BC
Bowlero Corp. (BOWL)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q1 FY2025 revenue increased 14.4% to $260.2M; Total Location Revenue grew 17.5% y/y; Same-Store Revenue rose 0.4% y/y .
- Adjusted EBITDA increased 21% y/y to $62.9M, with margin expanding 130 bps to 24.2%; Net income was $23.1M (8.9% net margin) .
- Guidance low end raised by $10M; FY2025 revenue now $1.23B–$1.28B and Adjusted EBITDA margin maintained at 32%–34% (implies $390M–$430M) .
- Strategic catalysts: expanded F&B program (mobile ordering across all properties, tablets rolling out), new Lucky Strike openings, and accretive M&A (Boomers, Spectrum), plus dividend continuity ($0.055) and ongoing buybacks .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Food & beverage initiatives drove F&B sales up 18% y/y in Q1; retail F&B-to-bowling crossed $0.80 portfolio-wide, with top 50 Bowlero sites near $1.10 per bowl in October (“highest we have ever seen”) .
- Margin execution: Adjusted EBITDA margin expanded 130 bps to 24.2% on operating efficiencies and cost management; management highlighted “record” operating cash flow for seasonally small Q1 .
- Capital deployment and pipeline: Raging Waves delivered double-digit growth with ~$8M year-1 EBITDA under ownership; acquired Boomers (six FECs/two parks) and Spectrum Entertainment; opened two Lucky Strike Denver locations with near-term Beverly Hills and Ladera Ranch openings .
Quote: “Total location revenue grew 17.5% year-over-year in the quarter… we expect to open the flagship Lucky Strike Beverly Hills… [and] Ladera Ranch… shortly.” — Thomas Shannon, CEO
What Went Wrong
- Weather disruption: Two hurricanes in late September cost ~$2M of comp in Q1, with similar October impact; management flagged weather variance as a near-term headwind .
- Input costs: Food costs were a headwind early in Q1 (recently turning), requiring procurement actions to stabilize inflation pressures .
- Seasonal EBITDA drag expected from Boomers and Raging Waves in Q2 and Q3 (“a few million” each quarter) until peak season begins in June .
Financial Results
Segment revenue breakdown:
Key KPIs and balance sheet:
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- Strategic focus: “We underwrite all decisions for relative financial returns… deploy capital and utilize data-driven processes… accelerating” — Thomas Shannon .
- F&B transformation: “F&B sales up 18% y/y… mobile ordering across all properties… top 50 Bowlero near $1.10 F&B per bowl this month” — Lev Ekster .
- Financial discipline: “Adjusted EBITDA… margin of 24.2%, expanding 130 bps… liquidity $355M; net debt $1.1B; bank facility net leverage 2.6x” — Bobby Lavan .
Q&A Highlights
- Same-store cadence: Weather-driven Q1 comps, but December events pacing +10%; New Year’s shifts to Q3 supports margin expansion .
- Procurement and data: Chief Procurement Officer hired; scaling Power BI to 350 users; focus on inflation management via centralized purchasing .
- Pass programs: Summer pass and first-ever fall pass; exploring integrated multi-brand pass across water parks/FECs to drive visitation and attachment .
- Operations tech: Mobile ordering live network-wide; server tablets to lift upsell (+7% per check); comprehensive menu upgrades and training .
- Seasonality/drag: Boomers + Raging Waves expected to be “a few million” EBITDA drag in Q2 and Q3 each, reversing in peak season .
Estimates Context
- Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) for Q1 FY2025 was unavailable due to CIQ mapping for BOWL in the SPGI system; we could not retrieve EPS, revenue, or EBITDA consensus and estimate counts via GetEstimates. As a result, estimate comparisons are not provided. Values would normally be retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- F&B-led attachment and tech-enabled operations (mobile ordering/tablets) are expanding margins and lifting per-visit monetization, with immediate traction in top cohorts .
- Guidance raised at the low end with explicit EBITDA range, signaling confidence despite weather variability and near-term seasonal drag from newly acquired assets .
- Active capital deployment pipeline (Boomers, Spectrum; Lucky Strike new builds) should compound revenue mix toward higher AUV concepts and accelerate 4-wall profitability .
- Liquidity remains robust with no revolver draw, giving flexibility to pursue opportunistic M&A, rebrands, and shareholder returns (dividend, buybacks) .
- Near-term trading: Expect narrative around December events strength and Q3 New Year’s shift; watch for continued F&B attachment momentum and tablet rollouts as catalysts .
- Medium-term thesis: Portfolio tilt toward higher-margin experiential assets (Lucky Strike, water parks/FECs) and centralized procurement/data discipline should sustain EBITDA margin targets (32%–34%) .
- Risk monitor: Weather volatility and input cost inflation; management is mitigating via diversified attractions/pass programs and procurement scale .