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Broadstone Net Lease, Inc. (BNL)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 2025 delivered clean operating execution: lease revenues rose to $114.167M, AFFO of $74.3M ($0.37/share), 99.5% occupancy, and 100% rent collection; GAAP diluted EPS was $0.14 .
  • Guidance raised: full‑year 2025 AFFO/share increased to $1.49–$1.50 (from $1.48–$1.50), with investment volume midpoint lifted by $100M to $650–$750M; dispositions guided to $75–$100M; core G&A maintained at $30–$31M .
  • Estimates comparison: revenue beat consensus in Q3 (Actual $114.167M vs $112.261M*), while GAAP EPS ($0.14) and FFO/share ($0.36) were below consensus ($0.165* and $0.384*), reflecting higher interest expense and impairments; revenue also beat in Q2, missed in Q1* . Values retrieved from S&P Global.
  • Strategic/capital catalysts: return to public IG bond market with $350M 5.00% notes (7x oversubscribed), $904M revolver availability, declared $0.29 dividend; management emphasized optionality to monetize build‑to‑suit assets and disciplined use of ATM as cost of capital becomes constructive .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • “We invested $204 million in an attractive pipeline of accretive acquisitions and development projects, collected 100% of our rents… and secured 1.2% sequential quarterly growth in contractual rental obligations,” enabling a guidance raise to $1.49–$1.50 AFFO/share .
  • Build‑to‑suit pipeline scaling: 8 in‑process developments, weighted average initial cash cap ~7.5% and straight‑line ~8.9%; active, committed pipeline expected to add ~$28M of ABR through end of 2026 (6.7% ABR growth) .
  • Tenant credit resolutions: “successfully navigated through At Home and Claire’s bankruptcy… all leases assumed and no concessions,” with no anticipated lost rent in 2025 and Claire’s paid for 2025 .

What Went Wrong

  • GAAP net income down 26.3% YoY to $27.1M ($0.14/share) driven by a $10.1M increase in interest expense and a $5.9M increase in impairment provision .
  • Core G&A increased 8.7% YoY to $7.4M (core) in Q3 on performance‑based incentives; total G&A $10.0M (+14.4% YoY) .
  • FFO/share ($0.36) and GAAP EPS ($0.14) trailed consensus* amid higher interest costs and ongoing impairment activity; leverage ratios ticked up vs prior year, with Net Debt/Annualized Adjusted EBITDAre at 5.7x (pro forma 5.4x) . Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Financial Results

MetricQ3 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Lease Revenues ($USD Millions)$108.397 $108.690 $112.986 $114.167
Net Income ($USD Millions)$37.268 $17.493 $19.830 $27.065
Diluted EPS ($USD)$0.19 $0.09 $0.10 $0.14
FFO ($USD Millions)$73.818 $72.627 $73.695 $70.969
FFO per Share (Diluted)$0.37 $0.37 $0.37 $0.36
Core FFO per Share (Diluted)$0.37 $0.38 $0.39 $0.35
AFFO ($USD Millions)$70.185 $71.812 $74.308 $74.314
AFFO per Share (Diluted)$0.35 $0.36 $0.38 $0.37
EBITDAre ($USD Millions)$92.371 $93.142 $95.089 $99.489
EBITDAre Margin (%)85.2% 85.8% 84.2% 87.2%

Notes: EBITDAre Margin % computed from EBITDAre / Lease Revenues using cited values.

Segment/Portfolio Mix (ABR, Q3 2025)

Property TypeABR ($USD Thousands)ABR % of TotalSquare Feet (000s)SF % of Total
Industrial Total$252,887 61.2% 33,081 81.4%
Retail Total$126,363 30.6% 5,934 14.6%
Other Total$33,694 8.2% 1,638 4.0%

Key KPIs

KPIQ3 2024Q2 2025Q3 2025
Occupancy (by SF)99.0% 99.1% 99.5%
Rent Collection99.1% 99.6% 100.0%
Total Properties773 766 759
ABR ($USD Millions)$398.2 $404.2 $412.9
WALT (years)10.3 9.7 9.5
Annual Rent Escalations (WAA)2.0% 2.0% 2.0%
Net Debt / Annualized Adj. EBITDAre5.0x 5.3x 5.7x (Pro Forma 5.4x)

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
AFFO per Share (Diluted)FY 2025$1.48–$1.50 $1.49–$1.50 Raised (midpoint +$0.005)
Investments in Real EstateFY 2025$500–$700M $650–$750M Raised (midpoint +$100M)
DispositionsFY 2025$50–$100M $75–$100M Raised lower bound
Core G&AFY 2025$30–$31M $30–$31M Maintained
DividendQ4 2025 payable Jan 2026$0.29/share (ongoing) $0.29/share declared Oct 23 Maintained

