Bruker - Q2 2020
August 3, 2020
Transcript
Operator (participant)
Good afternoon and welcome to the Bruker Q3 2020 conference call. All participants will be in a listen-only mode. Should you need assistance, please signal a conference specialist by pressing the star key followed by zero. After today's presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. Please also note today's event is being recorded. At this time, I'd like to turn the conference call over to Miroslava Minkova, Director of Investor Relations and Corporate Development. Ma'am, please go ahead.
Miroslava Minkova (Director of Investor Relations and Corporate Development)
Good afternoon. I would like to welcome everyone to Bruker Corporation’s Q3 2020 conference call. My name is Miroslava Minkova, Director of Investor Relations and Corporate Development. Joining me on today's call are Frank Laukien, our President and CEO, and Gerald Herman, our Chief Financial Officer. In addition to the earnings release we issued earlier today, during today's conference call, we'll be referencing a slide presentation. The PDF of this presentation can be downloaded from the latest results section on Bruker's Investor Relations website. During today's call, we'll be highlighting non-GAAP financial information. Reconciliations of our non-GAAP to GAAP financial measures are available in our earnings release and are posted on our website at ir.bruker.com. Before we begin, I would like to reference Bruker's Safe Harbor Statement, which is shown on slide two.
During the course of this conference call, we'll make forward-looking statements regarding future events and the financial and operational performance of the company that involve risks and uncertainties, including new risks and uncertainties related to COVID-19 and the COVID-19 pandemic. The company's actual results may differ materially from projections or scenario estimates described in such statements. Factors that might cause such differences include, but are not limited to, those discussed in today's earnings release and in our Form 10-K and subsequent Form 10-Q filings, all of which are available on our website and on the SEC's website. Also, note that the following information is related to current business conditions and to our outlook as of today, August 3rd, 2020.
Consistent with our prior practice, we do not intend to update our forward-looking statements based on new information, future events, or other reasons prior to the release of our Q3 2020 financial results expected in early November 2020. Therefore, you should not rely on these forward-looking statements as representing our views or outlook as of any date subsequent to today. We'll begin today's call with Frank providing a business summary. Gerald will then cover the financials for the Q2 2020 in more detail. Now, I would like to turn the call over to Bruker's CEO, Frank Laukien.
Frank H. Laukien (President and CEO)
Thank you, Miroslava. Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for joining us on today's call. I hope you and your families are well. These are challenging times as we all manage through a global pandemic that has upended economies and daily lives. At Bruker, as you can see on our slide three, we remain focused on our key priorities. Number one, the health and safety of our employees, customers, and partners. Number two, maintaining service levels for our customers. Number three, carefully managing our cost structure while continuing to invest in important long-term Project Accelerate and Operational Excellence initiatives. And number four, delivering enabling research and diagnostic products that support essential priorities of our society and help fight the pandemic. I am very proud of how our leadership team and our 7,000 employees worldwide have delivered.
Our organization has continued to support our customers globally with exemplary dedication while adhering to appropriate health and safety protocols. Over the last few months, we have supported various initiatives aiming to understand the characteristics of the SARS-CoV-2 virus and of the COVID-19 disease. For example, we are supporting the COVID-19 NMR initiative, which is a consortium of 140 scientists in 30 research groups across 15 countries who are working to determine the DNA and protein structures of the SARS-CoV-2 virus in order to investigate the druggability of such structures with pharmaceutical inhibitors. Between late March and the end of June, we continuously ramped our Bruker Hain deliveries of nucleic acid extraction kits and of COVID-19 PCR test kits to customers in Europe and Africa. In Q2 2020, we reached $7 million in COVID-19-related testing revenues.
These revenues came from the sale of liquid handling robots, from about 500,000 nucleic acid extraction kits, and about 250,000 COVID-19 PCR assays in the Q2 of 2020. We intend to ramp this further in the second half of 2020 and into 2021, and we are presently evaluating additional COVID-19-related tests for our assay portfolio. Just last week, we announced our second-generation CE-IVD-marked FluoroType SARS-CoV-2 plus PCR test for the detection of COVID-19. The new test targets two independent genes on the SARS-CoV-2 genome, while at the same time differentiating the SARS-CoV-2 virus from our four common human coronaviruses. The test is available on our novel Bruker Hain FluoroCycler XT real-time PCR system, as well as on other commonly available thermocyclers.
From an operational standpoint, by now, all of our major manufacturing sites have returned to the new normal operations with expanding capacity and productivity levels, and we are currently not facing any Bruker factory disruptions anymore, as we did in April and into May at certain sites affected by full or partial site closures. Several of our European factories continue to use the short-time work approach to reduce their capacities and cost structures during reduced demand. Generally, our teams have done an excellent job in managing our cost and OpEx in the Q2, which is why our Q2 non-GAAP operating margin has improved sequentially by 390 basis points compared to the Q1 of 2020, despite similar revenues.
Financially, our Q2 2020 revenues declined less than the minus 15% to minus 25% year-over-year revenue decline scenarios that we outlined during our last earnings call. We also mitigated the negative impacts of the pandemic on our profitability and cash flow through successful cost control and cost reduction measures, while continuing to invest in our key dual strategic priorities of Project Accelerate and Operational Excellence. Exiting the Q2 2020, Bruker maintains a healthy balance sheet, and we believe Bruker is well positioned for sequentially improving business conditions in the second half of 2020. I now go to slide five, where we show the financial highlights for the Q2 of 2020.
Bruker's Q2 2020 revenues declined 13.4% year-over-year to $425 million. Acquisitions added 0.4% to revenue growth, while foreign currency translation was a headwind of 1.1%. On an organic basis, Bruker's Q2 2020 revenues declined 12.7% year-over-year, and the reported and organic revenue declines primarily reflect COVID-19-related disruptions to our customers and certain of our operations, along with softer instrument demand by academic, industrial, and applied customers due to the pandemic. Our Q2 2020 non-GAAP gross margin decreased 440 basis points year-over-year to 45.1%, while our non-GAAP operating margin declined 350 basis points year-over-year to 11.5%.
The margin decline reflects primarily lower revenues and reduced productivity due to disruption from the pandemic, partially offset by cost control and reduction measures, as Gerald will discuss. In Q2 of 2020, Bruker reported GAAP diluted EPS of $0.16 per share compared to $0.23 in the Q2 of 2019. On a non-GAAP basis, Q2 2020 EPS of $0.21 compared to $0.33 in the Q2 of 2019. On slide six, we show Bruker's performance for the first half of 2020. Our revenues decreased by $103 million year-over-year, or by 10.8%, to $849 million. On an organic basis, revenues declined 10.3% year-over-year in the first half, comprised of a 10.5% organic decline in the scientific instruments business and an 8.5% organic decline at BEST net of intercompany eliminations.
Acquisitions added 0.6% to our top line, while foreign exchange was a 1.1% headwind. First half 2020 order bookings for Bruker's three scientific instrument groups declined in the mid to high single digits organically. In our Q1 2020 earnings call, we shared our expectation that order bookings would soften during the Q2 due to customer closures and disruptions from the pandemic, and this was indeed the case.
