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BlueLinx Holdings Inc. (BXC)·Q3 2026 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • BlueLinx’s latest reported quarter is Q3 2025 (three months ended September 27, 2025); Q3 2026 materials are not yet available. Results: net sales $748.9M, GAAP diluted EPS $0.20, adjusted diluted EPS $0.45, gross margin 14.4%, adjusted EBITDA $22.4M .
  • The company modestly grew sales year over year (+0.2%), but margins compressed; adjusted EPS and revenue both missed Wall Street consensus (EPS $0.45 vs $0.5125; revenue $748.9M vs $757.1M), driven by specialty margin pressure and prior-period import duty adjustments; stock fell ~2.8% post-report .
  • Management highlighted specialty volume growth (EWP, outdoor living), continued digital transformation and AI productivity initiatives, and strategic M&A—closing Disdero ($96M, ~7x TTM EBITDA post-synergies) funded with cash; outlook for early Q4 2025 specialty GM 17–18% and structural GM 8–9% maintained .
  • Liquidity remained strong ($429.4M cash; total availability $776.6M; net leverage ex real estate finance leases at (0.5x)); free cash flow was $52.7M on improved working capital .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Specialty volumes grew despite a soft housing backdrop: EWP volumes up low double digits and outdoor living up low single digits; pricing deflation stabilized, supporting narrative into 2026 .
  • Strong liquidity and FCF: $429.4M cash, $776.6M available liquidity; Q3 operating cash flow $58.6M and FCF $52.7M, aided by disciplined inventory management .
  • Strategic expansion: Disdero acquisition enhances premium specialty mix and western footprint; management expects immediate accretion and ~7x TTM EBITDA post-synergies and tax benefits .

What Went Wrong

  • Margin compression: Company gross margin fell 240 bps YoY to 14.4% (specialty GM to 16.6%) due to price deflation and $2.2M import duty-related expense; structural GM declined to 9.3% on panel pricing .
  • Earnings/Revenue miss vs consensus: Adjusted EPS $0.45 vs $0.5125 and net sales $748.9M vs $757.1M; stock dipped ~2.8% on the miss .
  • Macro headwinds: Elevated mortgage rates, affordability, import duties/tariffs, and softer single-family starts pressured volumes and margins; management expects improvement in the back half of 2026 .

Financial Results

Headline metrics vs prior quarters

MetricQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Revenue ($USD Millions)$709.0 $780.0 $748.9
GAAP Diluted EPS ($USD)$0.33 $0.54 $0.20
Adjusted Diluted EPS ($USD)$0.27 $0.70 $0.45
Company Gross Margin %15.7% 15.3% 14.4%
Specialty Gross Margin %18.7% 18.5% 16.6%
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$19.6 $26.8 $22.4

Segment breakdown (Q3 2025)

SegmentNet Sales ($USD Millions)Gross Profit ($USD Millions)Gross Margin %
Specialty$525.5 $87.35 16.6%
Structural$223.4 $20.84 9.3%

KPIs and balance sheet

MetricQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Operating Cash Flow ($USD Millions)$(34) $(27) $58.6
Free Cash Flow ($USD Millions)$(40) $(36) $52.7
Cash and Cash Equivalents ($USD Millions)$449.0 $387.0 $429.4
Net Debt excl. Real Property Finance Leases ($USD Millions)$(74.7) $(11.0) $(49.1)

Q3 2025 vs S&P Global Consensus

MetricActualConsensusNotes
Revenue ($USD Millions)$748.9 $757.1*Miss
Adjusted Diluted EPS ($USD)$0.45 $0.5125*Miss

Values with asterisk (*) retrieved from S&P Global.

