Aurinia Pharmaceuticals - Earnings Call - Q1 2025
May 12, 2025
Executive Summary
- Q1 2025 delivered double-digit growth and a clean beat vs consensus: total revenue $62.5M (+24% YoY) and diluted EPS $0.16; consensus was ~$61.1M revenue and $0.10 EPS, respectively. Guidance for FY 2025 revenue ($250–$260M) and net product sales ($240–$250M) was reiterated, signaling confidence in the outlook. Estimates marked with asterisks are from S&P Global.
- LUPKYNIS net product sales rose 25% YoY to $60.0M on continued LN penetration, with gross margin at 86% amid restructuring-driven OpEx efficiencies; cash flow from operations was $1.3M (or $12.4M excluding $11.1M restructuring payments), and the company repurchased 5.8M shares for $47.4M in the quarter.
- Management cited updated ACR LN guidelines recommending CNIs like LUPKYNIS earlier in therapy and growing rheumatology prescribing as key commercial drivers; FY25 guidance was maintained and seasonality (softer summer, stronger Q4) is expected to shape quarterly cadence.
- Near-term catalysts include initial Phase 1 AUR200 (dual BAFF/APRIL inhibitor) SAD data by end of Q2, continued share repurchases, and the evolving LN competitive landscape (anticipated Roche Gazyva approval) with management arguing LUPKYNIS’ faster proteinuria reduction aligns tightly with guideline goals.
- Risk watch: ANDA challenges to dosing patent (2037) under 30-month stay; tariff exposure minimal near term given several years of U.S. inventory and Swiss API being a small COGS component, but legal and policy developments remain monitored.
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Strong top-line and EPS beat vs consensus: revenue $62.5M vs ~$61.1M*, and diluted EPS $0.16 vs ~$0.10*; LUPKYNIS net product sales up 25% YoY to $60.0M, demonstrating sustained LN penetration.
“We achieved strong growth in total revenue and net product sales in the first quarter” — Peter Greenleaf. - Operating discipline: SG&A fell to $20.3M (from $47.7M YoY) with gross margin at 86% and CFO reaffirming ~$40M cash-based OpEx savings trajectory from the 2024 restructuring.
- Capital allocation: $47.4M buybacks (5.8M shares) in Q1 and cumulative 14.5M shares/$108.5M since program launch through May 8, funded by operations and cash on hand.
What Went Wrong
- Cash and investments declined to $312.9M from $358.5M at year-end, reflecting buybacks and working capital changes; cash from operations was modest at $1.3M before adjusting for restructuring cash payments.
- Ongoing ANDA litigation introduces patent defense overhang; management will vigorously defend but provided limited visibility on timelines, keeping an element of legal uncertainty.
- Competitive watch: anticipated Gazyva entry may complicate LN treatment dynamics; management argues CNI speed-of-effect advantage, but specialists expect some uptake and share shifts, requiring continued differentiation and education.
Transcript
Operator (participant)
Greetings and welcome to the Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Q1 2025 Earnings Call. At this time, all participants are in listen-only mode. If anyone should require operator assistance, please press star zero on your telephone keypad. A question-and-answer session will follow the formal presentation, and you may press star one at any time to be placed into question queue. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. It's now my pleasure to turn the call over to Andrea Christopher, Corporate Communications and Investor Relations. Please go ahead, Andrea.
Andrea Christopher (Corporate Communications and Investor Relations)
Thank you, Operator, and thank you to everyone for joining today's call and webcast. Joining me on the call this morning are Peter Greenleaf, Aurinia's President and Chief Executive Officer, Joe Miller, Aurinia's Chief Financial Officer, and Dr. Greg Keenan, Aurinia's Chief Medical Officer. Today, we will review and discuss Aurinia's first quarter 2025 financial results and provide an update on recent corporate progress as communicated in the company's press release and quarterly report on Form 10-Q issued this morning. For more information, please refer to Aurinia's filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission and Canadian Securities Authorities, which are also available on Aurinia's website at auriniapharma.com. During today's call, Aurinia may make forward-looking statements based on current expectations. These forward-looking statements are subject to a number of significant risks and uncertainties, and actual results may differ materially.
