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GM

Golden Minerals Co (AUMN)·Q2 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q2 2024 was dominated by liquidity stress and asset sales: cash fell to $1.4M at quarter-end and ~$0.7M by Aug 9; management warned resources may be exhausted in September without additional inflows and is considering bankruptcy filings for Mexican subsidiaries .
  • The Velardeña asset sale partially closed ($2.5M received); the buyer defaulted on the remaining $3.0M for the oxide plant and water wells, creating a near-term cash shortfall and uncertainty .
  • Consolidated revenue from continuing operations was $0; net loss widened to $2.7M (EPS -$0.19), driven by discontinued operations and shutdown costs, vs. $1.5M (EPS -$0.21) in Q2 2023 .
  • Governance and listing developments: CFO transition announced Aug 5; NYSE American notified non-compliance with equity standards (plan period through Dec 6, 2024) .
  • Key trading catalysts: resolution of defaulted oxide-plant payment, asset sales (El Quevar/Yoquivo), fresh financing, and listing-compliance trajectory; failure to secure inflows could precipitate liquidation .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Closed sale of Velardeña mine and associated facilities, receiving $2.5M cash (plus VAT) and transferring title, providing essential liquidity .
  • Collected ~$2.6M in Mexican VAT during H1, supporting working capital amidst operating wind-down .
  • Management realigned leadership: appointed Joe Dwyer (Corporate Controller) as CFO with prior public-company and Deloitte assurance experience, strengthening financial stewardship in a crisis phase .
    • Quote: “Joe Dwyer…brings extensive experience with publicly held companies… and as a manager within Deloitte’s assurance practice.” — CEO Pablo Castaños .

What Went Wrong

  • Buyer default on $3.0M Velardeña oxide plant payment, leaving only ~$477K paid by Aug 7 and creating funding uncertainty; company is negotiating an extension and mortgage security .
  • Operations failed to meet expectations; Velardeña restart halted (Feb–Mar), with Q2 continuing revenue $0 and losses elevated as assets moved to discontinued operations .
  • Acute going-concern risk: cash expected to be exhausted in September absent inflows; bankruptcy filings for Mexican subsidiaries under consideration .
  • NYSE American non-compliance notice across three equity standards, maintaining listing contingent on plan execution by Dec 6, 2024 .

Financial Results

Consolidated Performance vs. Prior Periods and Estimates

MetricQ2 2023Q1 2024Q2 2024Vs. Estimates
Revenue ($USD Thousands)$4,973 $0 $0 N/A (S&P Global consensus unavailable)
Net Income ($USD Thousands)$(1,488) $(4,565) $(2,747) N/A
Diluted EPS ($USD)$(0.21) $(0.32) $(0.19) N/A

Note: S&P Global consensus estimates were unavailable for AUMN at the time of analysis (tool limit exceeded).

Balance Sheet and Liquidity Snapshot

MetricQ2 2023Q1 2024Q2 2024
Cash and Equivalents ($USD Thousands)$3,393 $2,435 $1,438
Current Assets ($USD Thousands)$8,714 $5,331 $2,501
Current Liabilities ($USD Thousands)$5,673 $6,544 $4,824
VAT Receivable, net ($USD Thousands)$3,135 $1,132 $272
Deferred Revenue ($USD Thousands)$373

Additional events: cash ~$0.7M as of Aug 9, 2024; anticipated exhaustion in September 2024 absent inflows .

Segment Breakdown (Continuing Operations)

Segment Metric (3 months)Q2 2023Q1 2024Q2 2024
Mexico Ops Revenue ($USD Thousands)$4,973 $0 $0
Mexico Ops Pre-Tax Loss/Gain ($USD Thousands)$(535) $(442) $(346)
Corporate/Exploration Admin Expense ($USD Thousands)$1,612 $1,297 $1,417

Discontinued Operations (Velardeña) Highlights

MetricQ1 2024Q2 2024
Sale of metals ($USD Thousands)$1,225 $87
Cost of metals sold ($USD Thousands)$(2,924) $(2,519)
Severance/other operating costs ($USD Thousands)$(1,190) $(319)
Asset impairment ($USD Thousands)$(411)
Loss from discontinued ops ($USD Thousands)$(2,818) $(844)

KPIs (Velardeña operations)

