BI
BrightSphere Investment Group Inc. (BSIG)·Q2 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 results showed operating leverage: ENI EPS rose to $0.45 (+60.7% y/y; +2.3% q/q) on ENI revenue +14% y/y, while GAAP EPS was $0.29 (+7.4% y/y; -21.6% q/q) as variable comp and GAAP expense items weighed on margins .
- AUM reached $112.6B (+12.7% y/y; +2.0% q/q) with net flows flat as very large inflows and outflows offset; management reiterated expectation for “breakeven to flat cadence” near term .
- Capital returns remained active: BSIG repurchased 0.9M shares for $20.5M in Q2 and declared a $0.01 interim dividend; YTD repurchases through Q2 totaled 4.4M shares ($94.9M) .
- No formal revenue/EPS guidance; management guided FY ratios: Operating Expense Ratio ~46–50%, Variable Comp Ratio ~46–50%, Affiliate Key Employee Distribution Ratio ~7–8%, and reiterated revolver paydown by year-end from operating cash flow .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Strong non-GAAP earnings power and leverage: “ENI earnings per share of $0.45… The significantly larger percentage increase in ENI compared to the revenue increase reflects our continued discipline on operating expenses and the operating leverage embedded in our business.” .
- Investment performance remained robust: 86%, 92% and 93% of strategies by revenue beat benchmarks over 3-, 5-, and 10-year periods, supporting client retention and pricing mix .
- Strategic initiatives progressing: Systematic Credit (U.S. HY seeded Nov-2023, Global HY seeded Apr-2024; U.S. IG seeded Jul-2024) and Equity Alternatives multi-strategy fund continue building track records .
What Went Wrong
- Flows remained mixed and lumpy: “Net client cash flows were incidentally flat” as three very large inflows and three very large outflows offset; management continues to see client derisking to fixed income and rebalancing .
- Managed Volatility pressure persisted; fee rate uplift still largely mix-dependent, with EM demand mixed given geopolitics and state client considerations .
- GAAP operating margin compressed to 19% (from 21% y/y) on higher compensation (including Acadian equity plan liability) and variable compensation, despite revenue growth .
Financial Results
Segment performance (Quant & Solutions = Acadian)
Key Performance Indicators
Notes: ENI adjusts GAAP for non-economic items (e.g., $5.9M non-cash revaluation of Acadian key employee equity, tax normalization), seed/co-investment gains, and other reconciling items; see reconciliations .
Guidance Changes
No formal revenue/EPS/Op margin guidance provided.
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “For the second quarter of 2024, we produced ENI earnings per share of $0.45… The significantly larger percentage increase in ENI compared to the revenue increase reflects our continued discipline on operating expenses and the operating leverage embedded in our business.”
- “Between December 2023 and June of 2024, we repurchased 4.7 million of our shares or 11% of our total outstanding shares for $100 million.”
- “Net client cash flows were incidentally flat… we had select large and lumpy inflows… and select large and lumpy outflows, and these lumpy flows basically offset each other.”
- Capital minimum and use: “We think about minimum cash levels around $20 million… excess for buybacks and seeding… we’ll remain opportunistic on both.”
- Cost control and leverage: “We are now in a good position to keep the expenses more or less at these levels… we do have the operating leverage.”
Q&A Highlights
- Flows detail: Three very large inflows (one “more than a couple of billion,” and two ~$1B) offset by similarly large outflows in assorted strategies; pipeline remains healthy across stages .
- Capital allocation: Min cash ~$20M; balance deployed opportunistically between buybacks and seeding; authorization likely renewed “in due course,” no formulaic repurchase cadence .
- Fee rate: Slight pickup driven by mix (EM outperformed), with higher-fee strategies helping; fee rate otherwise stable around high-30s bps .
- Expense outlook: After multi-year infrastructure investments and abating inflationary pressures, expenses expected to stay roughly flat aside from 2–3% COLA, supporting operating leverage .
- EM narrative: Mixed client appetite due to valuations vs geopolitical/state-client constraints; no clear directional flow pattern yet .
Estimates Context
- Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) for BSIG Q2 2024 EPS and revenue was unavailable in our system due to missing S&P Capital IQ mapping for the ticker; therefore “vs. estimates” comparisons are not shown. We will update if/when S&P Global mapping is available.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Operating leverage is the story: ENI +43% y/y on +14% ENI revenue, with the ENI OpEx ratio down ~640 bps y/y (55.2% → 48.8%), positioning EPS to outgrow revenue if markets cooperate .
- Flows remain lumpy but not deteriorating; expect flattish NCF near term as derisking and rebalancing offset strategy wins; watch for funding of pipeline to turn the cadence positive .
- Mix tailwind emerging: Fee rate ticked up with EM and higher-fee strategies; medium-term upside from Equity Alts and Systematic Credit penetration .
- Capital return continues, but pacing is finite near term: with ~$72M cash, ~$20M minimum, and seed needs, buybacks remain opportunistic; authorization renewal anticipated .
- Balance sheet manageable: Net leverage ~1.6x; Acadian revolver expected fully repaid by year-end from operating cash flow .
- Watch managed volatility outflows and EM client sentiment; either a normalization in beta leadership or stronger EM risk appetite could improve organic trajectory .
- Non-GAAP is central to the equity story; reconcile GAAP headwinds (variable comp, equity plan liability revaluation) with ENI and Adj. EBITDA measures when framing valuation .
Disclosures and data sources: BrightSphere Q2 2024 8-K and earnings presentation (Aug 1, 2024) –; Q2 2024 earnings call transcript (Aug 1, 2024) –; Q1 2024 call (May 2, 2024) –; Q4 2023 call (Feb 1, 2024) –.