For discussion of factors that could affect Aurinia's future financial results and business, please refer to the disclosures in Aurinia's press release, quarterly report on Form 10-Q, and all other filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission and Canadian Securities Authorities. Please note that all statements made during today's call are current as of today, May 12th, 2025, unless otherwise noted, and are based upon information currently available to us. Except as required by law, Aurinia assumes no obligation to update any such statement. Now, let me turn the call over to Aurinia's President and CEO, Peter Greenleaf. Peter?
Peter Greenleaf (President and CEO)
Thanks, Andrea, and good morning, everyone. I want to thank everybody for joining us today. On this morning's call, I'll provide an update on our first quarter 2025 results and provide an update on recent progress. I'll then turn the call over to Joe Miller, our CFO, to provide additional details on our financial results. With a continued focus on commercial execution and driving operational efficiency, we achieved strong growth in total revenue and net product sales in the first quarter. For the first quarter of 2025, total revenue was $62.5 million, up 24% from $50.3 million in the same period of 2024. For the first quarter of 2025, net product sales of Lupkynis, the first FDA-approved oral therapy for the treatment of adult patients with active lupus nephritis, or LN, were $60 million, up 25% from $48.1 million in the same period of 2024.
The increase is primarily due to an increase in the number of Lupkynis cartons sold to specialty pharmacies and driven by further lupus nephritis penetration. For the three months ended March 31, 2025, cash flow generated from operations was $1.3 million, compared to a -$18.6 million in cash flow used in operations in the same period of 2024. Excluding $11.1 million of cash payments made in connection with the November 2024 restructuring, cash flow generated from operations was $12.4 million for the three months ended March 31, 2025. Exiting the quarter, we have cash, cash equivalents, restricted cash, and investments of $312.9 million, as compared to $358.5 million at December 31, 2024. For the three months ended March 31, 2025, the company repurchased 5.8 million of its common shares for $47.4 million.
With our solid 25% increase in sales growth for Lupkynis in the first quarter, we are poised for continued success in 2025. Following the recent update of the American College of Rheumatology Lupus Nephritis Treatment Guidelines, which recommends the incorporation of drugs like Lupkynis into first-line therapy, our commercial organization is focused on educating rheumatologists about the benefits of initiating Lupkynis earlier in the treatment paradigm. We have started the year in a solid position with a highly efficient organization focused on Lupkynis growth and are therefore reiterating our total revenue guidance in the range of $250 million-$260 million and net product sales guidance in the range of $240 million-$250 million for 2025.
Finally, we remain on track to report initial results from the phase I study of our pipeline product, AUR-200, a dual-BAFF/APRIL inhibitor for the potential treatment of a range of autoimmune diseases later this quarter. I'd like to now turn the call over to Joe Miller, our CFO, for a more detailed review of our first quarter 2025 financial results. I'll then return at the end of the call for a quick recap and to open up the line to any questions you might have. Joe?
Joe Miller (CFO)
Thank you, Peter, and good morning, everyone. Let's take a few minutes to discuss the first quarter 2025 financial results. For the three months ended March 31, 2025, total revenue was $62.5 million compared to $50.3 million in the same period of 2024. As Peter mentioned, we had cash, cash equivalents, restricted cash, and investments of $312.9 million as of March 31, 2025, and generated cash flows from operations of $1.3 million. Excluding $11.1 million of cash payments made in connection with the November 2024 restructuring, cash flow generated from operations was $12.4 million for the three months ended March 31, 2025. We are continuing to be opportunistic with our share repurchase program and expect to fund any future discretionary share repurchases with cash flows from operations and cash currently on hand.
The company repurchased 14.5 million of its common shares for $108.5 million since the launch of the program in the first quarter of 2024 through May 8, 2025. For the three months ended March 31, 2025, cost of revenue was $8.6 million compared to $7.8 million in the same period of 2024. The increase is primarily due to an increase in Aurinia's net sales of Lupkynis. For the three months ended March 31, 2025, gross margin was 86% compared to 85% in the same period of 2024. For the three months ended March 31, 2025, total operating expenses were $40.6 million compared to $63.6 million in the same period of 2024.
