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AeroVironment Inc (AVAV)·Q4 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Record quarter: Revenue $275.1M (+40% YoY), non-GAAP EPS $1.61, adjusted EBITDA $61.6M; GAAP EPS $0.59, with a non-cash $18.4M UGV goodwill impairment impacting GAAP results .
- Broad-based strength: LMS revenue +87% YoY to $138.3M; UxS +9% to $112.6M; MW +24% to $24.1M. Full-year bookings hit $1.2B; funded backlog $726.6M (+82% YoY) .
- FY26 outlook (post BlueHalo close May 1): revenue $1.9–$2.0B, adjusted EBITDA $300–$320M, non-GAAP EPS $2.80–$3.00; adjusted GM 29–31%; R&D 6–7% of revenue; CapEx 6–8% .
- Estimate beats: Revenue beat by ~$33.5M, non-GAAP EPS beat by ~$0.22 versus S&P consensus; narrative catalysts include robust LMS demand, international exposure (52% of revenue), and increased FY26 scale/visibility (~70% at guidance midpoint) .
- Strategic catalyst: BlueHalo acquisition completion creating two-reportable segments (Autonomous Systems; Space, Cyber & Directed Energy), expanding TAM in counter-UAS, directed energy, space communications, and cyber .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- LMS momentum: Q4 LMS revenue $138.3M (+87% YoY), with ~80% from Switchblade 600; eight countries placed initial orders in FY25 and additional eight in FMS process, underscoring strong international traction .
- Bookings and backlog: Record $1.2B FY25 bookings; funded backlog $726.6M (+82% YoY), providing solid visibility into FY26 .
- Guidance scale-up with visibility: FY26 revenue $1.9–$2.0B, adj. EBITDA $300–$320M; management cited ~70% revenue visibility at midpoint, trending margins higher through the year .
What Went Wrong
- UGV impairment: Non-cash goodwill impairment of $18.4M due to lower forecast in UGV business; also $4.6M accelerated intangible amortization hit Q4 gross margin (36% vs 38% LY) .
- Working capital build: Unbilled receivables increased by ~$60M in Q4 amid Switchblade in-process volumes and contract definitizations, pressuring near-term cash conversion .
- Prior-quarter softness: Q3 revenue $167.6M (-10% YoY) and GAAP net loss (-$1.8M) amid Southern California wind/fire disruptions; sequential recovery in Q4 was strong but highlights operational sensitivity .
Financial Results
Quarterly Performance vs Prior Periods and Estimates
Estimates vs Actuals (Q4 FY25):
- Revenue: Consensus $241.59M* vs Actual $275.05M → Beat by ~$33.46M* [Values retrieved from S&P Global].
- EPS (Primary, non-GAAP): Consensus $1.391* vs Actual $1.61 → Beat by ~$0.22* [Values retrieved from S&P Global].
Segment Breakdown (Q4)
KPIs and Mix
Guidance Changes
Note: Company cannot reconcile FY26 non-GAAP EPS to GAAP due to BlueHalo intangible valuation not yet complete .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “AeroVironment finished out fiscal year 2025 with a remarkable fourth quarter, which included record revenue, significantly higher profits and a robust backlog nearly double that from fiscal year 2024.” — Wahid Nawabi .
- “We closed our acquisition of BlueHalo… establishing AV as a premier defense tech prime… we are setting our fiscal year 2026 revenue guidance between $1.9 billion and $2.0 billion.” — Wahid Nawabi .
- “Adjusted gross margins… 29%–31%… EBITDA percentage trending 10%–12% in Q1 to high teens by Q4 as we realize synergies and a higher product mix.” — Kevin McDonnell .
- “International customers represented 52% of company revenues… Ukraine revenues were 12% in the quarter and 18% for the year; we expect Ukraine to be <5% in FY26.” — Kevin McDonnell .
Q&A Highlights
- Army transformation and drone demand: Management expects incremental opportunities across loitering munitions, counter-UAS, directed energy, and EW; AV can deliver at scale with battle-proven systems .
- Backlog mechanics: Decline in total backlog driven by unfunded-to-funded conversions and revenue burn; contracting migrated to PEO Soldier; JUONS contract expired and replaced with IDIQ path .
- FY26 guidance ranges and visibility:
70% visibility; cost synergies targeted ($10M in year one), revenue synergies to come over time . - CapEx: Elevated in FY26 (6–8%) to scale capacity in space communications, directed energy, counter-UAS, loitering munitions, and unmanned systems .
- International defense spend: Potential NATO 5% GDP pledge seen as a multi-year tailwind; AV is uniquely positioned due to trust and ability to deliver quickly .
Estimates Context
- Q4 FY25 revenue beat: $275.05M actual vs $241.59M consensus* → +13.8% vs estimates*.
- Q4 FY25 non-GAAP EPS beat: $1.61 actual vs $1.391 consensus* → +$0.22 vs estimates*.
Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Actuals per company filings: revenue and non-GAAP EPS in tables above .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Strong execution into BlueHalo close: Q4 momentum and $1.2B bookings set a high base; FY26 guidance implies ~15% growth vs pro forma FY25, with margin expansion as the year progresses .
- LMS as growth engine: Switchblade 600 mix and multi-country adoption support continued outperformance; expanded Utah capacity adds resilience and scale .
- Mix shift and working capital: Higher product mix and contract definitizations boost revenue but temporarily elevate unbilled receivables; management expects early FY26 improvement .
- One-time GAAP headwinds: UGV impairment and accelerated amortization depressed GAAP margins/EPS; non-GAAP results better reflect operating trajectory .
- International diversification: 52% international revenue and growing European demand reduces reliance on Ukraine (guided to <5% in FY26) .
- Segment realignment creates new TAM: Space, Cyber & Directed Energy adds exposure to directed energy, laser comms, cyber/mission services; expect synergies and broader DoD alignment .
- Trading setup: Estimate beats and FY26 scale/visibility are positive; watch for contract timing (DoD appropriations/definitizations), WC normalization, and quarterly margin ramp per guide .
S&P Global disclaimer: Asterisked consensus values retrieved from S&P Global.