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Broadstone Net Lease, Inc. (BNL)·Q3 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 results were stable operationally: revenue $108.4M, diluted EPS $0.19, FFO/share $0.37, and AFFO/share $0.35, with portfolio 99.0% leased and 99.1% rent collection .
  • UNFI Sarasota build-to-suit reached substantial completion with rent commencement in early September (15-year lease, 2.5% annual bumps, 7.2% initial cash cap rate; 8.6% straight-line yield), adding a high-quality, large industrial asset and elevating UNFI to a top tenant .
  • Full-year AFFO guidance of $1.41–$1.43 was reaffirmed; investment guidance range narrowed by trimming the high end ($400–$600M vs. $400–$700M) and cash G&A lowered to $31–$33M, reflecting discipline as healthcare dispositions wind down and vacancies carry costs in Q4 .
  • Strategic pivot continues: healthcare ABR exposure on track to be <10% by year-end (from 17.6% in 2023) after $339.0M YTD healthcare dispositions; industrial-focused build-to-suit pipeline was highlighted as a 2025–2026 growth driver, though one large prospective tenant later canceled (post-quarter) reducing remaining commitments to $246.5M as of Nov 18 .
  • Stock catalysts: visible embedded growth from committed development deliveries (notably UNFI and Sierra Nevada MROs), cleaner portfolio mix post-healthcare sales, and conservative leverage (Net Debt/Annualized Adjusted EBITDAre 5.0x; pro forma 4.9x) that supports capital flexibility .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Executed on 2024 strategic priorities: “successful sale of the latest tranche of our clinical assets bringing our total healthcare exposure to less than 10% of our ABR” and “more than $400 million of high-quality build-to-suit developments under control” (CEO) .
    • UNFI build-to-suit delivered ahead of schedule and below budget; rent commenced in early September at 7.2% initial cash cap, 2.5% escalators, 8.6% straight-line yield, under a 15-year lease; UNFI now a top tenant .
    • Operating resilience: 99.0% leased, 99.1% rent collection; Q3 AFFO/share $0.35 with disciplined cash G&A, leverage at 5.0x (pro forma 4.9x) and $874.5M revolver capacity .
  • What Went Wrong

    • AFFO/share dipped slightly YoY ($0.35 vs $0.36) and management cited incremental expenses from vacancies and credit costs as a limiter to raising FY guidance despite positive offsets (rent collections, UNFI online, lower G&A) .
    • Incremental pockets of credit risk persist (consumer-centric tenants; home furnishings; remaining clinical healthcare) leading to cautious tone and some elevated Q4 operating expenses tied to current vacancies (bad debt reserve maintained) .
    • Post-quarter, a large prospective build-to-suit was canceled by a tenant after leadership changes, reducing remaining development commitments from $418.8M to $246.5M as of Nov 18 (execution risk in pipeline) .

Financial Results

Core P&L and Per-Share Metrics (YoY and QoQ)

MetricQ3 2023Q2 2024Q3 2024
Revenues ($USD Thousands)$109,543 $105,907 $108,397
Net income incl. NCI ($USD Thousands)$52,145 $35,937 $37,268
Diluted EPS ($)$0.26 $0.19 $0.19
FFO ($USD Thousands)$75,478 $73,725 $73,818
FFO per share ($)$0.39 $0.37 $0.37
Core FFO ($USD Thousands)$74,754 $73,001 $73,971
Core FFO per share ($)$0.38 $0.37 $0.37
AFFO ($USD Thousands)$69,958 $70,401 $70,185
AFFO per share ($)$0.36 $0.36 $0.35

Notes: Revenue and EPS in Q3 were broadly stable QoQ; AFFO/share eased 1c QoQ and 1c YoY as vacancy-related expenses offset cost controls .

Portfolio Mix (ABR by Property Type, Q3 2024)

Property TypeABR %ABR ($000s)
Industrial (total)57.8% $229,680
Restaurant (total)13.4% $53,540
Retail (total)12.5% $49,696
Healthcare (total)10.5% $41,991
Office (total)5.8% $23,252
Total100.0% $398,159

KPIs and Balance Sheet (Trend)

KPIQ3 2023Q2 2024Q3 2024
Occupancy (SF)99.4% 99.3% 99.0%
Rent Collection99.9% 99.0% 99.1%
WALT (years)10.5 10.4 10.3
Weighted avg annual rent increases2.0% 2.0% 2.0%
Net Debt / Annualized Adjusted EBITDAre4.9x 5.1x 5.0x
Pro Forma Net Debt / Annualized Adjusted EBITDAre4.9x 4.9x 4.9x
Revolver availability ($M)$920.9 $874.5

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
AFFO per diluted shareFY 2024$1.41–$1.43 (as of Q2 release) $1.41–$1.43 (reaffirmed) Maintained
Investments (real estate)FY 2024$400–$700M (raised low end at Q2) $400–$600M Lowered (high end)
DispositionsFY 2024$350–$450M $350–$450M Maintained
Total cash G&AFY 2024$31.5–$33.5M $31–$33M Lowered

