BERKSHIRE HILLS BANCORP INC (BHLB)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q4 delivered solid operating performance: Operating EPS rose to $0.60 (+3% q/q; +28% y/y) on higher fees and lower operating expenses; GAAP EPS was $0.46, reflecting $6.6M of merger-related expenses .
- Net interest margin compressed 2 bps sequentially to 3.14% as asset yields fell; funding costs declined 17 bps and deposit costs fell 12 bps, setting up expected modest NIM expansion in Q1 per management .
- Core asset quality remained strong: NCOs fell to 0.14% (q/q down from 0.24%); NPLs stable at 0.26%; delinquencies+NPLs improved to 0.52%, the lowest in nearly two decades .
- Strategic catalysts: merger-of-equals with Brookline (closing expected 2H25) and a $100M equity raise lifted CET1 to 13.0% and TCE/TA to 9.4%; dividend maintained at $0.18 .
- Consensus estimate comparison: S&P Global consensus could not be retrieved via our connector at this time; management noted comfort with 2025 consensus net income cited in the Dec-16 MOE presentation .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Operating leverage improved: Operating EPS up 3% q/q and 28% y/y on +8% q/q operating fee growth (SBA gains) and -2% q/q operating expenses; efficiency ratio improved to 62.4% from 63.7% .
- Funding traction: Average deposits +3% q/q; deposit costs -12 bps; funding costs -17 bps; management expects modest NIM expansion in Q1 as rates fall .
- Credit quality resilience: NCOs declined to 0.14% (vs. 0.24% q/q); delinquencies+NPLs at 0.52% of loans, lowest in nearly 20 years; ACL/loans stable at 1.22% .
- Management quote: “Berkshire continued its positive momentum… a year-over-year 28% increase in fourth quarter operating EPS… benefited from strong credit discipline [and] rigorous expense management.” .
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What Went Wrong
- NIM/earning asset yield pressure: NIM fell 2 bps to 3.14% as earning asset yield declined 20 bps and loan yields fell 23 bps; GAAP net interest income declined $1.2M q/q to $86.9M .
- Non-interest income optics: GAAP non-interest income fell $14M q/q due to a $16M branch sale gain in Q3 (optical headwind); operating non-interest income did improve $1.7M q/q .
- Merger costs: GAAP non-interest expenses rose $6M q/q on $6.6M merger-related costs; operating expenses were down $1.2M q/q .
- Seasonality caveat: End-of-period deposits benefited from ~+$500M seasonal payroll balances (typical year-end pattern), inflating period-end totals versus normal levels .
Financial Results
Note: “Revenue” shown as Total Net Revenue (GAAP). Operating EPS is non-GAAP as reconciled by the company.
KPIs and Balance Sheet/Capital
Context versus prior quarters (Q2 and Q3 2024): Q3 operating EPS rose to $0.58 with a $16M non-operating branch sale gain boosting GAAP non-interest income; Q2 saw NIM improve to 3.20% with operating expense reductions and higher SBA gains .
Estimates: S&P Global consensus data were not available via our connector at this time; thus, estimate comparisons are not shown. Management indicated comfort with 2025 consensus net income referenced in the Dec-16 MOE deck .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- Strategic message: “Berkshire continued its positive momentum… 28% increase in fourth quarter operating EPS… cumulative benefit of ongoing growth initiatives together with strategic optimization… strong credit discipline, rigorous expense management, investments in… bankers and enhancements to our digital platform” .
- MOE rationale: “Merger of equals… create a preeminent Northeast banking franchise… strong response from investors and successfully executed a capital raise of $100 million… a reflection of confidence in our plans” .
- Outlook on margins: “We are expecting some modest expansion in the NIM as we move forward into Q1, primarily through decreases on the funding side” .
- Credit normalization: “We believe [normalized charge-offs] should be in the range of 20 bps” .
- Guidance approach: “We will not be providing line item… guidance… we are encouraged by the momentum… and confirm comfort with the consensus net income cited in the December 16 merger presentation for 2025” .
Q&A Highlights
- Deposit seasonality and composition: Year-end payroll deposits ~+$500M above normal (typical to reach ~$1.5B vs ~$1.0B average), inflating period-end balances .
- Funding/NIM path: Management expects modest NIM expansion in Q1 driven by funding cost declines; December spot NIM was 3.18% .
- Digital deposits: Program >$60M with pricing aligned to retail/commercial offerings; better-than-national average DDA sizes; built on upgraded tech stack to mitigate fraud/attrition .
- Office portfolio: No criticized maturities in 2025; ~$3M in 2026; largely suburban/Class A, WA LTV ~60% .
- Expenses/Tax rate: Expense discipline to continue; 2025 effective tax rate ~22–23% (Q4 elevated by nondeductible merger costs) .
- Balance sheet actions: No additional actions anticipated ahead of MOE close .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global consensus data were not available via our connector at this time; as a result, quantitative comparisons to consensus for Q4 2024 are unavailable. Management stated they are “comfortable with the consensus net income cited in the December 16 merger presentation for 2025” .
- Given expected funding cost relief and management’s NIM outlook for Q1, estimate models may need to reflect modest near-term NIM expansion; however, lack of retrieved S&P consensus precludes a formal beat/miss assessment .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Core earnings momentum intact: Operating EPS up 28% y/y with improving efficiency (62.4%) and resilient fee growth (notably SBA), supporting ongoing operating leverage .
- Funding tailwinds emerging: Deposit/funding costs fell q/q; management anticipates modest NIM expansion in Q1 as CDs and wholesale maturities roll and rates ease .
- Clean credit with conservative posture: Low NPLs (0.26%), improving NCOs (0.14%), stable ACL (1.22%), and Upstart runoff largely de-risked; normalized NCOs targeted ~20 bps .
- Capital strengthened into MOE: CET1 13.0% and TCE/TA 9.4% post $100M raise; TBVPS up 9% y/y; dividend maintained at $0.18 .
- MOE is the medium-term catalyst: Synergies and scale (combined ~$24B assets) aim to push combined efficiency ratio below 50% in 2026; close expected 2H25, timing could be a stock driver .
- Near-term trading setup: Expectation of NIM stabilization/expansion and fee momentum vs. seasonal deposit unwind and merger-cost noise; lack of formal guidance likely concentrates focus on Q1 NII/NIM trends .
- Portfolio and risk: CRE/office well-managed with low criticized maturities near-term and suburban/Class A tilt; watch for macro rate path and funding competition into 1H25 .
Additional Q4 2024 Disclosures (from 8-K/Press Release)
- GAAP EPS $0.46; Operating EPS $0.60; Operating ROATCE 9.93%; CET1 13.0%; NIM 3.14% .
- Loans +2% q/q to $9.4B driven by CRE and C&I; deposits +$798M q/q to $10.4B (ex-payroll/brokered +3% q/q) .
- Dividend declared $0.18 per share, payable March 6, 2025 .
Sources: Q4 2024 8-K and Exhibit 99.1 press release ; Q4 2024 earnings call transcript ; Q3 2024 press release ; Q2 2024 press release ; MOE press release (Dec 16, 2024) ; Dividend press release (Feb 7, 2025) .