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Bellerophon Therapeutics, Inc. (BLPH)·Q3 2022 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Bellerophon reported Q3 2022 net loss of $5.07M (–9.4% y/y to $(0.53) EPS) as R&D spend remained focused on the Phase 3 REBUILD trial in fibrotic ILD; cash and cash equivalents were $11.32M at quarter-end .
  • The FDA accepted a reduction in REBUILD’s sample size from 300 to 140 patients, maintaining >90% power on MVPA; management now expects enrollment completion in Q1 2023 and pivotal top-line data in Q3 2023—an important de-risking and timeline acceleration for the program .
  • Operating expenses decreased sequentially (R&D $3.75M; G&A $1.37M), yet net loss widened q/q due to the absence of a $2.42M income tax benefit that aided Q2 results .
  • No financial guidance was issued; the key near-term stock catalysts are REBUILD enrollment completion and top-line data timing, along with financing visibility given the cash balance trajectory .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • FDA accepted study size reduction to 140 patients in REBUILD without changing objectives/endpoints and with >90% power, accelerating timelines; “we are well-positioned to accelerate the completion… expect to complete enrollment in Q1 2023… pivotal top-line data in Q3 2023” .
  • Enrollment progress strong: “now approximately 85% enrolled,” supporting Q1 2023 completion and Q3 2023 readout .
  • Cost discipline in G&A: G&A fell to $1.37M vs $1.77M y/y, driven by lower labor and stock-based compensation costs .

What Went Wrong

  • Cash burn: cash and cash equivalents decreased to $11.32M from $24.74M at year-end 2021, reflecting funding needs for Phase 3 REBUILD .
  • Sequential net loss widened to $5.07M vs $4.11M in Q2 despite lower opex, as Q2 benefited from a $2.42M income tax benefit that did not recur in Q3 .
  • No revenue and ongoing operating losses continue until clinical milestones translate to regulatory/partnering outcomes; total operating expenses were $5.12M in Q3 (vs $4.80M y/y) as development progressed .

Financial Results

Sequential trend (oldest → newest)

MetricQ1 2022Q2 2022Q3 2022
Net Loss ($MM)$5.64 $4.11 $5.07
Diluted EPS ($)$(0.59) $(0.43) $(0.53)
R&D Expense ($MM)$4.41 $4.49 $3.75
G&A Expense ($MM)$1.23 $2.05 $1.37
Total Operating Expenses ($MM)$5.64 $6.54 $5.12
Income Tax Benefit ($MM)$0.00 $2.42 $0.00
Cash & Cash Equivalents (end-period, $MM)$20.00 $16.33 $11.32

Year-over-year comparison

MetricQ3 2021Q3 2022
Net Loss ($MM)$4.63 $5.07
Diluted EPS ($)$(0.49) $(0.53)
R&D Expense ($MM)$3.03 $3.75
G&A Expense ($MM)$1.77 $1.37
Total Operating Expenses ($MM)$4.80 $5.12

Notes:

  • The company reported no revenue; statements present operating expenses and net loss without a revenue line .

KPIs (program/operational)

KPIQ1 2022Q2 2022Q3 2022
REBUILD Phase 3 Enrollment StatusEnrollment progressing Enrollment continuing ~85% enrolled; completion expected Q1 2023
REBUILD Study SizePlanned 300 Planned 300 Reduced to 140; >90% power on MVPA
Top-line Timing (REBUILD)Not provided Not provided Q3 2023 anticipated

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
REBUILD Study Size (patients)Study design300 (Phase 3 plan) 140 (FDA-accepted) Raised/Lowered: Lowered sample size; statistical power maintained
REBUILD Enrollment CompletionProgram timelineNot provided Q1 2023 completion expected New timeline
REBUILD Top-line ReadoutProgram timelineNot provided Q3 2023 anticipated New timeline

No revenue/margin/OpEx financial guidance was issued in the quarter .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

Note: No earnings call transcript was available in our document set for Q3 2022; themes are derived from company 8-K press releases.

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 2022, Q2 2022)Current Period (Q3 2022)Trend
REBUILD Phase 3 Enrollment“Enrollment is continuing/progressing” with MVPA primary endpoint ~85% enrolled; completion Q1 2023 Accelerating; clear completion timeline
Regulatory InteractionsPlanning and ongoing dialogue; Phase 3 design reiterated FDA accepted reducing study size to 140, maintaining >90% power Positive regulatory update; de-risked trial execution
PH-Sarc ProgramPositive Phase 2 acute hemodynamic data; FDA-cleared exploratory chronic study design Next steps under assessment Pause/assessment; remains optionality beyond fILD
Operating ExpensesR&D elevated for REBUILD; G&A trending lower R&D $3.75M; G&A $1.37M; total opex down q/q Cost discipline in G&A; R&D tied to Phase 3 cadence
Liquidity/CashCash $20.0M (Q1) Cash $11.32M (Q3) Lower cash; financing visibility increasingly important

Management Commentary

  • “We continue to achieve important progress in advancing the ongoing REBUILD Phase 3 trial of INOpulse… approximately 85% enrolled. We expect that enrollment will conclude in the first quarter of 2023, with the reporting of pivotal top-line data in third quarter of 2023.” — Peter Fernandes, Principal Executive Officer .
  • “With this study size change, we believe that we are well-positioned to accelerate the completion of our Phase 3 REBUILD study… anticipate the availability of pivotal top-line data in the third quarter of 2023.” — Naseem Amin, Chairman .
  • “The target of 140 subjects maintains a statistical power of greater than 90% for MVPA… accepted by the FDA as the primary endpoint for the Phase 3 REBUILD study.” — Peter Fernandes .
  • “The revised study size is based on an effect size generated from Phase 2 study data in 44 patients… the trial remains adequately powered to demonstrate a statistically significant result on MVPA.” — Dr. Steven D. Nathan, Chair of REBUILD Steering Committee .

Q&A Highlights

  • No Q3 2022 earnings call transcript was available in our dataset; no Q&A details could be reviewed or corroborated from primary sources.

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global (Capital IQ) Wall Street consensus for Q3 2022 was unavailable via the estimates tool for BLPH at the time of analysis.
  • Third-party source indicates EPS of $(0.53) vs consensus $(0.59), a ~$0.06 beat; revenue not applicable given no reported revenue .
  • Given the unavailability of S&P Global data, investors should treat third-party estimate references as indicative and confirm with broker or S&P feeds.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • FDA acceptance of the REBUILD sample size reduction to 140 patients, while maintaining >90% power on MVPA, is a meaningful de-risking and timeline acceleration into Q3 2023 top-line data—an identifiable binary catalyst window .
  • Execution remains solid: ~85% enrolled with clear line of sight to Q1 2023 completion; operational focus has shifted to efficient trial closure .
  • P&L dynamics reflect trial cadence: opex down q/q, but Q2’s $2.42M tax benefit non-recurring drove a sequential widening of net loss in Q3; expect variability around non-operating items to continue .
  • Liquidity tightening: cash fell to $11.32M; absent partnering/non-dilutive funding, financing needs are likely prior to top-line—monitor capital raises and associated dilution risk .
  • Secondary asset optionality in PH-Sarc persists (positive Phase 2 acute data; FDA-cleared exploratory chronic study), but near-term valuation largely hinges on REBUILD readout .
  • With no revenue and non-GAAP adjustments not emphasized, the trading setup is catalyst-driven; positioning should reflect binary risk around Q3 2023 top-line and interim financing outcomes .
  • Absent an earnings call transcript, communication has been primarily via press releases; any future conference or KOL updates could influence sentiment ahead of readout .