Beta Bionics (BBNX) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

Executive Summary

Q2 2025 net sales grew 54% year over year to $23.2M, with gross margin at 53.8%; strength came from both DME and accelerating pharmacy channel adoption.
Revenue and EPS beat Wall Street: revenue $23.2M vs. $19.7M consensus and EPS better than consensus (S&P “Primary EPS”) −0.27 vs. −0.47; company-reported diluted EPS was −$0.39.
Full-year 2025 guidance was raised across revenue ($88–$93M), pharmacy mix (25–28% of new starts), and gross margin (52–55%); CFO outlined cadence of sequential growth into Q3 and Q4.
Strategic catalysts: nationwide PBM formulary agreements effective July 1 and strong real-world outcomes underpin adoption; pipeline milestones include Mint patch pump demo and progression of bihormonal PK/PD bridging trial.

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

Record quarterly adoption: 4,934 new patient starts (+57% YoY); installed base reached 24,085 users (+200% YoY), with ~71% of new starts from MDI, evidencing market expansion.
Pharmacy channel inflection: “As of July 1st, Beta Bionics has effective formulary agreements in place with all the major PBMs that operate in the U.S.” (CEO), with a high-20s percent of new starts reimbursed through pharmacy in Q2.
Real-world outcomes: “We showed that the iLet delivered an average baseline A1C to follow a GMI decline of 1.6% in the real-world… across such a wide range of users and clinicians” (CEO).
Guidance raised: revenue to $88–$93M, pharmacy mix to 25–28%, gross margin to 52–55%; CFO expects sequential revenue and GM upticks Q2→Q3→Q4.

What Went Wrong

Operating expenses increased 63% YoY to $32.4M, reflecting sales force expansion and R&D for Mint and bihormonal programs; operating loss widened to $(19.9)M.
Near-term margin headwind from pharmacy mix: CFO explained foregone upfront pump revenue reduces revenue and GM in-quarter, offset over time by higher recurring pharmacy revenue.
Pricing and stocking dynamics: pharmacy iLet ASP declined due to PBM rebates; supply kits ASP unchanged but Q2 saw stocking headwinds vs. Q1 (analyst Q&A).
Attrition remains undisclosed; CFO emphasized retention confidence but declined to quantify churn, an investor modeling concern.

View the full earnings report

Transcript

Speaker 3

Good afternoon and welcome to the Beta Bionics second quarter 2025 earnings conference call. At this time, all participants are in a listen only mode. After the speaker's presentation, there will be a question and answer session and instructions will follow at that time. As a reminder, please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Blake Beber, Head of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

Speaker 0

Thank you.

Speaker 1

Good afternoon and thank you for tuning in to Beta Bionics second quarter 2025 earnings call. Joining me for today's call are Chief Executive Officer Sean Saint and Chief Financial Officer Stephen Feider. Both the replay of this call and the press release discussing our second quarter 2025 results will be available on the Investor Relations section of our website. The replay will be available for approximately one year following the conclusion of this call. Information recorded on this call speaks only as of today, July 29, 2025. Therefore, if you are listening to the replay, any time sensitive information may no longer be accurate. Also on our website is our supplemental second quarter 2025 earnings presentation and updated Corporate Presentation. We encourage you to refer to those documents for a summary of key metrics and business updates.

Before we begin, we'd like to remind you that today's discussion will include forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements reflect management's expectations about future events, our product pipeline development timelines, financial performance, and operating plans. Please refer to the cautionary statements in.

Speaker 0

The press release we issued earlier today.

Speaker 1

As well as our SEC filings, including our Form 10-Q filed today, for a detailed explanation of the inherent limitations of such forward-looking statements. These documents contain and identify important factors.

Speaker 4

That may cause actual results to differ.

Speaker 1

Materially from current expectations expressed or implied by our forward-looking statements. Please note that the forward-looking statements made during this call speak only as of today's date and we undertake no obligation to update them to reflect subsequent events or circumstances except to the extent required by law. Today's discussion will also include references to non-GAAP financial measures with respect to our performance, namely adjusted EBITDA. Non-GAAP financial measures are provided to give our investors information that we believe is indicative of our core performance and reflects our ongoing business operations. We believe these non-GAAP financial measures facilitate better comparisons of operating results across reporting periods. Any non-GAAP information presented should not be considered as a substitution, independently or superior to results prepared in accordance with GAAP.

Please refer to our Earnings Press Release and Supplemental Earnings Presentation on the Investor Relations section of our website for reconciliation of non-GAAP measures to their most directly comparable GAAP financial measure. Now I'd like to turn the call over to Sean for some opening remarks.

Speaker 4

Thanks, Blake. Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for joining us for our second quarter 2025 earnings call. We're excited to share with you all today our financial results for the second quarter, as well as positive updates to our full year guidance for 2025. Starting with our performance in the second quarter, our team continues to execute at the highest level across all aspects of our business, and we made key advances commercially, clinically, and in our innovation pipeline. We continue to see robust demand for the iLet, and our efforts to expand the iLet’s commercial reach resulted in a record number of new patient starts in the quarter in both the Durable Medical Equipment Payment System and pharmacy channels, and a record percentage of those new patient starts going through the pharmacy channel.