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 2025)Previous Mentions (Q2 2025)Current Period (Q3 2025)Trend
Build‑to‑Suit strategy and ABR growth visibilitySix industrial/retail projects underway; straight‑line yields ~8.8–9.4%; pipeline visibility to 2026–2027 Eight in‑process; estimated remaining investment $268.6M; yields ~7.5/8.9%; confident in scaling Eight in‑process; ~7.5%/8.9%; ~$28M ABR to year‑end 2026 (6.7% ABR growth); option to monetize at stabilized values Building
Tenant credit (At Home, Claire’s)No major new issues; 99.1% rent collection Portfolio rent collection improved to 99.6%; credit watch steady All leases assumed; no concessions; no 2025 lost rent; Claire’s paid through year‑end Improving
Capital markets (debt/ATM) & leverage disciplineExtended revolver to 2029; added $500M term loan; maintained leverage ~5.1x Revolver capacity $802M; Net Debt/Adj. EBITDAre 5.3x $350M 5.00% notes (7x oversubscribed); revolver capacity $904M; Pro Forma leverage 5.4x; disciplined potential ATM usage Strengthening
Acquisitions/cap rates & sourcingQ1 acquisitions $59.0M at 7.2% cap; heavy industrial mix Q2 acquisitions $54.7M industrial at 7.1% cap; sourcing direct deals Q3 acquisitions $139.5M at 7.1% cap; >2/3 sourced via direct relationships; competition plateaued caps, retail favored by market Stable/Competitive
Industrial reshoring/logistics tailwindsEarly pipeline visibility Noted momentum Multi‑year reshoring tailwinds; knock‑on logistics demand; active LOIs Positive

Management Commentary

  • CEO: “We invested $204 million… collected 100% of our rents… resolved both the At Home and Claire’s situations… and secured 1.2% sequential quarterly growth in contractual rental obligations… we are raising our full‑year 2025 guidance to $1.49 to $1.50 of AFFO per share” .
  • COO: “Our active, committed build‑to‑suit pipeline will deliver approximately $28 million of additional ABR between Q4 of this year and through the end of 2026, representing 6.7% growth” .
  • CFO: “We generated adjusted funds from operations of $74.3 million, or $0.37 per share… pro forma leverage of 5.4x net debt… and over $900 million available on our revolver… we raised $350 million of 5% senior unsecured notes due November 2032” .

Q&A Highlights

  • Build‑to‑suit monetization: Management prefers to hold assets long‑term but will sell selectively to prove value creation and fund growth; potential 1031 redeployment to maintain tax efficiency .
  • Equity issuance via ATM: Will be driven by opportunity set and incremental cost of capital rather than headline share price; evaluating as pipeline builds .
  • Lease expirations/backfill: ~10% ABR through 2027 with “nothing material”; re‑leasing outcomes around ~108% in executed cases; only ~3% in 2026 .
  • Acquisition market: Product volumes constrained; competition intense; cap rates have plateaued; BNL targets ≥7% caps aligning with cost of capital .
  • Transitional capital projects: Retail JV in St. Louis (Home Depot‑anchored center) optionality to monetize; Pennsylvania industrial land preferred equity at 7.8% with heavy power/water, potential build‑to‑suit or sale/refi .

Estimates Context

MetricQ1 2025 ActualQ1 2025 ConsensusQ2 2025 ActualQ2 2025 ConsensusQ3 2025 ActualQ3 2025 Consensus
Lease Revenues ($USD Millions)$108.690 $109.800*$112.986 $110.676*$114.167 $112.261*
Diluted EPS ($USD)$0.09 $0.178*$0.10 $0.177*$0.14 $0.165*
FFO per Share (Diluted) ($USD)$0.37 $0.378*$0.37 $0.381*$0.36 $0.384*

Bold highlights: Q3 Revenue beat (Actual > Consensus); Q3 EPS and FFO/share misses (Actual < Consensus).

Values retrieved from S&P Global.

  • Indicates S&P Global consensus estimate values.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Industrial‑led growth engine: Build‑to‑suit pipeline offers embedded ABR growth (6.7% through 2026) with accretive yields (~7.5% cash/8.9% straight‑line), and optionality to monetize at stabilized valuations—supportive of NAV accretion and capital recycling .
  • Credit clean‑up de‑risked 2025 cash flows: At Home and Claire’s leases assumed, no concessions, 100% rent collection; supports raised AFFO guidance and dividend coverage .
  • Mixed print vs Street: Revenue beat, but EPS and FFO/share misses suggest higher interest and impairment drag—estimate models likely to tweak interest expense and impairment assumptions; monitor estimate revisions near Investor Day .
  • Balance sheet flexibility improved: $350M IG notes and ~$904M revolver capacity provide funding runway; management remains disciplined (target ≤6x leverage) and opportunistic on ATM usage .
  • Sourcing edge: >2/3 of acquisitions sourced via direct relationships amid competitive market—supports sustained deployment at ≥7% caps aligned to cost of capital .
  • Near‑term catalysts: Additional LOIs converting to commitments, potential build‑to‑suit announcements to reach ~$500M by year‑end, and Dec. 2 Investor Day; watch for monetization decisions and any ATM activity .
  • Medium‑term thesis: Multi‑year reshoring and logistics tailwinds plus disciplined capital allocation should underpin AFFO growth trajectory and potential multiple expansion from below‑average earnings multiple cited by management .