However, our BSI book-to-bill ratio of approximately 1.1 for the first half of 2020 implies the order rate held better than the first half 2020 revenue declines would suggest. Towards the end of the Q2, academic laboratories began to reopen gradually, and this continues a process that continues, albeit with reduced capacities compared to pre-pandemic levels. The operations of our industrial and applied customers also continue to normalize, although with a more uncertain spending outlook. Biopharma markets and order rates remained robust, while the semiconductor metrology markets have continued to rebound. Our life science mass spectrometry and infectious disease diagnostics businesses are growing. Although the environment remains challenging, we continue to anticipate gradual sequential improvements in business conditions as we move into the back half of the year compared to the first half of 2020.
Our first half 2020 non-GAAP gross margin decreased 330 basis points compared to the first half of 2019, while non-GAAP operating margins declined 470 basis points year-over-year. We were able to partially offset the impact of the lower revenue and reduce productivity on our operating margin by controlling and reducing expenses. On a GAAP basis, Bruker EPS of $0.22 in the first half of 2020 compared to $0.43 in the first half of 2019. Our first half 2020 non-GAAP EPS of $0.35 compared to $0.61 in the first half of 2019. All right. Please turn to slide seven and eight now, where I provide further highlights on the first half 2020 performance of our three scientific instruments group and of our BEST segment, all on a constant currency basis and in comparison to the first half of 2019.
First half 2020 BioSpin group revenue declined low double digits to $246 million. The revenue decline at BioSpin was due to COVID-related customer lab closures and installation delays, as well as the temporary closure of one of BioSpin's manufacturing sites. We have since reopened that site, while BioSpin's academic customers have been gradually returning to their labs, and international tenders in applied and clinical markets are resuming. In April of 2020, BioSpin received customer acceptance for the world's first 1.2 gigahertz NMR system, which was successfully installed at the CERM of the University of Florence in Italy. This was a remarkable achievement, capping a decade of R&D into groundbreaking 1.2 gigahertz materials and magnet technology.
As we indicated on our Q1 conference call, during Q2 2020, we recognized revenue on just the NMR console and probes for this particular Italian 1.2 gigahertz system, while the Florence magnet is subject to a multi-year lease contract. During the first half of the year 2020, BioSpin's NMR and PCI systems revenue declined significantly year-over-year due to delivery and installation delays caused primarily by customer disruptions. BioSpin's aftermarket revenue held steady year-over-year, with software revenues higher, although off a low base. Moving on to the CALID Group, the first half of 2020, CALID Group revenues declined low single digits to $273 million. The modest decline at CALID reflects a significant revenue decline in molecular spectroscopy compared to the first half of 2019, which was partially offset by continued growth in our Daltonics life science mass spectrometry, microbiology, and infectious disease diagnostics business.
CALID's microbiology and infectious disease consumables, which include our MALDI Biotyper consumables and Bruker Hain nucleic acid extraction and COVID-19 PCR assays, grew significantly year-over-year. In life science mass spectrometry, our timsTOF proteomics business saw continued growth despite the challenging business conditions for instruments and customer site installation delays. Revenues for our FTIR, NIR, Raman, molecular spectroscopy products declined substantially year-over-year due to COVID-19-related disruptions to customer operations, lower demand, and a temporary factory slowdown. Please turn to slide eight now. Bruker Nano revenues were down mid-teens year-over-year to $246 million in the first half of 2020. The decline in Nano revenues was due to worldwide academic customer closures due to the pandemic, weaker industrial markets demand, and temporary factory closures at some of Nano's businesses, which also were reopened by the end of May.
Nano's X-ray, NanoSurface, and NanoAnalysis tools all declined compared to the first half 2019 due to academic customer closures and significantly slower industrial research demand. Semiconductor metrology revenue for the Nano Group held steady year-over-year, with order rates improving as semi metrology equipment markets appear to be in a rebound. Finally, BEST revenue in this first half of 2020 declined high single digits net of intercompany eliminations due to weakening superconductor demand by MRI companies and government research lab disruptions from COVID-19, so despite the challenges created by COVID-19, Bruker continues its track record of meaningful innovation, which we believe will position the company well for recovery as global market conditions improve.
Turning to slide 9, during the recent ASMS reboot virtual conference in early June, I believe we were the clear innovation leader as we introduced instrument and workflow innovations for our flagship timsTOF mass spectrometry platform for high throughput, high sensitivity spatial omics, discovery proteomics, and targeted proteomics. Our timsTOF platform actually maintained a healthy double-digit year-over-year order growth rate even during the difficult first half of 2020. If you take a quick look at slide number 9, you will see at ASMS we had a very major innovation with a MALDI-2 source that is really a next-generation MALDI source that provides one to two orders of magnitude increase in sensitivity for many small molecules and lipids.
And it greatly increases the applications range of MALDI mass spectrometry and MALDI mass spectrometry imaging, both of them very important to our business. In parallel, in 4D-proteomics and also 4D metabolomics for that matter on our timsTOF platform, we introduced targeted so-called PRM-PASEF methods, high throughput, short gradient diaPASEF methods. We did a lot of work on glycosylation analysis, which is very important for viral antigens. Whether you're developing SARS-CoV-2 vaccines or serology assays, you need antigens with proper glycosylation patterns, and that's another area where the timsTOF platform excels.
Moreover, taking this really this fourth dimension that we keep mentioning in 4D-proteomics, we've shown and some of our collaborators have shown the use of very large-scale accurate collision cross-sections using the ion mobility spectrometry capabilities of our timsTOF system that are completely unique, and that moreover, in addition to measuring tens and hundreds of thousands of collision cross-sections routinely and at scale, also allow excellent machine learning and prediction. So it's really changing the way proteomics is done. Fundamentally, it's allowing about an order of magnitude more information content and peak capacity, which is tremendously important for the future of high throughput and in-depth proteomics.
We also introduced together with a partner company the run-and-done IP2 GPU 4D-proteomics analysis software, something that has previously not been done and again addresses the bottleneck in high throughput proteomics. If you go to slide ten, as we've said already earlier, we are pleased to announce the customer acceptance of a second 1.2 gigahertz NMR system at the Eidgenössische Technische Hochschule or ETH in Zürich, Switzerland, which was in July, and that revenue therefore is anticipated for Q3. It was not in Q2. We continue to ramp our gigahertz class production and testing capacity at our Swiss BioSpin factory. We've already shipped an additional system to the Max Planck Institute in Germany.
And so our gigahertz and Gigahertz Plus business is really running very nicely. And we were very, very pleased with how this has gone so far this year. Moreover, as I mentioned earlier, and you'll be seeing more news of that in the future weeks, NMR is really quite important in COVID-19 research. I had mentioned earlier the International COVID-19 NMR Consortium with the website being given here on slide 10, which is very important for functional structural biology and for studying how pharmaceutical inhibitor binding can bind to the SARS-CoV-2 RNA or proteins.