In late June, we hosted our first Investor and Analyst Day where we talked about the iLet’s place on the continuum of user engagement, engagement from hybrid to fully closed loop, and the continuum of system adaptation from static to adaptive algorithms. The iLet demands the least engagement from the user and delivers the most automated adaptation of any automated insulin delivery system, setting a new standard for our industry. We also highlighted the superior clinical outcomes of the iLet with our real-world data. Through the first two years of iLet’s launch, we demonstrated that the iLet drove meaningful changes from baseline HbA1c to follow-up glucose management indicator, or GMI, which is a proxy for A1c, regardless of our user's baseline A1c group, prior therapy, or level of engagement with the iLet.

We also shared outcomes for users treated by endocrinologists or primary care practices, and the outcomes were virtually the same. We're extremely proud of those data and believe that iLet is the only pump in the market that's capable of producing those results across such a wide range of users and clinicians. It's important to remind you all that if we had a user's baseline A1c and at least three weeks of CGM data uploaded to our cloud, they were included in our real-world results.

We've noticed a trend in our industry of subsegmented data in ways that make it appear more favorable, sometimes in dramatic fashion, and we encourage everyone to read the fine print on these data sets to get a better sense of how populations are being subsegmented in a way that skews the results. Beta Bionics is committed to providing fair and honest representations of our real world data, and when we do subsegment our data, we do it to highlight the performance of our system in our hardest users, not our easiest ones. In this way, we are not only setting a new standard with our technology, but also with our approach to sharing real world results. In Q2, we also made some key strides in our innovation pipeline, which I'll dive into in more detail later in the call.

I've never been more confident that we're building a highly differentiated business that is poised to achieve success over the short, medium, and long term. Our team's dedication to our mission of delivering life changing solutions that simplify and alleviate the burden of managing diabetes is stronger than ever, and we want to thank our community of users, healthcare providers, and caregivers in our bionic universe that inspire us every day to achieve our mission. For today's call, I'll cover our Q2 results, which exceeded our expectations across the board. Stephen will provide some additional color on our performance in the quarter while highlighting positive updates to our annual guidance for the full year 2025. I'll discuss the recent CMS proposal for the 2026 Durable Medical Equipment Payment System, which has implications for durable insulin pumps and Beta Bionics.

Lastly, I'll wrap up the call with key updates across our innovation pipeline, including Mynt, which is our patch pump program, and then our bihormonal system. Starting with a brief overview of our Q2 2025 financial performance, I'm proud to announce that we delivered $23.2 million in net sales, which grew 54% year over year. In Q2, we saw 4,934 new patients adopt the iLet, growing 57% versus the prior year. A high 20s % of those new patient starts were reimbursed through the pharmacy channel, which is substantially higher than the mid single digit % we saw in Q2 of the prior year and increasing relative to the low 20s % we saw in Q1 of this year.

As a reminder, we believe the best metric to measure pharmacy coverage is the % of total new patient starts that were reimbursed through pharmacy as opposed to % of lives covered under formulary agreements with pharmacy benefit managers or PBMs, which doesn't account for adoption by the underlying health plans or the underlying logistics required to utilize this channel. As of July 1, Beta Bionics has effective formulary agreements in place with all the major PBMs that operate in the United States. While we're proud of that accomplishment, it does not yet mean that all of those patients are benefiting from the pharmacy channel. We'll continue to work with the health plans that partner with those PBMs to expand adoption of the iLet under the pharmacy benefit, as we've been successfully doing over the last two years. Shifting now to gross margin.

Our gross margin in the quarter was 53.8%, up slightly relative to 53.7% in Q2 of 2024. There are a few moving pieces that impacted our gross margin in Q2 that Stephen will address in detail shortly, but overall our gross margin in Q2 is indicative of our continued cost discipline across the business as well as our ability to extract leverage from our fixed manufacturing overhead as we continue to build scale. As I mentioned earlier, these Q2 results exceeded our expectations across the board, and I'm proud of what our teams accomplished. There are a number of drivers to point to when it comes to our strong performance, and we expect all of them to continue to contribute to our performance going forward. The first driver to call out is the market's deepening appreciation for our highly differentiated, fully adaptive closed-loop algorithm.

At the Investor and Analyst Day, we showed that the iLet delivered an average baseline A1C to follow a GMI decline of 1.6% in the real world, a result that we believe is unique in the history of insulin pumping and even diabetes management more broadly. We're generating those results in our true real world population, meaning our entire user base for whom we have baseline A1C and at least three weeks of CGM data. This isn't a fractional advantaged subsegment of our data. This is a representative real world population. With each quarter we see the iLet growing into new accounts and penetrating deeper into existing accounts. There's still substantial runway. In Q2, we launched an update for the Bionic Portal, our healthcare provider portal, which now allows providers to access real time clinical outcomes for their patients that are using the iLet.

