Bentley Systems - Earnings Call - Q2 2025
August 6, 2025
Executive Summary
- Q2 2025 delivered solid topline and profitability: revenues $364.1M (+10.2% YoY, +9.2% constant currency), Adjusted EPS $0.32 (+$0.01 YoY), AOI less SBC margin 28.9% (+10 bps YoY), and Adjusted EBITDA $129.3M. Management characterized performance as “in-line” and consistent with the full‑year outlook.
- Consensus comparison: revenue essentially in‑line ($363.6M* vs $364.1M actual), and a clear beat on EPS ($0.286* vs $0.32 actual); Adjusted EBITDA was broadly consistent with consensus definitions but note comparability caveats ($128.6M* vs $129.3M reported Adjusted EBITDA). Values retrieved from S&P Global*.
- Guidance: management raised FY 2025 free cash flow outlook to $430–$470M (from $415–$455M) due to US R&D tax deductibility benefits, while reaffirming ranges for ARR growth, revenues, and margin expansion; FX could add ~$17M to H2 GAAP revenues if July rates persist.
- Strategic narrative: secular infrastructure investment and engineering capacity constraints support durable demand; SMB momentum (>600 new logos for the 14th straight quarter) and E365 collars (higher floors/ceilings) underscore confidence; China now ~2% of ARR and a manageable headwind.
- Near-term catalysts: raised FCF guidance, FX tailwinds, expanding AI initiatives (OpenSite+; Cesium/iTwin integration), and asset analytics opportunity set (though “lumpy”) are likely drivers of estimate and multiple revisions.
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- ARR grew 11.5% constant currency YoY to $1,379.2M; NRR remained robust at 109%, driven by E365 accretion. “We delivered another strong quarter… driven by secular infrastructure investment.” — CEO Nicholas Cumins.
- Margin and cash generation: AOI less SBC margin 28.9% (+10 bps YoY); Adjusted EBITDA $129.3M; YTD FCF $273.4M; FY FCF guide raised to $430–$470M on R&D tax changes.
- Commercial execution: 300 bps ARR growth from new logos; SMB strength with >600 new logos for the 14th consecutive quarter; higher E365 floors/ceilings signaling customer confidence.
What Went Wrong
- Sequential moderation: revenues down from Q1’s seasonally strong $370.5M; management flagged Q3 as the seasonal low quarter for ARR growth due to timing of acquisitions and asset analytics deals.
- Services softness and licenses mix: professional services declined 7% YoY in Q2 (and 9% constant) and perpetual licenses remain ~3% of revenue and trending small; services are less predictable and largely IBM Maximo-related.
- China remains a headwind (now ~2% of ARR) and contributed to NRR rounding down to 109% from 110% (mix and two‑year lookback effects).
Transcript
Speaker 3
Bentley Systems Q2 2025 results. I'm Eric Boyer, Bentley's Investor Relations Officer. On the webcast today, we have Bentley Systems Executive Chair Greg Bentley, Chief Executive Officer Nicholas Cumins, and Chief Financial Officer Werner Andre. This webcast includes forward-looking statements made as of August 6, 2025, regarding the future results of operations and financial position, business strategy and plans, and objectives for future operations of Bentley Systems Incorporated. All such statements made in or contained during this webcast, other than statements of historical fact, are forward-looking statements. This webcast will be available for replay on Bentley Systems Investor Relations website at investors.bentley.com on August 6, 2025. After our presentation, we will conclude with Q&A. With that, let me introduce the Executive Chair of Bentley Systems, Greg Bentley.
Speaker 1
Good morning, and thanks to each of you for your interest in BSY. Please pardon my voice, which is suffering from a summer cold. CEO Nicholas and CFO Werner will, as always, report in detail Bentley Systems' continued excellent operating and financial results for 2025 Q2, and thus for the first half of 2025, as we track consistently towards our outlook range for this full year. Earlier this year, in reviewing 2024 Q4, I looked back over the years since BSY's IPO in 2020 to quantify that our outlook range for 2025 would complete the process of at least doubling over these five years, each of our key financial metrics of ARR, revenues, adjusted operating income less stock-based compensation, and free cash flows, while minimizing equity dilution.
Most recently, in reviewing 2025 Q1, I likewise looked back five years to quantify the respects in which we've purposefully gained further business resilience over this span. It is even more clear this quarter that we're currently benefiting from those improvements. Our excellent operating performance to date in 2025 is in keeping with a primary sustaining long-term growth driver over this period, which will prevail foreseeably. Going digital has become the enduring priority for infrastructure engineering, in particular because of pervasive resource constraints. To keep up with the world's imperatives for infrastructure performance, resilience, and adaptation, each BSY user and account needs each year to achieve step functions in productivity and value generation through enhanced utilization of software, cloud services, and AI.
To help quantify such progress in software consumption per engineer, I would like now to again, but for the last time, I think, look back over five years, but this time with reference to external market data. This slide, which we still use in our intro deck today, shows global counts of engineers and related technicians and their software expenditures as tabulated by UK global research firm Cambashi. Conveniently, for our purpose of monitoring the long-term trend, this last data that we had on engineering employment and spending is for 2019, immediately preceding BSY's IPO. We originally compared spending per engineer/technician for infrastructure engineering to that of product engineering to glean a data point for the market potential headroom.
