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AVENUE THERAPEUTICS, INC. (ATXI)·Q1 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Avenue reported Q1 2024 net loss of $4.3M and diluted EPS of $(15.40); operating expenses were $3.7M, reflecting higher R&D as AJ201 and BAER-101 advanced .
  • Cash and equivalents rose to $3.19M at March 31, 2024, supported by ~$9.4M gross proceeds from warrant exercises in January and May; an additional $4.4M was raised in May via warrant inducement .
  • Pipeline milestones were emphasized: AJ201 topline data targeted for mid-2024; IV tramadol Phase 3 safety study protocol agreed with FDA, with completion and submission to FDA expected within 12 months of study initiation; BAER-101 Phase 2a planned subject to financing/partnership .
  • The company effected a 1-for-75 reverse split in April to address Nasdaq bid-price compliance and received a Nasdaq Panel extension to May 20, 2024 for compliance on bid price and stockholders’ equity, highlighting ongoing listing risk as a catalyst .
  • No Q1 2024 earnings call transcript was found; Wall Street consensus estimates via S&P Global were unavailable at the time of query, limiting beat/miss assessment [functions.ListDocuments] [functions.GetEstimates].

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • AJ201 progressed with anticipated topline Phase 1b/2a data in mid-2024; CEO: “We made significant strides advancing our lead clinical program, AJ201…” .
  • FDA alignment on IV tramadol Phase 3 safety study design and statistical analysis; company believes the study can be completed and submitted to FDA within 12 months of initiation .
  • BAER-101 preclinical data showed full seizure suppression in the GAERS model at 0.3 mg/kg (PO), supporting Phase 2a initiation pending financing/partnership .

What Went Wrong

  • Continued losses and reliance on external financing; net loss of $4.3M in Q1 2024 and accumulated deficit of $(95.3)M underscore ongoing funding needs .
  • Nasdaq listing risk persisted; Panel granted extension through May 20, 2024 to regain compliance with bid-price and equity rules; reverse split executed to aid bid-price but equity compliance remained a hurdle .
  • No revenues and no earnings call transcript this quarter, limiting investor visibility into management’s real-time commentary and Q&A clarifications [functions.ListDocuments].

Financial Results

Sequential Comparison (Quarterly)

MetricQ3 2023Q4 2023Q1 2024
Revenues ($USD Millions)$0.00 N/A (not disclosed separately) $0.00
Total Operating Expenses ($USD Millions)$2.07 N/A (not disclosed separately) $3.71
Net Income (Loss) ($USD Millions)$0.51 N/A (not disclosed separately) $(4.35)
Diluted EPS ($USD)$0.06 N/A (not disclosed separately) $(15.40)

Notes: Q4 2023 reported on a full-year basis; quarter-specific figures were not provided in filings/press releases .

Year-over-Year Comparison (Q1)

MetricQ1 2023Q1 2024
Revenues ($USD Millions)$0.00 $0.00
R&D Expenses ($USD Millions)$1.22 $2.39
R&D – Licenses Acquired ($USD Millions)$4.23 $0.00
G&A Expenses ($USD Millions)$0.98 $1.32
Loss from Operations ($USD Millions)$(6.43) $(3.71)
Net Income (Loss) ($USD Millions)$(7.60) $(4.35)
Diluted EPS ($USD)$(101.57) $(15.40)
Weighted Avg Shares (Thousands)74.2 562.0

Balance Sheet / KPIs

MetricDec 31, 2023Mar 31, 2024
Cash and Cash Equivalents ($USD Millions)$1.78 $3.19
Accounts Payable & Accrued Expenses ($USD Millions)$0.29 $0.65
Accounts Payable & Accrued – Related Party ($USD Millions)$0.32 $0.35
Warrant Liability ($USD Millions)$0.59 $0.41
Total Assets ($USD Millions)$1.85 $3.31
Total Stockholders’ Equity ($USD Millions)$0.65 $1.90
Common Shares Outstanding (Thousands)341.3 590.2