The decrease is primarily due to lower personnel expenses, including share-based compensation and overhead costs, as a result of our strategic restructuring efforts in 2024, coupled with a reduction in non-personnel R&D expenses as a result of ceasing development of the company's AUR-300 development program and restructuring-related one-time charges in the first quarter of 2024 that did not recur in 2025. This was partially offset by an increase in R&D-related expenses as we continue to advance our AUR-200 program and other non-cash expenses related to the remeasurement of our Swiss franc-denominated monoplan finance lease liability and changes in our fair value assumptions related to our deferred compensation liability. For the three months ended March 31, 2025, net income was $23.3 million, or $0.17 of earnings per share, compared to a net loss of $10.7 million, or $0.07 of net loss per share in the same period of 2024.
With that, I'd like to hand the call back over to Peter for some closing remarks. Peter.
Peter Greenleaf (President and CEO)
Thanks, Joe. In summary, we're continuing to lean into our highest growth drivers for the commercial Lupkynis business, continuing clinical development of AUR-200, and maintaining excellent operational efficiency throughout the organization. I want to thank you all for your time today. We'll now open the lines for any questions you might have. Operator?
Operator (participant)
Thank you. Now to conducting a question-and-answer session. If you'd like to be placed into the question queue, please press star one on your telephone keypad. A confirmation tone will indicate your line is in the question queue. You may press star two if you'd like to remove your question from the queue. One moment, please, while we pause for questions. Our first question is coming from Stacy Ku from TD Cowen, and your line is now live.
Stacy Ku (Director and Senior Equity Analyst)
Hey, good morning. Congrats on the solid quarter, and thanks for taking our questions. First is on Lupkynis. Can you maybe just talk about the quarterly cadence as we think about Q1 sales and your guidance for the year? Understand you're not disclosing metrics, but if you're not willing to comment on the quarterly cadence, maybe talk about what's driving sales these days. Is it largely new patient adds, or is it more of the additional restarts and hospital adds? That's the first question. The second question is on AUR-200. Just as we near the phase I single ascending dose update, maybe talk about some base case scenarios on how you give an update on next steps.
Just maybe curious if you could speak to some strategies to get to market faster, what type of regulatory pathway you think is feasible as we think about other anti-APRIL BAFF agents. Thanks so much.
Peter Greenleaf (President and CEO)
Thanks, Stacy. Let me start with the first one. On Lupkynis, obviously, we're guiding to a range of $240 million-$250 million. I think the best way to think about the quarterly gate is to go back and look at historicals. I think that will help in terms of how this business has performed consistently quarter-on-quarter. Obviously, somewhere in the 2Q, 3Q range, we've historically seen some effect in the summer, and then we've historically seen kind of a lift and rise into the back half of the year. That's been pretty predictive for the last several years. In terms of mix and drivers, what I can tell you is the full complement is still driving the business.
Everything from new patient ads to persistency, time to getting patients on drug, all of those continue to show improvement for us, but that improvement, I would look at holistically. It's not any one key driver. I will tell you lastly that our goal is to continue to drive rheumatology, and we've actually seen some good improvements in terms of rheumatology prescribing. Not that we're overly trying to favor one versus the other, but we think it's indicative of early diagnosis and early treatment when rheumatologists are taking the lead in treating these patients. A good quarter, I think our guidance range, staying consistent, gives you where we think we're going to fall out. I think that's about it.
On the AUR-200, not to give you nothing here, but between now and the end of June, we intend to report out the data, and I would just ask you to wait till then. That'll be our single ascending dose data, and we'll give more steer on the program once we get there.
Stacy Ku (Director and Senior Equity Analyst)
Thank you.
Peter Greenleaf (President and CEO)
Thanks, Stacy.
Operator (participant)
Thank you. Next question is coming from [Morgan Wraith Crow] from Jefferies. Your line is now live.