For the purpose of this look back, let's examine the changes in just infrastructure engineering spending over time, as Cambashi has just provided an update which slightly refines 2019 and which, most importantly, introduces the most recent year for which this data, including engineering employment, is available: 2023. I do not find it surprising that over these four years, the total number of infrastructure engineers and supporting technicians has only increased by about 1% per year on average. While there isn't sufficient granularity in both data sets to establish this, I believe that even this nominal increase is concentrated in less developed countries, while I believe that in countries like the U.S., infrastructure engineering retirements have exceeded new graduates. Most significantly, Cambashi finds that software spending by infrastructure engineers/technicians has grown at a compounded annual growth rate of about 10% over this period.
This is in nominal rather than constant currencies. Cambashi's estimate is that the constant currency growth rate was a full percent higher. By virtue of Bentley Systems' constant currency revenue growth rate during the period, we somewhat outgamed this broader market. Hence, software spending per infrastructure engineer/technician has grown about 9% in nominal currencies, or indeed approximately 10% in constant currencies over this period. Even so, the $514 annually per engineer or technician tends to appear low compared to averages for Bentley Systems users. Usefully, for this newly available 2023 data, Cambashi has provided refinements for better understanding. To start with, we can now focus on employment and spending just for engineers, rather than also including the technician categories, which are rather miscellaneous and less representative of Bentley Systems' primary user profile.
See here Cambashi's observation that in 2023, 17.6 million infrastructure engineers globally spent $10.2 billion on engineering and GIS software, averaging a relatively higher annual spending of $579 per engineer. For this new 2023 data, Cambashi also provides analysis of employment and spending down to the level of countries classified together within the five quintile tiers of per capita GDP. The wide variation in average spending is striking to me. The engineers in the most developed, level one countries, while nearly the least numerous, spend the significant plurality of the global total, averaging over $1,900 per year per engineer. This is generally consistent with BSY's average and globally uniform pricing and utilization for E365. The numerical bulk of infrastructure engineers in less developed country levels represent a multiple of long-term upside opportunity, as they inevitably will tend to catch up in going digital and in expenditures to do so.
Now, coming back to Bentley Systems and our standing as the market leader in so many infrastructure engineering market segments, as we show in our own assessment of the competitive landscape in this slide from our intro deck, let's examine Cambashi data to understand how so much of this $10 billion in software spending by infrastructure engineers obviously goes elsewhere than to BSY. To do this, let's parse the full $14 billion of now 2024 software revenue, which Cambashi ascribes to BIM. This term originally referred to building information modeling decades ago, but has come to connote, as here, a catch-all for what could otherwise be described as AEC, for architecture, engineering, and construction, as opposed to product engineering or manufacturing. Within this total, BIM design is not only the largest submarket, but we believe it is the prerequisite to success throughout the others.
The greatest ultimate opportunity is for digital twins to support infrastructure operations and maintenance. Although this submarket is only nascent so far, we think our asset analytics initiative portends its comparatively unlimited potential, monetized per asset rather than per engineer. The potential compounding value of a digital twin depends significantly upon its assimilation of the digital context, digital components, and digital chronology from BIM design. Here, per Cambashi, are the market shares within the $6.5 billion of BIM design revenues. The largest by far is for Autodesk, followed significantly by Bentley, Schneider Electric, Hexagon, Nemetschek, Trimble. In all China, I have grouped together all the Chinese companies identified by Cambashi, listed here in the fine print.
To help understand the widely varied mix across infrastructure segments per competitor within BIM design, Cambashi analyzes each company's such revenues by product category within plant, architectural, which includes mechanical, electrical, and plumbing, or MEP, civil, and structural. Looking here at the relative proportions for each company, one sees that every one of these putative competitors has a considerably different primary focus than Bentley Systems. At Bentley Systems, we don't break out product revenues in these same categories, and I suspect that Cambashi's estimates here seem to discount Sequence's major share of geotechnical and environmental software used in civil engineering. While we have a comprehensive portfolio across all disciplines required for major infrastructure projects, including their plant and building engineering aspects, our focus is characterized by civil and supporting structural products, primarily for horizontal infrastructure networks.
By contrast, Hexagon and Schneider Electric's design products are clearly focused primarily on plant engineering. Nemetschek's design products are concentrated in architectural/MEP. Trimble's design products are primarily divided between architectural MEP and structural to support such buildings. China has more or less official state-owned software for its country-specific structural analysis codes, and many competitors for buildings software. Finally, the primary design product focus for our principal competitor Autodesk is architectural/MEP for vertical infrastructure buildings. Within Autodesk's civil product share, its offerings for civil site design, likewise associated with buildings, loom large. As you may recall, we at Bentley Systems see this as a substantial competitive upside opportunity. Our BIM design software peers and competitors are worthy and resourceful. While our space is desirable and envied, each of these others have a principal focus that is clearly different.
I believe that we are favorably differentiated by virtue of our established franchise as the outright market leader in comprehensive infrastructure engineering software, particularly for the horizontal networks of public works/utilities, grids, roads and bridges, rail and transit, water and wastewater and resources, and the geoprofessional disciplines, structural disciplines, and project delivery collaboration across all of this. Given the world's prevailing imperatives for infrastructure performance, resilience, and adaptation, I wouldn't trade positions with any design software peer or competitor. Notwithstanding this favorable competitive backdrop, our consistent execution should not be taken for granted, and I commend our management and colleagues for 2025 Q2. Over now to Nicholas. Thank you.
