BF
BROWN FORMAN CORP (BF-B)·Q2 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 FY2024 delivered modest top-line growth and strong margin execution: net sales $1.11B (+1% YoY), operating income $339M (+8% YoY), diluted EPS $0.50 (+6% YoY); gross margin expanded to 60.6% in the quarter and +280 bps to 61.6% for the first half on price/mix and lower supply chain/tariff costs, partially offset by input cost inflation .
- Outlook reduced: FY2024 organic net sales now 3–5% (from 5–7%), organic operating income 4–6% (from 6–8%); tax rate (≈21–23%) and capex ($250–$270M) unchanged, reflecting macro headwinds and inventory normalization dynamics, particularly in the U.S. .
- Mix was favorable: Emerging markets (+17% reported) and Developed International (+3% reported) and Travel Retail (+3% reported) offset U.S. net sales decline (-4% reported) driven by lapping last year’s inventory rebuild; brand highlights included New Mix RTD (+41% reported) and Jack Daniel’s Tennessee Apple (+51% reported) .
- Capital returns/corporate actions: dividend raised 6% to $0.2178 per share and a $400M repurchase authorization with ~$181M remaining as of Nov. 30, 2023, supporting total shareholder return while investing behind brands .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Gross margin expansion: +280 bps in 1H to 61.6% on favorable price/mix and lower supply chain/tariff costs, despite higher inputs and FX headwinds; operating income grew in Q2 to $339M (+8% YoY) .
- Portfolio breadth and premiumization: strong contributions from acquisitions (Gin Mare, Diplomático), New Mix RTD (+41% reported) and Jack Daniel’s Tennessee Apple (+51% reported) .
- CEO tone constructive on H2: “Our first half fiscal 2024 results illustrate Brown-Forman’s ability to deliver continued growth... We continue to believe our premium portfolio and broad geographic footprint will position us for accelerated growth in the second half of the fiscal year.” .
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What Went Wrong
- U.S. softness: reported net sales -4% (-5% organic) on lower volumes due to lapping last year’s inventory rebuild; Jack Daniel’s Tennessee Whiskey reported net sales -4% (-2% organic) .
- Japan headwind in Developed International: reported net sales -79% (-84% organic) on significant prior-year inventory build timing effects .
- Guidance trimmed: FY2024 organic net sales to 3–5% and organic operating income to 4–6% as management acknowledged input cost pressures and macro dynamics tempering expectations .
Financial Results
Segment/Brand Aggregation (First Half FY2024)
Geography (First Half FY2024)
KPIs and Expense Mix
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- Strategy and outlook: “While we grew at a slower pace than anticipated, we delivered strong gross margin expansion and continued to invest strongly behind our brands. We continue to believe our premium portfolio and broad geographic footprint will position us for accelerated growth in the second half of the fiscal year.” — Lawson Whiting, CEO .
- Macro and guidance: “Evolving global macroeconomic conditions continue to create a challenging operating environment tempering our expectations.” Management now expects FY2024 organic net sales +3–5% and organic operating income +4–6% .
- Capital allocation: Board authorized up to $400M repurchase (approx. $181M remaining as of Nov. 30, 2023) and approved a 6% dividend increase to $0.2178 per share, underscoring long dividend track record .
Q&A Highlights
- Inventory normalization and U.S. trends: Management highlighted lower U.S. volumes due to lapping last year’s inventory rebuild and estimated net decreases in distributor inventories in 1H, framing near-term headwinds and expected H2 acceleration .
- Mix and margin: Reinforced margin expansion drivers (price/mix, lower supply chain/tariff costs) while acknowledging continued input cost pressure embedded in the revised guidance .
- Jack Daniel’s RTD transition: Continued rollout of Jack Daniel’s & Coca‑Cola RTD while JD & Cola volumes decline amid transition effects .
- Shareholder returns: Update on $400M buyback authorization and dividend increase was reiterated alongside brand investment priorities .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global (Capital IQ) Wall Street consensus estimates for Q2 FY2024 could not be retrieved in this environment due to a mapping limitation; therefore, we are unable to present revenue/EPS beats or misses versus S&P Global consensus for this quarter. Values would normally be sourced from S&P Global; consensus unavailable here [SpgiEstimatesError returned by tool].
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Mix-led margin expansion is intact: Q2 gross margin 60.6% and 1H margin +280 bps YoY on price/mix and lower supply chain/tariff costs despite input inflation .
- U.S. de-stocking and prior-year timing remain the key near-term headwind; watch for H2 normalization and shipment-to-depletion convergence as a potential catalyst .
- Growth leadership from Emerging markets and RTDs continues (New Mix +41% reported; JD Apple +51% reported), supporting top-line resilience amid category/market volatility .
- Guidance reset lowers the bar to achievable 3–5% organic net sales and 4–6% organic operating income for FY2024; tax rate and capex unchanged, implying controlled expense posture with continued brand investment .
- Capital returns underscore discipline (dividend +6% to $0.2178; active repurchase authorization), providing a supportive TSR backdrop .
- Monitor Developed International, especially Japan, where prior-year inventory dynamics created a steep near-term headwind (-79% reported in 1H) that could ease on normalization .
- Brand innovation/RTD transition (Jack Daniel’s & Coca‑Cola) is strategically important; near-term transition pressures (JD & Cola) should abate as the new platform scales .
Other Relevant Q2 FY2024-period Press Releases
- Second quarter and first half FY2024 results press release (Dec. 6, 2023) .
- Dividend increase announcement (Nov. 16, 2023): quarterly dividend raised 6% to $0.2178 per share .
- Earnings release scheduling notice (Nov. 6, 2023) .
Prior Two Quarters (for Trend Analysis)
- Q1 FY2024: Net sales $1.038B (+3% YoY), operating income $327M (-4% YoY), diluted EPS $0.48 (-7% YoY); gross margin 62.7% (+90 bps YoY). U.S. decline driven by estimated net decrease in distributor inventories; guidance at the time reaffirmed (5–7% organic net sales; 6–8% organic OI) .
- Q4 FY2023: Net sales $1.046B (+5% YoY), operating income $298M (+21% YoY), diluted EPS $0.43 (+36% YoY); gross margin 60.8% (down YoY for FY2023 on inflation/supply chain/FX). FY2024 outlook initially 5–7% organic net sales and 6–8% organic OI .
Notes: All period references are fiscal. Where explicit S&P Global consensus figures would typically be shown (beats/misses), consensus was unavailable in this environment.