Hi, good morning. Congrats on the quarter, and thanks for taking my questions. I'll ask one just on guidance too. For historically, first quarter tends to be the lowest quarter. Just wondering if you're expecting second quarter to be in line or lower, and what are you seeing in the initial six weeks in second quarter that informs the rest of your outlook for the rest of the year?
Peter Greenleaf (President and CEO)
Yeah, I'm not sure. I'd have to go back. I don't think 1Q is usually our lowest quarter. I think somewhere between the 2Q, 3Q spread because it incorporates the summer. Usually, using history has been the lower. Usually, historically, we've come back to a rise in 4Q. In terms of our guidance range, I think we are using history probably more than anything to sort of project where we're going for the year. That would include what we've seen historically as a soft summer. We're only sort of 1Q through this into 2Q, so we've got some time ahead of us and look forward to reporting 2Q when we do that.
In terms of drivers, I kind of already talked to that, [Morgan], but I think if you look at last year and the year before, probably that's the best way to think about quartering the remainder of the year.
Got it. I just wanted to ask on the antifilers too. It seems like there's a good number of those challenging the validity of the 2037 dosing protocol patent. Wondering if you could just talk more about that and what the strategy and risks are there.
I mean, I think we've commented on this historically, so there's really nothing new outside of the fact that we've had filers initially come in with ANDAs. We've obviously filed patent infringement lawsuits against all of them and tend to vigorously defend the patents that we have, and we'll keep you updated along the way. Obviously, you know that through that, it automatically puts these filers under a 30-month stay of execution, and we'll have to just see that process through. We have continued work that we're doing in the organization to, I guess I would just leave it with the longevity of Lupkynis is an A priority for the organization.
It's all hands on deck, not just defending our patents, but making sure that we're working hard towards keeping that revenue stream coming in and the drug being an important drug for us well into the future.
Understood. Okay. Thanks for taking my questions. I'll have you back in the queue.
Thanks.
Operator (participant)
Thank you. Next question is coming from Joseph Schwartz from Leerink Partners. Your line is now live.
Joseph Schwartz (Senior Research Analyst)
Great. Thanks very much. I just had a couple of questions on potential new federal government policies here and Aurinia's potential exposure to tariffs and MFN. Could you, first of all, just help us understand where the IP is domiciled for Lupkynis, how you're importing any product from overseas, whether it's at COGS or transfer prices if you've got significant drug stockpiled in the U.S., and if you can grow supply within the U.S. over time. How should we think about any exposure Aurinia has to potential MFN legislation based on the amount of government reimbursement for Lupkynis? Thank you.
Peter Greenleaf (President and CEO)
Okay. There's a lot there, Joe. Let me just start with the tariff side of the equation, I guess. As you know, our API is done in Switzerland. To be clear, we have several years' worth of product that sits on U.S. soil. I think that even if tariffs were, depending on what the range of tariffs could be, it's on a very small percentage of our overall cost of goods at the API level. We do all our fill-finish work or our packaging work here in the U.S. We think minimal to no impact over the next several years, and then TBD as to what those tariffs would look like and what the impact would be on our API. Of course, like most, we're working hard to ensure we have as much product in the U.S. as possible.
As I said, we've got several years here. In terms of transfer pricing, etc., we're watching this like everybody else. Obviously, we're a Canadian company that does business in the U.S., so transfer pricing is part of how our economic model works. My understanding is it would take not an executive order, but an act of Congress to actually go and impact that. Our ears are open, and we're kind of watching where the market goes on this and where the president and his administration goes as it relates to not tariffs, but the element of transfer pricing for ex-U.S. companies operating within the U.S. Lastly, the most recent executive order, your guess is as good as mine.
It kind of seems like there's a directive put out there under an executive order by President Trump, and then where it eventually lands, if it lands, is kind of a TBD. We are watching that as closely as you are because obviously the entire pharmaceutical and really healthcare industry is affected by the government pricing side of the business. To recall, our business is pretty evenly split between commercial pay, public pay, or excuse me, private pay, and the government side of the business. Obviously, it's something we are watching closely.