Speaker 0
Thank you, Greg. We delivered another strong quarter despite ongoing global uncertainties. This performance underscores the resilience of our business model and the strengths of our end markets driven by secular infrastructure investment. As demand for better and more resilient infrastructure continues to outpace the available engineering resource capacity, our software plays a crucial role in helping infrastructure engineers achieve more with less. Our strong first-half performance reinforces our confidence in meeting our full-year outlook based on low double-digit ARR growth, continued margin expansion of approximately 100 basis points, and robust free cash flow generation, consistent with our long-term financial framework. Turning to Q2 highlights, ARR grew 11.5% year over year and 12% when excluding the impact of China. Growth in the quarter was underpinned by a net revenue retention rate of 109%. E365 continues to be a growth driver, with renewals consistently reflecting stronger commitment levels.
The willingness of accounts to commit to higher contractual floors in return for corresponding ceilings signals their confidence in the strength and sustainability of their own demand environment. In Q2, we once again added 300 basis points of ARR growth from new logos, primarily within the SMB segment. For the 14th consecutive quarter, we added more than 600 new SMB logos through our line store. Retention within the segment remained high, further signaling confidence in the demand environment, this time from smaller accounts that are arguably more sensitive to economic uncertainty. Turning to our tone of business by infrastructure sector, resources was our fastest growing sector this quarter, with Sequin delivering a particularly strong performance. Notably, growth for Sequin was led by mining, outpacing civil for the first time in six quarters.
While we are seeing early signs of improvement in mining exploration, it is still too soon to call it a market recovery. Public works utilities delivered another solid quarter, performing in line with the company overall, supported by sustained global infrastructure investment. The needed focus on grid resilience is particularly benefiting PowerLine Systems. Growth in the industrial sector remained modest, while commercial facilities were flat. Performance across regions in Q2 remained largely consistent with prior quarters. Growth in Americas was once again solid, with Latin America continuing to stand out. In the U.S., our accounts remain confident in their outlooks for the year, despite ongoing uncertainty related to tariffs, policy shifts, and regulatory changes. There's also increased optimism that Congress will now prioritize meaningful permitting legislation.
The combination of executive orders, updated agency guidelines, recent court rulings, and bipartisan state-level initiatives all signal momentum towards comprehensive permitting reform, particularly in areas such as transmission, critical minerals, and other strategic verticals. Our PowerLine Systems and Sequin businesses, both standout growth drivers since their acquisition 3.5 and 4 years ago, respectively, are especially well positioned to benefit from these developments. Also noteworthy, Congress has already begun working on the surface transportation reauthorization of the IIJA, a year and a half before its scheduled expiration, a clear indication that civil infrastructure investment remains a national priority. In EMEA, we delivered another quarter of solid growth, with the Middle East continuing to lead the region, followed by the UK. Investment remains strong across transportation, energy, and water infrastructure, while momentum continues to build in defense-related projects, data centers, and nuclear. Together, these trends reflect a broadening base of demand.
Recent announcements in the UK and Europe point to a continued supportive funding environment into the foreseeable future. In June, the UK government published its 10-year infrastructure strategy, which earmarks £725 billion in long-term funding, and aims to attract private investment into its national infrastructure. In July, the European Commission put forward its €1.8 trillion proposal for the next long-term EU budget for 2028 to 2034. The proposal clearly prioritizes investment in infrastructure and should be a continued tailwind for funding in years to come. In Asia-Pacific, the overall performance remains steady. India continues to stand out with positive sentiment across strategic national programs in water and power. ANZ was softer, primarily due to a slowdown in transportation spending in Australia.
However, we are well positioned to support major infrastructure projects tied to the 2032 Brisbane Olympics, some of which, like Cross River Rail, are already in progress, with broader activity expected to ramp up near term. China performed in line with our expectations, given ongoing economic and geopolitical headwinds, and now represents only about 2% of total ARR. I want to highlight the success of our first-ever Cesium developer conference, which brought more than 400 attendees from around the world to Philadelphia. We acquired Cesium for its market-leading 3D geospatial platform, its talent, and its vibrant developer community. All three were on display at the conference. Bentley users, representatives from technology leaders like Google and NVIDIA, and developers spanning verticals from AEC to government to aerospace, learned how we are bringing iTwin capabilities to Cesium, including reality modeling and AI-based feature detection services.
Attendees also shared the many ways they're using Cesium to deliver powerful 3D geospatial experiences in applications for the built and natural environments. One example is HNTB, an engineering firm that leverages Cesium and Google's 3D photorealistic tiles to provide precise geospatial context, enabling better-informed decisions for infrastructure design. With this capability, stakeholders can assess projects ranging from single highway interchanges to 30-mile road and rail corridors with greater clarity. By using Cesium, HNTB has reduced the effort required to model existing buildings for contextual detail on long linear projects by up to 80%. We are excited about the opportunities ahead to expand the Cesium developer community and empower it with additional iTwin platform capabilities. We look forward to sharing the progress we've made integrating Cesium across our broader product portfolio at our upcoming Year in Infrastructure conference this October in Amsterdam, alongside advancements in AI and Bentley Infrastructure Cloud.
With that, I will turn it over to Werner.
Speaker 1
Thank you, Nicholas. We've had a strong first half of the year and are well positioned with respect to our financial outlook range for the year. Total revenues for the second quarter were $364 million, up 10% year over year on a reported basis and 9% on a constant currency basis. Year to date, total revenues grew 10% on a reported and constant currency basis. For the first quarter and year to date, strong growth in subscription revenues was partly offset by a reduction in professional services and to a lesser extent in license revenues. Subscription revenues now represent 92% of total revenues, up two percentage points from the same periods last year, reflecting improvement in the overall quality of our revenues' visibility, growth consistency, and margin contribution. Subscription revenues grew 12% year over year for the quarter in reported and 11% in constant currency.