Moreover, we're making very good progress in our collaboration with Murdoch University and the Australian National Phenome Center in Perth, Western Australia, in studying what will soon be called, in my opinion, the post-COVID-19 syndrome that comes after the active infection, whether it's asymptomatic or with severe symptoms. We are using some very unique NMR and mass spec combined plasma metabolomics methods to study the long-term effects, which are really quite considerable even for patients who barely had any symptoms or had very mild symptoms. So if you like, that will be in some ways the third wave of Post-COVID-19 Syndrome effects that we're only beginning to see now. This is the other six-sevenths of the iceberg that has not emerged yet.
And I believe NMR and mass spec with metabolomics will play a very important role as a screening tool for this next focus of our COVID pandemic health concerns. Anyway, let me conclude by reiterating that Bruker remains fundamentally healthy and we continue to invest in our key Project Accelerate and operational priorities that we believe will position the company well for the future. While we anticipate that the pandemic will continue to negatively impact our Q3 financial results year-over-year, we expect sequential improvements in our financial performance from the Q2 to the Q3 of 2020, provided, of course, that the present second wave increase in infections can be contained. With that, let me now turn the call over to our CFO, Gerald Herman, who will review our Q2 and first half 2020 financial performance in more detail. Gerald.
Gerald N. Herman (CFO and EVP)
Thank you, Frank. Hello everyone. I'm pleased to walk you through Bruker's Q2 2020 financial highlights starting on slide 12. Bruker's reported revenue decreased 13.4% year-over-year to $425 million in the Q2 of 2020, which reflects an organic revenue decline of 12.7%, favorable to the revenue decline scenarios we outlined in our Q1 earnings call. We reported GAAP EPS of $0.16 per share compared to $0.23 in the Q2 of 2019. On a non-GAAP basis, Q2 2020 EPS was $0.21 per share, a decrease of 36% from $0.33 in Q2 2019. Our Q2 2020 non-GAAP operating income decreased 34%, while non-GAAP operating margin of 11.5% declined 350 basis points year-over-year.
The decline was principally driven by lower revenue and gross margin performance impacted by COVID-19 disruptions, partially offset by disciplined expense control and certain cost reduction measures we initiated in late Q1. Our entire organization, from our factories to our leadership, played an important role in supporting these cost control and reduction initiatives. At the end of Q2 2020, our balance sheet and liquidity position remained strong.
We ended the quarter with $796.8 million in cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments after substantially strengthening our cash position with our December 2019 debt financing and a partial drawdown of our revolver in Q1 2020. Net debt was modestly higher in Q2 2020 than a year ago. During the Q2, we used cash to fund strategic capital investments, our dividends, and our share repurchase activity. In Q2 2020, we repurchased 1.2 million shares of Bruker stock for a total of $50 million. As of June 30th, we have $107.7 million remaining on our share repurchase authorization, which is valid until mid-May 2021. At the end of Q2 2020, our working capital to revenue ratio was slightly higher than a year ago as we carried higher inventory levels to address supply chain risks related to the pandemic.
Slide 13 shows the revenue bridge for Q2 2020. As noted earlier, organic revenue in the quarter declined 12.7%. We had a positive revenue contribution from acquisitions of 0.4%, which was more than offset by a foreign currency headwind of 1.1%. From an organic BSI revenue perspective, Q2 2020 BioSpin revenues declined in the high teens year-over-year. CALID revenues declined low single digits, and Nano revenues were down mid-teens. Bruker's biopharma revenues, MALDI Biotyper or consumables, Bruker Hain molecular diagnostic consumables, and timsTOF proteomics revenues all grew in the Q2, while our academic and industrial research revenues were pressured by customer closures, lower demand, and installation delays related to the pandemic. Q2 semiconductor metrology revenues grew year-over-year.
For our three BSI groups, Q2 systems revenue declined in the high teens, while aftermarket revenue grew low single digits year-over-year. Despite the revenue declines we've experienced since the start of the pandemic, we exited Q2 with our BSI backlog approximately 9% above the Q2 2019 ending backlog. BSI revenues were down 12.5% net of intercompany eliminations. Geographically and on an organic basis in Q2 2020, European revenues declined mid-single digits. North American revenues was down high teens. Asia-Pacific revenues declined low double digits, including steep declines in Japan and the rest of the APAC markets. Our China Q2 2020 revenue declined low single digits year-over-year as China began to recover from its lockdown. Slide 14 shows our P&L results for the Q2 of 2020 on a non-GAAP basis.
Q2 2020 non-GAAP gross profit margin of 45.1% decreased 440 basis points from 49.5% in Q2 2019, driven principally by lower volume, reduced productivity, and factory inefficiencies from COVID-19 disruptions to our operations and those of our customers. This was partially mitigated by our cost reduction measures. Q2 2020 non-GAAP operating expenses declined 16% compared to Q2 2019. In March, as COVID-19 spread further into Europe and North America, we took cost reduction actions to support the profitability and cash flow of the company. These included previously planned restructuring actions primarily within the BSI Nano segment, as well as additional temporary cost measures due to the pandemic throughout Bruker.
We expect continued cost savings over the balance of 2020, but we will relax certain temporary cost measures as our revenue and profitability declines were not nearly as severe as potentially feared a few months ago. In Q2 2020, our non-GAAP operating margin declined 350 basis points compared to Q2 2019, as cost actions partially mitigated the impact of the revenue volume and productivity declines. For the Q2 of 2020, our non-GAAP effective tax rate of 22.6% was 70 basis points below the prior year quarter due to a more favorable jurisdictional mix. Weighted average diluted shares outstanding in the Q2 of 2020 were 154.7 million, a reduction of approximately 2.9 million shares from Q2 2019 following our share repurchase activity.
Finally, Q2 2020 non-GAAP EPS of $0.21 decreased 36% year-over-year, driven by lower revenue and margins. Slide 15 shows the year-over-year revenue bridge for the first half of 2020. Revenue was down $103 million or 10.8%, reflecting a first half 2020 organic decline of 10.3%. This included a 10.5% organic decline at the three BSI groups collectively, while the BEST segment declined 8.5% net of intercompany eliminations. Geographically and on an organic basis in the first half of 2020, Bruker's European revenue was down mid-single digits.
North American and Asia-Pacific revenues declined low double digits, including a high teens decline in China, which had a particularly weak Q1. On slide 16, our first half 2020 non-GAAP gross profit margin of 45.9% decreased 330 basis points. Lower volume, reduced productivity, and unfavorable mix caused the decline relative to the first half of 2019. First half 2020 operating expenses were down 7% year-over-year on our cost reduction measures. All in, our non-GAAP operating margin in the first half of 2020 of 9.6% was 470 basis points below the prior year period, on lower revenue and margin performance partially offset by cost reduction measures. Finally, non-GAAP EPS of $0.35 per share declined 43% relative to the first half of 2019, reflecting our revenue decline and weaker margins.
Turning now to slide 17, our free cash outflow in the first half of 2020 of approximately $4 million was similar to that of the first half of 2019. This reflects a lower forecast taxable income, favorable timing of cash tax payments and customer advances in the first half of 2020, which helped partially offset reduced cash generation from net income, working capital inefficiencies, and our continued CapEx investments in higher productivity and higher capacity facilities. Our cash conversion cycle at the end of Q2 2020 of 281 days worsened from 237 days a year ago, with the step-up driven primarily by an increase in DIO as we carried higher inventory balances due to supplier and customer lab disruptions from the pandemic and some modest increase in DSO.