Joseph Schwartz (Senior Research Analyst)
Very helpful. Thanks, Peter.
Peter Greenleaf (President and CEO)
Thank you, Joe.
Operator (participant)
Thank you. Next question today is coming from Olivia Brayer from Cantor Fitzgerald. Your line is now live.
Olivia Brayer (Senior Equity Analyst)
Hi, good morning. Thank you for the question. For AUR-200, is there anything you can say just around how many patients we'll see data from or how many dose levels you've studied in that SAD trial? Maybe just overall thoughts around what kind of dosing schedule you think you'll need to be competitive and whether at-home administration is important or not.
Peter Greenleaf (President and CEO)
Yeah, I think those are all good questions, and we look forward to it's now almost mid-May. As we've said, between now and the end of June, we're going to report out that SAD data. We look forward to showing you what we've got. Obviously, in the areas of proteinuric kidney diseases and the like, there is more than one APRIL BAFF ahead of us in the IgAN space. We'll learn what we've got as it relates to others in just a short couple of weeks.
Olivia Brayer (Senior Equity Analyst)
Okay. Peter, anything you can say just around data disclosure in terms of how you guys are, will you host a call and kind of what level of details, just in terms of next steps, should we expect to see then?
Peter Greenleaf (President and CEO)
Yeah. I mean, outside of the fact that we've committed to reporting out that single ascending dose data by the end of June, no, we're not giving any guide as to how much data and what we'll show in addition to that. More to come. We got to discuss it. We got to see what the data is first because obviously, this trial is ongoing. We have to sit with our board and talk about what we want to disclose publicly as it relates to not just the program, but where we intend to go from there. We look forward to doing that, but it's between now and the end of June.
Olivia Brayer (Senior Equity Analyst)
Okay. Thanks. Looking forward to that.
Peter Greenleaf (President and CEO)
Thank you.
Operator (participant)
Thank you. Next question is coming from Sahil Dhingra from RBC Capital Markets. Your line is now live.
Hi, good morning. This is Sahil for Dhingra. Thank you so much for taking our questions. I have two. My first question is related to the SG&A expense. That was around $20 million this quarter, and it was a bit below what we had modeled. I wanted to know if there was any one-time item in it, and how should we think about the SG&A expense going forward?
Peter Greenleaf (President and CEO)
All right. So the question was on SG&A. We do not give expense-level guide, but maybe Joe can give a little bit on the quarter and how to think about it as it relates to the year.
Joe Miller (CFO)
Yeah, thank you for the question, Sahil. Yeah, we do not provide specific guidance on OpEx by function. What I will say is that following our restructuring in November, we are on track to achieve our previously announced cash-based OpEx savings of approximately $40 million. Again, the cash flows reported today are a result of our strong sales performance and represent the early benefit of streamlining our operations. As you look to kind of our SG&A expense, there was a small true-up as it related to stock-based compensation that ran through there. You can see that in the footnotes as it relates to our equity-based footnote. Outside of that, there was nothing unusual embedded within that functional line.
Okay. Thanks. Then my second question is on Roche's Gazyva that is expected where the PDUFA date is in October 2025. How do you expect the evolution of the LN treatment market, and what impact do you think will it have on Lupkynis adoption? Thank you.
Peter Greenleaf (President and CEO)
Why don't I start? I have a rheumatologist here in the room with me, so it'd be good to get his perspective as well. It's Dr. Keenan, our Chief Medical Officer. Listen, I'm excited to have more large pharmaceutical companies into the lupus nephritis and the lupus market to help us grow awareness. Obviously, these guidelines that are most recently issued by the ACR and by EULAR and by KDIGO all call for much more aggressive diagnosis and early treatment of the disease. If that actually happens, we've got internal data to show that the market will grow. The more companies we have educating on those guidelines will help us, we believe, to expand the market. That's number one. Number two, obviously, Gazyva has got some data, and we've seen it.