For the first half, more normalized for mix and timing, subscription revenues grew 12% on a reported and constant currency basis. Our SMB and E365 initiatives continue to be solid contributors. Perpetual license revenues for the quarter were $10 million, down $1 million year over year. Perpetual license sales make up only 3% of total revenues and will remain small relative to our recurring revenues. Our less predictable professional services revenues declined 7% for the quarter in reported and 9% in constant currency and now represent 6% of total revenues, down one percentage point from the same period last year. It is still the case that the largest portion of these non-recurring services relate to IBM Maximo implementation and upgrade work.
Our last 12 months' recurring revenues, which include subscriptions and a small amount of recurring services, increased by 13% year over year in reported and in constant currency and represent 92% of our last 12 months' total revenues, up two percentage points year over year. Our last 12 months' constant currency account retention rate remained at 99%, and our constant currency net retention rate rounded down to 109%, led in magnitude by accretion within our consumption-based E365 commercial model. We ended Q2 with ARR of $1.379 billion at quarter and spot rates. On a constant currency basis, our year-over-year ARR growth rate was 11.5%, consistent with our expectations. Excluding China, our year-over-year constant currency ARR growth rate was 12%. China is now 2% of our total ARR.
On a quarterly sequential basis, our constant currency ARR growth rate was 2.7%, slightly below our 2024 Q2 sequential growth rate of 2.9%, impacted by the timing of programmatic acquisitions and asset analytics deals. With regards to seasonality, we expect 2025 Q3 to be our seasonal low quarter for year-over-year ARR growth due to the timing of potential acquisitions and anticipated asset analytics deals, which were particularly strong in 2024 Q2 and 2024 Q3, to be closer to year-end in 2025. The favorable impact from onboarding the Cesium acquisition will be dropping off in 2025 Q3. Our GAAP operating income was $84,000,000 for the second quarter and $200,000,000 year to date. I've previously explained the impact on our GAAP operating results from the third compensation plan, liability revaluations, and acquisition expenses.
Moving on to adjusted operating income, less stock-based compensation expense, our primary profitability and margin performance measure, adjusted operating income less SBC expense was $105,000,000 for the quarter, up 10% year over year, with a margin of 28.9%, up 10 basis points. Year to date, adjusted operating income less SBC expense was $231,000,000, up 11%, with a margin of 31.5%, up 40 basis points. Our margin performance for Q2 and year to date has been strong, particularly when considering that the year ago period benefited from headcount run rate savings associated with the 2023 Q4 strategic realignment program. Our 2025 Q2 margin benefited from our mix shifts towards higher margin subscription revenues and from certain discretionary OpEx spend being slightly more back-half loaded in 2025 when compared to 2024. We remain confident about delivering our 100 basis points full-year margin improvement target.
As a reminder, our OpEx seasonality is always more heavily weighted towards the second half, with our annual raises occurring as of April 1 each year, and our larger promotional and event-related costs also concentrated in the second half of the year. Our free cash flow was $57,000,000 for the quarter and $273,000,000 year to date. This is generally consistent with our expectation that based on our seasonality of collections and expenditures, free cash flow for the first half would be on the order of 60% of our full-year free cash flow outlook of $415,000,000 to $455,000,000. In addition, we estimate that our second half of 2025 will see cash tax benefits in the range of $15 million from the recently enacted One Big Beautiful Bill, primarily attributable to the restoring of immediate U.S. tax deductions for domestic R&D expenses.
As a result of this tax policy change, we are raising our 2025 free cash flow outlook to a range of $430 million to $470 million from previously $415 million to $455 million. With regards to capital allocation, along with providing sufficiently for our growth initiatives, during the first half of the year, we deployed free cash flow as follows: $135 million fully paying down our senior debt, $75 million in effective share repurchases to offset dilution from stock-based compensation, $10 million in convertible senior notes repurchases, and $42 million on dividends. With our senior debt being fully paid down, our net debt leverage, including all of our 2026 and 2027 convertible notes debt, was 2.4 times adjusted EBITDA, down from 2.9 times at the end of 2024.
Our strong balance sheet and projected free cash flow generation will sufficiently fund our dividend, share repurchases, and growth initiatives, including potential programmatic acquisitions. Our five-year senior secured credit agreement, dating from October 2024, provides a currently undrawn $1.3 billion revolving credit facility. Combined with our strong balance sheet and anticipated future free cash flow generation, this affords sufficient flexibility, if needed, to refinance the January 2026 maturity of $678 million in outstanding convertible debt, while keeping our cash interest thereafter at about the same magnitude as in the recent past. Interest rates on our debt are protected through very low coupons on our convertible notes and very favorable terms on our $200 million interest rate swap expiring in 2030.
Finally, with regards to our outlook for the year, our financial performance for 25 Q2 puts us in a solid position to deliver within our annual outlook range for ARR growth, revenues, profitability, and now increased free cash flow. With regards to foreign exchange rates, for the second quarter, the U.S. dollar has weakened relative to the exchange rates assumed in our 2025 annual financial outlook, resulting in approximately $7 million of incremental revenues from currency and a total first half favorable impact of approximately $8 million. Based on more recent rates, where the U.S. dollar has further weakened relative to our outlook rates, if end-of-July exchange rates would prevail throughout the remainder of the year, our second half GAAP revenues would be positively impacted by approximately $17 million relative to the exchange rates assumed in our 2025 financial outlook. We are ready for Q&A. Over to Eric to moderate.
Thank you.
