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BRAINSTORM CELL THERAPEUTICS INC. (BCLI)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • BCLI reported Q1 2025 net loss of $(2.86)M and diluted EPS of $(0.45), improving year over year from $(3.40)M and $(0.75) as lower warrant fair value losses offset higher operating expenses .
  • EPS materially beat thin Wall Street consensus (n=1): -$0.45 vs -$0.97, a +$0.52 surprise; revenue remained $0 as a pre-revenue biotech (est $0) [Q1 2025 estimates from S&P Global]*.
  • Operationally, the FDA cleared BCLI to initiate its Phase 3b ENDURANCE trial under an SPA; management is finalizing site CTAs (~15 U.S. centers), scaling manufacturing (Tel Aviv Sourasky; tech transfer to Pluri; new LOI with Minaris in NJ) and awaits potential non‑dilutive funding (a $15M grant under review) .
  • Near-term stock catalysts: site activations and first‑patient‑in, non‑dilutive grant decision(s), Minaris/Pluri manufacturing milestones, and any partnership/financing updates that de‑risk enrollment and timeline .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • FDA clearance to initiate Phase 3b under SPA, materially de‑risking regulatory pathway and enabling site activation and patient enrollment .
  • Manufacturing network strengthened: initial production at Tel Aviv Sourasky; tech transfer to Pluri; new LOI with Minaris to add U.S. capacity (Allendale, NJ) .
  • EPS outperformed consensus as warrant fair value impact moderated YoY (-$0.18M vs -$0.94M), improving net loss despite higher OpEx .
  • Management tone confident on trial readiness: “This regulatory clearance marks a significant milestone, bringing us closer to commencing patient enrollment” (CEO) .

What Went Wrong

  • Liquidity remains tight: cash & equivalents of $1.64M and restricted cash $0.18M at quarter‑end; current liabilities rose QoQ (short‑term loans $1.20M vs $0.30M) .
  • Funding is the gating factor to enrollment pace; management highlighted need for robust funding and is pursuing grants/partnerships, with a $15M non‑dilutive grant under review .
  • OpEx rose YoY as execution ramped (R&D $1.304M vs $0.961M; G&A $1.785M vs $1.513M) while still no revenue, extending reliance on external financing .

Financial Results

P&L and EPS vs Prior Periods

MetricQ1 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Research & Development ($USD Millions)$0.961 $1.045 n/a (FY only disclosed) $1.304
General & Administrative ($USD Millions)$1.513 $2.003 n/a (FY only disclosed) $1.785
Total Operating Expenses ($USD Millions)$2.474 $3.048 n/a (FY only disclosed) $3.089
Net Loss ($USD Millions)$(3.401) $(2.708) n/a (FY only disclosed) $(2.864)
Diluted EPS ($)$(0.75) $(0.51) n/a (FY only disclosed) $(0.45)

Notes: BCLI reported no product revenues; statements present only operating expenses (pre‑revenue biotech) .

Liquidity and Balance Sheet (selected)

MetricDec 31, 2024Mar 31, 2025
Cash & Cash Equivalents ($USD Millions)$0.187 $1.644
Restricted Cash ($USD Millions)$0.184 $0.182
Accounts Payable ($USD Millions)$6.080 $6.797
Short‑Term Loans ($USD Millions)$0.300 $1.200
Total Current Liabilities ($USD Millions)$8.978 $10.901
Stockholders’ Deficit ($USD Millions)$(7.764) $(7.457)

Versus Estimates (S&P Global)

MetricQ1 2025 Estimate*Q1 2025 ActualSurprise
Primary EPS ($)-0.97*-0.45 +0.52
Revenue ($USD Millions)0.00*0.00 (pre‑revenue)0.00

Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global. Coverage thin (n=1 for both EPS and revenue).

Drivers of EPS upside: lower loss on change in warrant fair value YoY (-$0.18M vs -$0.94M) and modest financial income, partially offset by higher R&D and G&A .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Phase 3b trial initiation (ENDURANCE)2025Prepare to initiate Phase 3b; SPA in place; align on CMC FDA cleared to initiate; proceed to site activation/enrollment Raised (progressed)
Trial designStudy duration~200 participants; Part A 24‑week DB; primary endpoint ALSFRS‑R change at week 24 Same parameters reaffirmed; listing on ClinicalTrials.gov Maintained
Sites/CTAs2025Multiple U.S. centers planned ~15 U.S. centers negotiating CTAs; one U.S. site passed FDA inspection Increased specificity
Manufacturing footprint2025Pluri for clinical supply; Tel Aviv Sourasky facility Initial at Tel Aviv; tech transfer to Pluri; new Minaris LOI (Allendale, NJ) Expanded
Funding plan2025Need ~$23–30M annually; pursuing grants/partnerships; $1.64M raised via warrant inducement expected post‑Q4 $15M non‑dilutive grant under review; continue strategic funding discussions Maintained/in progress