Segment breakdown: Not applicable; Company is pre-revenue with R&D-driven operating model .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
AJ201 topline Phase 1b/2a data timing2024“Topline data… in second quarter of 2024” (FY 2023 update, Mar 18) “Topline data… in the middle of 2024” (May 15) Maintained (minor wording shift from Q2 to mid-2024)
IV tramadol Phase 3 safety studyInitiation + timeline“Final agreement reached with FDA; aims to initiate as soon as feasible” “Final agreement… aims to initiate as soon as feasible; study can be completed and submitted to FDA within 12 months of initiation” Clarified timeline (added 12-month completion/filing expectation)
BAER-101 Phase 2a2024“Plans to initiate Phase 2a subject to financing/partnership” Same; reiteration of financing dependency Maintained
Nasdaq complianceThrough May 20, 2024Extension granted through May 20, 2024 (Panel decision) 1-for-75 reverse split implemented in April; expectation to aid $1.00 bid price compliance Executed action to address bid-price; compliance pending

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

No Q1 2024 earnings call transcript was found in the document catalog, so themes rely on company press releases and 8-Ks [functions.ListDocuments].

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q3 2023, Q4 2023)Current Period (Q1 2024)Trend
R&D execution (AJ201)Trial enrollment completed; topline data expected Q2 2024 ; enrollment on track; KOL/meeting visibility “Look forward to reporting topline data in the middle of 2024” On track; timing reiterated
Regulatory/legal (IV tramadol)Reached agreement on Phase 3 safety study design/statistics Final agreement with FDA; study can be completed and submitted within 12 months of initiation Greater clarity; execution pending financing
Financing/liquidityFollow-on offering $5.0M gross (Nov 2023) ; cash $1.78M at YE 2023 Warrant exercises raised ~$9.4M gross (Jan & May); cash $3.19M at 3/31/24 Improved liquidity; still pre-revenue
Nasdaq listingPanel extension through May 20, 2024 1-for-75 reverse split in April to address $1 bid price Actions taken; compliance risk persists
BAER-101 (technology)Preclinical data presented; supports Phase 2a Preclinical efficacy reiterated; Phase 2a subject to financing/partnership Consistent narrative; funding gate

Management Commentary

  • CEO on Q1 execution: “The first quarter was incredibly productive… significant strides advancing our lead clinical program, AJ201… continued to showcase the potential of BAER-101… reached agreement with the U.S. FDA on the safety study design… setting this program up for a successful Phase 3 study as soon as the necessary funding is acquired.”
  • FY 2023 CEO context: “Within nine months of acquiring… AJ201, we dosed the first patient… and completed trial enrollment… remain on track to report topline data for AJ201 in the second quarter of 2024.”
  • Q3 2023 CEO remarks: “We… reached alignment with the U.S. FDA on key aspects of the Phase 3 safety study design for IV tramadol… positive study results have the potential to support an approval in acute post-operative pain.”

Q&A Highlights

  • No earnings call transcript for Q1 2024 was found; therefore, no analyst Q&A highlights or clarifications to report [functions.ListDocuments].

Estimates Context

  • Attempts to retrieve S&P Global Wall Street consensus for Q1 2024 EPS and revenue failed due to request limits; consensus appears unavailable at time of query, limiting beat/miss analysis [functions.GetEstimates].
  • Avenue remains pre-revenue; investor focus centers on R&D milestones and financing cadence rather than near-term revenue/EPS comparisons .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Near-term catalysts: AJ201 topline data targeted for mid-2024; positive safety/efficacy could be stock-moving in a rare disease with unmet need .
  • IV tramadol Phase 3 safety study is operationally ready; management believes it can complete and submit to FDA within 12 months of initiation—timeline clarity adds value if financing is secured .
  • Liquidity improved via ~$9.4M gross proceeds from warrant exercises; cash rose to $3.19M at quarter end, but continued cash burn and program funding needs persist .
  • Nasdaq compliance actions (reverse split) executed; extension through May 20, 2024 underscores binary listing risk as an overhang/catalyst .
  • BAER-101 preclinical profile supports Phase 2a; partnering could de-risk financing while enabling development in epilepsies .
  • No revenues; results driven by operating expenses and fair value changes; valuation/disclosures hinge on clinical/regulatory progress and capital access .
  • Absence of an earnings call limits qualitative color; watch for subsequent updates, KOL events, or filings to refine timelines and funding plans [functions.ListDocuments].