Speaker 3
Thanks, Werner. Before we begin, I just wanted to remind everyone to please limit yourselves to one question so we can get to everybody today. Our first question comes from Matt Hedberg from RBC.
Great. Thanks, guys. I don't know if you can hear me OK.
Speaker 0
Yes.
Thanks for all the detail on the call. I wanted to ask about the macros. It sounded like, in some of the prepared remarks, that macros remain strong, and you called out specifically strength in SMB. I'm curious, did you notice an improvement sequentially now that we're past some of the initial tariff uncertainty, or is this just kind of business as usual from your perspective?
Yeah, Matt, I'll take this one. I will say it's just very consistent. It's a very consistent environment from the standpoint of all the investment that is going into infrastructure. Yes, there's been noise with tariffs, there's been noise with maybe change of priorities, et cetera, but overall, it's just a very consistent environment. What we're hearing from our accounts is that they are just very positive about their own outlook, whether they are big or small accounts. If there's one thing that is also quite consistent, it's the fact that there's really no problem with the demand, there's a problem with the capacity. They just don't have enough engineers. That remains the backdrop for our own demand environment, which is we're uniquely positioned to help them be more productive with the capacity that they have in order to cope with that demand.
Speaker 3
Great, thanks, Matt. The next question comes from Joe Vruwink from Robert Baird.
Hi, great. Thanks for the time this morning. I thought the TAM analysis was good at the start. One thing that comes to mind is that your products are typically thought of as the premium offering in the various disciplines you serve. Premium because of functionality, but oftentimes that also comes with a certain price point. When you think about reaching the long tail of engineers that are spending below $1,000, let's say, do you have the right product set and right reach, right go-to-market model to effectively address?
Speaker 0
I think we have. You need the full range. Our traditional product, MicroStation, by which we started the company, is really the entry point for engineers who start working with our software. It remains one of the main growth drivers in SMB. I think that's quite telling, which is that's where we start. When we have accounts who start to use the MicroStation software, they become great targets for upsell to more sophisticated applications that would be more specific to certain assets or to a cross-sell with related engineering applications or collaboration software. We have the full range. Testament to that is just the continued growth that we see in SMB. There's just no slowing down. You heard it in the prepared remarks, more than 600 new logos for the 14th consecutive quarter. Very often those new accounts that we're winning through SMB are actually starting with MicroStation.
Thank you.
Speaker 3
Thanks, Joe. Next question from Kristen Owen from Oppenheimer.
Hi, good morning. Thank you for taking the question. I want to double-click on some of the TAM analysis and ask you about the data center opportunity. Is there a way to understand sort of the Bentley Systems' total addressable market there, whether it's through energy infrastructure, roads that go out to the data center, or even some of the water infrastructure? Beyond that, is there sort of a persona that you're thinking about that you can bundle, any sort of potential external partnerships with hyperscalers, asset owners? Just sort of unpack that data center opportunity for us. Thank you.
Speaker 5
I'm going to let Nicholas respond in the main, but I will say that I'm struck during the quarter by the U.S. AI strategy, which articulates that it needs to include an infrastructure investment strategy for the reasons you described. Of course, this isn't limited merely to the place where the data center sits, but the way it's connected up, especially with the electrical grid. That is a particular opportunity for us. The other aspects of the portfolio beyond merely the building and its structures, our structural analysis software especially is used in that. A data center is a small city altogether and includes all the other aspects of the ecosystem you mentioned. Nicholas, you've been looking at this, I think, more in particular.
Speaker 0
I will say, Chris, the way you're looking at it is the way we're looking at it as well, which is indeed there's a lot of infrastructure related when it comes to data centers that is for the data center itself and then surrounding the data center, as Greg just explained. These are really more like mini cities or campuses, yeah. Whenever you have, let's say, high spatial density with engineering complexity, this is typically a great opportunity for us. We do offer software to design many aspects of the data center and the surroundings of the data center. You mentioned the road, of course, you know, the distribution lines, the water, and so on and so forth. We also offer software that helps put all of this together, understand the interrelationships between all of these infrastructure assets. I think what's interesting with the hyperscalers is they're obviously software-first.
They understand the power of software, and they're quite receptive to the notion of let's make sure that when we design, we design right from the start for operations. We make sure that there's a digital twin that is being created at the moment of design, which is used to schedule and manage the construction, and which will then be used for the operations of the data center. I'm not talking about the inner operation of the data center, obviously, but all the surrounding infrastructure. I think a good, let's say, testament to that is the uptake of Synchro, which is used quite systematically for the construction modeling of data centers by hyperscalers.
Speaker 3
Thanks, Kristen. The next question comes from Jason Celino from KeyBanc.
Great, thanks. Werner, I don't know if I heard you correctly, but did you say that the free cash flow guidance was moving up $15 million because of the benefits from the OBVA? I know there are a couple of ways of recognizing the benefit. I mean, not to get too much in the nitty-gritty, but is this the accelerated adoption, or should we expect multiple years of benefit?
Speaker 0
There will be multiple years of benefits. Jason, the $15 million is for the first year, and it considers actually that we had prepayments already in the first half of the year. The normalized annual benefit that we're seeing for 2025 would be approximately $10 million higher than the $15 million. Based on the prepayments that we took, this will roll over into the 2026 year. We are still evaluating, but we don't plan on an accelerated adoption. That's just a normalized benefit, if you will. You will see more benefits coming over the following years.
OK, amazing. Thank you.
Speaker 3
Thanks, Jason. Next question from Siti Panigrahi from Mizuho.
