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BOSTON OMAHA Corp (BOC)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Revenue was $28.73M (+3.7% YoY) with net loss attributable to common shareholders of $2.59M and EPS of -$0.08; Q/Q revenue was up ~1.9% from $28.20M, while EPS declined from -$0.07 in Q2 .
- Link Media Outdoor posted a record Adjusted EBITDA of ~$4.8M (+5.6% YoY), while Broadband adjusted EBITDA was ~$2.3M and
$3.2M excluding Fiber Fast Homes; GIG’s loss ratio rose to 25.3%, driving negative adjusted EBITDA (-$0.3M) . - Results missed Wall Street EPS (-$0.08 actual vs -$0.03 est) and were essentially in line/slightly below on revenue ($28.73M actual vs $28.85M est); Q2 also missed EPS (-$0.07 actual vs -$0.01 est) and revenue ($28.20M vs $29.39M) (*Values retrieved from S&P Global).
- Net Other Expense weighed on GAAP results (unrealized SKYH warrant loss ~$1.5M; BOAM fair value losses ~$2.0M; equity method loss ~$0.6M; interest expense ~$0.7M), partially offset by interest/dividend income ~$0.3M .
- Shares showed negative sentiment on the print date per third‑party headlines, with -6.6% intraday noted around the 10‑Q posting; narrative impact was driven by EPS miss and insurance loss ratio elevation .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Link Media Outdoor delivered highest ever Adjusted EBITDA (~$4.8M, +5.6% YoY), with gross margin up 310 bps YoY to 67.9% and land cost held at 18.2% .
- Broadband adjusted EBITDA improved YoY (~$3.2M across AireBeam/InfoWest/Utah Broadband, +23.2% YoY), with fiber subscribers up to 14.1k vs 11.2k and passings to 36.0k vs 30.0k .
- Unrestricted cash plus U.S. Treasuries totaled ~$41.1M at quarter‑end; NOL carryforwards stood at ~$91.1M (Dec 31, 2024), preserving financial flexibility .
What Went Wrong
- Consolidated EPS missed consensus and worsened Q/Q (-$0.08 vs -$0.03 est; Q2: -$0.07 vs -$0.01 est), driven by Net Other Expense (SKYH warrants, BOAM fair value losses, equity method loss, interest expense) (*Values retrieved from S&P Global) .
- GIG (surety) loss ratio rose to 25.3% (vs Q2’s 32.2%), reflecting larger claim payments and increased reserves, which pressured margins and adjusted EBITDA (~-$0.3M) .
- Broadband revenue/EBITDA were flat to slightly down Q/Q due to seasonal account holds in AireBeam’s “snowbirds” base, limiting sequential growth .
Financial Results
Consolidated Financials (GAAP)
Q3 YoY Comparison
Segment/Category Revenue Mix (GAAP)
Actual vs Wall Street Consensus (S&P Global)
Values with an asterisk (*) retrieved from S&P Global.
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “During the third quarter of fiscal 2025, ‘Net Other Expense’ included an unrealized loss of $1.5 million on the Sky Harbour warrants… losses of $2.0 million within BOAM… $0.6 million in losses from unconsolidated affiliates… and $0.7 million in interest expense. These items were partially offset by interest and dividend income of $0.3 million.”
- “Our investment in Sky Harbour Class A common stock and warrants was valued at $82.7 million… If… accounted for at fair value… then our total investment… would be valued at $126.9 million as of September 30, 2025.”
- “Our book value per share was $16.80 at September 30, 2025, compared to $16.99 at December 31, 2024.”
Q&A Highlights
- No Q3 2025 earnings call transcript was available in our document catalog; commentary reflects press release and slide disclosures .
- Management’s narrative centered on segment performance (record outdoor EBITDA; broadband seasonality; surety claims/reserves) and investment marks (SKYH), with no formal quantitative guidance .
Estimates Context
- Q3: Revenue essentially in line/slight miss ($28.73M actual vs $28.85M est), EPS missed (-$0.08 actual vs -$0.03 est) — bold negative surprise on EPS; Q2 similarly missed both revenue and EPS; Q1 revenue beat (EPS not covered) (*Values retrieved from S&P Global).
- Sparse coverage (1–2 estimates/period) implies model volatility; given elevated Net Other Expense and surety loss ratio, consensus EPS may need to move lower near‑term, while revenue models should reflect seasonal broadband holds and mixed outdoor category demand .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Outdoor advertising execution is solid; record Adjusted EBITDA and improving gross margin support medium‑term operating leverage despite category mix headwinds .
- Broadband strategy continues to scale fiber; expect seasonal softness in non‑winter months but underlying fiber subscriber/passings growth remains intact .
- Surety claims/reserves are the key GAAP risk; watch loss ratio normalization and professional fee trajectory to re‑establish margin progression .
- Equity method investment in SKYH introduces mark‑to‑market volatility (warrants, equity method), a recurring driver of Net Other Expense and EPS variability .
- Liquidity and NOLs provide optionality (unrestricted cash + UST ~$41.1M; NOLs ~$91.1M), but absent guidance, execution in segments and investment marks will steer EPS near‑term .
- Given EPS miss vs consensus and insurance loss ratio elevation, estimate downgrades are likely; any improvement in surety claims and outdoor demand mix would be positive catalysts (*Values retrieved from S&P Global) .
- Near‑term trading: skew cautious until loss ratio stabilizes and Net Other Expense volatility abates; medium‑term thesis rests on outdoor/broadband EBITDA growth and improved insurance underwriting discipline .