead absorption… [and] one-time write offs. We do not expect either of these burdens… to continue into 2024.” — David Battat .
  • “Production of certain critical fluid delivery and cardiovascular products, including MPS 3 consoles, remains impacted by supply chain shortages. New suppliers have been brought online to resolve remaining shortages more quickly.” — Q2 release .

Q&A Highlights

  • An earnings call transcript for Q3 2023 was not available in our document set; as such, Q&A themes and specific analyst questions/clarifications cannot be assessed [ListDocuments showed none; earnings-call-transcript not found].

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global consensus for Q3 2023 EPS and revenue was unavailable via our estimates tool; therefore, variance-to-consensus cannot be determined. MarketBeat also indicates “N/A” for consensus metrics on the date of the release [Internet: https://www.marketbeat.com/earnings/reports/2023-11-7-atrion-co-stock/].
MetricActualConsensus (S&P Global)Variance
Revenue ($M)$41.91 N/AN/A
Diluted EPS ($)$1.67 N/AN/A

Where estimates may need to adjust

  • With management signaling improving comps in 2024 and the abatement of overhead absorption dynamics, models may need higher 2024 revenue and operating income assumptions vs. 2023, contingent on pace of OEM reorder normalization and MPS 3 component availability .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • OEM inventory digestion remains the key overhang but is improving; management’s noted deceleration in YoY declines suggests the worst may be behind, setting up better 2024 comps .
  • Q3 margin compression was largely driven by controllable/temporary factors (production pauses to avoid excess inventory, one-time write-offs), which management does not expect to recur in 2024, supporting potential margin recovery .
  • Supply constraints on MPS 3 consoles and other critical products persisted into Q3; onboarding of suppliers is underway, which could unlock higher-value sales when fully normalized .
  • Liquidity remains sufficient (total cash and investments ~$14.0M) with modest credit line usage ($4.5M), providing operational flexibility as demand normalizes .
  • Near-term trading likely hinges on evidence of reorder activity resuming (orders/backlog visibility) and updates on component availability; absence of consensus estimates reduces headline beat/miss catalysts [Internet: https://www.marketbeat.com/earnings/reports/2023-11-7-atrion-co-stock/].
  • Medium-term thesis: as OEM inventories normalize and MPS 3 supply constraints ease, volumes and absorption should improve; watch for sustained gross margin recovery toward historical levels and validation that one-time cost items do not repeat .