Turning now to slide 19, in March, we suspended our guidance for 2020 due to the uncertain business conditions created by COVID-19. Business uncertainties related to the pandemic remain substantial in many parts of the world, and our visibility as it relates to customer operations and spending patterns in certain markets is still relatively low. Our 2020 guidance, therefore, remains suspended. Although we're not providing guidance, I would like to give you some directional color on how we see the business unfolding in Q3 and over the back half of the rest of the year. As Frank stated earlier, we expect the Q3 will still continue to be challenging from a demand and customer access perspective, although to a lesser extent than in Q2, as our academic and government customers continue to reopen.
Similar to Q2 2020, we believe it's better to think about a range of scenarios for the Q3 of 2020, with the potential for a 6% to 10% year-over-year revenue decline. On a sequential basis, we expect Q3 2020 financial performance to improve relative to Q2 2020. Please note that, of course, actual results may be outside these scenario ranges, but this gives you our good faith estimates at this time based on the information currently available to us. Our working assumption is that business conditions and the disruptive impact of the pandemic will continue to gradually improve in the second half of 2020, although an economic recovery is not anticipated until 2021 or later.
Directionally, based on the limited level of visibility we have today, we currently anticipate revenues to decline in Q4 2020 year-over-year, but continue to improve sequentially versus Q3 2020. These scenarios also assume that any potential future waves of infections will not lead to new significant lockdowns. In conclusion, we continue to manage through a challenging business environment with unprecedented uncertainties and reduced visibility created by the pandemic. We remain very confident that Bruker will emerge from the pandemic a stronger company with an attractive product portfolio and a promising long-term outlook. We look forward to updating you again on our quarterly progress during our Q3 conference call anticipated in early November. And with that, I'd like to turn the call over to Miroslava to start the Q&A session. Thank you very much.
Miroslava Minkova (Director of Investor Relations and Corporate Development)
Thanks, Gerald. I would now like to turn the call over to the operator to begin the Q&A portion. As a reminder, in order to allow everyone time for questions, we ask that you limit yourself to one question and a follow-up. Operator, we are ready to begin the Q&A.
Operator (participant)
Ladies and gentlemen, we'll begin the question and answer session. To ask a question, you may press star and then one. If you are using a speakerphone, we do ask that you please pick up the handset before pressing the keys. To withdraw your questions, you may press star and two. Once again, we do ask that you please limit yourselves to a single question and one follow-up. Our first question today comes from Patrick Donnelly from Citigroup. Please go ahead with your question.
Patrick Donnelly (Managing Director in Equity Research)
Great. Thanks, guys. Frank, maybe just on the academic government market there, obviously one a lot of your peers have called out as being slow to come back online as well. Can you just talk through the trends you're seeing there throughout the quarter and maybe even into July? Any geographies particularly weak or strong? And then with that one, is that kind of the primary reason you guys are thinking 4Q probably still declines? That market is just very slow to come back?
Frank H. Laukien (President and CEO)
Yeah, good questions, Pat. Well, obviously, China began to open first, but the opening in China is not that fast. It's not that they had a V-shaped recovery or reopening. Europe is ahead of the United States. Also, the infection rates are now generally lower in Europe, as you have seen. The U.S. academic and government customers are all cautiously, gradually reopening. Of course, I'm aware that not all students are coming back, but that doesn't really affect us. It's the grad students, postdocs, and professors, the research part of the academic enterprise. And they're all opening and reopening gradually, just obviously under all these new normal conditions that are different from working previously. So access to labs is improving. Same is true in Japan.
There's some geographies like India or parts of Australia that are still quite difficult, and there are sometimes additional lockdowns and restrictions, but things are generally improving. We think it's a gradual process. That's why we think probably by the end of Q3, most academic customers will be back in the research business, although also not with quite the same productivity and capacity that we've necessarily seen prior to the pandemic, and I would also point out that there is an applied and industrial market, simply even independent of the pandemic disruptions. There's just an economic malaise and downturn, and how quickly that recovers, we're somewhat we think there is an ongoing recovery in the second half of the year, but we also do not model this as coming back to pre-pandemic levels this year.
Patrick Donnelly (Managing Director in Equity Research)
Okay. No, that's fair. That's helpful. And then, Gerald, maybe just on the cost actions you guys took in the quarter, it certainly seemed pretty effective, kept margins more resilient than we had expected. How should we be thinking about the durability of those cost savings, how aggressive you guys will be in the back half, again, kind of expecting negative growth both quarters? Any helpful commentary you could have on the margin cadence there for the remainder of the year would certainly be helpful.
Gerald N. Herman (CFO and EVP)
Sure. Well, so we're quite pleased, actually, with the overall actions that we took and the results that we achieved. I think, as I said in my earlier notes, that the cost reduction actions I think were quite effective for the Q2. We made very significant progress, I think, with respect to that area in the Q2, and we expect to be able to carry a number of those elements into the third and the Q4. However, I would not expect the level of cost savings to necessarily translate one for one, especially as we move into the third and the Q4.
As I noted earlier, we are expecting to see sequential improvement both in our revenue performance, and we would expect that to translate into better financial performance all the way down the line. So, I think that's probably the best I can say relative to Q3, and we don't have particularly good visibility, as Frank just mentioned, as it goes to Q4, but our expectation would be the same, relatively speaking, there.
Patrick Donnelly (Managing Director in Equity Research)
Understood. Thank you.
Gerald N. Herman (CFO and EVP)
You're welcome.
Operator (participant)
Our next question comes from Tycho Peterson from JPMorgan. Please go ahead with your question.
Tycho Peterson (Analyst)
Thanks. I guess another question about just the back half of the year, as we think about the industrial trends. Can you talk a little bit about to what degree you're baking in some improvement there on the industrial side and where you're seeing it?
Frank H. Laukien (President and CEO)
It's hard to disentangle, Tycho. We think other industries, like the automobile industry, we're not heavily exposed to them, but they're getting out of their own disruptions. To the extent that the disruptions for these industries are going away that were due to lockdowns or supply-side disruptions, we expect that to improve. What the disruption-free economic downturn is and how that is different, that we don't have numbers and visibility on that yet. But we expect that industrial demand, even when you take away the disruptions, will be lower and that we're in an economic recession, even when the disruptions from lockdowns and logistics and transportation limitations are gone. With that, we're taking a cautious look at industrial and applied markets.
We expect them to continue to be down, even as the disruptions, per se, are hopefully taken care of by and large, barring a second wave of lockdowns. So we don't have numbers for that, but we expect that industrial and applied demand will be down.
Tycho Peterson (Analyst)
And then you highlighted NMR for COVID. Just curious about how you think about COVID-related research on the overall proteomics portfolio, and you alluded to some incremental investments. Can you maybe just talk to how you're thinking about that going forward?