The updated portal facilitates collaboration between providers in the clinic, enhances the connection that providers have with their iLet patients between visits, and enriches communications between providers and their patients during visits to the clinic. Initial feedback from iLet prescribers has been overwhelmingly positive, and we're already seeing the Bionic Portal drive more rapid adoption of the iLet at the provider and clinic level. As you may recall, in the second half of 2024 we launched three new products, including integration with Abbott's FreeStyle Libre 3 CGM, Color iLet, and the Bionic Circle remote monitoring app. These product launches continued to gain traction in Q2, and we expect their contribution to continue to grow in the second half of the year. In Q1, we expanded our sales force by 20 territories to bring our total territory count to 63. Those 20 incremental territories began selling in earnest in Q2.

That creates a headwind for revenue and gross margin this quarter, but is great for the business over the medium and long term. In parallel to that, our pharmacy installed base at the end of Q2 2025 was over seven times the size of our pharmacy installed base at the end of Q2 2024. Over time, as our mix of new patient starts continues to shift to the pharmacy, we believe the high gross margin recurring revenue generated from our existing pharmacy install base will overpower the near term headwind we experienced from new patient starts going through the pharmacy channel. Stated differently, in the near future we expect the pharmacy channel's gross margin will consistently outperform the DME channel's gross margin. The second point that is indicative of healthy underlying gross margin dynamics is manufacturing volume leverage.

As production volumes increased in Q2 of the prior year, we benefited from lower per unit costs driven by a reduced bill of materials and improved absorption of fixed manufacturing overhead. In summary, growth in new patient starts to the pharmacy channel caused year over year margin compression which was offset by high margin recurring revenue from a substantially larger pharmacy install base and lower per unit costs from manufacturing volume leverage. The pharmacy installed base and lower per unit costs are both durable gross margin tailwinds going forward. Shifting now to operating expenses, total operating expenses in the second quarter were $32.4 million, an increase of 63% compared to $19.9 million in the second quarter of 2024. The increase in sales and marketing expenses relative to the prior year is driven by expansion of our field sales team which now stands at 63 sales territories exiting Q2.

The increase in R&D expenses relative to the prior year is driven by the Mynt and bihormonal projects. G&A expense increases relative to the prior year are driven by new costs related to operating as a public company. Let's move on to cash. As of June 30, 2025, we have approximately $281 million in cash, cash equivalents and short and long term investments. We remain confident in our ability to generate positive free cash flow at an earlier stage relative to our peer group's historical precedent. Here are a few reasons why. Number one, our device is designed to be manufactured efficiently, evidenced by our current gross margin profile. Number two, our revenue model is shifting towards the pharmacy, which we are confident is financially accretive versus the DME channel over the medium and long term.

Number three is our management team's track record of operational efficiency, which is evident in our operating margin at our scale relative to competitive precedents at a similar scale. We know that an efficient operator title is earned, not given, and we intend to earn the public's trust on that with each passing quarter. Now turning to our 2025 annual guidance, we are raising guidance across the board. We now project that net sales for the full year of 2025 will be $88 to $93 million, up from our prior guidance of $82 to $87 million. We now expect 25% to 28% of our new patient starts to be reimbursed through the pharmacy channel versus our prior guidance of 22% to 25%. Allow me to remind you what the increase in pharmacy guidance means for revenue over the next four years.

The rates from 23.5% to 26.5% new patient starts through pharmacy, which are the midpoints of our previous and updated guidance, are expected to generate a roughly $1 million headwind to 2025 revenue. This roughly $1 million headwind is baked into our updated 2025 annual guidance of $88 to $93 million. From 2026 through 2028, we'd expect that same increase in pharmacy guidance to result in up to a $9 million tailwind to cumulative revenue, assuming no attrition. Said a different way, a $1 million headwind in year one flips into a potential $9 million cumulative tailwind in years two through four. We accept that trade off.

In terms of how to think about the revenue cadence for the remainder of the year, we anticipate revenue in Q3 to be slightly higher than Q2 and revenue in Q4 to increase relative to Q3, which is seasonally typical in the diabetes industry. For new patient starts, we expect Q3 new patient starts to be similar to Q2 and Q4 to increase relative to Q3. We expect the percentage of new patient starts reimbursed at the pharmacy in the second half of the year to increase relative to the high 20s percentage we saw in Q2.

That said, we expect the rate of pharmacy mix increase in the second half of the year won't be as pronounced as the large increases we saw in both Q1 and Q2, which were fueled in large part by the formulary agreement with Prime Therapeutics that went into effect on February 1 and the strong adoption we saw from the underlying health plans that partner with Prime as their PBM. While we now have an effective formulary agreement in place with all the major PBMs that operate in the United States as of July 1, sales cycles of the underlying health plans that partner with each PBM are highly variable depending on the specific PBM and the specific health plan that partners with that PBM. In the case of Prime, we saw immediate pull through of the formulary agreement at the health plan level.

