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CAMDEN NATIONAL CORP (CAC)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q4 2024 delivered continued operating momentum: diluted EPS $1.00 (core $1.03), up 11% and 8% q/q respectively, driven by 11 bps NIM expansion to 2.57%, 6% revenue growth, and a 2% decline in opex .
  • Asset quality remained a key strength: NPLs 0.16% of loans, 30–89 dpd 0.05%, and ACL/loans 0.87%; coverage stood at 5.5x NPLs, all broadly stable/improving vs Q3 .
  • Northway transaction closed Jan 2, 2025; integration conversion slated for mid-March. Management reiterated core NIM trajectory around ~2.60% ±5 bps near term and flagged higher Q1’25 M&A costs as integration ramps .
  • Structural revenue tailwinds: lower deposit costs (deposit cost down ~18 bps q/q to 1.91%; total cost of funds down ~19 bps to ~2.15%–2.16%) and fee income lift (Visa bonus, swap fees) supported results; dividend maintained at $0.42 .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Net interest margin inflected higher again (2.57%, +11 bps q/q) as deposit repricing outpaced asset yields and short-end cuts flowed through; CFO cited ~3 bps nonrecurring benefit but underlying momentum intact .
  • Fee income momentum: Q4 non-interest income +7% q/q to $12.2M, aided by annual Visa bonus (~$407k) and higher loan swap fees ($232k) .
  • Technology and execution: new online consumer account opening rolled out; process automation “bots” processed a record 1.7M transactions in Dec with <1% manual review, supporting efficiency (58.5% non-GAAP) .

Management quotes:

  • “We produced another quarter with strong operating results… core earnings growth of 9%… ROAA surpassed 1%” .
  • “We proactively managed deposit costs lower… directly translated into further NIM expansion quarter-over-quarter” .

What Went Wrong

  • Loan growth muted by a few larger commercial/CRE payoffs; loans were essentially flat q/q at $4.12B, and commercial balances down y/y .
  • Securities AFS valuation headwind: AFS fair value fell $17.7M in Q4 on rate moves, contributing to a slight decline in common equity and TCE ratios q/q (CET1/TCE modestly lower on market marks) .
  • Integration costs: while Q4 M&A expense was modest ($0.4M), management guided to higher merger/integration costs in Q1 2025 as Northway conversion completes in mid-March, a near-term opex headwind .

Financial Results

MetricQ4 2023Q3 2024Q4 2024
Diluted EPS ($)$0.58 $0.90 $1.00
Core Diluted EPS ($)$0.85 $0.95 $1.03
Net Interest Income ($M)$32.7 $33.6 $35.4
Non-Interest Income ($M)$6.0 $11.4 $12.2
Total Operating Revenue ($M) (NII + Non-Interest)$38.7 (calc) $45.0 (calc) $47.6 (calc)
Net Interest Margin (%)2.40% 2.46% 2.57%
Efficiency Ratio (GAAP) (%)71.96% 64.23% 59.62%
ROAA (%)0.59% 0.91% 1.01%

KPIs and Balance Sheet

KPIQ4 2023Q3 2024Q4 2024
Loans (period-end, $M)$4,098.1 $4,116.7 $4,115.3
Deposits (period-end, $M)$4,597.4 $4,575.2 $4,633.2
NPLs / Loans (%)0.18% 0.17% 0.16%
30–89 DPD / Loans (%)0.12% 0.03% 0.05%
ACL / Loans (%)0.90% 0.86% 0.87%
Net Charge-offs (qtd, annualized, %)0.04% 0.03% 0.04%
Tangible Common Equity Ratio (%)7.11% 7.69% 7.64%
Total Risk-Based Capital (%)14.36% 14.85% 15.11%

Segment breakdown: Not applicable. CAC reports as a community bank with revenues from net interest income and non-interest income (see above components) .

Key drivers vs prior quarter and year:

  • NIM +11 bps q/q to 2.57% on disciplined deposit repricing and lower short-end rates; total cost of funds fell to ~2.16% (CFO noted 2.15%), deposit cost to 1.91% .
  • Non-interest income +7% q/q from Visa bonus and swap fees; opex -2% q/q with lower salaries/benefits and lower M&A expense; efficiency improved to 59.6% .
  • Loans flat q/q due to large commercial/CRE payoffs; deposits +1% q/q with 7% q/q growth in savings, aided by a temporary ~$61.8M deposit expected to run off in Q1 .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Core NIM (%)Q1 2025Q4’24: “~2.50% ± 2–5 bps” (next quarter outlook) “~2.60% ± ~5 bps” near term core NIM Raised
Reported NIM (%)2025 startPrior deck implied accretion could add 15–20 bps; reported NIM to rise with purchase accounting CFO: “towards ~2.85%–2.90%, up towards 3%” potential with accretion; final PA pending Clarified/higher
M&A CostsQ1 2025“Most one-time deal costs over next 2 quarters” (from Q3) “Anticipate higher M&A costs in Q1’25 during integration” Timing affirmed
DepositsQ1 2025Seasonal outflows typical Expect seasonal outflows; ~$61.8M temporary deposit to leave Maintained/Specific
Conversion TimingMid-March 2025“Expected mid-March” “On target for mid-March” Maintained
DividendOngoingDeclared $0.42 (Dec 17) Declared $0.42 payable Jan 31, 2025 Maintained

