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    BADGER METER (BMI)

    Q1 2025 Earnings Summary

    Reported on Apr 18, 2025 (Before Market Open)
    Pre-Earnings Price$183.90Last close (Apr 16, 2025)
    Post-Earnings Price$183.67Open (Apr 17, 2025)
    Price Change
    $-0.23(-0.13%)
    • Resilient Demand & Stable Order Environment: Customers continue to order on a normal cadence—75% of revenue comes directly from end users, who lack the ability to pull orders forward, ensuring stable demand even amid macroeconomic uncertainty.
    • Robust Margin Performance & Software Growth: The company delivered record operating margins (22.2%) and gross margins of 42.9% in Q1, with the software segment growing 25%, highlighting a durable revenue mix that can drive margin improvement over time.
    • Effective Tariff and Cost Management: Management is proactively mitigating rising tariff-related input costs through targeted pricing actions and diversified manufacturing footprints, ensuring that increased costs remain manageable without compromising competitiveness.
    • Tariff-related cost pressures: The company faces uncertainties from volatile tariffs, including potential tariff exposure on U.S.-based manufacturing and increased input costs due to export controls (e.g., on Bismuth), which may lead to pricing challenges if these costs cannot be fully passed on to customers.
    • Episodic margin enhancements: While the quarter delivered record operating and gross margins, a notable portion of this performance was driven by favorable product mix elements (such as strong software growth), which are episodic and might revert, pressuring future profitability.
    • Integration and timing risks from acquisitions: The recent SmartCover acquisition has affected receivables and introduced timing differences, suggesting potential challenges in fully realizing integration synergies and sustained improvements in cost structure over time.
    MetricYoY ChangeReason

    Total Revenue (Net Sales)

    +13% (from $196.3M to $222.2M)

    Strong sales performance drove this increase, largely due to higher volumes in the utility water market and increased adoption of smart water solutions (e.g., cellular AMI, ORION Cellular endpoints, BEACON SaaS), building on previous period momentum.

    Utility Water Market

    +16% (from $170.1M to $197.3M)

    The marked growth is driven by higher sales of mechanical and ultrasonic meters along with the positive impact of the SmartCover acquisition (adding $6.2M in revenue), which enhanced an already robust sales trend in this segment compared to Q1 2024.

    Flow Instrumentation

    -5% (from $26.2M to $24.9M)

    A slight decline resulted from lower demand in non-water applications, reflecting the company’s continued de-emphasis on this area despite modest growth in water-related segments as seen in prior periods.

    United States Revenue

    +14% (from $177.2M to $202.0M)

    The domestic revenue surge is attributed to strong performance in smart water solutions in the U.S. market, reinforcing prior period trends of robust utility water market sales with higher volumes and favorable product mix.

    Operating Earnings

    +35% (from $36,578K to $49,425K)

    Improved net sales, higher gross margins from increased volume and a better product mix, along with effective cost management (i.e., SEA expense leverage), significantly boosted operating earnings compared to the previous period.

    Net Earnings

    +32% (from $29,131K to $38,398K)

    Enhanced operating performance, improved gross margins, and favorable interest income drove net earnings up, reflecting a continuation of operational improvements and cost discipline from the previous period.

    Gross Margin

    +24% (from $77,178K to $95,437K)

    The significant gain in gross margin is due to higher sales volumes and an improved, high-margin product mix—particularly from smart water solutions—which allowed for better cost absorption and pricing benefits compared to Q1 2024.

    MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange

    Gross Margin Range

    Q2 2025

    no prior guidance

    38% to 40%

    no prior guidance

    Revenue Growth

    FY 2025

    high single-digit average top-line growth

    no current guidance

    no current guidance

    Gross Margin

    FY 2025

    38% to 40%

    no current guidance

    no current guidance

    SEA Expenses

    FY 2025

    $6 million to $7 million annually

    no current guidance

    no current guidance

    Financial Flexibility

    FY 2025

    over $100 million in cash

    no current guidance

    no current guidance

    Free Cash Flow

    FY 2025

    consistent generation of free cash flow in excess of 100% of net earnings

    no current guidance

    no current guidance

    EBITDA Margins

    FY 2025

    record EBITDA margins of 23%

    no current guidance

    no current guidance

    MetricPeriodGuidanceActualPerformance
    Revenue Growth
    Q1 2025
    High single-digit average top-line growth
    Achieved approximately 13.2% year-over-year growth (from 196.3MTo 222.2M)
    Beat
    Gross Margin
    Q1 2025
    Normalized gross margin range of 38% to 40%
    42.9% (95.4M on 222.2M in sales)
    Beat
    Free Cash Flow
    Q1 2025
    Consistent generation in excess of 100% of net earnings
    ~78% of net earnings (30.1M Free Cash Flow vs. 38.4M Net Earnings)
    Missed
    TopicPrevious MentionsCurrent PeriodTrend

    Demand Stability

    Mentioned consistently in Q2 (supported by underlying market drivers ), Q3 ( ) and Q4 earnings calls ( ) as stable and resilient.

    Q1 2025 continued to report stable demand with no customer pullbacks and reinforced the durable, replacement‐driven nature of the market ( ).

    Consistent stability and positive sentiment across periods.

    Robust Margin Performance

    Discussed in Q2 ( ), Q3 ( ) and Q4 ( ) showing strong operating/gross margins but with cautious views on sustainability and normalization.

    Q1 2025 reported record margins with significant improvements ( ) while emphasizing caution over sustainability due to tariff uncertainties and episodic mix factors ( ).

    Margins remain robust yet there is an increased caution about long‐term sustainability compared to prior periods.