For our more recent PBM agreement that became effective on July 1, we don't expect to see the immediate pull through by the health plans that we saw with Prime. Moving on to gross margin, we are raising our outlook to 52% to 55% gross margin for the full year 2025 versus our prior guidance of 50% to 53%. We are increasing guidance for a couple of reasons. Number one, embedded in our revenue guidance raise and pharmacy mix guidance raise is a raise in our expectation for new patient starts, and that increased scale should generate a lower per unit cost through manufacturing volume leverage. Number two, we expect to benefit from our growing pharmacy install base, with a large bolus of new pharmacy users we onboarded in Q1 and Q2, which produces high margin recurring revenue for the balance of the year.

The takeaway here is that while the outperformance in pharmacy adoption is a headwind to our gross margin outlook for the year, we expect to be able to more than offset that headwind, and we are raising guidance as a result. In terms of how to think about the gross margin cadence for the remainder of the year, we expect gross margin to increase slightly from Q2 to Q3 and again from Q3 to Q4. Regarding tariffs, I want to reiterate our prior commentary that custom components for the iLet and its consumables are exempt from tariffs under the Nairobi Protocol. Overall, we expect the impact of tariffs on our business to be minimal, and their impact is contemplated in our updated gross margin guidance for the year. With that said, I'll hand the call now back to Sean to discuss the recent CMS proposal and our innovation pipeline.

Speaker 4

Sean, thanks Stephen. On June 30, CMS released a proposed rule for the 2026 Durable Medical Equipment Payment System, which includes provisions that may impact insulin pumps supplied to Medicare Fee for Service beneficiaries. To be clear, this proposal only applies directly to traditional Medicare Fee for Service, not Medicare Advantage, which is managed by private plans. Approximately 10% to 15% of our users are Medicare Fee for Service beneficiaries, so let's walk through the key components of the proposed rule and our perspective on them. There are two major elements in the proposal. First, CMS is proposing to implement a competitive bidding program for insulin pumps. Under this program, DMEs would submit bids to supply insulin pumps, and CMS would set the reimbursement rate at the 75th percentile of the accepted bids.

DMEs that bid above the price threshold set by CMS may be excluded from supplying pumps to Medicare Fee for Service beneficiaries in the bid geographic area. This is new for pumps and is designed to reduce overall cost to the system. Second, CMS is proposing a shift to a pay-as-you-go rental model for pumps, replacing the current model where CMS pays the DME supplier for the pump over a 13-month period, after which the patient owns the pump and CMS no longer pays for it. Under the new model, CMS would pay DME as a fixed amount each month for the pump for up to 60 months instead of just paying for the pump over the first 13 months. This is designed to allow patients to switch pumps more easily and to shift attrition risk from CMS to the DMEs.

In the new model, if the patient stops using the pump anytime during the 60-month period, CMS no longer pays for it. Here's our view on the proposal. We support CMS's intent to modernize payment models in a way that better supports people living with diabetes. We believe that competitive bidding may undermine that goal. The Medicare Fee for Service channel is already the most financially challenging for both pump manufacturers who sell insulin pumps and supplies to DMEs and the DMEs who distribute those pumps and supplies to patients and collect reimbursement from CMS. That reimbursement amount from CMS is what DMEs would be bidding on if competitive bidding is implemented. In the proposal, CMS is capping the maximum allowable bid at approximately $226 per month.

We believe this cap represents a single-digit % reimbursement cut relative to what DMEs currently receive from CMS today on a normalized basis across 60. We believe that cap was calculated using lower monthly infusion set and cartridge usage assumptions than what users actually require each month, and we encourage CMS to correct this in the final rule. Whether or not the proposed cap stands, we do not anticipate any material financial impact on our business as we are not directly affected by the change. In the unlikely scenario that DMEs face price compression at or beyond the proposed cap, that could force manufacturers or DMEs to withdraw from the Medicare fee-for-service channel in certain regions, thereby limiting patient access and choice, which is not what CMS intended with the proposed rule.

Regarding the proposed shift to a pay-as-you-go rental model for pumps, we agree with CMS's intent to align reimbursement with the actual therapy use. We were the first durable pump company to implement a pay-as-you-go model to the pharmacy channel. That said, applying this model to the DME channel introduces significant logistical complexity. Insulin pumps are personalized medical devices that are not designed for refurbishment and reuse in the way other DME categories might be. If CMS decides to finalize this model, we'll work with our DME partners to explore safe refurbishment arrangements for our customers and find a path forward financially that ensures our DME partners can continue to supply the channel. While it's too early to say what that arrangement will look like, we see the shift to pay-as-you-go as a net tailwind for the business. Let me walk you through that thinking.

This would be a pretty extreme scenario, but if we hypothetically align the way we receive payments from DMEs to the way DMEs would receive payments from CMS in a pay-as-you-go model, we would expect that change in revenue recognition to result in a single-digit % headwind to our overall revenue in year one, followed by a single-digit % tailwind to our revenue in each of years two through five, and cumulatively no material impact to the amount of revenue we recognize over that five-year period. Two reasons explain how that becomes a tailwind. Number one, in the same way we see the pharmacy pay-as-you-go model reduce upfront out-of-pocket costs that patients spend on an insulin pump, a pay-as-you-go model in the DME channel could have that same effect. This could increase overall pump adoption by Medicare fee-for-service beneficiaries.

