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Axonics, Inc. (AXNX)·Q1 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 delivered 29% YoY revenue growth to $91.4M, with both Sacral Neuromodulation (SNM) and Bulkamid growing double-digits; gross margin reached a record 75.8% on higher manufacturing yields .
  • Profitability was pressured by higher operating expenses and merger-related dynamics: net loss widened to $19.1M (vs. $9.2M LY) and adjusted EBITDA was $3.0M; ~$6M of compensation that would have been equity shifted to cash due to the pending Boston Scientific merger and was added back to adjusted EBITDA .
  • Sequential revenue fell from Q4 seasonality ($109.7M in Q4’23) but remained above Q3’23 ($93.1M), while gross margin continued to expand (74.2% → 75.4% → 75.8%) .
  • Management emphasized sustained commercial execution and anticipated broader impact “as part of Boston Scientific”; no new guidance was issued amid the pending merger, a key near-term stock catalyst .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Broad-based top-line strength: SNM revenue rose 30% YoY to $71.7M and Bulkamid rose 27% YoY to $19.7M in Q1 .
    • Record gross margin: 75.8% in Q1, with management attributing expansion to higher yields achieved by the manufacturing and operations team in Irvine; “Our commercial team continued to execute at a high level…” .
    • Positive adjusted EBITDA: $3.0M in Q1 (vs. $0.9M LY), despite merger-related cost dynamics; cash, equivalents, ST investments and restricted cash totaled $349M at quarter-end .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Loss widened: Net loss increased to $19.1M from $9.2M in the prior-year quarter on higher operating expenses and tax expense .
    • Elevated operating costs: Q1 OpEx was $88.4M, including $3.8M of acquisition-related costs (vs. $66.9M OpEx and $1.8M acquisition-related costs LY) .
    • Equity-to-cash comp shift: ~$6M that typically would have been equity moved to cash compensation due to the pending merger, pressuring reported GAAP results (added back in adjusted EBITDA) .

Financial Results

MetricQ3 2023Q4 2023Q1 2024
Revenue ($M)$93.1 $109.7 $91.4
YoY Revenue Growth+32% +28% +29%
Gross Margin %74.2% 75.4% 75.8%
Net Income (Loss) ($M)$3.9 $6.6 $(19.1)
Diluted EPS$0.08 $0.13 $(0.38)
Adjusted EBITDA ($M)$14.0 $18.9 $3.0
Cash, ST Inv., Restricted Cash ($M)$344.7 (as of 9/30/23) $358.0 (as of 12/31/23) $349.0 (as of 3/31/24)

Segment and geographic mix (Q1 2024 vs. Q1 2023):

KPI ($M)Q1 2023Q1 2024
SNM – U.S.$53.853 $69.840
SNM – International$1.305 $1.839
SNM – Total$55.158 $71.679
Bulkamid – U.S.$11.613 $15.219
Bulkamid – International$3.879 $4.511
Bulkamid – Total$15.492 $19.730
Total Net Revenue$70.650 $91.409

Additional P&L and non-GAAP items (Q1 2024 vs. Q1 2023):

Metric ($M unless noted)Q1 2023Q1 2024
Gross Profit$52.5 $69.3
Operating Expenses$66.9 (incl. $1.8 acq. costs) $88.4 (incl. $3.8 acq. costs)
Net Income (Loss)$(9.2) $(19.1)
Adj. EBITDA$0.9 $3.0
Stock-Based Comp$10.7 $9.6
Cash Comp in lieu of Equity (Merger-Related)$5.6

Notes: Q1 2024 non-GAAP reconciliation includes add-backs for acquisition-related costs and the cash compensation in lieu of equity grants tied to the pending merger .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
RevenueFY 2024Not provided (post-merger announcement)Not provided due to pending Boston Scientific mergerMaintained: no guidance
Gross MarginFY 2024Not providedNot providedMaintained: no guidance
Operating ExpensesFY 2024Not providedNot providedMaintained: no guidance
Other items (OI&E, tax rate, dividends)FY 2024Not providedNot providedMaintained: no guidance

Context: Management commentary and filings during Q1 reference the pending Boston Scientific transaction; no new forward guidance was issued .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

Note: A Q1 2024 earnings call transcript was not available via our tools; themes below are drawn from Q1/Q4/Q3 press releases and Q1 forward-looking statements.

