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BEAZER HOMES USA INC (BZH)·Q4 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q4 FY25 delivered a clean top- and bottom-line beat: total revenue was $791.9M vs consensus $674.8M*, and diluted EPS was $1.02 vs consensus $0.80*; adjusted EBITDA was $63.8M as spec-driven incentives weighed on gross margins but strong closings boosted operating leverage .
- Homebuilding gross margin compressed to 13.7% GAAP and 17.2% ex-I&A/interest, reflecting higher spec mix and mortgage buydowns; SG&A improved to 9.6% of revenue, aided by scale and cost actions .
- FY26 setup: management guides Q1 FY26 to a net loss of ~$0.50 EPS with ~800 closings, ASP ~$515k, and ~16% adjusted gross margin; full-year plan targets a 5–10% increase in closings, ~300 bps margin improvement by Q4 via $10k/unit cost savings, mix shift, and new communities, aiming to meet/exceed FY25 adjusted EBITDA .
- Strategic catalysts: >$100M of non-strategic asset sales (at/above book) to recycle capital, continued deleveraging, and at least 1.5M share repurchases in FY26; liquidity remains robust at $538M with no maturities until Oct-2027 .
- Brand and differentiation: “Enjoy the Great Indoors” campaign enhances awareness of energy efficiency/health value proposition, supporting price realization and sales conversion as affordability improves .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Strong closings and operating leverage: 1,406 closings drove EPS $1.02 and SG&A at 9.6% of revenue; adjusted EBITDA reached $63.8M despite margin pressure .
- Cost and efficiency actions: management rebid labor/materials for ~$10k per home savings and executed 83 model-home sale-leasebacks to free cash; “run-rate” SG&A reductions ~$12M/yr from a Q4 reduction in force .
- Strategic repositioning and liquidity: $63M FY25 asset sales with ~$7M profit; plan for >$100M asset sales in FY26; liquidity $538.3M, $214.7M cash, undrawn revolver .
Quote: “We rebid our material and labor costs… savings of about $10,000 per home… and completed a reduction in force… ~$12 million per year” .
What Went Wrong
- Margin compression: GAAP homebuilding gross margin fell 350 bps YoY to 13.7%; adjusted margin ex-I&A/interest fell 320 bps to 17.2%, driven by larger incentives and higher spec mix .
- Demand softness and backlog decline: net orders pace down to 2.0 per community per month; backlog units fell 36.2% YoY to 945, backlog dollars down 35.2% .
- Regional/price tier headwinds: more aggressive incentives in sub-$500k communities and elevated spec reliance pressured profitability; Texas sales pace still sub-2.0, though improved sequentially .
Financial Results
Estimates vs Actuals (Q4 FY25):
Note: *Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Segment Breakdown (Q4 FY25 vs Q4 FY24):
KPIs and Operating Metrics:
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “In the fourth quarter, we… exceed[ed] our expectations for home closings and profitability… average active community count of 164, up 14%… reduced net debt to net capitalization below 40%” .
- “Savings of about $10,000 per home… reduction in force… ~$12 million per year… Texas pace improved to 1.8” .
- “We completed a sale leaseback of about 80 [83] of our model homes to free up cash… asset sales likely to generate more than $100 million in capital in fiscal 2026” .
- “Adjusted gross margin should be around 16% [in Q1]… strategy to deliver about three percentage points of margin improvement by the fourth quarter [FY26]” .
- “Total liquidity at the end of the fourth quarter of nearly $540 million… expect to repurchase at least [~]1.5 million shares in fiscal 2026” .
- “New Rights Agreement… to protect… deferred tax assets… ~$84 million… related to energy tax credits” .
Q&A Highlights
- Margin trajectory: Three levers to add ~300 bps by Q4 FY26—$10k/unit cost savings (~2 pts), mix shift away from sub-$500k communities, and higher-margin new communities (48 opened since Apr 1) .
- Land cost concerns: Newer communities still deliver better margins despite higher per-lot costs due to product/price mix; ASP expected to rise as mix shifts .
- Volume bridge: Despite backlog down 36%, closings can grow 5–10% via community count growth and sales pace improvement; focus on units under production and turns .
- Spec mix outlook: Spec-heavy near term; potential normalization to 60/40 or 50/50 if spring conditions improve; profitability higher on to-be-built homes .
- Model home sale-leasebacks: 83 sales; economics roughly in line with overall business margins; financing cost outweighed by cash redeployment opportunity .
- Texas outlook: Sequential improvement; cautious for 2026 with ~40% of communities in TX; no snap-back assumed .
- Energy credits utilization: ~$84M energy credits expected to grow through June 2026; plan anticipates full utilization over several years; rights plan expires earlier if credits used .
Estimates Context
- Q4 FY25: Revenue $791.9M vs $674.8M consensus*; EPS $1.02 vs $0.80 consensus*—both beats, driven by >1,400 closings, model home sale-leasebacks, and improved operating leverage despite elevated incentives .
- Q3 FY25: Revenue $545.4M vs $554.35M consensus*; EPS −$0.01 vs $0.42 consensus*—misses due to weaker sales pace, Texas headwinds, and impairments .
- Q2 FY25: Revenue $565.3M vs $541.83M consensus*; EPS $0.42 vs $0.27 consensus*—beats on higher spec closings and cycle-time gains .
- FY25 actuals: Revenue $2.372B vs $2.254B consensus*; EPS $1.52 vs $1.31 consensus*; FY26 preliminary consensus: Revenue ~$2.438B*, EPS ~$1.39* .
Note: *Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Q4 FY25 was a high-quality beat on revenue and EPS; strong closings overcame margin pressure from incentives/specs—supportive for near-term sentiment .
- Near-term caution: Q1 FY26 guide to a net loss and ~16% adjusted gross margin underscores continued incentive-driven market; expect back-half improvement as cost/mix/new-community levers accrue .
- Execution drivers: ~$10k/unit cost reductions, double-digit mix shift away from lower-priced communities, and better margins in 48 newly opened communities—clear roadmap to ~300 bps margin uplift by Q4 FY26 .
- Capital strategy: >$100M asset sales at/above book and ≥1.5M share repurchases provide tangible capital return and ROIC enhancement; liquidity $538M with no maturities until Oct-2027 mitigates risk .
- Differentiation moat: Energy efficiency and health features via Zero Energy Ready positioning and the brand refresh should aid price realization, absorption, and appraisal support in an affordability-constrained market .
- Risk monitor: Backlog down 35%, elevated spec mix (guiding up to 75% of sales in Q1), and incentives remain headwinds; Texas remains a swing factor given footprint concentration .
- Governance/tax asset protection: Rights plan preserves ~$143M DTAs including ~$84M energy credits, supporting cash taxes and capital allocation flexibility through FY26–FY28 .