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BC

BANNER CORP (BANR)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 2025 EPS was $1.54 GAAP and $1.52 adjusted; EPS beat Wall Street consensus ($1.40), while revenue was slightly below consensus ($170.7M GAAP vs $171.5M) as the mix shift and asset sales drove adjusted revenue of $168.7M. EPS beat; revenue slight miss (values from S&P Global) *
  • Net interest margin expanded 6 bps to 3.98% (tax-equivalent), net interest income rose 4% q/q to $150.0M, and the efficiency ratio improved to 59.76% from 62.50% .
  • Deposits grew 4% q/q to $14.02B (core deposits 89%), enabling an 82% reduction in FHLB advances to $100M; management raised the quarterly dividend 4% to $0.50 and repurchased 250K shares at $63.11, signaling capital strength .
  • Guidance commentary: with multiple Fed cuts in Q4, management expects “moderate” margin compression; deposit beta modeled at 28% and advertised CD rates cut 25 bps post-September cut (catalyst: capital return + NIM trajectory) .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Net interest margin expanded to 3.98% and net interest income increased to $150.0M, supported by higher loan yields and lower funding costs .
  • Efficiency improved: GAAP efficiency ratio fell to 59.76% (adjusted 58.54%), reflecting stronger NIM and controlled opex .
  • Deposit momentum and liquidity: total deposits +4% q/q to $14.02B; FHLB advances down to $100M; CFO highlighted “ample capacity” and strong core funding base .
  • Management tone: “continued strength of our super community bank strategy… strong core deposit base… strong credit quality” (CEO) .

What Went Wrong

  • Non-interest expense ticked up to $102.0M and included $1.0M losses in building/lease exit costs; net charge-offs rose to $2.2M, with higher agricultural and commercial C/Os .
  • While EPS beat, revenue was marginally below S&P Global consensus in Q3 (small miss vs GAAP revenue; adjusted revenue below consensus) (values from S&P Global)*.
  • Forward NIM headwind: management expects “moderate” margin compression in quarters with multiple Fed cuts; deposit costs rose 3 bps q/q to 1.50% .

Financial Results

MetricQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Revenue (GAAP, $USD Millions)$160.191 $162.150 $170.719
Adjusted Revenue (Non-GAAP, $USD Millions)$159.876 $162.984 $168.746
Diluted EPS (GAAP, $)$1.30 $1.31 $1.54
Diluted Adjusted EPS (Non-GAAP, $)$1.29 $1.35 $1.52
Net Interest Income ($USD Millions)$141.083 $144.399 $149.989
Net Interest Margin % (tax-equivalent)3.92% 3.92% 3.98%
Efficiency Ratio % (GAAP)63.21% 62.50% 59.76%
Adjusted Efficiency Ratio %62.18% 60.28% 58.54%
Return on Average Assets %1.15% 1.13% 1.30%
Balance Sheet & CreditQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Loans Receivable ($USD Millions)$11,438.796 $11,690.373 $11,702.538
Deposits ($USD Millions)$13,593.265 $13,527.291 $14,015.935
Core Deposits (% of total)89% 89% 89%
FHLB Advances ($USD Millions)$168.0 $565.0 $100.0
Non-Performing Assets ($USD Millions)$42.727 $49.775 $45.288
NPA / Total Assets %0.26% 0.30% 0.27%
ACL – Loans ($USD Millions)$157.323 $160.501 $159.707
ACL – Loans / Total Loans %1.38% 1.37% 1.36%
Loan Composition ($USD Millions)Q2 2025Q3 2025
Commercial RE (Owner-occupied)$1,125.249 $1,134.559
Commercial RE (Investment)$1,625.001 $1,652.141
Small Balance CRE$1,223.477 $1,210.357
Multifamily RE$860.700 $860.650
Construction, Land & Dev.$1,696.560 (sum) $1,735.705 (sum)
Commercial Business$1,318.483 $1,254.460
Small Business Scored$1,152.531 $1,176.889
Agricultural Business$345.742 $354.884
One- to Four-Family Residential$1,610.133 $1,582.605
Consumer – HELOC$639.757 $649.188
Consumer – Other$92.740 $91.100
Operating KPIs (Quarterly)Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Earning Asset Yield %5.35% 5.40% 5.43%
Average Loan Yield %6.07% 6.12% 6.17%
Deposit Cost %1.47% 1.47% 1.50%
Funding Liabilities Cost %1.55% 1.60% 1.57%
Loan-to-Deposit Ratio %84% (CFO)

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Net Interest MarginQ4 2025Margin expands in static-rate quartersMultiple Fed cuts in a quarter would cause “moderate” margin compression Lower vs static outlook
Deposit PricingQ4 2025Advertised CD specials cut ~25 bps; high-yield savings tiers reduced ~5–20 bps; exceptions pricing trimmed Lower deposit rates
Deposit BetaQ4 2025Modeling ~28% deposit beta; lagged repricing cadence Clarified beta assumption
Loan GrowthFY 2025Expect mid-single-digit full-year loan growth; Q4 typically strong Maintained growth target
Capital DeploymentOngoingPaid off $100M sub debt (Q2) Repurchased 250K shares; raised dividend to $0.50; repurchase authorization in place Higher shareholder returns
L/D Ratio ToleranceOngoingComfortable up to ~95% L/D (CRO) Policy tolerance articulated