KPIQ1 2024Q2 2024
Tonnes mined14,961 — (operations halted)
Tonnes processed5,186
Gold sold in concentrate (oz)639
Silver sold in concentrate (oz)21,745
Avg realized gold price ($/oz, before costs)$2,077
Avg realized silver price ($/oz, before costs)$23.82

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Capital inflows requiredThrough Jun 30, 2025$6–$8M needed (Q1 disclosure) $6–$8M needed (reiterated) Maintained
Cash runwayNear-termAnticipated risk; no specific month (Q1) Cash expected exhausted in September 2024 without inflows Clarified timing (tightened)
Velardeña sale schedule (oxide plant)Payment due Jul 1, 2024$3.0M plus VAT due Jul 1, 2024 Buyer paid ~$477K by Aug 7; currently in default; extension/mortgage being negotiated Lowered/Delayed (default)
Asset sale receipts (mines/sulfide plant)Completed Jun 20, 2024Expected staged payments $2.5M paid; titles transferred Executed as planned
Listing compliancePlan period to Dec 6, 2024Ongoing plan accepted Aug 22, 2023 Non-compliance notice re-affirmed; plan period continues to Dec 6, 2024 Maintained

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

No Q2 2024 earnings call transcript was available. Theme tracking below uses company filings/press releases.

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q-2 and Q-1)Current Period (Q2 2024)Trend
Liquidity/going concernNeed $6–$8M; asset sales underway; VAT collection expected Cash ~$1.4M at quarter-end; ~$0.7M by Aug 9; expected exhaustion in September; considering bankruptcy filings Deteriorating
Velardeña operationsRestarted; Q1 concentrate sales and processing; plan to sell assets Mine/sulfide plant sale closed; oxide plant buyer default; impairment recorded Mixed (asset exit progressing, payment risk rising)
El QuevarBarrick earn-in ended; project back under full control Seeking sale/buyer/partner Strategic pivot to monetize
NYSE listing statusPrior non-compliance plan accepted (Aug 22, 2023) Continued non-compliance notice; plan period through Dec 6, 2024 Unchanged (risk persists)
LeadershipLegacy management and CFO in role CFO retirement; Joe Dwyer appointed CFO Transition

Management Commentary

  • Liquidity stance: “In the absence of additional cash inflows, the Company anticipates that its cash resources will be exhausted in September 2024…considering bankruptcy filings for several of its Mexican subsidiaries.” — Q2 2024 10‑Q/press release .
  • Asset sale update: “Buyer…has made payments of approximately $477,000…is currently in default. The Company does not know whether or when the buyer will make the remaining payments due.” — Q2 8‑K/10‑Q .
  • CFO transition: “Joe Dwyer…brings extensive experience with publicly held companies… and Deloitte’s assurance practice.” — CEO Pablo Castaños .

Q&A Highlights

No Q2 2024 earnings call transcript was available; no Q&A or guidance clarifications can be sourced.

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) for EPS/revenue was unavailable at time of request due to data-access limits. As a result, we cannot assess beats/misses vs. Street for Q2 2024.
  • Given negligible continuing revenue and elevated losses, any forward estimate revisions will likely hinge on asset-sale timing and financing visibility rather than operating metrics .
    Disclaimer: Estimates could not be retrieved from S&P Global at this time.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Near-term solvency risk: With cash projected to be exhausted in September absent inflows, the timeline to secure financing, collect defaulted oxide-plant proceeds, or complete other asset sales is the central trading driver .
  • Asset-sale execution is critical: The $3.0M oxide-plant payment default is a material swing factor; watch for renegotiation terms (mortgage security, payment schedule) and enforceability .
  • Strategic monetization: Active efforts to sell El Quevar and Yoquivo could provide lifeline cash; transaction progress and valuations will drive sentiment .
  • Listing risk remains: NYSE American non-compliance and equity deficits add pressure; corporate actions to rebuild equity base and meet plan milestones are key .
  • Governance/leadership: New CFO with controls experience may improve financial rigor; however, outcomes depend on external capital and asset monetization .
  • Trading implications: Event-driven set-up with binary outcomes tied to payment resolution, financings, and asset sales; downside includes liquidation risk if inflows fail to materialize .
  • Medium-term thesis: Without operating cash flow, value realization likely comes via asset disposals and balance-sheet repair; monitor legal, regulatory, and market developments, including buyer default remedies and VAT recovery cadence .