Number two, by enabling patients to switch more easily between pumps, we believe that benefits a market newcomer with a smaller installed base rather than incumbents who have more to lose. Plus, easier ability to switch pumps would help a differentiated product like iLet gain more share. To summarize our view of the CMS proposal, we don't expect to see any material revenue impact from competitive bidding. We expect the potential shift to pay-as-you-go will create tailwinds for the business, and we're ready to adapt with our DME partners to ensure our customers are taken care of. We'll keep you updated as the rule progresses. We anticipate the comment period to close in early September with a final ruling from CMS in early November. Now let's dig into our innovation pipeline. Our goal with our pipeline programs is simple: disrupt the industry and disrupt ourselves.

At our recent Investor and Analyst Day in June, we unveiled Mynt, our patch pump in development, and provided a live demonstration of its features and the patch change process. Mynt is being designed to marry the best aspects of fully disposable and partially disposable patch architectures, and every decision we made in the design of the product is centered around the user experience. We believe the Mynt wear experience will fit well into a user's everyday life. Mynt is being designed so that users won't need their phone to change a Mynt, users won't ever need it to charge a Mynt, and users won't need to remove a Mynt when they swim or shower. The 4.5 millimeter steel cannula is being designed to feel very similar to an insulin pen, which we expect will minimize discomfort during cannula insertion.

Said differently, we're seeking to provide a patch experience that aligns well with what patch wearers are already used to and love, while also improving upon that experience where we see opportunities to do so. Another great feature is that we expect to be able to roll out firmware over-the-air updates to the reusable controller. If a Mynt user wants to switch to the latest and greatest CGM and we're integrated with that CGM, that can happen overnight. These expected features are what we believe will separate Mynt from every other fully disposable or partially disposable patch, whether they're already on the market or still in development. This is what we mean when we say our architecture is intended to be the best of both worlds. We strongly believe that we've harnessed the best aspects of both one-piece and two-piece architectures, all in the name of user experience.

Add this to our industry-leading algorithm and we believe Mynt will be a game changer when it launches in Q2. We continue to advance Mynt rapidly towards our goal of commercialization by the end of 2027, which we are reiterating as our target and we remain highly confident in achieving it. Shifting to our bihormonal pump program, in July we completed dosing for our shelf-stable pump-compatible glucagon candidate's pharmacokinetic and pharmacodynamic, or PKPD, bridging study. As a reminder, the trial is intended to enable us to bridge all of our previous bihormonal clinical data, including three prepivotal inpatient and six prepivotal outpatient trials, to our new formulation of glucagon. We expect to have full results from the PKPD study in the second half of 2025, which will inform our go-forward development strategy for our glucagon candidate.

Preliminary PD results are in line with our expectations and supportive of continued development of our glucagon candidate per our previously communicated development strategy. While the full PKPD data won't be publicly available, we expect to provide additional updates on the program and our development strategy during our Q3 earnings call. As of now, there is no change to the expectations that we'll conduct concurrent pivotal trials to fulfill the requirements for a 505(b)(2) NDA with a chronic drug indication for glucagon and the ACE and IAGC 510(k)s for the pump and algorithm, respectively. I want to share a quick thought on the potential form factors for our bihormonal system. In the past, our bihormonal form factor has been a durable pump with two channels in it, one for insulin and one for glucagon.

That form factor seems very acceptable to users who have used it in formative clinical trials and it's very similar in size to our insulin-only iLet commercial launch hardware. However, with the addition of Mynt technology to our pipeline, that opens up several doors to us. The bihormonal form factor could be a durable pump with two channels. It could also be the color iLet plus a Mynt, or it could be two Mynts, one dispensing insulin and the other dispensing glucagon. We have the flexibility to choose, and while we won't call our shot today, we will spend significant time between now and launch investigating our users' preference so we maximize the user experience of the bihormonal system, which is a core belief of Beta Bionics.

However that plays out, we continue to be extremely excited by the bihormonal program's ability to transform clinical outcomes for people with diabetes, but more importantly the ability to transform the way people think about managing their diabetes as well as producing a larger lifetime test of evaluator value to Beta Bionics. To briefly touch on the type 2 diabetes label expansion opportunity in Q2, we continued to see some healthcare providers prescribe iLet to their type 2 patients off-label. We estimate that over 25% of our new patient starts in the quarter were from type 2. While we're not committing to a specific timeline, we look forward to pursuing the type 2 diabetes label through the FDA. We covered lots of ground on today's call. I want to leave you all with a few of the key points that we hope you take away from our remarks.

The iLet is continuing to see excellent traction in the market, and we're building the right team and the right tools around it to expand its reach and transform the way people with diabetes, their loved ones, and their healthcare providers manage diabetes. Q2 was an excellent quarter for our business, and we're proud of the results we delivered that also enable us to raise our full year 2025 guidance. We're confident that our business can overcome any challenges thrown its way, whether that's tariffs, policy changes that impact our partners, or new entrants into the market. We're building the most innovative pipeline in the industry with the aim of disrupting the industry and ourselves, and remain as confident as ever in our ability to deliver those innovations to the people with diabetes who need them.