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q-2 and Q-1)Current PeriodTrend
AI/Tech investments“Strategic investments continue to enhance operations” (Q2); higher info/data services opex New deposit & loan origination system modules going live in Q4; fraud tech; governance-first AI features and longer-term AI roadmap Expanding technology spend and scalability
Rates/Macro & NIMNIM 3.92% (Q1 and Q2); expansion vs prior year NIM 3.98%; with multiple Fed cuts in Q4, expect “moderate” NIM compression Rate-sensitive; caution near term
Deposits & PricingCore deposits 89% (Q1/Q2); deposit costs 1.47% Strong seasonal deposit inflows (ag); cut CD and savings rates; lower exceptions Stable base; proactive repricing
Capital ReturnsPaid off sub debt in Q2 Buybacks at ~$63; dividend up 4%; M&A optional, not needed for EPS power Increasing shareholder returns
Credit QualityNPA 0.26% (Q1); 0.30% (Q2) NPA 0.27%; ACL coverage 399% of NPLs Stable/strong metrics
Loan Originations & CompetitionQ2 originations $966.6M Q3 originations $794.5M; muted response to 25 bp cut; pipelines rebuilding; competition largely unchanged; some asks for longer I/O Normalizing after strong Q2

Management Commentary

  • CEO: “Banner’s third quarter performance reflects the continued strength of our super community bank strategy… strong credit quality… robust capital position… strong core deposit base, with core deposits representing 89% of total deposits at quarter-end” .
  • CFO on NIM outlook: “In a quarter where there’s no Fed actions… margin would expand… If the Fed does one rate cut… relatively flat… multiple rate cuts in one quarter… we would expect some margin compression” .
  • CFO on deposit actions: “Post-Fed rate cut, we reduced our advertised CD specials by 25 bps… reduced our high-yield savings tiers 5–20 bps… took some reduction on exception-priced clients as well” .
  • CRO on loan growth: “Fourth quarter loan growth is typically strong… we still anticipate reporting a mid-single-digit growth rate for the full year” .
  • CFO on capital: “Repurchased 250,000 shares… announced the increase in our core dividend by 4%… share repurchases on the table post-blackout, subject to market conditions” .

Q&A Highlights

  • Margin trajectory under Fed cuts: Management expects “moderate” NIM compression with multiple cuts in one quarter; September margin was “really close” to the quarter average .
  • Capital deployment: Buybacks viewed as attractive around Q3 levels; dividend raised; M&A optional with ample capital and strong earnings power .
  • Deposits: Strong seasonal inflows (ag); no specials beyond standard efforts; broad pricing reductions post-cut; elevated average cash balances as “dry powder” for Q4 loan growth .
  • Competitive dynamics: Pipelines rebuilding after strong Q2 pull-through; competition consistent; some pressure for longer interest-only structures; underwriting standards holding .
  • Operating expense tailwinds: Back-office space consolidation will continue a “few more quarters” into mid-2026, implying occasional lease-termination costs .

Estimates Context

MetricQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
EPS – Consensus Mean ($)1.2181.3101.400
EPS – Actual ($)1.291.351.52
Revenue – Consensus Mean ($USD Millions)159.673166.915171.522
Revenue – Actual ($USD Millions)157.052157.355168.049

Results vs consensus in Q3: EPS beat (+$0.12) and revenue slight miss (-$3.47M). Where relevant, consider consensus updates given deposit repricing and NIM outlook. All values marked in this section are from S&P Global and may use S&P-defined “Primary EPS” and “Revenue” methodologies which can differ from GAAP totals shown in company materials.*

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • EPS beat driven by NIM expansion and lower provisioning; expense discipline improving efficiency — supportive for near-term estimate revisions upward on EPS .
  • Revenue line ran slightly below consensus; adjust revenue modeling for asset sales/fair-value items and seasoning in mortgage banking *.
  • Deposit growth and core funding strength materially reduced wholesale funding reliance; expect lower funding costs to partially offset loan yield pressures in a falling-rate environment .
  • Near-term NIM risk: multiple Fed cuts in Q4 point to “moderate” compression; deposit betas ~28% imply lagged relief; position around rate paths in modeling .
  • Credit quality remains robust (NPA 0.27%, ACL/NPL 399%); watch agricultural and commercial charge-offs in the context of macro/commodity cycles .
  • Capital return optionality is increasing (dividend up; buybacks active); mgmt remains selective on M&A; potential catalysts include continued repurchases post-blackout .
  • Q4 loan growth historically strong; pipelines solid; monitor originations and any competitive shifts (interest-only asks) for spread/structure implications .

Footnote: *Values retrieved from S&P Global.