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Aurora Innovation, Inc. (AUR)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Aurora recognized its first commercial revenue at $1.00 million in Q2 2025 as driverless operations commenced; operating loss was $(230) million, diluted EPS was $(0.11), and adjusted EBITDA was $(170) million .
  • Operationally, Aurora validated driverless night operations (doubling potential utilization), surpassed 20,000 driverless miles through June 30, and opened its Phoenix terminal, supporting Fort Worth–El Paso–Phoenix lane development .
  • Liquidity strengthened to $1.309 billion (cash $206 million, short-term investments $1,103 million) with runway extended to fund operations into Q2 2027; Q2 operating cash usage was approximately $144 million and capex was $7 million .
  • Key catalysts: expansion to night operations, Phoenix terminal opening, and federal legislative momentum via the AMERICA DRIVES Act proposing a national autonomous truck framework .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Validated driverless night operations within three months of launch, materially increasing truck utilization potential; surpassed 20,000 driverless miles by end of June and grew the driverless fleet to three trucks .
  • Maintained nearly 100% on-time performance and continued a perfect safety record; “We’re running driverless operations day and night… Our rapid progress is beginning to unlock the full value of self-driving trucks” — Chris Urmson, CEO .
  • Balance sheet and runway improved: raised $331 million via ATM in Q2, liquidity to $1.3 billion, funding runway now into Q2 2027; “we now expect this liquidity to fund our operations into the second quarter of 2027” — CFO David Maday .

What Went Wrong

  • Revenue remains de minimis relative to cost base ($1 million revenue vs $5 million cost of revenue and $(190) million R&D in Q2), highlighting early commercialization economics .
  • Operating loss widened sequentially to $(230) million in Q2 versus $(211) million in Q1, driven by higher R&D and SG&A as Aurora scales hardware programs, though net loss improved due to other income and derivative mark-to-market .
  • Temporary front-seat observer required at a partner’s request due to prototype parts in base vehicle; management emphasized it does not impact growth plans: “cost… is de minimis… no impact on our roadmap” .

Financial Results

MetricQ2 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Revenue ($USD Millions)$0.00 $0.00 (recognition begins at April launch; Q1 ended Mar 31) $1.00
Cost of Revenue ($USD Millions)$0.00 N/A$5.00
Research & Development ($USD Millions)$170 $182 $190
SG&A ($USD Millions)$28 $29 $36
Operating Loss ($USD Millions)$(198) $(211) $(230)
Net Loss ($USD Millions)$(182) $(208) $(201)
Diluted EPS ($USD)$(0.12) $(0.12) $(0.11)
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$(154) $(171) $(170)
Operating Cash Use (Quarter) ($USD Millions)N/A$142 $144
Capital Expenditures (Quarter) ($USD Millions)N/A$8 $7
Cash ($USD Millions, quarter-end)N/A$170 $206
Short-term Investments ($USD Millions, quarter-end)N/A$989 $1,103

KPIs

KPIQ2 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Driverless Miles (quarter)N/A4,000+ through Apr 27 launch 20,000+ through 6/30
Driverless Trucks Operating (#)N/A1–2 initially 3
On-time PerformanceN/A95% loads at 100% API during production releases Nearly 100% on-time (Aurora-controlled rate)
Cumulative Commercial Miles (to date)2.6M+ through 2/2/25 3M+ referenced; driverless program underway 3.3M+ through 6/30/25

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Liquidity runwayCompany-wideInto 2H 2026 (Feb-2025) → Into Q4 2026 (May-2025) Into Q2 2027 Raised runway
Quarterly cash useRemainder of 2025$175–$185 million per quarter $175–$185 million per quarter (maintained) Maintained
Capex2025Not specifiedExpect capex to increase in 2025 as hardware programs develop Raised capex outlook
Lane expansion2H 2025Validate Fort Worth–El Paso; extend to Phoenix Phoenix terminal opened; Fort Worth–El Paso–Phoenix validation by year-end (reiterated) Maintained timeline
Operating domain2025Daytime, clear weather at launch Night operations validated; working to validate rain/heavy wind by year-end Expanded ODD
Hardware roadmap2026–20272nd-gen kit reduces hardware costs; 3rd-gen with Continental in 2027 2nd-gen progressing with Fabrinet B-samples; 3rd-gen A-samples in progress; 2026/2027 timing intact Maintained timeline
ATM programOngoing$68 million Q1 ATM proceeds 57 million shares; $331 million Q2 proceeds; ATM capacity expanded Increased capacity

