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BrightSphere Investment Group Inc. (BSIG)·Q2 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q2 results showed operating leverage: ENI EPS rose to $0.45 (+60.7% y/y; +2.3% q/q) on ENI revenue +14% y/y, while GAAP EPS was $0.29 (+7.4% y/y; -21.6% q/q) as variable comp and GAAP expense items weighed on margins .
  • AUM reached $112.6B (+12.7% y/y; +2.0% q/q) with net flows flat as very large inflows and outflows offset; management reiterated expectation for “breakeven to flat cadence” near term .
  • Capital returns remained active: BSIG repurchased 0.9M shares for $20.5M in Q2 and declared a $0.01 interim dividend; YTD repurchases through Q2 totaled 4.4M shares ($94.9M) .
  • No formal revenue/EPS guidance; management guided FY ratios: Operating Expense Ratio ~46–50%, Variable Comp Ratio ~46–50%, Affiliate Key Employee Distribution Ratio ~7–8%, and reiterated revolver paydown by year-end from operating cash flow .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Strong non-GAAP earnings power and leverage: “ENI earnings per share of $0.45… The significantly larger percentage increase in ENI compared to the revenue increase reflects our continued discipline on operating expenses and the operating leverage embedded in our business.” .
  • Investment performance remained robust: 86%, 92% and 93% of strategies by revenue beat benchmarks over 3-, 5-, and 10-year periods, supporting client retention and pricing mix .
  • Strategic initiatives progressing: Systematic Credit (U.S. HY seeded Nov-2023, Global HY seeded Apr-2024; U.S. IG seeded Jul-2024) and Equity Alternatives multi-strategy fund continue building track records .

What Went Wrong

  • Flows remained mixed and lumpy: “Net client cash flows were incidentally flat” as three very large inflows and three very large outflows offset; management continues to see client derisking to fixed income and rebalancing .
  • Managed Volatility pressure persisted; fee rate uplift still largely mix-dependent, with EM demand mixed given geopolitics and state client considerations .
  • GAAP operating margin compressed to 19% (from 21% y/y) on higher compensation (including Acadian equity plan liability) and variable compensation, despite revenue growth .

Financial Results

MetricQ2 2023Q1 2024Q2 2024
Revenue ($M)$96.3 $105.7 $109.0
Net Income Attributable to Controlling Interests ($M)$11.4 $14.6 $11.0
Diluted EPS (GAAP)$0.27 $0.37 $0.29
U.S. GAAP Operating Margin (%)21% 22% 19%
ENI Revenue ($M)$95.0 $105.3 $108.3
ENI ($M)$12.0 $17.4 $17.2
ENI Diluted EPS ($)$0.28 $0.44 $0.45
Adjusted EBITDA ($M)$24.7 $31.9 $32.0
ENI Operating Margin (%)22% 28% 27%

Segment performance (Quant & Solutions = Acadian)

MetricQ2 2023Q1 2024Q2 2024
Segment ENI ($M)$24.5 $31.4 $31.7
Segment Adjusted EBITDA ($M)$28.9 $36.0 $36.3

Key Performance Indicators

KPIQ2 2023Q1 2024Q2 2024
AUM End of Period ($B)$99.9 $110.4 $112.6
Average AUM ($B)$97.9$107.6$110.3
Net Flows ($B)$0.1 $0.4
Annualized Rev Impact of Net Flows ($M)$0.9 ($0.2) $1.4
ENI Mgmt Fee Rate (bps)38.138.238.5
Operating Expense Ratio (%)55.2 48.4 48.8
Variable Comp Ratio (%)51.8 47.7 48.2
Share Repurchases (shares/$)3.5M / $74M 0.9M / $20.5M
Dividend per share$0.01 (payable 9/27/24)

Notes: ENI adjusts GAAP for non-economic items (e.g., $5.9M non-cash revaluation of Acadian key employee equity, tax normalization), seed/co-investment gains, and other reconciling items; see reconciliations .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Operating Expense RatioFY 2024n/a~46%–50% n/a
Variable Compensation RatioFY 2024n/a~46%–50% n/a
Affiliate Key Employee Distribution RatioFY 2024n/a~7%–8% n/a
Balance Sheet (Acadian Revolver)FY 2024n/aRevolver expected to be fully repaid by year-end from operating cash flow n/a
DividendQ3 2024n/a$0.01 per share; record 9/13/24; pay 9/27/24 n/a

No formal revenue/EPS/Op margin guidance provided.