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q3’23, Q4’23)Current Period (Q1’24)Trend
Manufacturing yields / margin74.2% GM in Q3; margin expansion noted Record 75.8% GM on higher yields; operations cited Improving margins driven by yields
Product performance (SNM, Bulkamid)SNM and Bulkamid grew; raised FY23 revenue to $362M in Q3 SNM +30% YoY; Bulkamid +27% YoY Continued broad-based growth
Operating leverage / EBITDAQ3 adj. EBITDA $14.0M; Q4 $18.9M Q1 adj. EBITDA $3.0M; equity→cash comp added back Seasonal step-down; merger-related comp mix
M&A (Boston Scientific)Emphasis on strategic fit; stockholders approved merger on Mar 22, 2024 Transaction pending; key near-term focus
Regulatory/legalMedtronic litigation and regulatory risks noted in FLS Ongoing risk disclosure
Guidance policyFY23 raised in Q3 No new guidance due to merger Suspended while merger pending

Management Commentary

  • “Our commercial team continued to execute at a high level in the first quarter, generating revenue growth of 29% year over year…” .
  • “Gross margin expanded to 75.8%, a new record, as we benefited from higher yields that were achieved through the diligent efforts of our manufacturing and operations team in Irvine.”
  • “We remain confident that our commitment to innovation, quality, direct-to-consumer advertising and providing strong clinical support will continue to drive market expansion. We look forward to the global impact we can make as part of Boston Scientific…”

Q&A Highlights

  • A Q1 2024 earnings call transcript was not available via our document tools; therefore, Q&A highlights and guidance clarifications could not be verified in primary sources. We searched for “earnings-call-transcript” and “other-transcript” documents for AXNX (none found for Q1 2024) and also performed broader web searches without locating a primary-source transcript. We will update if a verified transcript becomes available [Search results show none via tool].

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global consensus data: unavailable via our estimates tool for AXNX due to a missing mapping at the time of query. Values retrieved from S&P Global were unavailable.
  • Third-party media reported an EPS miss (actual $(0.38) vs. estimate $(0.08)) and a slight revenue beat ($91.41M vs. $89.59M), but these are not S&P Global figures and should be treated as indicative only .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Momentum intact: Q1 revenue +29% YoY with balanced growth across SNM and Bulkamid; record gross margin underscores durable operational improvements .
  • Merger dynamics matter: Equity grant pause and comp mix shift to cash increased GAAP OpEx; adjusted EBITDA remains a better proxy near-term given merger-related adjustments .
  • Seasonality visible: Sequential decline from Q4’s high watermark is consistent with historical patterns, while margin continued to improve .
  • Balance sheet strength: $349M in cash, equivalents, ST investments and restricted cash provides flexibility during the merger process .
  • No guidance during merger: Absence of FY24 guidance limits near-term estimate precision; focus should be on operational metrics (share gains, margin trajectory) and merger milestones .
  • Watch risk disclosures: Ongoing litigation (e.g., Medtronic) and regulatory processes are cited in forward-looking statements; monitor for updates that could affect the combined entity’s outlook .
  • Trading lens: Near-term stock narrative likely tied to merger progress and any updates on integration/clearances; fundamentals (share gains, high-70s GM) provide a constructive backdrop if the deal timeline stays on track .

Sources

  • Q1 2024 8-K 2.02 press release with full financials and non-GAAP reconciliation .
  • Q4 2023 8-K 2.02 press release and financials .
  • Q3 2023 8-K 2.02 press release and financials .
  • Merger-related 8-K/press (stockholder approval) .
  • Third-party coverage of Q1 2024 estimates comparison (non-S&P): InvestorPlace .