No, we can't hear you, Siti.
Speaker 0
Still not on.
Speaker 3
OK, maybe we'll move on and come back. Can we get Warren Myers from Griffin Securities, please?
Speaker 5
Yes, good morning. Thank you. This is Warren in for Jay. Quick question. Aside from the plan to incorporate Cesium where appropriate in a portfolio, what are some of the other critical development and deliverables for the next 6 to 12 months, even if you don't expect an immediate impact to revenues? Related to that, over the past few months, Bentley has exhibited an uptrend in the number of R&D openings while keeping sales openings flat. Could you comment on the thinking behind those recent numbers as well? Thank you.
Speaker 0
All right. On the first question, let me take a step back and say that our R&D priorities are AI, Cesium, and then the integration of Cesium integrated across our portfolio, and then the deeper integration of Cesium with iTwin into a unique platform for the built-in natural environment. With respect to Cesium and our progress there, I think in the last quarter we talked about Evo, which is our data and compute platform for geoscience data that is coming out of our Sequin business. This one has already embraced Cesium as the main user interface. As I commented in the prepared remarks, we brought very important iTwin capabilities into the Cesium platform, and we announced that at our very first Cesium developer conference.
The reason why this one is particularly symbolic is you might remember that one of our strategic objectives with the acquisition of Cesium was to leverage the Cesium ecosystem to accelerate the adoption of our iTwin capabilities. There you go now, the iTwin capture capabilities that are used to create reality models, be able to visualize it with Gaussian splats, being able to run the AI on it to detect some features, et cetera. All of those capabilities are now immediately available from within the Cesium platform.
What is also a great validation of that strategy is that one of the longer-term partners of Cesium, which is EarthSpring, a JV which is majority owned by Komatsu in Japan, has agreed with us to expand their partnership from Cesium to iTwin and to adopt iTwin capture and the iTwin platform in order to support their own applications for construction simulation and management. In the last few days, we released MicroStation 2025. Our very core product for generic modeling now has built-in the Cesium integration, so you can actually visualize your designs in full 3D geospatial context, including, by the way, with 3D photo reactive tiles that are coming from Google, leveraging the same technology of Cesium. Some very exciting progress there, and there's more to come.
There is the integration of Cesium and Bentley Infrastructure Cloud, and a lot of that we'll be discussing at our annual conference in a couple of months in Amsterdam. To the second question, which is the fact that you see openings in R&D and you see, however, openings in sales quite flat. I will say probably two things. One is a clear sign that we are able to scale the business without necessarily throwing people at it on the go-to-market side. It speaks a lot to, again, the strengths of our demand environment and the strengths of our products. The other thing I will say is we're quite fast and probably a little faster in hiring go-to-market resources than we are hiring in R&D resources.
Our big focus when it comes to hiring R&D resources is AI, which, again, is our number one priority when it comes to investment this year.
Speaker 3
Thanks. The next question comes from Taylor McGinnis from UBS.
Hey, thank you guys so much for taking the question. It seems like you're well on your way to hitting the midpoint or even slightly above the constant currency ARR guide for this year. In terms of the scenario that could push you to the higher end of the guide to 12.5%, what does that look like? You mentioned the permit reform opportunity earlier on. It sounds like emerging growth opportunities with asset analytics and maybe some of the AI stuff continues to move along nicely. Are there any second-half catalysts that you are particularly excited about that could be a source of upside for us to monitor?
Speaker 5
Taylor, I think you named them, to which I would add that our acquisition strategy this year is focused on asset analytics opportunities rather than broad programmatic acquisitions, as has been the case in the past. We're fussy about those, but nonetheless determined about it. We have not had a significant acquisition since last year's Cesium acquisition, which will roll off here in this third quarter. We are hopeful about such opportunities during the remainder of the year.
Perfect. Thanks so much.
Speaker 3
Yeah, thanks, Taylor. The next question comes from Matthew Bullock from Bank of America.
Hi, good morning, guys. This is Matt on for Koji Ikeda. I wanted to ask a little bit more about asset analytics. Maybe if you could just help remind us the growth profile there, the run rate today, you know, the key areas of execution focus for that business outside of the programmatic and potentially larger acquisitions in that business line. Finally, it sounds like there's some seasonality nuance this year, slightly tougher comps from an ARR perspective. This quarter and third quarter, just maybe help us understand the shift in seasonality in 2025.
Speaker 5
Matt, I'll say that the business, the asset analytics business, isn't yet of such magnitude that we break it out and track it. What I can say is it contributes a lot of our volatility. Such volatility as we have is largely related to that because the rest of everything is subscription-oriented and renewing floors and ceilings and so forth. In asset analytics, we're chasing the major opportunities in the world because we want to get our elbows out and have those proof points. They're large and lumpy when they come. We have also discovered that sometimes they last only a year because the asset analytics are during a construction phase of something, and then you have to sell again to the owner-operator constituencies. We're learning this business as we go.
There was reference to the second and third quarters last year in 2024 being when we won the big deals and we're working on a bunch of them now. You may want to speak about one, Nicholas, that has a particular qualitative aspect that we think is auspicious for the future in the case of Blingsy.
Speaker 0
I will. Before I talk about Blingsy, which is our road monitoring solution, I will say that with the other asset analytics business we have, which is for cell towers, it has indeed been historically volatile because of the reasons that Greg just explained. I think as that business gets bigger, the volatility will decrease, also as we are refocusing on slightly different types of accounts with slightly different use cases. You know, historically, we've been working a lot with equipment manufacturers, for example, that will use our software to inspect towers before and after the installation of that equipment. More and more, we're targeting the actual owners of the cell towers or the mobile operators, and their use case is different because they actually want to monitor those towers on a continuous basis. Therefore, as we win some of their business, we will decrease the volatility.