The first thing, on the pricing side, it looks like the DME ASPs are quite strong in the quarter, but the pharmacy looked like it's a little bit below what I might have been modeling. Is there anything going on in the pharmacy channel specifically on the pricing side of note that we should really be thinking about? I do have a follow up. Yeah. Matt, are you talking specifically about the iLet pharmacy price or the monthly supply kit month or ASP or both?

Both, but more so on the supply kit side, yeah.

Okay, so on the iLet in the pharmacy channel, you did see a downtick, so I'm going to comment on both. The first one is on the iLet in the pharmacy channel, you did see a downtick in the ASP in that for that particular channel because we're seeing more adoption from PBMs, which is evidenced by the uptick in the pharmacy new patient, percentage of new patient starts. When that happens, we then issue a rebate for the iLet, and the ASP in that particular channel then goes down over time. You have seen that. That, again, is indicative of the success that we're having in winning new patient starts and getting more traction in the pharmacy channel with, again, more PBM adoption and more underlying health plan adoption. There actually isn't anything.

Moving to the pharmacy supply kits, there's actually nothing about the ASP changing from Q1 to Q2. Nothing of note changing to ASP from Q1 to Q2. There is some stocking dynamic that was present in Q2 relative to Q1, and what you saw was some headwind or unfavorability in Q2 relative to Q1 from stocking. That dynamic is probably what's contributing to your numbers there, Matt. Got it. Okay, that's good to hear. The other piece is just.

Speaker 4

On the churn rate.

Speaker 0

Looks like it was about 5% in the quarter, based on my math, which God knows I could be wrong, but I just want to make sure the numbers are about right there. Just anything you would call out on the churn side that might be a little higher or.

Speaker 4

Durable Medical Equipment or pharmacy, and specifically pharmacy.

Are you seeing a little higher churn rate through that channel?

Thanks.

Speaker 0

Yeah. While I can appreciate that churn rate or the attrition rate that we have in the pharmacy channel in particular has a ton of impact on your model, it's something that we monitor very closely at Beta Bionics for reasons that are as simple as the industry doesn't. The diabetes industry doesn't report on attrition rates. Beta Bionics is not going to be the first pump company that does. I understand that it's an important metric that you have in your model, but it's not something that we're commenting on. Here's what I will say in principle, though, that I think highlights why we have a lot of confidence in our attrition rate or in our retention rate, I guess, to use a more positive connotation. Every single patient that we can send through the pharmacy channel, we do.

How this works logistically is when Beta Bionics gets a prescription for the iLet, we check to see if the patient is covered in pharmacy, we check to see if the patient is. If they are, we send that patient in pharmacy. If they're not, we send them through DME. What that's really indicative of is that we now, because we know what our retention rate is in the pharmacy channel, we know that is the most advantaged channel for us financially, which is why we send every patient there that we can. I'll just again make that point to emphasize that despite us not communicating our retention or attrition rates, numerically they're very good. It's why we continue to prioritize pharmacy over DME. Got it. Makes sense. Thanks so much. Thanks, Matt.

Speaker 3

Thank you. Our next question will be coming from the line of Travis Steed of Bank of America. Your line is open.

Hey, this is Stephanie Piazzilla on for Travis. Thanks for taking the question, and congrats on a good quarter. Maybe just wanted to start out by asking about the guidance. You beat Q2 by almost $4 million and are raising the guide by $6 million at the midpoint. Maybe just talk about some of the drivers of that increased outlook in the back half of the year and the confidence in those. You gave some quarterly cadence commentary, which was helpful, but maybe if you could elaborate a little bit on the underlying assumptions of the Q3 revenue being higher than Q2 and the Q3 new patient start similar to Q2.

Speaker 0

Yeah, sure. There's a lot in there. The first question you asked is about why do we have confidence in our guidance for the rest of the year? We're raising guidance not just by the amount that we beat in Q2. My first statement I'll say is we have a high degree of confidence in every bit of guidance that we communicate. Our revenue guidance for the remainder of 2025 is no different as it relates to the Q3 new patient starts guidance and the revenue outlook for the rest of the year. I think kind of embedded in your question there, Stephanie, is you're asking, okay, why are you forecasting or why are you guiding to a flat new patient start number when you know we're also expecting revenue to grow and the company's grown quarter over quarter? I'll answer that when I give three reasons for that.

The first one is in diabetes, as you're aware, seasonally we tend to see Q1 being the weakest quarter relative to the other quarters throughout the year, and then Q4 being seasonally the best quarter, whereas Q2 and Q3 tend to be kind of flat or neutral relative to one another. There's nothing that we're noting about Q3 seasonality in our guidance. The second is that Q2 was a very strong quarter, which is part of the reason why, for the flat new patient start guidance in Q3. The last point, the third point, is just a reiteration of what I said actually to start my answer here, which is that anytime we do give guidance, we set it at a level that we have a higher degree of confidence in our ability to achieve. That new patient starts number is no exception.