Frank H. Laukien (President and CEO)
Yes. So proteomics for us is almost all the timsTOF platform, mass spectrometry platform. We just announced a lot of new capabilities on that platform at the ASMS conference. There is a HUPO meeting, of course, all virtual, coming up in the middle of October. We'll have more innovations and workflows for that. And we continue to invest in the capabilities of that 4D proteomics platform for more and more different workflows and additional capabilities. You'll see more of that as we proceed during the year and then, of course, also into next year. So that remains a high priority for continued investments and also investments in collaborations with industrial and academic partners.
Somewhat separate from that, on the ultra-high-field NMR side and for functional structural biology, which is primarily where we are involved with NMR and which distinguishes NMR from cryo-EM or X-ray crystallography, i.e., they can look at functional and binding and dynamic information and so on. That's going technically so well that we also decided to make incremental investments in our factory and testing capacity in Switzerland. So both of these are part of the ongoing project accelerate investments that we have not slowed down or deprioritized at all.
Tycho Peterson (Analyst)
Okay. And then just one clarification before I hop off on your comments on Europe. We did see the Horizon funding get cut. Is your view that that's not necessarily going to be disruptive in the back half of the year, or how material could that be if it is?
Frank H. Laukien (President and CEO)
Oh, I think that, well, it was disappointing, but it's much more of a multi-year effect, so I don't expect that. Europe is one of our better performers so far this year. We expect that to continue to be the case. And also, fortunately, not all funding, R&D funding for academia in Europe comes from the European budget. Very large amounts come from the national budgets: the German, the U.K., the French budgets. And there we're actually a bit more optimistic, as there are some sizable investments planned and in priorities that align with what we can offer for spatial omics, proteomics, metabolomics, and other priority areas. But the Horizon slowdown, the Horizon budgets for the future being approved at a level, which is what you're referring to, lower than what had been asked for was a disappointment.
It's going to have much more of a multi-year effect, and we think it'll be mitigated by national R&D budgets.
Tycho Peterson (Analyst)
Okay. Thank you.
Operator (participant)
Our next question comes from Doug Schenkel from Cowen. Please go ahead with your question.
Hi. Thanks for taking my question. This is Chris on for Doug today. First, could you just provide a bit more detail on order trends and demand from your U.S.-based academic government customers? Given that this is the last fiscal quarter for the NIH budget, have you seen any indications that this customer base could accelerate spending before the end of the NIH fiscal year?
Frank H. Laukien (President and CEO)
Good question, Chris. For us, the budget flush or something like that is not such a significant factor that may have a bigger impact on some consumables companies. So for us, that's not such a big question. We don't really experience that in other years so much either. U.S. academic orders have been coming back more slowly than European academic orders. So that has been notable as the reopening of U.S. academic sites has been slower because of higher infection rates or perhaps for other reasons. So while we expect federal funding for life science R&D, NIH, NSF, DOE, or otherwise funded to be strong and perhaps even to go up in future years, there is obviously, in the U.S., there's some concern.
Some private universities are having reduced tuition and housing income, or if they have a big research hospital on campus, that may be losing money at this point. U.S. academic spending is a bit of a concern despite probably pretty good federal investment priorities. Again, as I look under the hood, rather than just is the tide go up or down, the trends for spatial omics, proteomics, post-translational modifications, glycomics, all related to proteomics, and metabolomics, I think, are very good. I think there is an increasing investment in these scientifically and for disease research, very, very important areas that are now becoming accessible from using our timsTOF technology and other technologies out there beyond just next-generation sequencing and transcriptomics. That's the somewhat mixed picture for the U.S.
Got it. Very helpful. And then just for my follow-up question, another question on COVID-19 tailwinds. I think you talked about evaluating additional Hain assays addressing COVID-19. Are these molecular-based or serology-based, and what would be your go-to-market strategy? And just on the financial side, I think you mentioned that COVID-19 tailwinds approximated $7 million in Q2. What are you expecting in Q3 and Q4? Thank you.
Yeah. All good questions. Let me take it in reverse order. If you recall, our COVID-related nucleic acid or COVID PCR assays were really quite de minimis in Q1. So the $7 million is not a big number. We realize that. It doesn't offset some of the other headwinds that we're facing, but it's a huge improvement for us. And yes, so there's further development in more refined molecular tests, so PCR tests. We have released second-generation tests. We're looking at expanding the geographic coverage of where we sell them with our go-to-market strategy. We're looking at additional capacity ramp-up for those. And we're also looking at additional, let me keep it broad, content-additional refinements and additional capabilities in molecular tests. So that's all ongoing with geographic capacity and content investments and further plans to broaden that.
Correctly, we're also looking, and we're in the pilot phase for two additional types of tests that are Bruker Hain related. One of them is indeed serology tests. We're targeting Europe and Africa in this particular case. We're in the pilot phase where we're evaluating the performance, workflow, economics, and customer and market acceptance for that in Europe. We also have a similar pilot project for active disease antigen testing from nasal swabs as an alternative screen compared to PCR for faster point-of-care on-site testing. Some very interesting additional things. Last but not least, this is not Bruker Hain related, but Bruker BioSpin related.
We are very seriously looking at the needs of what NMR, mass spec, combined tests may be needed in the future as a risk screen for this very serious phenomenon that's only beginning to be understood now, namely what I think will soon be called post-COVID-19 syndrome, where there are multiple systemic effects that are detectable via metabolic signatures that from not only lung damage, but potential neurological, kidney, diabetic, liver, organic, and systemic problems. There is something else emerging that comes after the viral infection that's actually pretty scary.
And I believe that, at least in the research side and possibly also moving eventually towards diagnostic screening, that some of our neither serology nor molecular, but in fact, NMR, mass spec, metabolic tests or screens at least can play a significant role. It's a little bit longer term, but it may become very, very important.
Great. Thank you.
You're welcome.
Our next question comes from Dan Leonard from Wells Fargo. Please go ahead with your question.
Dan Leonard (Managing Director in Research Analyst)
Thank you. I guess, first off, could you elaborate on bookings trends in the quarter? Is it right that the bookings decline was down pretty comparable to the revenue decline? And Frank, could you comment on your ability to build an order book for 2021 and beyond while labs are operating at reduced capacity?
Frank H. Laukien (President and CEO)
Yeah. Both are astute observations, Dan. Yeah, indeed, bookings were down similarly to.
Gerald N. Herman (CFO and EVP)
Revenue.
Frank H. Laukien (President and CEO)
To revenue. Although if we look at BSI, then for BSI, the instrument segment, then also we built a little bit of backlog both in Q1 and Q2 where our book-to-bill ratio was close to 1.1, simply because not all labs are open and also because in April, some of our facilities, we had to close down temporarily or, for economic and cost reasons, take early vacation and things like that. So indeed, as your second question implies, we are looking to gradually build some backlog, actually, and we'll probably not be able to consume all of that, so to speak, in the second half of the year, and we're trying to have good sequential improvements.
We're very much focused on our investment and on bookings and go-to-market strategies and then hopefully setting ourselves up for a much healthier 2021.