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q2 2024, Q3 2024)Current Period (Q4 2024)Trend
Net interest margin trajectoryNIM 2.36% in Q2; guided slight q/q expansion; cost of funds 2.35% NIM 2.57% (+11 bps q/q); core NIM guide ~2.60% ±5 bps; reported NIM to benefit from accretion post-close Improving
Deposit costs/mixIntroduced high-yield savings; savings up 8% in Q2 Deposit cost down to ~1.91%; total cost of funds ~2.15%–2.16%; savings +7% q/q; seasonal outflows expected Q1 Positive leverage
Loan growthQ2 modest; Q3 cited paydowns; low-single-digit 2025 ex-Northway Q4 growth muted by payoffs; 2025 outlook low single-digit organic; NH team expansion post-Northway Selective/modest
Asset qualityStrong, stable metrics (Q2/Q3) NPLs 0.16%, 30–89 dpd 0.05%, NCOs 0.04% (qtd), ACL/loans 0.87% Stable/strong
Technology/digitalAccount opening platform planned year-end (Q3) Digital account opening launched; 1.7M bot transactions in Dec (<1% manual) Execution delivering efficiency
Wealth/fee growthBrokerage/WM fees up in Q2/Q3 AUA $2.1B (+12% y/y); fee income momentum continues Building
M&A integrationRegulatory approvals (Dec); Q3: deal accretive Closed Jan 2; conversion mid-March; early balance sheet optimization actions On-plan

Management Commentary

  • “We produced another quarter with strong operating results… core earnings growth of 9%… ROAA surpassed 1%” – Simon Griffiths, CEO .
  • “We took quick action after each Fed cut to lower deposit costs… deposit cost decreased 18 bps… total cost of funds decreased 19 bps” – Mike Archer, CFO .
  • “Plus or minus 2.60%… plus or minus 5 bps… is a pretty good guide [for core NIM]” – CEO .
  • “Reported [NIM]… probably 2.85%–2.90%, up towards 3%” with purchase accounting accretion – CFO .
  • “We are opportunistic… expanded [NH] group to 8 commercial lenders” – CEO .

Q&A Highlights

  • Loan growth: Expect low-single-digit organic growth in 2025; selective posture; NH team adds capacity post-Northway .
  • Margin: Core NIM ~2.60% ±5 bps near term; reported NIM to benefit from accretion; timing subject to purchase accounting finalization .
  • Balance sheet optimization: Post-close, paid down ~$45M higher-cost long-term FHLB; sold ~$65M bonds to improve yield/duration mix .
  • Pro forma scale: Earning assets around ~$6.5B in Q1 reasonable; goodwill/intangibles expected slightly above prior forecast ($40–$45M) pending final marks .
  • CECL Day 2: No material surprises vs plan; ~12–15% PCD mix expected .

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus (EPS, revenue) for Q4 2024 via S&P Global was not retrievable at the time of analysis due to request limits. As a result, we cannot provide a beat/miss vs consensus for EPS or revenue this quarter [GetEstimates error]. Values retrieved from S&P Global were unavailable at this time.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Core earnings power is improving on deposit cost normalization and disciplined pricing; efficiency and ROAA inflected higher, setting a constructive baseline entering 2025 .
  • Near-term margin guide (~2.60% core NIM) is supportive, with upside to reported NIM from Northway accretion; purchase accounting timing remains a variable for GAAP prints .
  • Asset quality remains a differentiator (very low NPLs/DPD/NCOs) supporting modest reserve levels (ACL/loans 0.87%) and capital flexibility (TRBC 15.11%) .
  • Integration execution is the swing factor for 1H’25: expect temporary higher M&A opex in Q1; conversion mid-March is a milestone for realizing synergies and revenue opportunities in NH .
  • Deposit dynamics are seasonally softer in Q1 and include a known ~$61.8M temporary outflow; trajectory thereafter should benefit from high-yield savings product success and digital onboarding .
  • Balanced loan growth strategy (low-single-digit) and fee initiatives (wealth, swaps, cards) diversify revenue while containing risk .
  • Dividend maintained ($0.42/qtr); capital ratios comfortably above regulatory minimums, providing resilience amid integration .

Appendix: Additional Q4 details from 8-K/press release

  • Q4 revenue drivers: NII +5% q/q to $35.4M; non-interest income +7% q/q to $12.2M; GAAP efficiency ratio improved ~460 bps q/q to 59.6% .
  • Balance sheet: deposits +1% q/q to $4.63B; savings +7% q/q; loans ~$4.12B flat q/q; cash balances temporarily higher to $215M ahead of post-close actions .
  • Capital: Common equity ratio 9.15%; TCE 7.64%; TRBC 15.11% .