Thank you, that's helpful. I just wanted to follow up on the CMS home health proposal for 2026. Maybe if you could just talk about some of the next steps as part of the process, and I guess a bit more on the expected timing of how long it could take for some of the things in the proposal to be implemented. Thank you.

Yeah, sure. The next steps are CMS will receive comments from companies, DME distributors, particularly the insulin pump industry. They'll see comments from companies like Beta Bionics as well as DME distributors. I think it's by the end of August is when those particular proposals or early September is when those responses are due. That'll happen, and then CMS will put together whether or not they choose to move forward with the proposal and, you know, implement, if they do implement the competitive bidding process, and then ultimately make a ruling sometime in the future for when the new policy would be enacted. Our expectation is the earliest that would be is 2027.

Speaker 3

Thank you. Our next question will be coming from the line of Michael Pollock of Wolfe Research. Your line is open.

Good afternoon. Thank you for taking the question. I'm interested for a generic comment on kind of same store new store dynamics. As you assess the sequential growth in starts, to what, how much would you attribute to kind of increased penetration with existing prescribers versus the sign up of new prescribers?

Speaker 0

Yeah. Hey Mike, good question. You're not going to love my answer because I'm not going to answer it numerically. We're actually seeing the dynamic of both happening. We did expand our field sales team relative to this time last year so that there is an element of new territories where, you know, Beta Bionics field sales presence was before this new expansion still had a lot of white space throughout the country, like areas that had no field sales presence at all. There is a new store dynamic as a result of that. We are seeing across the board an uptick in prescriber adoption within territories that we already do operate in. You know, again, we do quantify these things, but they're not KPIs that we communicate externally. Yeah, absolutely, the message of iLet simplicity is resonating.

HCPs are seeing good results from their patients and becoming more comfortable prescribing the iLet. I think that's evidenced by our results. The dynamic is actually both, Mike, but I'm not going to quantify them for you.

Understood, thank you. If I can follow up, I appreciate all the comments on the Medicare proposal. I know the response to this one will probably lean squish. To the extent this moves forward substantially as envisioned, and I'm talking specifically about the shift to pay over time, to what extent would this Medicare fee-for-service standard create risk that the commercial Durable Medical Equipment or Medicare Advantage contracts over time head in this direction as well? How do you assess that path? Thank you.

Yeah, good question. Nowhere in that proposal does it mention anything of that nature. We don't see any associated risk from this particular proposal stemming into commercial plans or into the pharmacy model. I will just highlight that a pay-as-you-go model like that's being proposed here in the CMS proposal, which is what this rental model is, as Sean, I think, well outlined in the prepared remarks, that's working quite well already in the pharmacy system where Beta Bionics, even, you know, and all patch pumps are getting reimbursed through. For the case of patch pumps, their Medicare Part D coverage, which Beta Bionics or our iLet is not, but we're already seeing in managed Medicare coverage on the iLet through a pay-as-you-go model that exists in pharmacies.

I think in the event that the CMS wanted to shift to a pay-as-you-go model into the pharmacy channel, they would use an already existing infrastructure that's already in place today. I guess twofold to that answer, Mike, I think I'd like.

Speaker 4

To add to that one, Stephen. You know, it's very hard for us to assess the risk of that happening. I think what we've done is insulate ourselves from it with our pre-existing transfer to a pay-as-you-go model proactively. There are reasons that it makes a ton of sense and it makes a lot of sense for us as well. We're already doing that proactively, so can't speak so much to the risk of it. I will say that we're preparing ourselves properly for it if it were ever to happen.

Understood. I follow.

Thank you.

Speaker 0

Yep.

Speaker 3

Thank you. One moment, and the next question will be coming from the line of David Roman of Goldman Sachs. Your line is open.

Speaker 4

Good afternoon, this is Phil on for David.

Thanks for taking the questions. I thought I'd start with the type 2 comments that you ended with, Sean. Stronger contributor as a % of new patient starts with a much stronger new patient start number overall. I was just hoping you could talk a bit more about the market dynamics going on there, the success that you're having, albeit off-label, and what would kind of act as a trigger or what we need to hear for a bigger push towards type 2.

Yeah, it's a great question, Phil. I think what I'll say, given that iLet obviously is off label in that regard, I'm going to keep my comments more generally in terms of how physicians run their practices. I think it's a true statement that physicians are responsible for understanding the different tools they have available to them and where they can best be used and what they do and with whom and prescribe them as they see fit. That's why the off label rules are as they are. They have every right to do that. I don't want to get into the specifics of iLet, but I think that that's clearly being taken into account in the prescribing patterns that we're seeing as the awareness of iLet generally and of other products becomes more broadly known. Sorry for the slightly vague answer, but yeah, type 2.