Dividend: Q3 dividend declared at $0.29 per share/OP unit .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 and Q2)Current Period (Q3)Trend
Build-to-suit strategy and yieldsPipeline in development; mid-7% initial cash cap, 2–4% bumps, straight-line yields >9%; UNFI on track; pursuing $307M across 7 projects; exploring additional ~$400M UNFI rent commenced; $405M committed developments (mid-to-high 7% cash yields, >9% straight-line); Sierra Nevada MROs funded; visibility to ~$33M ABR in late-2025/1H26 Accelerating execution (with subsequent post-quarter reduction)
Healthcare simplificationSold 37 assets at ~7.9% cap; plan to reduce to ~11% ABR; remaining one-offs to extend into 2025 for optimal value Crossed below 10% total healthcare ABR post-October tranche; $339.0M YTD healthcare dispositions; focus shifts from portfolio sales to traditional AM for remainder Mostly completed; remaining tail work
Acquisition market & cap ratesSelective; regular-way competitive; mid-market industrial crowded; targeting 7%+; prefer direct-sourced and BTS Still “solidly in the 7s”; regular-way volumes not compelling; capital directed toward BTS where economics superior Steady selectivity
Credit monitoringWatch list includes Red Lobster, at home; rent coverage stable; cautious on consumer discretionary Incremental pockets of risk persist; modest Q4 expense elevation tied to vacancies; bad debt reserve steady Stable-to-cautious
Leverage & liquidityNet Debt/Adj. EBITDAre ~4.8–5.1x; strong revolver availability; $460M forward SOFR swaps 5.0x (pro forma 4.9x); ~$874.5M revolver availability; forward equity ~$39M; dividend well covered Stable

Management Commentary

  • CEO strategic message: “We came into 2024 with two primary objectives: execute on our healthcare portfolio simplification strategy and build a strong pipeline focused on our differentiated core building blocks of growth… I am incredibly proud of our team for accomplishing both.”
  • On UNFI and build-to-suit: “This brand-new… 1 million square foot… is now operational and contributing to our earnings base with an initial cash yield of 7.2%… and 2.5% annual rent escalations that drive a straight-line yield of 8.6%.”
  • BTS pipeline durability: “We have already secured approximately $33 million of incremental ABR that will come online in Q4 2025 and the first half of 2026… we’re able to maintain our leverage ratio comfortably below 6x.”
  • CFO clarity on drivers: “AFFO of $70 million or $0.35 per share… driven by lower lease revenues… and incremental expenses associated with vacant assets… partially offset by lower cash G&A and interest expenses.”

Q&A Highlights

  • Why not raise guidance? Management cited known Q4 vacancy carrying costs and a few tenant credit events offsetting positive drivers (collections, UNFI commencement, lower G&A), preferring to hold the range .
  • Acquisition posture: Regular-way deal flow remains less compelling; BNL stays “solidly in the 7s,” prioritizing direct-sourced/BTS opportunities with superior risk-adjusted returns .
  • BTS concentration risk: Hard cap of 5% ABR per tenant; willing to let top-10/20 concentration move modestly higher, but maintain tenant cap discipline .
  • Credit watch list: Continued focus on consumer-centric tenants; pleased Red Lobster resolution kept all 18 master-lease stores open with an 8.25% rent reduction; monitoring “at home” (≈1% ABR) .
  • Funding and leverage: Pro forma leverage ~4.9x and $870M+ revolver availability support committed BTS fundings without near-term equity needs; opportunistic forward equity ($39M net) executed .

Estimates Context

  • We attempted to retrieve S&P Global consensus for Q3 2024 (Revenue, Primary EPS, EBITDA) and recent quarters; however, estimates were unavailable at time of analysis due to API request limits. As a result, we cannot provide a quantitative beat/miss vs. S&P Global consensus for Q3. We will update upon access restoration.
  • Management did not frame results versus external consensus in the release; focus remained on strategic execution and guidance maintenance .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Execution unlocks 2025–2026 growth visibility: UNFI is online; Sierra Nevada MROs underway; management points to ~$33M incremental ABR from committed developments across late-2025/1H26, with leverage contained <6x during funding .
  • Portfolio de-risking largely complete: Healthcare ABR <10% by year-end, with remaining assets handled via targeted asset management to preserve value; industrial ABR now 57.8% .
  • Near-term earnings cadence: FY24 AFFO guide held at $1.41–$1.43 amid Q4 vacancy/credit cost drag; expect cleaner baseline into 2025 as vacancies resolve and development rent ramps .
  • Capital flexibility intact: 5.0x leverage (pro forma 4.9x), $874.5M of revolver capacity, forward equity ($39M) available; dividend ($0.29) remains well covered .
  • Risk monitor: Consumer-exposed tenants and residual clinical healthcare assets remain focal points; management’s diversified tenant/industry mix and early re-leasing approach help mitigate impact .
  • Post-quarter pipeline update: One large BTS prospect canceled, trimming remaining commitments to $246.5M; management remains “steadfast” in scaling BTS while maintaining appetite for accretive regular-way deals .
  • Trading implications: Narrative centers on embedded NOI ramp from BTS deliveries, portfolio quality/tenant diversification, and disciplined capital, versus watch-list credits/vacancy costs and execution on the slimmer (but active) BTS pipeline .

Citations:

  • Q3 2024 8-K/Press Release and Supplemental:
  • Q3 2024 press release version:
  • Q3 2024 earnings call transcript:
  • Q2 2024 press release and call:
  • Q1 2024 call:
  • Other relevant press releases: Q3 earnings schedule ; Nov 18 BTS pipeline update .