No financial guidance (revenue, margins, OpEx ranges) was provided; management focuses on operational milestones and financing progress .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicQ3 2024 (Prev‑2)Q4 2024 (Prev‑1)Q1 2025 (Current)Trend
Regulatory/FDAPlanning Phase 3b; design disclosed; targeting early-stage ALS SPA secured; CMC alignment; IND technical transfer in progress FDA cleared to initiate Phase 3b; proceed to enrollment Positive inflection
Trial operations & sitesWorking with investigators; multi‑site U.S. trial planned Negotiating ~15 site CTAs ~15 U.S. centers negotiating; one site passed FDA inspection Advancing
ManufacturingPluri MOU to support clinical supply Tel Aviv Sourasky + Pluri; plan U.S. site Tel Aviv start; Pluri transfer; LOI with Minaris in NJ Capacity broadened
Funding/capitalLow cash; pursuing financing Need ~$23–30M per year; warrant inducement ~$1.64M; grants/partners $15M grant under review; pursuing strategic capital Still gating factor
Biomarkers/UNC13ASurvival/NfL data presented; biomarker alignment with MOA Trial design optimized; early‑disease focus UNC13A data highlighted; remains exploratory for stratification Scientific support continues
Exosome platformPatent allowance (Dec 2024) Expansion contemplated Preclinical COPD/ARDS data; pursuing partnerships Optionality improving

Management Commentary

  • “This regulatory clearance marks a significant milestone, bringing us closer to commencing patient enrollment” — Chaim Lebovits, CEO .
  • “We plan to initiate initial manufacturing at Tel Aviv Sourasky… then proceed with a technology transfer to Pluri… [and] have secured a leading U.S. clinical site that has successfully passed FDA inspection” — Hartoun Hartounian, COO .
  • “We are actively engaged in negotiations for… approximately 15 leading clinical centers across the United States... ENDURANCE details are posted on clinicaltrials.gov” — CEO .
  • “We are actively pursuing multiple funding avenues… including a promising $15 million nondilutive grant currently under review” — CEO .

Q&A Highlights

  • UNC13A stratification: FDA SPA “agreed on with all the details, including the population”; UNC13A association is “exploratory and not definitive at this stage,” though post‑hoc analyses will be pursued .
  • Mechanistic evidence: NurOwn‑conditioned media restored cell viability to 96.5% of normoxic conditions in a hypoxia model; data included in the IND to support MOA .
  • Manufacturing capacity/timeline: Rolling enrollment supported initially by Tel Aviv facility, then Pluri; U.S. manufacturing expected to come online next year .
  • Sites/enrollment: ~15 sites listed on ClinicalTrials.gov; CTAs to be signed gradually; plan contemplates 200‑patient trial over ~3 years to full enrollment/treatment (funding dependent) .
  • Funding: Multiple avenues in progress; $15M non‑dilutive grant under review; partnerships prioritized to launch and complete the study .

Estimates Context

  • EPS: Actual -$0.45 vs consensus -$0.97 (n=1) — a significant beat likely driven by reduced warrant fair value losses and modest financial income despite higher OpEx . Values retrieved from S&P Global*.
  • Revenue: Pre‑revenue; actual $0 vs consensus $0 (n=1). Values retrieved from S&P Global*.
  • Estimate quality: Coverage remains thin; future estimates may need to reflect higher share count and OpEx ramp as sites/manufacturing activate, as well as potential non‑cash warrant valuation effects .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Regulatory de‑risking: FDA clearance under SPA removes a key overhang and sets a clear path to enrollment; future updates on first‑patient‑in and site activations are key trading catalysts .
  • Funding is the gating variable: Execution pace and enrollment depend on securing capital; management is pursuing a $15M non‑dilutive grant and strategic partnerships .
  • Manufacturing redundancy emerging: Tel Aviv + Pluri + Minaris LOI establishes a multi‑node network that should mitigate CMC/supply risk as scale increases .
  • EPS beat vs thin consensus: -$0.45 vs -$0.97 (n=1) reflects lower non‑cash warrant volatility YoY; near‑term P&L variability may persist given financing and fair‑value items . Values retrieved from S&P Global*.
  • Balance sheet still tight: Cash & equivalents $1.64M; restricted cash $0.18M; current liabilities $10.90M — reinforcing urgency of funding updates .
  • Trial focus on early ALS with biomarker support: Early‑disease enrichment and ALSFRS‑R at 24 weeks remain central; UNC13A and NfL data continue to support the biological rationale, albeit exploratory for stratification .
  • Optionality from exosomes/IP: Preclinical signals in COPD/ARDS and expanding IP provide longer‑term upside outside NurOwn .

Sources:

  • Q1 2025 8‑K and Exhibit 99.1 press release (financials, balance sheet, trial and corporate updates) .
  • Q1 2025 earnings call transcript (FDA clearance, operations, funding, Q&A) .
  • FDA clearance PR (May 19) .
  • Minaris LOI PR (May 27) .
  • FY 2024 PR and Q4 2024 call (context on SPA/CMC, funding needs) .
  • Q3 2024 PR (prior‑quarter financials and biomarker/survival data) .

*Values retrieved from S&P Global.