Dan Leonard (Managing Director in Research Analyst)
And then as a follow-up, Frank, could you elaborate a bit more on your comment around ramping your ultra-high-field manufacturing capacity? Should we think about an acceleration in your annual placement rate of the 1.2 gigahertz magnets as a result?
Frank H. Laukien (President and CEO)
Well, yeah, so this year, we tend to be at about deliveries, not necessarily all acceptance and revenue, but deliveries of probably four systems, and this is not only 1.2 gigahertz. That sometimes is also 1.1 or 1.0. We call that the gigahertz class, and they all take somewhat similar amounts of work, so we're trying to bring that up so that hopefully by 2021 and certainly 2022, we can deliver and hopefully get into revenue more than three to four systems a year.
Dan Leonard (Managing Director in Research Analyst)
Thank you.
Operator (participant)
And our next question comes from Derek DeBruin from Bank of America. Please go ahead with your question.
DERIK DE BRUIN (Managing Director in Life Sciences Tools & Diagnostics Analyst)
Hi. Good afternoon. Hey, just a couple of clarifications. The down 6%-10% guide for the Q3, that's total revenues or organic?
Frank H. Laukien (President and CEO)
It'll be very similar. But it is the guide. It is formally for total or not guided. We don't have guidance.
Gerald N. Herman (CFO and EVP)
Just to clarify that. Yeah. We're not guiding. We're just providing some scenarios.
Frank H. Laukien (President and CEO)
The scenarios are becoming a little narrower than the Q2, at least.
Gerald N. Herman (CFO and EVP)
Indeed, and those are scenarios for reported revenue.
Frank H. Laukien (President and CEO)
For reported revenue.
Gerald N. Herman (CFO and EVP)
Yeah.
DERIK DE BRUIN (Managing Director in Life Sciences Tools & Diagnostics Analyst)
Gotcha. And so basically flattish effects in the Q3 and then Q4. Any idea given how rates are all over the place?
Gerald N. Herman (CFO and EVP)
That's an interesting question because, to be honest, the volatility for foreign exchange in some of the major currencies against the U.S. dollar has been pretty significant in the Q2, and we're watching it closely. Yeah, I mean, our expectation, as you perhaps know if you follow us, is that the foreign exchange impact down to the bottom line will be relatively modest and at the revenue line in and around that same headwind, which we have right now, as you probably saw for the Q2, your 1.1% headwind on foreign exchange.
DERIK DE BRUIN (Managing Director in Life Sciences Tools & Diagnostics Analyst)
Right. Because that's where I was actually going on sort of the bottom line impact and just sort of clarifying that as the currencies move. Yeah.
Gerald N. Herman (CFO and EVP)
Yeah. I mean, as I said, normally we've had, I think Q2 was a little unusual relative to the volatility, and hopefully we'll start to see more stability as we move through the following quarters of the third and the fourth. But that's not exactly clear yet.
Frank H. Laukien (President and CEO)
But the scenario is for reported revenue, not for organic in this case.
Gerald N. Herman (CFO and EVP)
That would imply improved financial results at the operating margin level and at the EPS level.
DERIK DE BRUIN (Managing Director in Life Sciences Tools & Diagnostics Analyst)
Great. And I think you answered this a little bit, but I just want to get a little more clarity just to make sure I understand. So some SG&A, I mean, we were spot on in our R&D estimate on the quarter. We were way off in the SG&A. So the question is, you're going to add some SG&A expenses back or some costs back into it, but not all of it back, right?
Gerald N. Herman (CFO and EVP)
That's correct. I mean, the way we're thinking about this at the moment is, and this is largely dependent on the business conditions. As the conditions dictate, some of our operations will move more quickly back to a more sort of new normal cost structure, and others will remain at a relatively lower cost structure depending on what happens at the moment.
Frank H. Laukien (President and CEO)
I'll also add an example. I mean, travel and entertainment will continue to be down. We don't even have to do all that much. That's almost inevitable on the marketing and sales side. And all the conferences are virtual, as you know. But some of the temporary salary and compensation reductions that we've asked our management teams to take temporarily for a quarter or for half a year, some of these things we will let expire because we're obviously doing not a great Q2, but it's better than the scenarios that we had anticipated and certainly much better than sort of the worst case or the bottom end of the scenario. So we're relaxing some of these things.
We really appreciated the leadership and the solidarity by many of our employees, but we're also relaxing some of these temporary compensation reductions that they had volunteered to take or that we made them take, and so some of these things will go away in Q3 or Q4.
DERIK DE BRUIN (Managing Director in Life Sciences Tools & Diagnostics Analyst)
Great. And if I can squeeze one more in, you talked about the metrology markets picking up a bit. Could you elaborate a little bit more? And obviously, there's a lot of emphasis on people reshoring and bringing semiconductor manufacturing back to the U.S. What are you sort of seeing in terms of trends in the metrology market in general?
Frank H. Laukien (President and CEO)
Yeah. I mean, because of IT infrastructure, because we're on calls and Zoom meetings and Teams meetings and whatnot, obviously that's really doing quite well. Plus, it was overdue for a bit of a recovery anyway, even before the pandemic. So those markets look pretty healthy in terms of order patterns. And whereas they were a drag on us last year, actually a pretty significant drag in the second half of last year. So that headwind is going away, and it's probably turning into a small tailwind for the year and probably continuing into next year. So if you recall, in 2019, our semiconductor metrology revenue was about 6% of our revenue.
And rather than declining, we expect that to become, and it already is a mild tailwind, and it may become a stronger tailwind along with diagnostics and pharma, biopharma, proteomics, and so on. So it's good to have, as industrial markets, the remaining industrial markets are expected to be weak, certainly also at the beginning of next year, not as weak as in Q2 of this year, but we're in an economic recession. The metrology piece is actually a good guy, so to speak, and it's going to not have a different pattern, which actually could be quite healthy. And it also has very nice incremental margins for us. So that may really help us a little bit next year and a little bit this year already.
DERIK DE BRUIN (Managing Director in Life Sciences Tools & Diagnostics Analyst)
Thanks.
Gerald N. Herman (CFO and EVP)
You're welcome.
Operator (participant)
Our next question comes from Puneet Souda from SVB Leerink. Please go ahead with your question.
Puneet Souda (Senior Managing Director)
Yeah. Hi, Frank. Thanks. First question, just want to clarify on COVID testing. And I'm wondering if you can provide us, as a number of peers have provided in terms of the capacity that they have for COVID testing and, in your case, the PCR assay and extraction kit, can you provide sort of what's the capacity currently and sort of what is the capacity growth that you can potentially expect here into the second half? And also, can you elaborate if those kits are mostly OUS? It seems that's the case, but if those are getting shipped to US as well.
Frank H. Laukien (President and CEO)
No, it's OUS only. That's the easy part, Puneet. Our capacity, which was still pretty modest, right? But you heard that about 500,000 nucleic acid extractions, 250,000 PCR assays. And we're continuing to increase that for the second half and into next year. We're not prepared to give numbers of where that will be, but we're expecting that to continue to move. Even within March through June, it has continued to increase. And so far, we've been pretty much able to sell anything, sell and ship anything. We were able to, we were really capacity limited there.
