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Braemar Hotels & Resorts Inc. (BHR)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 2025 results were seasonally soft but operationally resilient: comparable RevPAR rose 1.4% to $257, driven by ADR +4.7% to $401 while occupancy fell 3.2% to 64.3% . Comparable Hotel EBITDA increased 15.1% to $21.4M as managers delivered strong flow-through .
- Revenue modestly beat consensus and EPS beat decisively: revenue $143.6M vs $142.6M consensus (+0.7%); EPS −$0.12 vs −$0.66 consensus, a significant beat. Adjusted EBITDAre was $16.4M, below EBITDA consensus $19.2M* .
- Portfolio actions advanced deleveraging and sale positioning: sale of Marriott Seattle Waterfront ($145M; $88.4M debt repaid; ~$50.8M net proceeds) and post-quarter closing of The Clancy ($115M; $64.7M debt repaid; ~$43.7M net proceeds) refine the portfolio for a potential company sale .
- Balance sheet/liquidity: cash and restricted cash totaled ~$164.0M; net debt/gross assets at 43.2%; debt is ~87% floating (caps in place), blended rate ~6.9% .
- Strategic catalyst: formal sale process initiated in August; management will not provide interim updates, but expects the portfolio’s luxury positioning to attract private buyers .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Resort portfolio strength and flow-through: comparable resort RevPAR +5.5%; resort comparable Hotel EBITDA up ~58% YoY; management highlighted strong flow-through to margins .
- Property standouts: Four Seasons Scottsdale comparable RevPAR up ~25%; Ritz-Carlton Lake Tahoe total revenue +32% YoY; Dorado Beach RevPAR +~20% YoY, supported by buyouts and residential rental program expansion .
- Portfolio optimization: closed Seattle sale; definitive agreement then closed Clancy sale post-quarter; successfully refinanced Four Seasons Scottsdale at SOFR+3.00% to enhance liquidity and lower cost of debt .
- Quote: “Our property managers were able to generate strong flow-through… resulting in approximately 15% growth in comparable Hotel EBITDA” — Richard Stockton, CEO .
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What Went Wrong
- Seasonality and renovations: Q3 is the weakest seasonal quarter; renovations at Cameo Beverly Hills, Park Hyatt Beaver Creek, and Hotel Yountville created displacement and urban softness (e.g., The Notary impacted by citywide occupancy declines) .
- Occupancy pressure: portfolio comparable occupancy fell to 64.3% (−3.2% YoY), partially offset by ADR gains .
- EBITDA below consensus: Adjusted EBITDAre of $16.4M was below the $19.2M EBITDA consensus*, reflecting seasonality, renovation disruptions, and urban headwinds .
- Analyst concerns: government segment softness in D.C. (Capital Hilton) and potential near-term impacts from federal dynamics; management cited group revals/cancellations in D.C., though broader corporate strength mitigated elsewhere .
Financial Results
Segment breakdown (Resort vs Urban; Comparable metrics YoY):
Selected KPIs and balance sheet:
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “I’m pleased with Braemar’s solid third quarter performance… approximately 15% growth in comparable Hotel EBITDA… resorts delivering solid comparable RevPAR growth of 5.5%” — Richard Stockton, CEO .
- “For the quarter we reported a net loss attributable to common stockholders of $8.2 million or $0.12 per diluted share and AFFO per diluted share of -$0.19. Adjusted EBITDAre for the quarter was $16.4 million.” — Deric Eubanks, CFO .
- “Ritz-Carlton Lake Tahoe… exceptional group room revenue growth of 80.2%… +2,400 room nights; catering revenue increased 80.7%” — Chris Nixon, EVP Asset Management .
- “We will not be providing any update on [the sale] process… no deadline or definitive timetable… no assurance that this process will result in the sale of the company.” — Richard Stockton, CEO .
Q&A Highlights
- Capex run-rate and maintenance: management targets low-single-digit % of revenue for maintenance; larger ROI projects prioritized through engineering reviews; no significant deferred items .
- Operational impact of sale process: management does not see property-level impact; despite headwinds, portfolio grew RevPAR, EBITDA, and margins quarter over quarter .
- Internalization: Board evaluated internalization among strategic alternatives, but chose to pursue a company sale instead .
- D.C. (government segment): limited direct exposure at Capital Hilton; some group revals/cancellations; broader corporate strength offset impacts .
- Leisure trends: luxury consumers show low price sensitivity; higher ancillary spend on property; ADR strength offset slight occupancy declines .
Estimates Context
Values marked with an asterisk (*) retrieved from S&P Global.
Implication: Strong EPS and modest revenue beats likely reflect ADR strength and cost control; EBITDA shortfall vs consensus aligns with seasonality and renovation-related displacement.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- EPS beat and modest revenue beat despite seasonal trough and renovation drag suggest improved operational leverage; ADR strength and catering/facilities monetization underpin margins .
- Resorts are the growth engine; continued normalized trajectory and Lake Tahoe/Dorado Beach outperformance support medium-term margin recovery as renovations complete .
- Urban softness is transitory and mixed by market; Philadelphia was pressured, while Chicago and San Francisco improved pre-Clancy sale; expect improvement as renovations and event calendars normalize .
- Portfolio optimization and debt actions de-risk: Seattle and Clancy sales lower leverage and sharpen the luxury focus; refinancing at Four Seasons Scottsdale reduced spreads, bolstering liquidity ahead of a potential sale .
- Rate sensitivity remains high (~87% floating); interest-rate path is a key macro input to AFFO and valuation; caps mitigate near term, but rate declines would be a tailwind .
- Dividend maintained at $0.05 (common), implying high yield; Board reviews quarterly; watch for sustainability and any adjustments tied to sale process milestones .
- Sale process is the primary stock narrative; limited interim disclosures likely; private-market valuation discovery and continued deleveraging are catalysts for share price re-rating .