BS
BENTLEY SYSTEMS INC (BSY)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q1 2025 delivered a clean beat on both revenue ($370.5M) and Adjusted EPS ($0.35) versus S&P Global consensus, with GAAP diluted EPS at $0.28; management reaffirmed the full-year 2025 outlook and highlighted an incremental ~$20M FX tailwind to Q2–Q4 revenues if late‑April rates persist . Consensus: Revenue $366.6M*, EPS $0.30* (beats) (Values retrieved from S&P Global).
- Mix and profitability improved: subscriptions grew 11–13% y/y and reached 92% of total revenue; AOI less SBC margin rose to 34.1% and operating margin to 31.1%, aided by subscription mix, scale, and OpEx seasonality .
- Demand backdrop remains resilient: ARR +12% y/y cc; NRR 110%; E365 renewals and SMB new logos (>600 for the 13th straight quarter) supported growth; Public Works & Utilities led, India strong, China <2.5% of ARR as expected .
- Strategic catalysts: expanded Google partnership for asset analytics (Blyncsy + Street View + Vertex AI), FedRAMP progress for OpenGround (ProjectWise to follow), and Seequent Evo launch bolster AI/analytics and government exposure narratives for 2H and beyond .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Beat and reaffirm: Revenue $370.5M (+9.7% y/y reported) and Adjusted EPS $0.35 exceeded consensus, with ARR growth +12% cc and strong FCF ($216M); full‑year outlook maintained; FX now a potential ~$20M tailwind to Q2–Q4 revenues . Consensus: Rev $366.6M*, EPS $0.30* (Values retrieved from S&P Global).
- Mix and margins: Subscriptions at 92% of revenue; AOI less SBC margin 34.1% (+80 bps y/y) and operating margin 31.1% (+390 bps y/y) supported by revenue mix and back‑half‑loaded OpEx .
- Strategic progress: Asset analytics momentum (two new DOT wins; Google Street View + Vertex AI integration), FedRAMP In Process for OpenGround (ProjectWise next), and Seequent Evo launch position BSY for broader TAM capture .
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What Went Wrong
- Services softness: Professional services declined 18% y/y and now 5% of revenue, reflecting Cohesive’s lower Maximo work; services continue to be volatile and low-margin .
- China headwinds persist: China (<2.5% of ARR) performed as expected amid economic/geopolitical pressures; ARR ex‑China grew 12.5% y/y but China remains a drag .
- Seasonality and timing: Management again flagged back‑half weighting of ARR growth (Q3 seasonal low expected) and timing of asset analytics deals versus prior year, tempering linear extrapolation of Q1 strength .
Financial Results
Headline Metrics vs Prior Year and Prior Quarter
Notes: AOI less SBC is comparable to the prior “Adjusted OI w/SBC” measure; naming updated in Q1 2025 .
Revenue Mix
KPIs and Cash Metrics
CSS deposits were reclassified to a separate line and primarily relate to E365 pre-funded consumption; management highlighted the working capital support and growth (+$78M y/y to $448M) .
Results vs S&P Global Consensus
Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Our results position us well in regard to our financial outlook for the year… The fundamentals of our demand environment remain the same: a critical need for better and more resilient infrastructure, a continued shortage of engineers, and backlogs extending further out.” — CEO Nicholas Cumins .
- “Subscription revenues now represent 92% of total revenues… Our SMB and E365 initiatives continue to be solid contributors… AOI less SBC was $126M… margin of 34.1%.” — CFO Werner Andre .
- “Our ARR directly from infrastructure owner operators has now reached parity with… contractors… Recurring revenues have now reached a high watermark of 92% of total.” — Executive Chair Greg Bentley .
- “If end of April exchange rates would prevail throughout the remainder of the year, our Q2 to Q4 GAAP revenues will be positively impacted by approximately $20 million.” — CFO Werner Andre .
- “We are going one step further… leveraging Google Street View data and Vertex AI [in Blyncsy]… we expect higher win rates and larger reach.” — CEO Nicholas Cumins .
Q&A Highlights
- U.S. funding mix and IIJA priorities: Headline federal funding expected to remain, with mix shifting (more roads vs rail) and focus on permitting reform/efficiencies—positive for BSY’s road and grid exposure .
- Macro sensitivity: Commercial facilities/industrial remain more cyclical; industrial sentiment improving in the U.S. with reshoring initiatives; April trends similar to March consistent with reaffirmed guide .
- ARR linearity/seasonality: Q1 ARR +2.1% q/q (vs +2.2% prior year); quarterly ARR growth back‑half weighted; Q3 expected seasonal low due to prior deal timing and Cesium roll‑off .
- Asset analytics momentum: Two new DOT wins (Florida, Michigan) in Q1; Google integrations expected to expand geographies and win rates; telecom analytics also grew with net tower adds .
- AI in products and internally: OpenSite Plus automates drawings; extending to other civil disciplines; internal AI tools saving 10–20% developer time .
Estimates Context
- Q1 2025 results beat S&P Global consensus on revenue and EPS: Revenue $366.6M* vs actual $370.5M; Adjusted EPS $0.30* vs actual $0.35. Estimate counts: 15 revenue, 13 EPS* (Values retrieved from S&P Global). Actuals per 8‑K .
- Implications: Modest upward bias to FY revenue modeling given FX tailwind commentary (~$20M to Q2–Q4) and subscriptions mix, with estimate revisions likely to focus on margin durability given reiterated +100 bps AOI w/SBC expansion target .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Quality beat with improving mix: Subscriptions at 92% and AOI less SBC margin at 34.1% underpin defensibility; services exposure continues to shrink .
- Guide intact with FX upside: 2025 outlook reaffirmed across revenue, ARR, margin, FCF; incremental ~$20M FX tailwind to Q2–Q4 a subtle positive .
- Demand visibility: NRR at 110%, ARR +12% cc, E365 multi‑year floors/ceilings and SMB engine (>600 new logos via online store) sustain growth trajectory .
- Asset analytics optionality: Google integrations (Street View + Vertex AI) and Q1 DOT wins provide a pipeline for out‑year growth and narrative expansion beyond core design tools .
- Government channel unlock: FedRAMP progress (OpenGround In Process; ProjectWise next) and USACE sponsorship open federal opportunities; aligns with IIJA and permitting reform momentum .
- Regional balance, China contained: Strength in Americas/EMEA/India offsets China (<2.5% ARR) softness; supports diversified growth .
- Capital allocation supports deleveraging and returns: Senior debt fully paid down; net leverage 2.4x adj. EBITDA; dividend raised to $0.07 and maintained in Q2; buybacks offset SBC dilution .
Values retrieved from S&P Global.