Now, back to road monitoring solution, indeed a very auspicious opportunity here, as Greg just indicated. Traditionally, we are selling to transportation authorities. Those can be long cycles, by the way, but very worthwhile. I think at some point, we'll pass a tipping point where there will be so many great examples of success of transportation authorities with our software that others will follow much quicker. We now have one very large global engineering services firm, which is leveraging the capabilities to offer their own high-end value services to a U.S. territory. The reason why we like that a lot is because it fits exactly our strategy of asset analytics, where we don't want to necessarily go after all the owner-operators under the sun. We do want to leverage our strong relationship with engineering services firms.
As they diversify their own business beyond product delivery, going into asset operations, and in order to offer these high-value services for asset operations and maintenance, we want to be right there with them, with our software, with our technology, with our platform in order to allow them to do that. We welcome that very positive development, and we hope it's the first of many to come.
Speaker 3
Fantastic. Thank you. Thanks. Let's move on to Wolfe Research for the next question.
Hey, guys. This is Ivan here for Josh. Thanks for taking my question. Can you elaborate on what drove the slight downtick in NRR? When do you sort of expect that to go back to the double-digit range? Thank you.
Speaker 5
I think it's teetering between 109% and 110%. If you think of our business generally, you know, half of our NRR or so is from price escalation, the other half variously from the contributors to consumption otherwise. Then there's another 3%, which is from new names on top of the NRR that makes up our ARR growth, as that is 11.5% or so. It's all rather consistent, but rounds up or down, you could say they're from 9% to 10%, but I realize that's from one to two digits also. I think it's kind of accidentally in that range. Werner, would you like to comment more quantitatively than that answer?
Speaker 0
Yeah, I think you're spot on. If I go to the numbers, I think it was like 9.45 rounding down to 9. It is within that 9% to 10% range, and it did round down to 9. There's nothing really significantly driving kind of a shift from 10% to 9%. It's within that range, and that's a solid range for us.
Speaker 5
I guess something to remember about NRR is it looks back altogether fully two years. There's a lot of China in that, China pressure in that still. At some point, the China ARR down draft has to slow down because it's down to only 2% of ARR at the moment. When you look back fully a year ago versus two years ago, it's pretty significant.
Speaker 3
Thanks. Last questions will come from Mizuho.
Speaker 0
Thank you. We also look at other vertical names like Cadence, Synopsys. One of the common themes we hear across all the verticals these days is shortage of engineers and how AI is helping to kind of help that problem through agentic AI. That is like the rave in the AI world these days. Given all the acquisitions in Cesium and the inroads into the AI world, I'm curious how you're thinking about agentic AI in your products going forward. Where are you in the process right now? What's your vision going forward? How does it help alleviate the shortage?
Speaker 5
Siti, I'm going to ask Nicholas in the main to respond. This notion of quantifying consumption volume, number of engineers especially, is a reason that I wanted to look back and get new data from Cambashi on the census of engineers. Of course, the past five years won't be like the next five years with agentic AI. In effect, we've been experiencing some of what comes about when there are fewer users. I think there are fewer users in the advanced economies in those level one countries. There are fewer, but they're spending more. You can't assume there's going to be more of them or that they will be spending more time on doing one thing. For one thing, they're going to be having their agents spending some of the time. I know Nicholas is going to talk perhaps about some of the directions commercially that that implies.
Generally, what I'm confident about is that they'll each spend more. The particularly unique aspect of this for infrastructure engineering is that the bulk of our end markets, or half of them, the engineering services firms themselves have primarily been charging per hour. AI is going to change the ways in which they will need to monetize their services. We can help them and participate with them in ways of getting compensated for value over time. In other words, we're not on the other side of that. We're on the same side of that with our users and helping them to generate this step function. They need to generate more value because there are fewer of them doing more work. They need to be paid for that step in valuation.
We'll be measuring things in different ways, in incremental ways, and so forth that I know Nicholas and team have already been exploring as we're about to bring one AI native, if I guess that's an extreme term, but one AI-based product to market, as you know or might know. Nicholas, perhaps over to you on that.
Speaker 0
Siti, thank you for asking that question. It's great to end this conversation with this question because it is so much about the future of infrastructure overall. AI comes up in every CEO conversation I have with engineering services firms. It's really top of mind because of this backdrop we've been in discussing quite a lot on so much demand, yet so few engineers to do the work. Engineering services firms are absolutely leaning in to adopt AI. It starts with simply using AI for normal business tasks, like I'm sure many of you here in the call are doing already. It's also more and more leveraging AI for engineering tasks. It will start there by leveraging whenever they can capabilities that are coming from software vendors. We talked about one very large global engineering services firm leveraging our own solution for road monitoring, which is Blingsy for asset analytics.
Of course, they're also very, very interested in leveraging the capabilities that we're building for design. Coming to agentic AI now, I think this is where we're going to see indeed a step function in productivity from those firms. We're talking about their core market. We're talking about the core engineering design work, where through AI, we can automate all the mundane tasks that are just sucking time away from engineers to do what they really like to do, what they're really supposed to do. For example, automating drawings, production, etc. We announced early access to our site engineering application called OpenSite+ at Y last year. We'll talk about the progress we've made at Y this year. The engagement with accounts with this product is truly impressive.
