BH
BEAZER HOMES USA INC (BZH)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Revenue grew modestly to $565.3M (+3.2% YoY) with diluted EPS of $0.42 (vs. $1.26 YoY) as homebuilding gross margin compressed to 15.1%, while adjusted gross margin excluding interest improved sequentially to 18.3%; Adjusted EBITDA was $38.8M .
- Orders softened: net new orders -15.5% YoY on slower sales pace (2.3 per community per month), and backlog dollar value -22.7% YoY; community count rose 11.7% YoY to 162, supporting revenue resiliency amid demand headwinds .
- Capital allocation pivot: authorized a new $100M multi‑year buyback (repurchased $20.6M in Q2 at $22.73/share) and extended multi‑year goals timelines to FY27; added a new goal for double‑digit BVPS CAGR through FY27, reflecting focus on buybacks below book value and moderated growth/deleveraging cadence .
- Q3 outlook: 1,050–1,100 closings, ASP ~ $525k, adjusted gross margin up slightly q/q, SG&A <12%, ~ $40M Adjusted EBITDA, EPS > $0.40; FY25 outlook includes adjusted gross margin ~18.5%, ASP ~ $520k, SG&A ~11%, and reduced land spend of $750–$800M .
- Potential stock reaction catalysts: the $100M buyback, sequential margin stabilization and Q3 EPS > $0.40 guide; risks include affordability-driven demand softness, elevated spec mix and higher cancellations .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Better-than-anticipated earnings on growing community count, improved cycle times, modest sequential gross margin increase, and disciplined overheads; “Adjusted EBITDA of $38.8M and EPS $0.42” .
- Capital allocation sharpened: $100M repurchase authorization and rationale to buy at “substantial discount to book value” while moderating growth/deleveraging pace .
- Differentiation on energy efficiency: nearly 99% of Q2 starts were Zero Energy Ready; management notes ZER homes have carried better margins than prior series, supporting pricing power over time .
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What Went Wrong
- Demand/sales pace weakened: net new orders -15.5% YoY; orders per community per month fell to 2.3; cancellation rate rose to 16.9% (vs. 12.2% a year ago) amid affordability and sentiment headwinds .
- Margin pressure: homebuilding gross margin fell to 15.1% (-360 bps YoY), driven by higher price concessions/closing cost incentives, elevated spec mix, and product/community mix shifts .
- Backlog/liquidity/ leverage mixed: backlog dollar value -22.7% YoY; liquidity $377.7M (down vs. $432.9M YoY); net debt to net cap 44.8% (vs. 43.4% YoY), reflecting the environment and capital deployment .
Financial Results
Segment revenue by region (YoY view)
Key KPIs and operating metrics
Non-GAAP notes: Q2 2025 homebuilding gross margin excluding I&A and interest was 18.3% (vs. 21.7% in Q2 2024) . Q2 2024 included an $8.6M gain on sale of an investment recognized in other income .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “In our second quarter we made progress towards our Multi‑Year Goals and surpassed our profitability expectations despite challenging macroeconomic conditions… Adjusted EBITDA of $38.8 million, net income of $12.8 million and EPS of $0.42” (Allan Merrill, CEO) .
- “Presented with the opportunity to buy back stock at less than half of book value, we think it is appropriate to slow the rate of growth in our community count and… deleveraging” (Allan Merrill, CEO) .
- “We anticipate closing between 1,050 and 1,100 homes [Q3]… adjusted gross margin should be up slightly sequentially… [and] diluted EPS above $0.40” (David Goldberg, CFO) .
- “Nearly 99% of our second fiscal quarter new home starts [were] Zero Energy Ready” (Press release) .
- “Could we have cut prices more to drive some volume? Maybe. But… we want to preserve the value of the land that we have and the lots that we have” (David Goldberg, CFO) .
Q&A Highlights
- Affordability & timelines: Management is not assuming affordability improves soon; extended community count goal provides capital allocation flexibility; still investing for growth into 2026–27 despite headwinds .
- Book value per share: DTA <10% of book value; BVPS growth primarily from earnings and buybacks; targeting double‑digit BVPS CAGR to mid‑$50s by FY27 .
- Repurchase cadence: Will balance land opportunities, growth, leverage, and share returns; all tools (including ASR) are “in the toolkit” if conditions warrant .
- Margins & pricing posture: Chose not to over‑incentivize to chase orders; sequential margin improvement driven by better spec profitability, product standardization, ZER build efficiencies, and new community deliveries; spec mix remains a headwind .
- Overheads & land discipline: Expect SG&A leverage as revenue grows; may renegotiate land terms; willing to walk from deals that don’t meet updated return hurdles .
Estimates Context
- We attempted to retrieve S&P Global consensus for Q2 2025 (EPS, revenue, EBITDA), but the feed did not return estimates for that quarter in our query; as a result, we cannot quantify beats/misses vs Street for Q2 2025. S&P Global consensus for adjacent periods (e.g., Q4 2025) is available but not relevant to this Q2 recap [GetEstimates]. Values retrieved from S&P Global*.
- Management indicated “better‑than‑anticipated earnings,” but this reflects internal expectations, not consensus .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Demand remains affordability‑constrained: orders and pace weakened, and cancellations ticked up, but higher community count and improved cycle times supported revenue .
- Margins are stabilizing: adjusted gross margin improved sequentially and is guided slightly up in H2, though spec mix keeps pressure vs. prior year .
- Capital returns front‑and‑center: new $100M buyback authorization and rationale to repurchase below book value; expect a balanced approach alongside moderated growth and deleveraging .
- FY25 operating guardrails: adj GM ~18.5%, ASP ~ $520k, SG&A ~11%, land spend $750–$800M; Q3 EPS guided above $0.40—near‑term earnings support despite softer demand .
- Strategic differentiation: ZER leadership (nearly 99% of starts) should aid margins and pricing power over time; operational efficiencies from standardization continue to accrue .
- Watch list: sales pace trajectory into summer, spec mix normalization, land renegotiation outcomes, and execution against community count growth into FY26–27 .
- Near‑term trading setup: buyback authorization and sequential margin uptick are supportive; downside risks include further demand softness and elevated spec mix diluting margins .