BC
Bally's Corp (BALY)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 revenue rose 5.4% year over year to $663.7M but modestly missed S&P Global consensus of $668.9M; S&P “Primary EPS” was -$3.85 vs -$0.48 consensus, while GAAP EPS per 10-Q was -$1.70, reflecting higher costs and interest expense and continued losses in North America Interactive . Q3 EBITDA also came in below consensus ($109.2M vs $128.9M)*.
- Casinos & Resorts grew 12.1% to $396.1M on the Queen merger and solid property performance; U.K. online grew 8.0% YoY; ex-Asia divestiture, International Interactive grew 11.7%. North America Interactive revenue grew 13.1% but remained loss-making (Adj. EBITDAR -$6.0M) .
- Strategic catalysts: Intralot acquisition of Bally’s International Interactive closed in October for €2.7B; Bally’s now owns 58% of Intralot and used proceeds to repay ~$1.3B of secured/revolver debt; >$15M annual cost-savings program underway; Chicago project received $125.4M funding from GLPI; Bronx application advanced and NY license decision anticipated by year-end .
- Stock narrative: Debt reduction, majority stake in a high-margin lottery/iGaming leader (Intralot) and cost actions are offsets to near-term EBITDA/EPS miss and NA Interactive losses; execution on Chicago/Bronx and clarity on SLB/deleveraging are potential near-term catalysts .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
- What Went Well
- Casinos & Resorts revenue up 12.1% YoY to $396.1M, aided by Queen assets and outperformance in stable markets (Vicksburg, Kansas City, Queen Baton Rouge) .
- U.K. online revenue +8.0% YoY (4.2% cc); excluding Asia divestiture, International Interactive revenue +11.7% YoY; segment Adj. EBITDAR up slightly to $91.9M .
- Strategic execution: Intralot deal closed (€2.7B), Bally’s became 58% owner and paid down ~$1.3B secured/revolver debt; >$15M annual savings initiated; received $125.4M Chicago funding from GLPI .
- CEO tone: “marked progress across multiple fronts on our transformation to the new Bally’s 2.0” and creation of a “global iGaming and lottery champion” with industry-leading margins .
- What Went Wrong
- Modest top-line miss (Q3 revenue $663.7M vs $668.9M consensus)* and EBITDA miss ($109.2M vs $128.9M consensus); S&P “Primary EPS” significantly below consensus (-$3.85 vs -$0.48) .
- NA Interactive still loss-making (Adj. EBITDAR -$6.0M) despite 13.1% revenue growth; higher marketing and other expenses offset top-line .
- Competitive headwinds persisted at certain properties (Shreveport, Evansville, Dover) and ~$4M of shared services costs shifted to C&R this quarter (≈$12M YTD allocation) .
- Balance sheet at quarter-end showed higher net long-term debt ($3.72B) and $393M revolver drawn before Intralot proceeds/debt paydown .
Financial Results
Headline results
Estimates vs Actual (S&P Global)
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Segment revenue ($M)
Segment Adjusted EBITDAR ($M)
Balance sheet and liquidity KPIs
Additional operating details
- U.K. online revenue +8.0% YoY (4.2% cc) in Q3; ex-Asia divestiture, International Interactive revenue +11.7% YoY .
- NA Interactive Adj. EBITDAR -$6.0M (management expects “meaningful” improvement in coming quarters) .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Note: A Q3 2025 Bally’s earnings call transcript was not available in our document catalog as of this analysis; themes below reflect management commentary across Q1–Q3 earnings materials.
Management Commentary
- “Our solid third quarter results and recent strategic initiatives highlight further marked progress across multiple fronts on our transformation to the new Bally’s 2.0.”
- On Intralot: “The combined entity is expected to generate approximately €1.1 billion in annual revenue [with] EBITDA margins in excess of 39% … [and is] superbly positioned to unlock significant cross-selling opportunities and drive growth and long-term value creation.”
- Cost actions: “We implemented cost-savings programs … and we anticipate more than $15 million in annual savings beginning in the current quarter.”
- Projects: “Construction remains in full swing at our permanent … resort in Chicago … [received] first funding … of $125.4 million.”
- Regulatory: “Bally’s Bronx Community Advisory Committee approved our application … Bally’s is now one of three remaining applicants … with a decision anticipated by year’s end.”
Q&A Highlights
- A Q3 2025 Bally’s earnings call transcript was not available in our document catalog; management’s disclosures are drawn from the 8-K and press releases for Q3 2025 .
Estimates Context
- Revenue of $663.7M was slightly below S&P Global consensus of $668.9M (miss ~$5.2M); EBITDA of $109.2M missed $128.9M consensus (miss ~$19.6M); S&P “Primary EPS” of -$3.85 missed -$0.48 consensus*. GAAP EPS per 10-Q was -$1.70 .
- Expectation resets: Continued NA Interactive losses and competitive pressure at several properties may lead to slight downward revisions to near-term profitability assumptions, partially offset by cost-savings and deleveraging tailwinds.*
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Near-term: Modest revenue miss and sizable EPS/EBITDA shortfall vs S&P consensus were offsets to healthy C&R growth and resilient U.K. online; focus on cost-savings ramp and NA Interactive profitability path could drive estimate stabilization .
- Strategic: Intralot close transforms Bally’s into a majority owner of a scaled lottery/iGaming platform with high margins; initial ~$1.3B debt paydown is a tangible deleveraging milestone .
- Projects: Chicago funding received; execution milestones (Baton Rouge landside completion in Q4; expected 2026 improvement) and NY downstate license decision represent visible catalysts .
- Balance sheet: Revolver increased/extended; SLB of Twin River Lincoln plus Intralot proceeds support further secured debt reduction; monitor pro forma interest and liquidity runway .
- Segment mix: C&R steady; International online healthy ex-Asia; NA Interactive requires disciplined marketing and cost control to reach profitability .
- Trading setup: Stock likely keyed to deleveraging cadence, Chicago/Bronx updates, and early evidence of NA Interactive margin improvement; better-than-expected cost realization could be an upside surprise .
Notes on sources: Q3 press release/8-K and prior two quarters’ press releases provide financials and commentary . GAAP EPS from the Q3 10-Q (SEC) . Estimates from S&P Global as noted with asterisks.