I think everybody sees the potential with this product itself, but everybody sees the potential beyond for other engineering disciplines, for other engineering applications. While we are hardening that product to make it available for a more general availability, we are also working actively in expanding those capabilities to other engineering applications. The last thing I will say is we see many engineering services firms who are building up their own teams with AI specialists, with data scientists. They're creating their own AI agents. I think we are very well positioned to support because many of them, and we would like all of them, are leveraging Bentley Infrastructure Cloud, where they bring all of their engineering files that are coming from all sorts of vendors, very often Bentley, sometimes not Bentley. Our platform is completely open. It can ingest all sorts of file formats.
The more important thing is when we ingest those files, we basically map the data in those files to schemas so that we make that data available for AI. We're beautifully positioned to help them tap into past designs in order to provide a context for the AI agents to make recommendations going forward. We're really very much at the beginning of this, but we're all very encouraged to see those developments. We're very excited about it. We'll discuss it more at our annual conference later this year. What I will say is that, and I will end there, the potential productivity gains for everyone involved in the ecosystem of infrastructure through AI are such that we're going to see value redistribution. We're going to see business models changing and potentially our own business model changing in order to support it.
Great, thank you.
Speaker 3
Thanks. We have one more. Dylan popped on from William Blair. Go ahead, Dylan.
Thanks, sir. Hey, guys. Maybe Nicholas, to that point in particular as well, too. It sounds like the idea of permitting reform coming through incremental productivity and maybe conviction that you're seeing from customers with higher floors on the E365 callers, if you will. I wonder how you think about that evolution playing out from a pricing perspective as they're maybe able to work through those backlogs a bit faster, draw down on that spend faster. Does that mean accelerated growth for Bentley? Maybe is it visibility into the durability of that growth? How should we be thinking of the implications within the pricing structure?
Speaker 0
I mean, the confidence that we're seeing from our accounts, whether large or small, is what's really playing out at the moment of renewals and with our larger accounts. This is where we agree together on both higher floors and higher ceilings. Of course, they come together in the low double-digit %, let's say around 10%. It's just a sign of the confidence. Right, I think from a pricing standpoint, we always make sure that we capture our fair share of the value that our software provides. When it comes to our applications overall, we've been quite consistent with our price escalations in the mid-single digits. We were quite reasonable at the time of very high inflation not to go too high. Therefore, we were able to continue to increase our prices in the mid-single digits.
Now, when it comes to AI, we're going to see if the way we—I'm not talking about the price point now—but the way we price, the metrics we use are adapted. For the most part, our applications are based on users. They are either subscription when it comes to our SMB segment or their application days usage when it comes to our enterprise accounts on E365. Of course, we have a number of applications targeted for asset operations that use different metrics, like assets, number of assets. Definitely the case of AssetWise historically and the case of the new applications we have for asset analytics that we talked about, road monitoring and cell towers.
Now, when it comes to AI for design, the feedback that we're getting for the first accounts that are testing OpenSite+ is that maybe indeed right now it's a bridge too far to change completely the pricing metric. We still need a user component. Maybe application days usage is not the most appropriate pricing metric because the value of the software cannot really be necessarily translated in the actual usage and number of days. The productivity gains are so much that we may need something else. With them, at least the agreement is we'll start with a subscription, term-based subscription. We will have an add-on or additional charges that kick in as soon as the usage of AI is extensive and goes way beyond what a normal engineer will be able to do in a given time. Yeah, that's going to be an evolution.
Right, we're doing this not in isolation. We're doing this constantly discussing with our accounts on what is appropriate going forward. We're seeing openness for alternative pricing metrics going forward. This is going to take a little while. We're very much early stage.
Speaker 3
Very helpful. Thank you.
Speaker 5
I will make sure that we don't fail to do a commercial for our Year in Infrastructure conference in Amsterdam in October. Many of you have attended and found it very worthwhile. Just to tease a bit, this year, the Going Digital Awards, the finalists are all there and will be presenting their projects. We asked them each this year how they were using AI. I was very impressed with the things that we didn't anticipate that we heard in terms of ways in which they're using AI. They'll be talking about that in their presentations. We announced the finalists earlier this week. Of note, I think I have this right. There's the nine.
Speaker 3
From the U.S., ten from Europe, and then, that number put together, 19, I think it is, or 18 from Asia. It's just a picture of where in the world innovation is occurring. I hope you'll try to join us there in Amsterdam. One last thing as we have time here about, and the beginning of your question was about permitting reform. Here in the U.S., there's not going to be apparently one big beautiful permitting reform bill, but everything that's going on is encouraging and enabling and accelerating infrastructure investment generally, but especially for the electric grid. I like to say that data center isn't the main reason for that.
Data center just being added at the margin to what is already an overtaxed electric grid, for reasons of data center, it's having to run at even greater capacity beyond design capacity with issues of resilience and so forth that we've seen elsewhere in the world. Those are what it feels like. Nicholas mentioned, in addition to PowerLine Systems, seeing green shoots as well with new mining. We hope, we think it's too soon to call a change there, but we may be reporting further about that at Year in Infrastructure as well, I hope. I hope to see you there. I'm not sure I'll be there, in favor of Nicholas, but it will be well worth hearing more about the subject we've been talking about today in October in Amsterdam.
Speaker 1
Thanks, Greg. That concludes our call today. We thank you for your interest and time in Bentley Systems. Please reach out to Investor Relations with further questions and follow-ups, and we look forward to updating you on our performance in the coming quarters.
Speaker 3
Thanks.