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CAMDEN NATIONAL CORP (CAC)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q4 2024 delivered continued operating momentum: diluted EPS $1.00 (core $1.03), up 11% and 8% q/q respectively, driven by 11 bps NIM expansion to 2.57%, 6% revenue growth, and a 2% decline in opex .
- Asset quality remained a key strength: NPLs 0.16% of loans, 30–89 dpd 0.05%, and ACL/loans 0.87%; coverage stood at 5.5x NPLs, all broadly stable/improving vs Q3 .
- Northway transaction closed Jan 2, 2025; integration conversion slated for mid-March. Management reiterated core NIM trajectory around ~2.60% ±5 bps near term and flagged higher Q1’25 M&A costs as integration ramps .
- Structural revenue tailwinds: lower deposit costs (deposit cost down ~18 bps q/q to 1.91%; total cost of funds down ~19 bps to ~2.15%–2.16%) and fee income lift (Visa bonus, swap fees) supported results; dividend maintained at $0.42 .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Net interest margin inflected higher again (2.57%, +11 bps q/q) as deposit repricing outpaced asset yields and short-end cuts flowed through; CFO cited ~3 bps nonrecurring benefit but underlying momentum intact .
- Fee income momentum: Q4 non-interest income +7% q/q to $12.2M, aided by annual Visa bonus (~$407k) and higher loan swap fees ($232k) .
- Technology and execution: new online consumer account opening rolled out; process automation “bots” processed a record 1.7M transactions in Dec with <1% manual review, supporting efficiency (58.5% non-GAAP) .
Management quotes:
- “We produced another quarter with strong operating results… core earnings growth of 9%… ROAA surpassed 1%” .
- “We proactively managed deposit costs lower… directly translated into further NIM expansion quarter-over-quarter” .
What Went Wrong
- Loan growth muted by a few larger commercial/CRE payoffs; loans were essentially flat q/q at $4.12B, and commercial balances down y/y .
- Securities AFS valuation headwind: AFS fair value fell $17.7M in Q4 on rate moves, contributing to a slight decline in common equity and TCE ratios q/q (CET1/TCE modestly lower on market marks) .
- Integration costs: while Q4 M&A expense was modest ($0.4M), management guided to higher merger/integration costs in Q1 2025 as Northway conversion completes in mid-March, a near-term opex headwind .
Financial Results
KPIs and Balance Sheet
Segment breakdown: Not applicable. CAC reports as a community bank with revenues from net interest income and non-interest income (see above components) .
Key drivers vs prior quarter and year:
- NIM +11 bps q/q to 2.57% on disciplined deposit repricing and lower short-end rates; total cost of funds fell to ~2.16% (CFO noted 2.15%), deposit cost to 1.91% .
- Non-interest income +7% q/q from Visa bonus and swap fees; opex -2% q/q with lower salaries/benefits and lower M&A expense; efficiency improved to 59.6% .
- Loans flat q/q due to large commercial/CRE payoffs; deposits +1% q/q with 7% q/q growth in savings, aided by a temporary ~$61.8M deposit expected to run off in Q1 .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We produced another quarter with strong operating results… core earnings growth of 9%… ROAA surpassed 1%” – Simon Griffiths, CEO .
- “We took quick action after each Fed cut to lower deposit costs… deposit cost decreased 18 bps… total cost of funds decreased 19 bps” – Mike Archer, CFO .
- “Plus or minus 2.60%… plus or minus 5 bps… is a pretty good guide [for core NIM]” – CEO .
- “Reported [NIM]… probably 2.85%–2.90%, up towards 3%” with purchase accounting accretion – CFO .
- “We are opportunistic… expanded [NH] group to 8 commercial lenders” – CEO .
Q&A Highlights
- Loan growth: Expect low-single-digit organic growth in 2025; selective posture; NH team adds capacity post-Northway .
- Margin: Core NIM ~2.60% ±5 bps near term; reported NIM to benefit from accretion; timing subject to purchase accounting finalization .
- Balance sheet optimization: Post-close, paid down ~$45M higher-cost long-term FHLB; sold ~$65M bonds to improve yield/duration mix .
- Pro forma scale: Earning assets around ~$6.5B in Q1 reasonable; goodwill/intangibles expected slightly above prior forecast ($40–$45M) pending final marks .
- CECL Day 2: No material surprises vs plan; ~12–15% PCD mix expected .
Estimates Context
- Wall Street consensus (EPS, revenue) for Q4 2024 via S&P Global was not retrievable at the time of analysis due to request limits. As a result, we cannot provide a beat/miss vs consensus for EPS or revenue this quarter [GetEstimates error]. Values retrieved from S&P Global were unavailable at this time.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Core earnings power is improving on deposit cost normalization and disciplined pricing; efficiency and ROAA inflected higher, setting a constructive baseline entering 2025 .
- Near-term margin guide (~2.60% core NIM) is supportive, with upside to reported NIM from Northway accretion; purchase accounting timing remains a variable for GAAP prints .
- Asset quality remains a differentiator (very low NPLs/DPD/NCOs) supporting modest reserve levels (ACL/loans 0.87%) and capital flexibility (TRBC 15.11%) .
- Integration execution is the swing factor for 1H’25: expect temporary higher M&A opex in Q1; conversion mid-March is a milestone for realizing synergies and revenue opportunities in NH .
- Deposit dynamics are seasonally softer in Q1 and include a known ~$61.8M temporary outflow; trajectory thereafter should benefit from high-yield savings product success and digital onboarding .
- Balanced loan growth strategy (low-single-digit) and fee initiatives (wealth, swaps, cards) diversify revenue while containing risk .
- Dividend maintained ($0.42/qtr); capital ratios comfortably above regulatory minimums, providing resilience amid integration .
Appendix: Additional Q4 details from 8-K/press release
- Q4 revenue drivers: NII +5% q/q to $35.4M; non-interest income +7% q/q to $12.2M; GAAP efficiency ratio improved ~460 bps q/q to 59.6% .
- Balance sheet: deposits +1% q/q to $4.63B; savings +7% q/q; loans ~$4.12B flat q/q; cash balances temporarily higher to $215M ahead of post-close actions .
- Capital: Common equity ratio 9.15%; TCE 7.64%; TRBC 15.11% .