BI
BLACKBAUD INC (BLKB)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 2025 delivered mid-single-digit organic growth and stronger profitability: non-GAAP organic revenue +5.2%, adjusted EBITDA margin 35.4% (+220 bps YoY), and non-GAAP diluted EPS $1.10 (+$0.11 YoY) .
- Revenue and EPS were modest beats versus S&P Global consensus: revenue $281.1M vs $279.2M*, EPS $1.10 vs $1.07*; EBITDA (non-adjusted) trailed consensus (actual ~$77.6M vs ~$98.6M*) .
- Guidance reiterated for FY25 revenue, EBITDA margin and EPS; adjusted free cash flow guidance raised to $195–$205M from $190–$200M .
- Catalysts: bbcon unveiled 70+ embedded AI features and “Agents for Good” with monetization beginning in Q4, plus continued buybacks (YTD >5% of shares) and leverage reduction to 2.4x .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA margin expanded to 35.4% (+220 bps YoY), reflecting operational discipline; non-GAAP income from operations rose to $84.0M .
- Strong cash generation: GAAP operating cash flow $139.2M (49.5% margin); non-GAAP free cash flow $123.2M and adjusted FCF $125.1M (44.5% margin) .
- AI innovation momentum and early monetization path: “Agents for Good” launched, with development agent enabling proactive donor management; monetization begins this quarter with expected bookings and modest revenue next year .
Quote: “Innovation continues to drive our clear market leadership and a widening competitive moat… we continue to make significant investments in AI” — CEO Mike Gianoni .
What Went Wrong
- GAAP revenue declined 1.9% YoY to $281.1M due to EVERFI divestiture (organic growth +5.2%) .
- EBITDA (non-adjusted) below consensus: actual ~$77.6M vs ~$98.6M*, despite strong adjusted EBITDA; highlights analyst focus differences on adjusted vs unadjusted metrics .
- Interest expense headwind persists; full-year interest expected $66–$70M; G&A rose to $31.0M in Q3 from $27.5M YoY, reflecting investment and cost mix .
Financial Results
Revenue and EPS (chronological: oldest → newest)
Margins and Operating Metrics
Recurring Revenue
Cash Flow (trend)
Actual vs S&P Global Consensus (Q3 2025)
Values marked with an asterisk were retrieved from S&P Global.
Guidance Changes
Assumptions reiterated: non-GAAP effective tax rate ~24.5%; interest expense ~$66–$70M; diluted shares ~48.5–49.5M; capex ~$55–$65M (incl. $50–$60M capitalized software) .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO: “We believe Blackbaud is a sound investment choice… supported by our strong 2025 year to date financial results.”
- CEO on AI: “We unveiled… sector-specific AI… and our new agentic AI suite, Agents for Good, to help social impact organizations expand their teams with virtual team members and achieve more at scale.”
- CFO: “Adjusted free cash flow was $125 million, up from $98 million last year… we repurchased approximately 460,000 shares… leverage decreased to 2.4x… we are reiterating guidance and raising adjusted free cash flow.”
Q&A Highlights
- AI monetization: Monetization begins in Q4 for the development agent; pricing as multi-year SaaS subscription; quick ROI expected as agents unlock untapped donor segments .
- New logos and contract terms: Larger ARR deals, multi-module sales; minimum 3-year contracts; ~20% 4+ year; renewal program ~90% completion by YE .
- Transactional revenue drivers: Strong across fundraising embedded processing, JustGiving, and K-12 tuition; no viral events in Q3; fundamentals/cross-sell driving growth .
- Tax law and FCF: FY25 adjusted FCF raised due to cash tax savings, net of ~$7M incremental innovation investments in Q3–Q4 .
- Margin outlook: AI-related investments expected to be favorable to gross margin and EBITDA over time; internal initiatives (closing data centers, India build-out) support margin expansion .
Estimates Context
- Q3 2025 revenue: $281.1M actual vs $279.2M consensus*; Primary EPS: $1.10 actual vs $1.07 consensus*; EBITDA (non-adjusted): ~$77.6M actual vs ~$98.6M consensus* .
- Implication: Modest top-line and EPS beats may support near-term estimate stability to slight upward revisions; however, analysts focused on EBITDA (non-adjusted) may need to reconcile methodology vs company’s emphasis on adjusted EBITDA and FCF. Values marked with an asterisk were retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- The quarter was clean with organic growth, margin expansion YoY, and strong FCF; EPS and revenue beat consensus modestly, while EBITDA (non-adjusted) missed — framing matters for investor narratives .
- Raised FY25 adjusted FCF guidance ($195–$205M) and leverage down to 2.4x reinforce capital return capacity (active buybacks; preliminary 2026 diluted shares 46.5–47.5M) .
- AI is moving from showcase to monetization: “Agents for Good” monetizes in Q4, providing incremental bookings and revenue in 2026; watch attach rates in Raiser's Edge NXT and enterprise CRM .
- Transaction platforms and cross-sell momentum are sustaining growth without viral tailwinds; Q4 seasonality likely helps transactional lines .
- GAAP revenue down YoY due to EVERFI divestiture; investors should anchor on organic growth and adjusted profitability, while monitoring interest expense trajectory ($66–$70M FY) .
- Near-term trading setup: modest beat + raised FCF and AI monetization could be supportive; medium-term thesis hinges on sustained mid-single-digit organic growth, adjusted EBITDA expansion, and consistent buybacks .
- Watch execution on internal efficiency initiatives (data center closures, India talent) for margin tailwinds and on responsible AI coalition for ecosystem credibility .