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BlueLinx Holdings Inc. (BXC)·Q3 2026 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- BlueLinx’s latest reported quarter is Q3 2025 (three months ended September 27, 2025); Q3 2026 materials are not yet available. Results: net sales $748.9M, GAAP diluted EPS $0.20, adjusted diluted EPS $0.45, gross margin 14.4%, adjusted EBITDA $22.4M .
- The company modestly grew sales year over year (+0.2%), but margins compressed; adjusted EPS and revenue both missed Wall Street consensus (EPS $0.45 vs $0.5125; revenue $748.9M vs $757.1M), driven by specialty margin pressure and prior-period import duty adjustments; stock fell ~2.8% post-report .
- Management highlighted specialty volume growth (EWP, outdoor living), continued digital transformation and AI productivity initiatives, and strategic M&A—closing Disdero ($96M, ~7x TTM EBITDA post-synergies) funded with cash; outlook for early Q4 2025 specialty GM 17–18% and structural GM 8–9% maintained .
- Liquidity remained strong ($429.4M cash; total availability $776.6M; net leverage ex real estate finance leases at (0.5x)); free cash flow was $52.7M on improved working capital .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Specialty volumes grew despite a soft housing backdrop: EWP volumes up low double digits and outdoor living up low single digits; pricing deflation stabilized, supporting narrative into 2026 .
- Strong liquidity and FCF: $429.4M cash, $776.6M available liquidity; Q3 operating cash flow $58.6M and FCF $52.7M, aided by disciplined inventory management .
- Strategic expansion: Disdero acquisition enhances premium specialty mix and western footprint; management expects immediate accretion and ~7x TTM EBITDA post-synergies and tax benefits .
What Went Wrong
- Margin compression: Company gross margin fell 240 bps YoY to 14.4% (specialty GM to 16.6%) due to price deflation and $2.2M import duty-related expense; structural GM declined to 9.3% on panel pricing .
- Earnings/Revenue miss vs consensus: Adjusted EPS $0.45 vs $0.5125 and net sales $748.9M vs $757.1M; stock dipped ~2.8% on the miss .
- Macro headwinds: Elevated mortgage rates, affordability, import duties/tariffs, and softer single-family starts pressured volumes and margins; management expects improvement in the back half of 2026 .
Financial Results
Headline metrics vs prior quarters
Segment breakdown (Q3 2025)
KPIs and balance sheet
Q3 2025 vs S&P Global Consensus
Values with asterisk (*) retrieved from S&P Global.
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Our third quarter results demonstrated continued resilience… increase in consolidated net sales… specialty product net sales and volumes… Structural products benefited from a year-over-year increase in lumber prices, although panel pricing continued to see pressure.” — Shyam Reddy, CEO .
- “We generated strong free cash flow… maintain a strong balance sheet and liquidity… acquisition is anticipated to enhance the margin profile of specialty products, and… immediately accretive to earnings.” — C. Kelly Wall, CFO .
- “We are very excited about the acquisition of Disdero… premium specialty wood products… expected to serve as a catalyst for growth… enhances our specialty products focus, geographic expansion and channel diversification.” — Shyam Reddy, CEO .
Q&A Highlights
- Disdero deal rationale/multiple: Management comfortable with
7x TTM EBITDA post-synergies given higher-margin specialty focus, cost synergies ($1M) and expected revenue synergies as products roll across branches . - SG&A trajectory: Q3 SG&A as % of sales lower than expected; anticipate slight elevation YoY due to multifamily/digital investments, with actions benefiting 2026 .
- Specialty margin uptick early Q4: Rebate activity normalizing; specialty GM tracking 17–18% to start Q4 .
- Inventory discipline: No “build it and they will come”; tighter inventory aligned to demand across specialty and structural .
- EWP pricing: Stabilizing sequentially; faster turns on EWP plans and value-add services to drive margin capture .
Estimates Context
- Q3 2025 adjusted EPS of $0.45 missed S&P Global consensus of $0.5125, and net sales of $748.9M missed $757.1M; misses driven by duty-related expense ($2.2M), specialty price deflation, and panel price declines . Consensus values marked with asterisk (*) retrieved from S&P Global.
- With early Q4 specialty GM running 17–18% and structural at 8–9%, estimate revisions may modestly lower near-term EPS/revenue assumptions while recognizing margin stabilization in specialty .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Near term: Margin compression and small misses likely cap upside; watch rebate normalization, specialty pricing stabilization, and duty/tariff impacts for trading catalysts .
- Liquidity/FCF strength provides downside support and optionality for buybacks/bolt-ons; net leverage ex real estate finance leases at (0.5x) .
- Strategic mix shift toward premium specialty and multifamily positioning (Disdero, Oldcastle APG expanded distribution) should aid medium-term margin trajectory and geographic reach .
- Macro sensitivity remains high (rates, affordability, starts); management expects back-half 2026 improvement—align positioning with a recovery timeline .
- Monitor Q4 2025 tax rate (27–31%) and SG&A investment pace to assess EPS flow-through and 2026 operating leverage .
- For Q3 2026, prepare to benchmark against current margin ranges and specialty volume trends; use Q3 2025 as baseline until new filings/transcripts are available .
Sources
Press release and 8-K:
Earnings call transcript:
Disdero acquisition PR:
Oldcastle APG partnership PR:
Prior-quarter press releases: Q1 , Q2
Stock reaction:
Consensus estimates: S&P Global (see asterisked values; “Values retrieved from S&P Global”).