AI
Avinger Inc (AVGR)·Q2 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 2024 revenue was $1.85M, down 10% year over year and slightly down sequentially; gross margin improved to 20% (+200 bps q/q; -1000 bps y/y). Net loss narrowed to $4.36M; Adjusted EBITDA loss improved modestly to $3.83M .
- Management implemented a 24% headcount reduction in June to streamline the peripheral business and focus resources on the coronary program, with the full effect expected in H2 2024 (lower OpEx and improved gross margin) .
- Coronary CTO program advanced: Phase III V&V studies continuing, IDE filing anticipated by end of Q3 2024; Pantheris LV full commercial launch “in the coming weeks” .
- Balance sheet strengthened: $11M debt converted to preferred equity (debt principal reduced to $2.6M, no principal payments until 2027) and ~ $5.3M net proceeds from June offering (up to ~$24M total financing potential via milestone-linked warrants) .
- Near-term stock reaction catalysts: IDE submission timeline, Pantheris LV full launch, and visible H2 cost/margin benefits; possible pressure from softer peripheral revenue near term given reduced sales force .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Gross margin expanded to 20% (from 18% in Q1) as production and inventory optimization initiatives took hold; management expects further margin improvement in H2 2024 .
- Strategic progress: “We anticipate filing an IDE application with the FDA by the end of the third quarter,” enabling first-in-human study of Avinger’s OCT-guided coronary CTO device; “we believe we can provide physicians with a superior, simplified and more successful solution” .
- Capital structure improved: $11M of debt converted, reducing principal to $2.6M and boosting stockholders’ equity; secured financing capacity up to $24M to fund growth .
What Went Wrong
- Revenue softened: Q2 sales declined to $1.85M (vs $2.04M y/y, $1.86M q/q), largely reflecting late-quarter sales force reductions and lower production activity .
- Year-over-year margin compression: gross margin fell to 20% (from 30% a year ago), driven by lower production volumes and inventory optimization; OpEx rose y/y to $4.51M .
- Near-term revenue headwinds: management expects “some softening of revenue on the peripheral side” in H2 given the reduced team, even as it prioritizes coronary milestones and Zylox partnership build-out .
Financial Results
Liquidity (balance sheet highlights):
Estimates vs Actual (Q2 2024):
Segment breakdown: Not applicable; Avinger reports as a single business with device families, but no segment revenue disclosure in Q2 materials .
KPIs and Operating Metrics:
Non-GAAP note: Adjusted EBITDA defined as net loss + interest + other income/expense + stock-based comp + certain D&A and inventory charges; reconciliation provided in press release tables .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “The Phase III verification and validation studies for our innovative coronary CTO solution remain on track for filing an IDE application by the end of the third quarter.” — CEO Jeff Soinski .
- “We have… reduced our head count by approximately 24%… which we expect to reduce operating expenses in the second half of the year.” — CEO Jeff Soinski .
- “We expect… immediate access [to] reimbursement codes for both coronary CTO-crossing and OCT-diagnostic imaging following clearance of these new devices.” — CEO Jeff Soinski .
- “We’ve completed the limited launch phase of our new Pantheris LV peripheral atherectomy catheter and are building product inventory for full commercial launch in the coming weeks.” — CEO Jeff Soinski .
- “The debt conversion resulted in an $11 million increase in stockholders’ equity.” — CFO/Principal Financial Officer Nabeel Subainati .
Q&A Highlights
- Cost reductions and Zylox: Headcount reduction not related to Zylox; near-term peripheral revenue may soften due to smaller team, but Zylox offers mid-2025 revenue upside and potential manufacturing cost benefits .
- Zylox regulatory timing: Type testing and filings progressing; management expects China launch in 2H25 (timing ultimately NMPA-dependent) .
- Pantheris LV: Minor improvements completed post-limited launch; inventory build underway; full commercial launch expected in the very near term .
- Coronary IDE clinical timeline: IDE expected to clear in 4–6 months; pilot 5–10 patients then expand; aim to file 510(k) in 2026; strong physician enthusiasm cited .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global/Capital IQ consensus for Q2 2024 revenue and EPS was unavailable due to a missing SPGI company mapping for AVGR, so beat/miss analysis to consensus cannot be determined (use-case limitation encountered when querying S&P Global).
- Given management’s expectation of H2 peripheral revenue softness (smaller field team) and margin/OpEx improvements, estimates may shift toward lower near-term revenue with improved profitability metrics as cost actions absorb; coronary milestones could drive upward revisions to medium-term adoption assumptions post-IDE .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Cost-down pivot is real: a 24% headcount reduction should lower OpEx and support margin expansion in H2; watch Q3/Q4 for operating leverage signs as production and inventory normalization continue .
- Near-term sales may be soft: management flagged peripheral revenue “softening” from reduced sales coverage; monitor Pantheris LV full launch ramp as an offset .
- Coronary CTO is the needle-mover: IDE filing by end-Q3 can catalyze sentiment; clinical start likely early 2025 and 510(k) target 2026 positions AVGR for a differentiated, reimbursable therapy .
- Strengthened balance sheet reduces risk: debt principal down to $2.6M with no payments until 2027, equity up via conversion, and fresh capital (~$5.3M net) plus up to ~$18M milestone-linked warrants provide runway to execute .
- Zylox partnership provides optionality: China commercialization pipeline for 2025 and potential COGS benefits via sourcing could support margins and global scale .
- Trading lens: Catalysts in the next 1–2 quarters include IDE submission and Pantheris LV commercial launch; set expectations for mixed prints as cost actions pressure revenue but bolster margins .
- Medium-term thesis: If coronary CTO solution demonstrates clinical and economic advantages (image-guided crossing, reimbursement, procedural efficiency), AVGR’s platform could re-rate on commercialization visibility while peripheral provides steady base .
Sources: Q2 2024 8-K press release and exhibits , earnings call transcript , Q1 2024 8-K press release , Q4 2023 8-K press release , financing-related 8-Ks (debt conversion and offering) .