AI
authID Inc. (AUID)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Net revenue printed negative due to one-time concessions and ceased revenue recognition on two customer contracts, overshadowing gross revenue growth; net revenue was $(0.11)M vs $0.25M in Q3’24 and $1.44M in Q2’25 . Operating expenses rose to $5.1M (+36% YoY), driving net loss of $5.2M and EPS of $(0.38) vs $(0.31) YoY .
- Booked ARR (BAR) target for FY 2025 cut from $18M to $6M amid longer enterprise sales cycles; management focuses on “FAT100” customers and channel partners to stabilize growth .
- Enterprise validation continued: full production agreement with a top-20 global retailer, NESIC/NEC integration, MajorKey collaboration, and a fintech integrating authID with first bank go‑live targeted in Q4’25 .
- KPIs whipsawed: ARR rose YoY to $1.7M from $1.0M but fell sharply QoQ from $5.8M; RPO dropped to $3.6M from $13.8M in Q2 on concessions/collection issues, which management expects to recover as bookings close .
- Near-term stock narrative likely hinges on Q4 execution: closing enterprise deals, the bank go‑live, and rebuilding RPO; negative net revenue and guidance cut are headwinds, partly offset by partner/customer validation in biometrics and agentic AI .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Signed full production with a top‑20 global retailer in Europe after a successful live trial; deployment secures identity verification and password reset, initially for back office with scope to expand across retail stores .
- Launched Identity Exchange (IDX) with NESIC (NEC subsidiary) to bind human identity to AI agents, enabling accountable agentic AI at enterprise scale; expands TAM in identity and agentic AI security .
- Partner traction: MajorKey announced IDProof+ co-developed with authID; fintech platform integrating Proof and PrivacyKey for ~100+ banks with the first bank targeted to go live this year .
Quote: “We’ve evolved from a promising technology concept into a trusted partner for global leaders in retail, finance, and identity security” — CEO Rhon Daguro .
What Went Wrong
- Negative net revenue in Q3 from ~$0.7M concessions and cessation of revenue recognition on a 2024-signed partner pending amended terms and usage ramp; gross revenue was $0.6M but net revenue fell to $(0.11)M .
- RPO plunged QoQ to $3.6M from $13.8M as contracted revenue was recognized and adjusted for concessions/payment issues; slightly below $3.8M in Q3’24 .
- Operating expenses rose to $5.1M (+$1.4M YoY) on sales/R&D headcount, expanding adjusted EBITDA loss to $4.1M vs $2.9M YoY; net loss widened to $5.2M vs $3.4M YoY .
Financial Results
Quarterly Sequential Performance
Notes: EBITDA margin and net income margin are not meaningful due to negative net revenue in Q3 .
Year-over-Year (Q3 2024 vs Q3 2025)
KPIs and Contracting Metrics
Balance Sheet note: Cash at 9/30/25 was $4.9M; total stockholders’ equity $8.9M .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
Prepared remarks highlights:
- CEO: “Validation we’re seeing from companies like NESIC, Prove, MajorKey, and a top-tier global retailer confirms that authID’s biometric authentication and Agentic AI security technologies are setting new standards for accountability and trust” .
- CFO on revenue adjustments: “Net revenue… was a negative $0.1 million… concessions totaling $0.7 million… ceased revenue recognition for a 2024 partner… adjusted contract balances to reflect only ~$0.4 million paid to date” .
- CFO on RPO drop: “As of September 30, 2025, total RPO was $3.6 million, a decrease of approximately $10.9 million over the prior quarter… expect [RPO] to resume its upward trend as we gain traction closing deals” .
Important quotes:
- “We are going to be the most important company leading [agentic AI security]” — CEO Rhon Daguro .
- “Adjusted EBITDA loss was $4.1 million for Q3… primarily due to increased headcount investment in sales and R&D” — CFO Ed Sellitto .
Q&A Highlights
- The call concluded without a substantive Q&A; operator closed the program after prepared remarks and closing comments .
- No additional guidance clarifications beyond prepared commentary were discussed .
Estimates Context
- Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) for Q3 2025 EPS and revenue was unavailable; GetEstimates returned no consensus values for EPS, revenue, EBITDA, target price, or recommendation. As such, estimate comparisons cannot be made for Q3 [Values retrieved from S&P Global].*
*Consensus values unavailable via S&P Global; actuals per company filings.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Near-term risk: negative net revenue and sharp RPO compression due to concessions and revenue recognition cessation; monitor for renegotiation progress and usage ramps with affected customers .
- Validation/catalysts: enterprise production win with a top‑20 global retailer, NESIC/NEC integration, and MajorKey/fintech go‑lives can re-accelerate ARR/RPO in Q4–Q1 if executed .
- Guidance reset: BAR target lowered to $6M reflects longer enterprise cycles; execution on the $20M+ pipeline is key to restoring confidence and visibility .
- Watch Q4 milestones: first bank go‑live on fintech platform, additional enterprise closures, and evidence of RPO rebuilding; these could be stock-positive narrative shifts .
- Cost trajectory: OpEx stepped up for sales/R&D; absent revenue scale, adjusted EBITDA loss widened; sustained cost discipline or improved conversion needed to extend cash runway (cash $4.9M at 9/30/25) .
- KPIs volatility: ARR fell QoQ (5.8M → 1.7M) but rose YoY; bARR net turned sharply negative; stabilization depends on enterprise go‑lives and partner-led ramps .
- Strategic focus: differentiation in privacy-preserving biometrics and agentic AI security positions authID in an expanding TAM; partner ecosystem (Prove, NESIC/NEC, MajorKey) is an accelerant if conversions improve .