BC
Beachbody Company, Inc. (BODI)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q4 revenue of $86.4M landed at the high end of guidance, gross margin expanded to 70.5% (highest since 2020), and Adjusted EBITDA of $8.7M beat guidance; GAAP net loss of $(34.6)M included a $20.0M goodwill impairment, implying net loss ex-impairment of $(14.6)M, ahead of the prior loss guide .
- 2024 marked the fifth straight quarter of positive Adjusted EBITDA and a return to positive operating cash flow, reflecting the pivot to a single-level affiliate model and materially reduced cost structure; FY24 Adjusted EBITDA was $28.3M and cash from operations was $2.6M .
- Q1 2025 outlook: revenue $60–$70M and Adjusted EBITDA $(2)$M–$2M; management frames 2025 as a transition year with a new mix (≈60% digital / 40% nutrition) and long-term gross margin targets of ~85% for digital and ~50% for nutrition .
- Potential stock reaction catalysts: meaningful EBITDA beat vs guidance and strong consolidated/digital margins vs ongoing headwinds from subscriber declines and an impairment-driven GAAP loss; near-term guide reflects transition and could weigh until omnichannel and retail ramp become evident .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Gross margin strength: consolidated GM reached 70.5% (+830 bps YoY), driven by lower content amortization and depreciation as legacy assets reached end of life; digital GM hit 85.9% in Q4 .
- Profitability progress: Q4 Adjusted EBITDA of $8.7M (vs guide $2–$6M) marked the fifth consecutive positive quarter; FY24 Adjusted EBITDA $28.3M and positive operating cash flow underscore a lower breakeven model .
- Channel expansion and product initiatives: Amazon momentum with subscribe-and-save, Walmart.com launch, HSA/FSA enablement via TruMed/Dr. B, telehealth partnership (Hello Alpha), and new programs including Belle Vitale and GLP‑1 Fitness Formula to broaden reach .
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What Went Wrong
- Top-line pressure in transition: Q4 revenue declined 15% QoQ and 27% YoY; nutrition subs fell 29% QoQ and 44% YoY as legacy MLM-dependent activity rolled off faster than affiliate acquisition ramped .
- GAAP net loss driven by non-cash impairment: $(34.6)M included a $20.0M goodwill impairment; excluding the impairment, net loss was $(14.6)M, better than the loss implied by prior guidance but GAAP optics remain negative .
- Connected fitness continued to shrink: revenue of $1.2M with ~2.7k bikes delivered, reflecting the exit from connected fitness inventory and fewer units shipped YoY .
Financial Results
Quarterly P&L summary (oldest → newest)
Q4 2024 YoY comparison
Segment revenue (oldest → newest)
Key KPIs (oldest → newest)
Q4 2024 vs Q4 2024 Prior Guidance (issued 11/12/24)
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “2024 was a pivotal year at BODi…rearchitecting the company from a Multi-Level Marketing network to a single level affiliate model…layed the foundation to execute the next phase of our turnaround… and continue to generate positive operating cash flow.” — Carl Daikeler, CEO .
- “Adjusted EBITDA of $8.7 million significantly exceeded our guidance range…fifth consecutive quarter of positive adjusted EBITDA…cash flow from operations of $2.6 million for 2024.” — Mark Goldston, Executive Chairman .
- “The transition…was primarily driven by the need to reduce the unsustainable overhead costs associated with the operation of an MLM…nutrition revenue decreased 26.6% sequentially…nutrition subscriptions declined 29.2% sequentially.” — Brad Ramberg, Interim CFO .
- “We’re seeing continued success with Amazon…launched on walmart.com in February…we believe retail will be a major opportunity in 2025–2026.” — Carl Daikeler & Mark Goldston .
- “We expect revenues to approximate 60% digital and 40% nutrition moving forward…digital gross margin ~85% and nutrition ~50%.” — Brad Ramberg .
Q&A Highlights
- Affiliate transition: Initial conversion from legacy sellers met expectations, but new affiliate additions slower than desired; initiatives slated for late spring/summer to accelerate, including activating customer base and external affiliates .
- Modeling the new P&L: Management emphasized uncertainty in quarterly indexing for 2025 given the new model; reiterated mix (~60/40) and gross margin targets (85%/50%) as anchors .
- Sequential step-down into Q1: Primarily attributable to exiting the MLM model and associated seller attrition; DTC, Amazon and eventual retail to become larger contributors over time .
- Nutrition trajectory: Early signs of returning and new nutrition subscribers via DTC and marketplaces; retail formulations under P90X/Insanity brands targeted for late 2025/2026 .
- Channel synergy and cannibalization: Direct performance marketing is expected to provide “air cover” for affiliates, enabling promo-code activation rather than cannibalizing sales .
Estimates Context
- Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) for Q2–Q4 2024 was unavailable for BODI at the time of this analysis; as a result, we benchmarked results primarily versus the company’s previously issued guidance for Q4 2024 and discussed qualitative variance drivers .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Q4 quality beat on profitability: Adjusted EBITDA beat guidance and gross margin hit 70.5%, reflecting structural improvements (lower content amortization/depreciation, disciplined spending) and stronger digital economics .
- GAAP optics vs underlying trend: Reported net loss was impacted by a $20M non-cash goodwill impairment; ex-impairment, Q4 net loss improved vs prior guidance, aligning with the EBITDA beat .
- Transition headwinds near term: Sequential and YoY declines in revenue and nutrition subs reflect the pivot away from MLM; Q1 guide embeds continued pressure as affiliate and omnichannel ramp takes time .
- Medium-term upside from omnichannel: Amazon strength, Walmart.com launch, HSA/FSA enablement, Hello Alpha telehealth, and a retail roadmap under recognized brands (P90X/Insanity) represent incremental demand levers for 2H25/2026 .
- Margin framework supports cash generation: Forward mix and margin targets (digital ~85%, nutrition ~50%) plus reduced breakeven underpin continued positive Adjusted EBITDA potential as top-line stabilizes .
- Watch KPIs for inflection: Affiliate additions, nutrition subs stabilization, DTC conversion and subscribe-and-save growth, plus DAU/MAU and streaming trends will signal traction in the new model .
- Risk factors: Execution risk in affiliate ramp and retail rollout; lingering subscription erosion; sensitivity to media efficiency and competitive pressure in both digital fitness and nutrition .
Additional Data Detail (for reference)
Selected Q4 operating details:
- Digital revenue $50.4M (–6.2% QoQ; –21.4% YoY); digital subs 1.07M (–3.4% QoQ; –19.1% YoY); digital GM 85.9% .
- Nutrition revenue $34.8M (–26.6% QoQ; –32.8% YoY); nutrition subs 0.09M (–29.2% QoQ; –44.1% YoY); nutrition GM 52.3% .
- Connected fitness revenue $1.2M; ~2.7k bikes delivered; early 2025 exit from connected fitness inventory .
- Pivot-related costs in Q4 totaled ~$9.3M (accelerated depreciation ~$8.2M; termination/retention ~$1.1M) .
Outlook:
- Q1 2025: revenue $60–$70M; net loss $(11)–$(7)M; Adjusted EBITDA $(2)–$2M; mix ~60% digital / 40% nutrition; GM targets ~85%/50% .
All cited figures are from company filings and the Q4 2024 earnings materials as referenced above.