I think that's helpful, thanks. The second one is probably for Stephen. It's a different way of the guidance question and appreciate that pharmacy mix in a given quarter will matter to this question, but given the growing proportion of recurring revenue that's coming in, it is going to be the case in this revenue ramp period that if you see sequential increase in patients there should be even more so a sequential ramp in revenue to accompany that. Right. Because you have the pump revenue as a supplement to a growing base of recurring revenue. I guess said differently, do you have better visibility moving forward into the guidance assumptions you're giving because of the relative scale of the recurring versus one time only revenue over time here.

Speaker 0

Great question. Both answers are yes, yes, we see upticks in our revenue if we had flat new patient starts quarter over quarter because we have this powerful install base that's generating recurring revenue in the pharmacy channel. Yes, our business is more predictable if a higher percentage of our revenue is coming from pharmacy, because that's a recurring revenue stream.

Okay, great. Just one clarifying one.

Speaker 4

The pay-as-you-go rental model, just.

From a timing standpoint, could go into effect in 2026. While the comment on the competitive bidding process not going into place was 2027.

Right.

Speaker 0

No, actually, we would imagine that the competitive bidding process would end up dictating the rental or that would end up being a prereq for the rental model going into place. My comment on when we expect 2027 being the earliest, we would expect this to go into adoption. It means the policy in its totality, competitive bidding, which then leads to a rental model, and then that actually starts selling through that rental model in 2027 at the earliest.

Speaker 4

Okay, understood.

Speaker 0

Speaker 3

Thank you. Our next question will come from the line of Jess Johnson of Beard. Your line is open.

Thank you. Good afternoon, guys. I think she said Jeff. I hope you're hearing me okay here.

Speaker 4

Yep.

All right, great. Hey, guys.

Hey.

Just maybe one clarifying question. You talked about maybe that pharmacy channel mix not increasing at the same rate in the back half of the year as we saw in the first half of the year. Part of that due just to the strong uptake you saw through the prime contracts that started in February as you have expanded access through additional payers here, why is the prime contract different maybe than some of those other payers or said another way, if you're pushing as many of your patients who do have pharmacy coverage into the pharmacy channel, why can't that rate of push and that rate of adoption continue to move in the same sequential pattern? Thanks.

Speaker 0

Yeah, really good question. Okay, so the prime deal is quite different than what we've seen with other PBM contracts in that when we, actually, I'm going to back up one second. To gain pharmacy coverage, and the way that we define coverage is new patient starts going through the pharmacy channel, there's two really important steps that have to happen in order for us to obtain that coverage. The first one is we need the PBM agreement, and then the second is we need the underlying health plans that partner with that PBM. In the case of Prime, both step one and two happened at the same time. In the case of the other PBM agreements, and notably the one that Sean brought up in his prepared remarks, that will go into effect, the large PBM agreement that goes into effect on July 1, that is not the case.

Step one happened, but the underlying agreements with the health plans are a separate sales cycle that we need to go win and then add at future dates. Now for the other PBM contracts that we have that are already in place and have been historically, we continue to tick off underlying health plans that are a part of that step two, which is part of the reason you see the sequential uptick that we've had historically in pharmacy adoption. It is not just because of the Prime deal that we had in the first half of the year, but also the other PBMs. We continue to layer on more and more underlying health plans.

All right, that's helpful. That explains it. Just one other question, I guess, on the competitive bidding in the pay-as-you-go model. You know, one of your competitors out there is talking about potentially as a tube pump getting in Medicare Part D. You guys obviously on the pharmacy channel are kind of taking a monthly on the PBM side. What would it take? Is there any possible way to get into Part D as opposed to Part B? Does your read of the CMS documents suggest that Part D will not be subject to competitive bidding? That was our read. I think there's a couple varied opinions on some of the wording in that document. Thank you.

Yeah. So what would it take? We've always said that the longest train or the, you know, the big train to turn in order for durable insulin pumps to start becoming reimbursed primarily through the pharmacy channel was Medicare Part D treatment, which today durable pump for those that aren't aware the iLet and durable insulin pumps are considered Part B covered. Jeff, frankly, I don't really want to predict when that train turns and we start seeing durable insulin pumps be considered Part D treatment. I don't really want to predict. I think this does maybe start the discussion and maybe move it faster than it otherwise had been because it's clear that CMS is interested in a pay-as-you-go model, which is what the pharmacy channel really enables. I still do think that there's nothing, and I don't really want to give a timeline to predict when that happens.

By the way, which leads me to actually do your second question. Nowhere in that proposal does it mention anything about Part D or our insulin pumps. Notably, patch pumps that are considered Part D treatment. It doesn't mention them at all in that proposal. I would have no reason to believe that the proposal is insinuating anything about patch pumps or any Part D treatment insulin delivery device because frankly, they just don't mention it at all.

Speaker 4

Yeah, appreciate it. Thanks, Jeff.

Speaker 3

Thank you so much. There are no more questions in the queue. That does conclude the presentation for today. Thank you all for joining. You may now disconnect.

Beta Bionics - Earnings Call - Q2 2025

Executive Summary

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

What Went Wrong

Transcript

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