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4’23, Q1’24)Current Period (Q2’24)Trend
Flows & PipelineQ4: -$2B NCF on managed vol and reallocations; pipeline healthy but slower conversions . Q1: +$0.4B NCF; expect flattish near term; derisking to FI noted .Q2: Net flows flat; three very large inflows offset by three very large outflows; expect “breakeven to flat cadence” across strategies .Mixed/flat
Fee Rate/MixQ4: Fee rate stable around 38 bps; potential uplift from Equity Alts and Systematic Credit (higher fee) over time .Slight fee rate uptick driven by EM mix; EM did relatively well in Q2 .Slightly improving
Expense Discipline & Operating LeverageQ1: Investments in scalable infrastructure largely complete; leverage to rising revenue; OpEx growth to moderate .ENI +43% y/y vs revenue +14% y/y; OpEx ratio fell to 48.8% vs 55.2% y/y; management expects FY OpEx ratio ~46–50% .Improving
Capital AllocationQ4: New $100M authorization; opportunistic buybacks; seed new strategies . Q1: 3.5M shares repurchased; minimum cash ~$25M; seeding continued .Q2: 0.9M shares repurchased; cash ~$72M; min cash ~$20M; opportunistic repo/seeding; authorization renewal “in due course” .Ongoing
Managed Volatility & Client DeriskingQ4: Continued managed vol outflows in beta-driven market . Q1: Expect continued pressure; pension derisking to FI .Pressure persists; client rebalancing and LDI flows to FI continue .Persistent headwind
EM Demand/GeopoliticsQ1: EM interest slower despite strong performance .Mixed client appetite; valuation appeal vs geopolitical/state-client concerns .Mixed

Management Commentary

  • “For the second quarter of 2024, we produced ENI earnings per share of $0.45… The significantly larger percentage increase in ENI compared to the revenue increase reflects our continued discipline on operating expenses and the operating leverage embedded in our business.”
  • “Between December 2023 and June of 2024, we repurchased 4.7 million of our shares or 11% of our total outstanding shares for $100 million.”
  • “Net client cash flows were incidentally flat… we had select large and lumpy inflows… and select large and lumpy outflows, and these lumpy flows basically offset each other.”
  • Capital minimum and use: “We think about minimum cash levels around $20 million… excess for buybacks and seeding… we’ll remain opportunistic on both.”
  • Cost control and leverage: “We are now in a good position to keep the expenses more or less at these levels… we do have the operating leverage.”

Q&A Highlights

  • Flows detail: Three very large inflows (one “more than a couple of billion,” and two ~$1B) offset by similarly large outflows in assorted strategies; pipeline remains healthy across stages .
  • Capital allocation: Min cash ~$20M; balance deployed opportunistically between buybacks and seeding; authorization likely renewed “in due course,” no formulaic repurchase cadence .
  • Fee rate: Slight pickup driven by mix (EM outperformed), with higher-fee strategies helping; fee rate otherwise stable around high-30s bps .
  • Expense outlook: After multi-year infrastructure investments and abating inflationary pressures, expenses expected to stay roughly flat aside from 2–3% COLA, supporting operating leverage .
  • EM narrative: Mixed client appetite due to valuations vs geopolitical/state-client constraints; no clear directional flow pattern yet .

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) for BSIG Q2 2024 EPS and revenue was unavailable in our system due to missing S&P Capital IQ mapping for the ticker; therefore “vs. estimates” comparisons are not shown. We will update if/when S&P Global mapping is available.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Operating leverage is the story: ENI +43% y/y on +14% ENI revenue, with the ENI OpEx ratio down ~640 bps y/y (55.2% → 48.8%), positioning EPS to outgrow revenue if markets cooperate .
  • Flows remain lumpy but not deteriorating; expect flattish NCF near term as derisking and rebalancing offset strategy wins; watch for funding of pipeline to turn the cadence positive .
  • Mix tailwind emerging: Fee rate ticked up with EM and higher-fee strategies; medium-term upside from Equity Alts and Systematic Credit penetration .
  • Capital return continues, but pacing is finite near term: with ~$72M cash, ~$20M minimum, and seed needs, buybacks remain opportunistic; authorization renewal anticipated .
  • Balance sheet manageable: Net leverage ~1.6x; Acadian revolver expected fully repaid by year-end from operating cash flow .
  • Watch managed volatility outflows and EM client sentiment; either a normalization in beta leadership or stronger EM risk appetite could improve organic trajectory .
  • Non-GAAP is central to the equity story; reconcile GAAP headwinds (variable comp, equity plan liability revaluation) with ENI and Adj. EBITDA measures when framing valuation .

Disclosures and data sources: BrightSphere Q2 2024 8-K and earnings presentation (Aug 1, 2024) –; Q2 2024 earnings call transcript (Aug 1, 2024) ; Q1 2024 call (May 2, 2024) ; Q4 2023 call (Feb 1, 2024) .