Obviously, I think we feel pretty confident that their filing will most likely be reviewed, and they have a high probability of getting approval. Not that we can predict that, not that we're the owners of the asset in those conversations with the agency, but we think it's likely. It is a B-cell pathway drug. Greg, do you want to give any comment on what we see in the data as it relates to the drug and how the guidelines are?
Greg Keenan (CMO)
Yeah. No, thank you, Peter. First off, it's great news for individuals and clinicians that care for people with lupus nephritis. The data there is encouraging and certainly supplementing what Peter was saying. We believe that this B-cell agent will have an important role. The guidelines that were just issued last year find a place for Benlysta, and you can imagine the opportunity for obinutuzumab to fit in that category two of B-cell agents. We think nonetheless that Lupkynis, with its strong evidence and the timeliness of benefit achieving therapeutic goals, some within one month and six months' time, that it will have a role in helping patients and doctors meet their goals quickly, which is a key part of what the ACR guidelines emphasize.
I'll point out that the ACR guidelines in print have just been released this month, and it's very specific, and the role for CNIs like Lupkynis is explicit, not just in class three and four, but also in five. And so we think it's a good day for patients. Lupkynis is going to continue to have an important role in helping patients achieve their goals.
Peter Greenleaf (President and CEO)
Yeah, I think it comes to me comes down to speed. While these products are obviously getting approved, if it takes two years to get the effect that we get at one year, and quite frankly, that we see at three months and six months, the guidelines are calling for rapid reductions of proteinuria. These B-cell agents so far have not been able to achieve the rapidity of response and reduction in proteinuria that the guidelines are calling for. In other words, we think we have a very competitive profile.
Great. Thank you so much.
Operator (participant)
Thank you. Next question is coming from David Martin from Bloom Burton. Your line is now live.
David Martin (Managing Director and Head of Equity Research)
Good morning. Thanks for taking my questions. My understanding is that Lupkynis is quite difficult to manufacture. The fact that you now have antifilers, does that infer to you that they've solved the puzzle, and should they be able to manufacture the drug matching Lupkynis at commercial scale?
Peter Greenleaf (President and CEO)
We don't have any insight into that outside of as part of their ANDA package. They'll have to show that they can actually manufacture it. We haven't changed our position on what we believe our process is, whether they can duplicate it or find a way to do it differently is TBD. We haven't seen their actual filing package.
David Martin (Managing Director and Head of Equity Research)
Okay. Next major events in the patent litigation, what kind of timing should we expect, and what events are coming up?
Peter Greenleaf (President and CEO)
I mean, we obviously have filed patent infringement lawsuits. I do not think we intend to disclose major milestones in the IP patent defense space. We will report them when there are major things to update on. Right now we are in the throes of litigation, and I think you can look at any analog product, small molecule product that is in the end of battle and use that as a way to predict what we are going to see going forward. We do not intend to give timelines on legal proceedings.
David Martin (Managing Director and Head of Equity Research)
Okay. And then one last question. What endpoints do you anticipate could differentiate AUR-200 from other APRIL and BAFF inhibitors with the phase I SAD results?
Peter Greenleaf (President and CEO)
I think the phase I SAD results are obviously going to give us the pharmacokinetics and the pharmacodynamics of the product. That is everything from the half-life of the product, which could be directly juxtaposed against what the dose of the product could be, how often you have to give it. We are going to get hopefully a good idea, the range of doses, and then the impact on biomarkers like IgG, IgA, IgM, and all those things will give us and give the market a way to assess how the product looks versus others in the space. Alongside a strategic development pathway from there, those will all be important to look at as we roll out this single ascending dose data.
David Martin (Managing Director and Head of Equity Research)
Okay. Thanks. That's it for me.
Peter Greenleaf (President and CEO)
Thank you.
Operator (participant)
Thank you. We reached the end of our question and answer session. I just turn the floor back over for any further closing comments.
Peter Greenleaf (President and CEO)
I want to thank everybody for taking the time with us today. Happy belated Mother's Day, and we look forward to updating as the quarter's roll forward here. Thank you.
Operator (participant)
Thank you. That does conclude today's teleconference and webcast. You may disconnect your line at this time and have a wonderful day. We thank you for your participation today.