And even though it remains OUS, we're also looking at broadening the geographic markets outside of the United States because so far, we've only been really going after selected countries and could sell everything we wanted to or could produce there. So it's obviously at a more modest level than some companies that are much larger into that. But we hope to be reasonably clever in the capabilities that we're offering, and we're going to ramp that further along with looking at, as I said earlier, COVID-19-related assays that are not only molecular and PCR. So this is part of our broader MALDI Biotyper and infectious disease diagnostics franchise, which, of course, has been healthy and continues to be quite healthy.
So both MALDI Biotyper and in other viral infectious disease consumables are growing very nicely, and they've also helped us to make Bruker Hain quite profitable.
Puneet Souda (Senior Managing Director)
That's great. And then I have a couple of questions around timsTOF. If I could wrap it up into one. You're obviously seeing a good uptake here for the instrument. Can you elaborate a bit? Is that what you saw in the quarter? Was that coming from pharma or academic? And with the academic situation in the U.S. right now, do you expect continued growth for timsTOF and even into sort of the Q4? And then I appreciate the comments on MALDI. I mean, obviously, you're the market leader there for almost a decade now in MALDI. So it makes sense that you're launching the next-gen source. But could you elaborate sort of the mix of customers that are interested in MALDI optionality versus the traditional ESI?
I'm just trying to understand what is the opportunity here, if you can size the opportunity for MALDI on timsTOF. Thanks.
Frank H. Laukien (President and CEO)
Right. Okay. Yeah. So timsTOF talk primarily proteomics, but some of it also metabolomics and some of it also imaging. The growth on the platform has been good in the double digits, both in orders and in revenue in the first half, which was obviously in that existing environment really quite good. The growth came primarily from Europe and primarily from pharma, not so much from the U.S. and not so much from Asia or from China as they're recovering. So good first half-year growth primarily driven by Europe and by pharma adoption. That was one of your questions. Yes, we expect continued growth in our proteomics platform. We just think that 4D proteomics technology, high throughput, deep proteomics with so many other attributes. I don't want to rattle off a long list.
It's just really at some point driving the inflection point of proteomics to become much, much more important than it has been traditionally in disease and other research and maybe cancer proteomics in particular. So we continue to be generally optimistic there. I think over time, the U.S. and Americas and Asia and China will also continue to grow again. That was more of a quarterly, perhaps, aberration and so on. Yeah, but so far, it's been Europe and pharma primarily in the first half, and then to your last question, MALDI, if you can do something with MALDI without any GC or LC chromatography, if you can do something in a less than one-minute experiment, perhaps in a few seconds, you're going to solve every problem you can with MALDI. It's incredibly robust. It's incredibly fast.
And by the way, it can do imaging. So it can do things in pathology research or in Spatial Omics that you inherently cannot do or cannot easily do with any time you need electrospray and chromatography. So increasing the sensitivity, but also broadening the range of molecular classes that are amenable to this very robust, very fast, very high throughput, and very easy to use MALDI technology is fantastic news as more of the mass spec market and some of its applications, maybe applied markets or diagnostic markets or screening markets can shift to MALDI, which is always desirable. So I think the MALDI-2 innovation, which is also on the timsTOF platform, as you know, is really like a generational, once every three decades kind of big push to make MALDI that much more applicable.
It's not going to displace everything else, but it's going to make that MALDI opportunity where we are the market leader that much more attractive, including and very importantly in mass spec imaging, which is where MALDI-2 will also play quite a role on the timsTOF fleX. Sorry, a bit of a long answer, but in addition to proteomics, which will not be done by MALDI, but proteomics, metabolomics will be done with LC, electrospray, collision cross-section, MSMS, the timsTOF platform. But it's nice to have that second growth driver or the third growth driver, MALDI Biotyper being the second very nice growth driver, a third one with MALDI probably going through a renaissance and expanding its scope. So that's sort of the big picture strategy for life science mass spectrometry for us.
Puneet Souda (Senior Managing Director)
Okay. That's very helpful. Thanks.
Frank H. Laukien (President and CEO)
MALDI had not been growing fast. We think MALDI will become a growth area again. Maybe that would have been the shorter answer.
Puneet Souda (Senior Managing Director)
That's great. Thanks, Frank.
Operator (participant)
Our next question comes from Brandon Couillard from Jefferies. Please go ahead with your question.
Brandon Couillard (SVP in Equity Research)
Hey, thanks. Good afternoon. Ger, as far as the Q3 guidance goes, can you quantify the 1.2 gigahertz in the market placement that you had in July? And any color as far as your expectations for each of the BSI segments in the Q3, particularly which ones you think get directionally better?
Gerald N. Herman (CFO and EVP)
Well.
Frank H. Laukien (President and CEO)
So you.
Gerald N. Herman (CFO and EVP)
I was just going to say, so we're not really providing guidance specifically by groups, the business groups to begin with. But I mean, I guess what I can say more generally is that the overall performance is expected to improve sequentially. I mean, clearly, as you already know, some of our businesses, particularly those that are in the industrial or applied markets, are going to have more challenges than others. Some of the areas that Frank has already described around BioSpin and Cal would clearly perform stronger because of the portfolio that they're working with. And the other industrial and applied markets clearly have a headwind that they're pushing up against, maybe with the exception of the semi space. So I mean, that's probably.
Frank H. Laukien (President and CEO)
I mean, what that translates into very broadly for the Q3 and really for the second half of the year is that CALID, including life science mass spectrometry and diagnostics, will be the strongest. BioSpin probably going to get stronger in the second half of the year. And Nano will be, relatively speaking, weaker within the mix because they have more of an industrial and applied exposure.
Gerald N. Herman (CFO and EVP)
Yeah, and with the small bright spot, I would say, around semi metrology, which you've already heard a little bit about.
Frank H. Laukien (President and CEO)
Also fluorescence microscopy, but it's growing from a small base. That's within the Nano group. That's also very important in life science research.
Brandon Couillard (SVP in Equity Research)
Super. And then one more, Frank. Just generally, in terms of your forward outlook, assuming the COVID pandemic is somewhat contained here, how are you feeling about the 2021 outlook? Is there pent-up demand? And to what extent, from the stimulus plans that you've seen so far, could they be meaningful opportunities for you either in the back half or more so next year?
Frank H. Laukien (President and CEO)
Yeah. I mean, the stimulus plans this time are not so clear how they're going to target or whether they're going to be helpful for our industry. Of course, for COVID testing, there's a big bolus and governments will spend just about anything on PCR testing, on vaccine development, and remdesivir, and so on. Beyond that, the stimulus plans that have emerged in Europe or maybe elsewhere, sometimes they're very diffuse and they just reduce the general sales tax for a while and stuff like that. So those are not necessarily targeted plans yet. They're just band-aids to address the immediate economic issues that are not particularly helpful for our industry.