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Specialty Gross MarginEarly Q3 → Early Q4 202517–18% (Q3 outlook from Q2 release) 17–18% (Q4 outlook) Maintained
Structural Gross MarginEarly Q3 → Early Q4 20258–9% (Q3 outlook from Q2 release) 8–9% (Q4 outlook) Maintained
Average Daily Sales VolumesEarly Q3 vs Q2/Q3’24 → Early Q4 vs Q3’25/Q4’24Up slightly vs Q2; consistent vs Q3’24 Down slightly vs Q3’25 and Q4’24 Lower
Tax RateQ4 2025N/A27%–31% New

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q-2 and Q-1)Current Period (Q3 2025)Trend
Digital transformation and AIInvestments ongoing; optimization efforts noted Phase I on track; OTM rollout; e-commerce pilot; broad AI agent access via Microsoft to boost productivity Expanding execution
Specialty pricing/marginsSpecialty GM 18.7% (Q1); 18.5% (Q2); pricing deflation noted Specialty GM 16.6% (17.0% ex duty expense); pricing stabilized (flat YoY) Stabilizing after compression
Multifamily channelStrategic focus and growth initiative Anticipates rebound; longer inventory turns/lower GM; supports product conversion Growing focus; mixed margin impact
Tariffs/duties/macroTariffs highlighted as margin headwind; plan to pass through via price increases $2.2M import duty expense; macro softness (rates, affordability, starts) Persistent headwind
Capital allocation (M&A/buybacks)New $50M authorization; $20M repurchased (Q2) Disdero acquisition; $2.7M Q3 repurchases; $58.7M authorization remaining Active; balanced

Management Commentary

  • “Our third quarter results demonstrated continued resilience… increase in consolidated net sales… specialty product net sales and volumes… Structural products benefited from a year-over-year increase in lumber prices, although panel pricing continued to see pressure.” — Shyam Reddy, CEO .
  • “We generated strong free cash flow… maintain a strong balance sheet and liquidity… acquisition is anticipated to enhance the margin profile of specialty products, and… immediately accretive to earnings.” — C. Kelly Wall, CFO .
  • “We are very excited about the acquisition of Disdero… premium specialty wood products… expected to serve as a catalyst for growth… enhances our specialty products focus, geographic expansion and channel diversification.” — Shyam Reddy, CEO .

Q&A Highlights

  • Disdero deal rationale/multiple: Management comfortable with 7x TTM EBITDA post-synergies given higher-margin specialty focus, cost synergies ($1M) and expected revenue synergies as products roll across branches .
  • SG&A trajectory: Q3 SG&A as % of sales lower than expected; anticipate slight elevation YoY due to multifamily/digital investments, with actions benefiting 2026 .
  • Specialty margin uptick early Q4: Rebate activity normalizing; specialty GM tracking 17–18% to start Q4 .
  • Inventory discipline: No “build it and they will come”; tighter inventory aligned to demand across specialty and structural .
  • EWP pricing: Stabilizing sequentially; faster turns on EWP plans and value-add services to drive margin capture .

Estimates Context

  • Q3 2025 adjusted EPS of $0.45 missed S&P Global consensus of $0.5125, and net sales of $748.9M missed $757.1M; misses driven by duty-related expense ($2.2M), specialty price deflation, and panel price declines . Consensus values marked with asterisk (*) retrieved from S&P Global.
  • With early Q4 specialty GM running 17–18% and structural at 8–9%, estimate revisions may modestly lower near-term EPS/revenue assumptions while recognizing margin stabilization in specialty .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Near term: Margin compression and small misses likely cap upside; watch rebate normalization, specialty pricing stabilization, and duty/tariff impacts for trading catalysts .
  • Liquidity/FCF strength provides downside support and optionality for buybacks/bolt-ons; net leverage ex real estate finance leases at (0.5x) .
  • Strategic mix shift toward premium specialty and multifamily positioning (Disdero, Oldcastle APG expanded distribution) should aid medium-term margin trajectory and geographic reach .
  • Macro sensitivity remains high (rates, affordability, starts); management expects back-half 2026 improvement—align positioning with a recovery timeline .
  • Monitor Q4 2025 tax rate (27–31%) and SG&A investment pace to assess EPS flow-through and 2026 operating leverage .
  • For Q3 2026, prepare to benchmark against current margin ranges and specialty volume trends; use Q3 2025 as baseline until new filings/transcripts are available .

Sources

Press release and 8-K:
Earnings call transcript:
Disdero acquisition PR:
Oldcastle APG partnership PR:
Prior-quarter press releases: Q1 , Q2
Stock reaction:
Consensus estimates: S&P Global (see asterisked values; “Values retrieved from S&P Global”).