    Tariff, Inflation, and Cost Pressure Management

    Q2 ( ) and Q4 ( ) covered tariffs and cost management issues; Q3 did not mention these.

    Q1 2025 provided a detailed discussion on tariff uncertainty and rising commodity prices (notably bismuth's sharp increase), along with proactive pricing actions ( ).

    Heightened emphasis with more detailed focus on cost pressures and tariff volatility, reflecting a growing concern in the current period.

    Strategic Acquisitions and Integration Risks

    Q4 2024 highlighted the SmartCover acquisition with concerns about integration risks and higher short-term expenses ( ), while Q3 referenced a steady acquisition strategy ( ). Q2 did not cover this topic.

    Q1 2025 showed that integration of SmartCover is progressing smoothly with positive customer feedback and minimal risk signals ( ).

    A shift from cautious outlook to a more positive integration narrative for SmartCover.

    Revenue Growth Trends and Uneven/Decelerating Performance

    Q2 ( ) showed strong growth with expectations of normalization; Q3 ( ) and Q4 ( ) noted robust sales growth tempered by uneven performance due to backlog conversion and seasonal factors.

    Q1 2025 delivered strong overall sales growth (including 13% year-over-year) but noted uneven performance in certain segments (e.g. instrumentation decline) ( ).

    Steady growth remains but uneven performance persists; sentiment is positive overall with an awareness of inherent variability.

    Software Growth and SaaS Dependency on Hardware Sales

    Q2 ( ), Q3 ( ) and Q4 ( ) consistently showed strong software revenue growth with a clear dependency on hardware sales (e.g. 100% SaaS attachment to hardware).

    Q1 2025 reported robust 25% software revenue growth with software being the top revenue growth contributor, while not explicitly discussing hardware dependency ( ).

    Consistent and strong software performance; the positive story in software continues with an indirect emphasis on its hardware linkage.

    Operational Resilience and Supply Chain/Manufacturing Footprint Optimization

    Q4 2024 discussed reshoring efforts, inventory optimization, and managing supply chain challenges ( ); neither Q2 nor Q3 mentioned these topics explicitly.

    Q1 2025 emphasized operational resilience with effective management of supply chain exposures, particularly tariffs, and a confident stance in mitigating external challenges ( ).

    Continued focus on resilience and supply chain optimization with a reaffirmed positive outlook in Q1 2025.

    Capital Allocation, Dividend Growth, and M&A Activity

    Q2 ( ), Q3 ( ), and Q4 ( ) consistently emphasized a strong balance sheet, robust free cash flow, disciplined M&A activity, and a historic 32‐year record of dividend increases.

    Q1 2025 reinforced a debt-free status with strong free cash flow (up 60% YoY) and integration of SmartCover, though no new dividend figures were provided ( ).

    Robust and consistent capital allocation strategies continue with ongoing M&A focus and dividends; sentiment remains very positive.

    Weather-related Utility Project Delays and External Risks

    Q3 2024 noted hurricane-related delays in the Southeastern U.S. and external risks due to extreme weather, while Q4 2024 mentioned macro/regulatory uncertainties without direct weather delay details ( , ).

    Q1 2025 did not mention weather-related delays or specific external risks.

    De-emphasis of weather-related issues in Q1 2025 suggests a possible seasonal or situational change; external risks are less emphasized currently.

    Strategic Investment in Innovation and Market Differentiation

    Q2 ( ), Q3 ( ), and Q4 ( ) explicitly focused on investments in product innovation (e.g. BlueEdge, R&D leadership) and strategic acquisitions (e.g. SmartCover) to differentiate the market.

    In Q1 2025, while not directly discussing innovation, the SmartCover acquisition and technology adoption comments imply continued investment in innovation, though with less explicit emphasis ( ).

    Steady investment in innovation remains a core focus, though the current period is less explicit about it than prior periods.

    1. Tariff Triggers
      Q: What triggers cost management concerns?
      A: Management highlighted that a potential USMCA rollback at the Mexico facility alongside a nearly tenfold jump in Bismuth prices are key triggers to monitor for rising tariff-related input costs.

    2. Margin Sustainability
      Q: Will margins revert to lower ranges?
      A: They expressed confidence that despite some episodic mix elements, the durable product mix—notably software growth—will keep margins above the 38%-40% floor.

    3. Tariff Impact
      Q: What is the tariff impact on costs?
      A: Management described the impact as roughly less than mid-single digit increases on COGS, which they plan to offset with targeted pricing actions.

    4. Price Increase Plans
      Q: Have customers been notified of price hikes?
      A: They confirmed that while competitors have begun raising prices, they have not yet informed customers, choosing instead to proceed cautiously before any price increases.

    5. Order Activity
      Q: Are orders being pulled forward unexpectedly?
      A: Management noted that most revenue is from direct sales, meaning there is little scope for pull-forward activities, and overall order patterns remain normal.

    6. Inflation Impact on AMI
      Q: Has inflation altered multi-year project terms?
      A: They explained that previous price hold requests in multi-year AMI contracts have been pushed back as lessons were learned, so customers now expect more flexibility.

    7. Order Mix Changes
      Q: Any change in order mix factors?
      A: While customer profiles vary, a key development was a 25% growth in software revenues, reinforcing a favorable mix that benefits margins.

    8. Receivables Timing
      Q: Why were receivables higher this quarter?
      A: The increase in receivables was mainly due to the SmartCover acquisition and normal timing differences between quarters, without any risk implications.

    9. Municipal Budgets
      Q: How are municipal budgets affecting investments?
      A: Management observed that despite varied budgeting cycles, utilities tend to reallocate funds towards essential meter replacements, with no significant shift towards alternative pricing models.

    Research analysts covering BADGER METER.