We hope that as people think forward and particularly some of the proposals that are at least being discussed in this country, where significant increases in NIH and NSF budgets could occur, that that could become a trendsetter. But so far, there's not a lot of visibility on targeted stimulus programs. So that's not good news or at least not good news yet. There's a general feeling that a lot more needs to be invested in life science research so the next pandemic will be better prepared in many levels. But that still, in most countries, still needs to result in concrete programs. And they're being discussed, but they haven't really generally been enacted yet, at least not outside the U.S. So.
Brandon Couillard (SVP in Equity Research)
Super. Thank you.
Frank H. Laukien (President and CEO)
Yeah. That's, I think, what we have to say on that right now. Yeah. We're observing that, but it really hasn't become clear yet how that might play itself out in Japan and China. I think it's just still a little bit early, quite honestly. Everybody's just still fighting the pandemic. And as it becomes endemic and we just deal with it, what do we really do about it strategically? That's not all clear yet what the strategic responses are.
Brandon Couillard (SVP in Equity Research)
Gotcha. Thank you.
Operator (participant)
Our next question comes from Vijay Kumar from Evercore ISI. Please go ahead with your question.
Vijay Kumar (Senior Manager Director in Equity Research)
Hey, guys. Thanks for taking my question now. Just two quick ones, and I'll roll them up into one question now, Frank. One on the academic markets. Has your expectations changed versus from early July when you were saying most of the academic labs could be perhaps opened now by August? I'm just curious, has anything changed for you? And on the order side, the book-to-bill, when do orders get converted to revenues? Is that 1.1x book-to-bill? Should we be thinking about this as some of those orders getting booked after revenues in back half, or is this more of a 2021 phenomena? Thank you.
Frank H. Laukien (President and CEO)
A little of both, BJ. Of course, we expect a sequential improvement in the back half, Q3 better than Q2, Q4 better than Q3. Some of that will also go into 2021. I think that's also fair to say. Do I feel better? Do I feel differently at the end of July than in early July? I mean, at a societal level, obviously, that there is much more of a second wave in the U.S. and a few places like Victoria, Australia and a few other places is unpleasant. Will it have an economic effect? So far, other than very, very selected local areas, I don't really see anybody driving for complete lockdowns and economic shutdown again. I just don't think anybody's prepared to do that from what I can see so far.
So no, I don't really have any different view on that. I took the conservative view that academia and government labs would open gradually and that they wouldn't all be open come August 1st or at full capacity. So in that sense, we've built in probably a little bit of buffering that accommodates some of these wrinkles. So no change in outlook from my point of view, at least not for the business.
Vijay Kumar (Senior Manager Director in Equity Research)
Gotcha. Thank you.
Operator (participant)
Our next question comes from Dan Brennan from UBS. Please go ahead with your questions.
Daniel Brennan (Senior Equity Research Analyst - Managing Director)
Thanks, Brad. Thanks for the questions. So not to beat a dead horse, Frank, on academic, so what are you assuming it grows? Well, first of all, maybe what did it grow in the Q2? I know you kind of gave a qualitative comment. Is there a number that you have and kind of what's assumed in the back half of the year? And then also, I know earlier in the conversation you discussed, while stimulus from the federal level looks healthy, you still have some pressure on universities. It's something we've tried to tackle. Could you just speak to maybe amongst your customers how that split works out between federal funding and university funding and any color about how we think about the trajectory of both of those?
Frank H. Laukien (President and CEO)
Yeah. So good questions, right? Academic government, I think it was down in the high teens in the Q2, right?
Gerald N. Herman (CFO and EVP)
Yeah. High teens in the Q2.
Frank H. Laukien (President and CEO)
High teens in the Q2, so clearly one of the weakest areas, and as we've noticed, also Europe, better than the U.S., better than Japan, very, very weak, and India and places like this, very, very weak, so big geographic differences, and China coming back, but not roaring back, not coming back all that quickly, so if anything, Europe was the highlight in academic government, believe it or not, in Q2 and actually looks pretty healthy for Q3 as well.
A lot of the questions that you're asking are very applicable to the United States, where you have federal and state government and endowments and tuition and housing and things like that paying for universities, and some universities have a big hospital, and that contributes to Stanford's budget or this year probably bring a shortfall to Stanford's budget to pick on a particular university. Those patterns are really almost unknown outside of the United States. So academic funding outside of the United States generally is very, very robust. And so 80% of our academic and government research markets are outside of the United States.
And in the U.S., it's more of a mixed picture, yes. And without repeating what I said earlier and what you kind of even put into your question, in the U.S., it's going to be more of a mixed picture. Some smaller universities, some state-funded universities, some universities with a big shortfall at their big hospital, they will be cutting budgets, and they may slow down a little bit and even in academic hiring or in, of course, when they get federal grants, they will absolutely take them. And so it'll be a mixed picture. It won't be all negative, but it also won't be all positive.
Whereas I think outside of the United States, the academic funding may have been disrupted, but I think it's incredibly solid and beyond temporary effects that are really related to the pandemic in Q2 and Q3, maybe a little bit into Q4, I think will be largely gone and will be back at solid academic budgets outside of the United States, which is 80% of the academic markets. In the U.S., it'll be more mixed. There'll be winners and losers in terms of budgets and ability to pay. But I think in the U.S., that ultimately it's hard to predict U.S. politics, isn't it? But ultimately, it seems that there will be bipartisan support, I predict, for significant investments in NIH, NSF, and even DOE, R&D, and so on. So.
Daniel Brennan (Senior Equity Research Analyst - Managing Director)
Terrific. Thank you for that. And maybe one follow-up for Gerald.
Frank H. Laukien (President and CEO)
isn't so bad because mostly outside the United States, it'll go away.
Brandon Couillard (SVP in Equity Research)
Great. And then maybe one follow-up for Gerald. I know, Gerald, you kind of commented on margins. I think to Derek's question, but can you elaborate a little bit? Maybe any color on COGS, OpEx growth in the back half of the year, incremental margins, any inputs that might help us give us insight about modeling second-half margins? Thank you.
Gerald N. Herman (CFO and EVP)
Sure. Just generally, my view is that what we've modeled in our forecasting is that we'll see sequential improvement both at the revenue line as well as in the gross margin line. A lot of the volume and disruptive activities that we had in the Q2, we don't expect to see necessarily in the third and the Q4. And of course, that may be partially offset by some of our cost reduction measures as we relax some of them. So I do think we'll see sequential improvement, and that's probably the best I can say, likely stronger in the Q4 than in the Q3.
Frank H. Laukien (President and CEO)
Okay. Great. Thank you.
Operator (participant)
You're welcome.
And ladies and gentlemen, with that, we'll conclude today's question and answer session. I'd like to turn the conference call back over to management for any closing remarks.
Miroslava Minkova (Director of Investor Relations and Corporate Development)
Thank you for joining us today. And apologies to those whose questions we didn't get to answer today. During the Q3, Bruker will participate in the 2020 Wells Fargo Virtual Healthcare Conference. We hope you stay healthy and well, and we invite you to reach out to us for a virtual meeting during the quarter. Thank you and have a good evening.
Operator (participant)
Ladies and gentlemen, with that, we'll conclude today's conference call. We do thank you for joining. You may now disconnect your line.