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicQ4 2024 (Q-2)Q1 2025 (Q-1)Q2 2025 (Current)Trend
Commercial launch readinessARM at 99%; API weeks >90%; April launch planned Safety case closed; driverless ops begin on Dallas–Houston Day-and-night ops validated; fleet at 3 trucks; miles accelerating Narratives progressed to execution
Lane expansionPlan for Fort Worth–El Paso–Phoenix in 2H 2025 Fort Worth–El Paso pilot extended to Phoenix; terminal planned Phoenix terminal opened; validation of FW–El Paso–Phoenix by year-end Execution milestones met
RegulatoryFMCSA beacon denial; push for modernized framework Encouraging federal and state progress; NHTSA AV Framework AMERICA DRIVES Act introduced for federal preemption Momentum building
Hardware cost-downFabrinet A-samples; Continental 2027 mass production Fabrinet B-samples received; 2nd-gen cost-down targeted First build with prototype kit; Continental A-samples; timeline intact On plan, deeper execution detail
Customer adoptionOEM pilots; DHL, Hirschbach, Uber Freight Driverless deliveries for Uber Freight, Hirschbach Sales funnel strength post-launch; multiple carriers in driverless ops Demand and lead velocity improving
Safety & insuranceEmphasis on safety and efficiency 100% API loads metric updated Positioning data for insurance de-risking; “never gets distracted/fatigued” Safety positioning more explicit

Management Commentary

  • “Just three months after launch, we’re running driverless operations day and night and we’ve expanded our terminal network to Phoenix… unlocking the full value of self-driving trucks” — Chris Urmson, CEO .
  • “With the launch of driverless operations… we began recognizing revenue, which totaled $1 million… we now expect this liquidity to fund our operations into the second quarter of 2027” — David Maday, CFO .
  • “Today, Aurora is the only company in the world that can drive trucks on the road at freeway speed and do that safely, driverlessly” — Chris Urmson, CEO .
  • “Our second generation kit [with Fabrinet] drives a step-function reduction in hardware costs… Continental [third generation] unlocks true scale” — Chris Urmson, CEO .
  • “We’re seeing qualified leads surge to support our scaling ambitions in 2026 and 2027” — Chris Urmson, CEO .

Q&A Highlights

  • Ramp framing: Management will measure success by miles, not truck count; night ops enable higher utilization, with lane-dependent miles scaling .
  • Operating domain: Rain and heavy wind capability is performing well but will be validated thoroughly before driverless declaration; emphasis on sensor complement (LiDAR, radar) in adverse conditions .
  • OEM/observer: Temporary observer remains in select trucks due to prototype parts; no impact on roadmap and de minimis cost; Volvo trucks expected by year-end for development and bring-up .
  • Hardware cadence: Cost-down through progression from in-house to Fabrinet to Continental hardware-as-a-service; FMCW LiDAR-on-chip program on track (no yields disclosed) .
  • Commercial momentum: Post-launch interest from carriers is rising; Uber Freight remains a key pilot customer; broader passenger AV opportunity is longer term .

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) for quarterly revenue, EPS, EBITDA and target price was unavailable for Q2 2025 and near-term periods via our query. Values retrieved from S&P Global.*

Implications: With initial revenue recognition and night-operations validation, models are likely to incorporate nascent revenue streams and higher utilization assumptions as the operating domain expands and lanes validate, while maintaining substantial R&D and SG&A outlays during scale-up .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Early commercialization milestone: First-ever driverless heavy-duty trucking revenue recognized; operational scaling (day and night) in core Texas lane should lift utilization and customer proof points .
  • Execution confidence: Sequential improvement in diluted EPS ($(0.11) vs $(0.12)), expanding operating domain, and Phoenix terminal opening reinforce momentum toward multi-lane validation by year-end .
  • Balance sheet strength and runway: Liquidity of $1.309 billion funds operations into Q2 2027; ATM program expanded, enabling flexible capital access during scale-up .
  • Cost-down pathway intact: 2nd-gen hardware kit progressing, 3rd-gen Continental program advancing toward 2027 mass manufacturing, underpinning long-term unit economics .
  • Regulatory momentum: AMERICA DRIVES Act proposes a federal framework and preemption supportive of nationwide scaling for autonomous trucking .
  • Near-term modeling: Revenue remains modest relative to costs; focus remains on expanding ODD (night, rain, wind) and lanes (FW–El Paso–Phoenix), with capex rising as hardware programs develop .
  • Watch catalysts: Additional lane validations, customer conversions, hardware milestone deliveries (Fabrinet vehicle builds, Continental prototypes), and any federal framework advances .